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← Back to GamesDec 28, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Pittsburgh by 1.4

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 46%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Dec 28, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PittsburghPittsburgh
377724
NorthwesternNorthwestern
01471031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-314-1021-1728-2431-24
NorthwesternPittsburgh

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NORPITNORPITNORPITNORPITNORPITNORPITPITNORPITNORPITNORPITNORPITNORPITNORPUNT32ydFG530ydPUNT517ydDOWNS1276ydTD1099ydTO456ydTO1366ydPUNT43ydTD874ydTD169ydTO749ydEND530ydTD468ydTD1489ydMISS829ydPUNT3-5ydTD622ydTD1476ydTO12ydFG59ydTO1050ydPUNT31ydTO33ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Pittsburgh and Northwestern
StatisticPittsburghNorthwestern
Passing16-2923-36
Pass Yards269214
Rush Yards169248
Total Yards438462
Turnovers42
3rd Down6-139-19
Penalties5-504-35
Possession24:3835:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Pittsburgh
passing
Nathan Peterman
13/18, 253 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Quadree Henderson
6 CAR, 76 YDS
receiving
Jester Weah
2 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Matt Galambos
2 TFL, 1 PD
Northwestern
passing
Clayton Thorson
23/36, 214 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Justin Jackson
32 CAR, 224 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Austin Carr
6 REC, 51 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 5 yds to the Nwest 33

3rd & 2Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.94

Clayton Thorson sacked by Allen Edwards and Shakir Soto for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 27

4th & 8Punt+2 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 33 yds , Quadree Henderson returns for 2 yds to the Pitt 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.94

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 38 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -1.31

Quadree Henderson run for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 28 Quadree Henderson fumbled, recovered by Pitt Quadree Henderson

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Scott Orndoff

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Dontez Ford

4th & 18Field Goal Good+46 ydsPPA +1.82

Chris Blewitt 46 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Clayton Thorson run for 9 yds to the Nwest 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 6 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Jelani Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 39

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

John Moten IV run for 3 yds to the Nwest 42

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Justin Jackson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Quadree Henderson at the Pitt 23

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

James Conner run for 4 yds to the Pitt 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Nathan Peterman pass complete to James Conner for 3 yds to the Pitt 30

3rd & 3Penalty+10 yds

Peterman, Nathan pass pass intended for Weah, Jester intercepted by McGee, Jared at the PITTSBURGH42, McGee, Jared return 0 yards to the PITTSBURGH42, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN holding (Hartage, Montre) 10 yards to the PITTSBURGH40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH.

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.91

James Conner run for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 35

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 8 yds to the Pitt 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.91

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 15 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.70

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 24 yds to the Nwest 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

James Conner run for 4 yds to the Nwest 14

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the Nwest 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brian O'Neill pass incomplete to George Aston

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

James Conner run for 4 yds to the Nwest 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

George Aston run for 2 yds to the Nwest 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

James Conner run for no gain to the Nwest 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Clayton Thorson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 2

2nd & 9Rush+68 ydsPPA +4.38

Justin Jackson run for 68 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Pitt 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Justin Jackson

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.35

Justin Jackson run for 10 yds to the Pitt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Pitt 14

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Pitt 10

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Pitt 10

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.65

Clayton Thorson run for 2 yds to the Pitt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Justin Jackson 8 Yd Run (Jack Mitchell Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.55

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Quadree Henderson for 37 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.47

James Conner run for 21 yds to the Nwest 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

James Conner run for 3 yds to the Nwest 5

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 10

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-12 ydsPPA -4.20

Nathan Peterman pass intercepted Godwin Igwebuike return for 12 yds to the Nwest 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Solomon Vault

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.54

Justin Jackson run for 17 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 34

2nd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.19

Clayton Thorson sacked by Ejuan Price for a loss of 10 yards to the Nwest 24

3rd & 18Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.02

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 21 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

John Moten IV run for 2 yds to the Nwest 47

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

John Moten IV run for 6 yds to the Pitt 47

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.41

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 7 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Clayton Thorson run for 10 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Pitt 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 10 yds to the Pitt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 19

2nd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.92

Clayton Thorson pass intercepted, touchback. Avonte Maddox return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -0.93

Nathan Peterman pass complete to George Aston for 1 yd to the Pitt 21 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Quadree Henderson) to the Pitt 11

1st & 19Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

James Conner run for 1 yd to the Pitt 12

2nd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 11 yds to the Pitt 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Jester Weah

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Winslow punt for 41 yds , Flynn Nagel returns for no gain to the Nwest 23 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Nwest 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 7 yds to the Nwest 33

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Nwest 33

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.36

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Andrew Scanlan for 4 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Austin Carr

3rd & 7Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.64

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 32 yds to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.20

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 12 yds to the Pitt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Justin Jackson 16 Yd Run (Jack Mitchell Kick)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.61

Jester Weah 69 Yd pass from Nathan Peterman (Chris Blewitt Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 23

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 25

3rd & 5Penalty+10 yds

Thorson, Clayton pass incomplete, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding (Mitchell, Reggie) 10 yards to the NORTHWSTRN35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHWSTRN.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Justin Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.20

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Andrew Scanlan for 17 yds to the NORTHWSTRN 48 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Personal Foul (Shakir Soto) to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Thorson, Clayton pass incomplete to Moten IV, John, PENALTY NORTHWSTRN holding (Butler, J.B.) 10 yards to the PITTSBURGH43, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Pitt 39

2nd & 16Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 8 yds to the Pitt 31

2nd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.87

Qadree Ollison run for 19 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Quadree Henderson for 5 yds to the Nwest 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+57 ydsPPA +3.00

Quadree Henderson run for 57 yds to the Nwest 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 14

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.29

Rafael Araujo-Lopes run for 9 yds to the Nwest 5

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.71

Nathan Peterman 5 Yd Run (Chris Blewitt Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 3 yds to the Nwest 14

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.05

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Andrew Scanlan for 10 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Clayton Thorson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 31

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 33

3rd & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA +0.83

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 1 yd to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Justin Jackson run for 12 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Ben Skowronek

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 47

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Justin Jackson run for 8 yds to the Pitt 45

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.08

Clayton Thorson run for 2 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Clayton Thorson sacked by Shakir Soto and James Folston Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Andrew Scanlan for 4 yds to the Pitt 40

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.67

Justin Jackson 40 Yd Run (Jack Mitchell Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.50

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 30 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Nwest 23

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Nathan Peterman run for 8 yds to the Nwest 15

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.10

Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Nwest 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Nwest 13

2nd & 10Sack-18 ydsPPA -3.33

Nathan Peterman sacked by Joe Gaziano and Xavier Washington for a loss of 18 yards to the Nwest 31

3rd & 28Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Jester Weah for 6 yds to the Nwest 25

4th & 22Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Chris Blewitt 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 27

3rd & 8Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.35

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 20

4th & 15Blocked Punt+2 yds

Hunter Niswander punt blocked by Chawntez Moss blocked by Chawntez Moss

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Chawntez Moss run for no gain to the Nwest 22

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Quadree Henderson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Dontez Ford for 7 yds to the Nwest 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Chawntez Moss run for 3 yds to the Nwest 8

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Ben DiNucci run for 2 yds to the Nwest 6

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.78

George Aston 6 Yd pass from Ben DiNucci (Chris Blewitt Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Justin Jackson run for 6 yds to the Nwest 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 5 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 12 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Clayton Thorson sacked by Jeremiah Taleni for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 44

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 4 yds to the Nwest 48

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Justin Jackson run for 6 yds to the Pitt 46

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.54

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 5 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Garrett Dickerson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.34

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 11 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 5 yds to the Pitt 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Austin Carr

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 4 yds to the Pitt 21

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.41

Garrett Dickerson 21 Yd pass from Clayton Thorson (Jack Mitchell Kick)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.92

Quadree Henderson run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27 Quadree Henderson fumbled, forced by Anthony Walker Jr., recovered by Nwest Tyler Lancaster

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.19

Justin Jackson run for 13 yds to the Pitt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.88

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 7 yards to the Pitt 21

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Pitt 18

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Macan Wilson

4th & 14Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA +0.44

Jack Mitchell 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Quadree Henderson run for no gain to the Pitt 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Quadree Henderson for 3 yds to the Pitt 35

3rd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.91

Ben DiNucci run for 16 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Nwest 44

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ben DiNucci pass incomplete to Qadree Ollison

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.55

Quadree Henderson run for 21 yds to the Nwest 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chawntez Moss run for no gain to the Nwest 18

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Ben DiNucci pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Ben DiNucci pass incomplete to Scott Orndoff

4th & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.97

Ben DiNucci pass intercepted Jared McGee return for no gain to the Nwest 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Clayton Thorson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 6

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.25

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 4

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Austin Carr

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 52 yds , Quadree Henderson returns for no gain to the Pitt 4 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Pitt 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ben DiNucci pass incomplete to Jester Weah

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Chawntez Moss run for 3 yds to the Pitt 37

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return-13 ydsPPA -0.43

Ben DiNucci pass intercepted Kyle Queiro return for 13 yds to the Pitt 21

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 22

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.69

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 23

Situational Analysis

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
20%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
15 plays
14%
7 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
70%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
4 plays
100%
1 play