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← Back to GamesDec 3, 2016Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 3.7

Home Win Probability

Georgia Southern 38%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Dec 3, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TroyTroy
377724
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
0714728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-37-1014-1021-1021-1728-24
Georgia SouthernTroy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROPUNT721ydTO417ydFG47ydPUNT926ydDOWNS636ydTD1256ydTD982ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT630ydEND111ydTD675ydPUNT3-3ydTD255ydPUNT32ydPUNT53ydTD754ydDOWNS731ydTD548ydTD675ydPUNT34ydPUNT37ydDOWNS1677yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Troy and Georgia Southern
StatisticTroyGeorgia Southern
Passing27-3416-21
Pass Yards218175
Rush Yards126218
Total Yards344393
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-146-13
Penalties3-255-45
Possession30:0030:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Troy
passing
Brandon Silvers
27/34, 218 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jordan Chunn
19 CAR, 79 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Emanuel Thompson
7 REC, 96 YDS
defense
Georgia Southern
passing
Kevin Ellison
10/14, 127 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kevin Ellison
10 CAR, 115 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
BJ Johnson III
7 REC, 129 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 3 yds to the Troy 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.10

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 17 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Jordan Chunn run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 46

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 2 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

TROY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Troy 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 3 yds to the Troy 44

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the Troy 46

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Tevaris McCormick

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Kay punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TROY Penalty, illegal formation (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Favian Upshaw pass complete to Kevin Ellison for 9 yds to the GeoSo 30

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Favian Upshaw pass complete to Keigan Williams for 6 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 41

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -1.96

Favian Upshaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 27 Favian Upshaw fumbled, forced by Seth Calloway, recovered by Troy Rashad Dillard , return for 6 yds to the GeoSo 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Tevaris McCormick, broken up by Ironhead Gallon

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.03

Brandon Silvers run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 29 Brandon Silvers fumbled, recovered by Troy Brandon Silvers

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 9 yds to the GeoSo 20

4th & 3Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.46

Ryan Kay 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Kevin Ellison pass complete to Matt Breida for 6 yds to the GeoSo 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Montay Crockett run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 40

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 45

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kevin Ellison pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the Troy 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.87

Kevin Ellison pass complete to Matt Breida for no gain to the Troy 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Matt Flynn punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.43

B.J. Smith run for 18 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 11 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Brandon Silvers run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 44

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 42

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.85

Brandon Silvers run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 44

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Matt Breida run for 14 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kevin Ellison pass complete to Myles Campbell for no gain to the Troy 42

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the Troy 39

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the Troy 36

4th & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.16

Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 6 yds to the Troy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Myles Campbell run for 7 yds to the Troy 23

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the Troy 21

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

L.A. Ramsby run for 6 yds to the Troy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the Troy 12

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Matt Breida run for 8 yds to the Troy 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.23

Kevin Ellison run for a loss of 8 yards to the Troy 12

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.91

BJ Johnson III 12 Yd pass from Kevin Ellison (Younghoe Koo Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Brandon Silvers pass complete to B.J. Smith for 13 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.06

Jordan Chunn run for 23 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Jordan Chunn run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 47

2nd & 11Penalty+5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 42

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan Chunn run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 37

3rd & 1Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.99

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 20 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 16

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Brandon Silvers run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 10

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.25

Brandon Silvers run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jordan Chunn 3 Yd Run (Ryan Kay Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Kevin Ellison pass complete to Matt Breida for 1 yd to the GeoSo 23

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to BJ Johnson III GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Matt Flynn punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cedarius Rookard at the Troy 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the Troy 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.49

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for a loss of 6 yards to the Troy 33

3rd & 13Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.25

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 31

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ryan Kay punt for 51 yds, downed at the GeoSo 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Favian Upshaw run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Favian Upshaw pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 9 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Favian Upshaw pass complete to Obe Fortune for 16 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Favian Upshaw pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 9 yds to the Troy 44

2nd & 1Sack-8 ydsPPA -3.12

Favian Upshaw sacked by Rashad Dillard for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSo 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Keigan Williams

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Flynn punt for 45 yds, downed at the Troy 7

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.39

Jordan Chunn run for 11 yds to the Troy 18 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Kevin Ellison run for 23 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the Troy 47

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the Troy 43

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.91

L.A. Ramsby run for 4 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.46

Matt Breida run for 15 yds to the Troy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Kevin Ellison 24 Yd Run (Younghoe Koo Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 23

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Jordan Chunn run for 6 yds to the Troy 29

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.49

Brandon Silvers sacked by Ukeme Eligwe for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 22

4th & 13Punt+16 yds

Ryan Kay punt for 49 yds , Myles Campbell returns for 16 yds to the GeoSo 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Myles Campbell run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 46

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +5.20

Kevin Ellison 54 Yd Run, (Y. Koo KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Jordan Chunn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 36

2nd & 12Penalty+5 yds

Silvers, Brandon pass incomplete to McCormick, Tevaris, PENALTY GS offside (Tre Griffin) 5 yards to the TROY41, NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Brandon Silvers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 40

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre Douglas

4th & 8Punt+42 yds

Ryan Kay punt for 42 yds , Myles Campbell returns for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 17

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Matt Breida run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 26

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.18

Favian Upshaw run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Favian Upshaw run for no gain to the GeoSo 30

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

BJ Johnson III pass complete to Mike Jackson for 43 yards to the TROY27 (Rookard, Cedarius), PENALTY GS ineligible downfield on pass (Jeremiah Culbreth) 5 yards to the GS25, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.29

Wesley Fields run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 21

3rd & 19Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.05

Favian Upshaw pass complete to Mike Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 20

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Matt Flynn punt for 34 yds, fair catch by B.J. Smith at the Troy 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 12 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Josh Anderson run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Josh Anderson for 10 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre Douglas, broken up by Darius Jones Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre Douglas

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.57

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 14 yds to the GeoSo 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Tevaris McCormick 16 Yd pass from Brandon Silvers (Ryan Kay Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 19

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Kevin Ellison run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 20

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.36

Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 20 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.91

Matt Breida run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 35

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Keigan Williams

3rd & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Kevin Ellison run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 48

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to BJ Johnson III, broken up by Kris Weatherspoon

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.97

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 22 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 24

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.46

Brandon Silvers run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jordan Chunn run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Jordan Chunn 4 Yd Run (Ryan Kay Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Matt Breida run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.50

Kevin Ellison pass complete to Myles Campbell for 9 yds to the GeoSo 32

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.51

L.A. Ramsby run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

L.A. Ramsby run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 44

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

L.A. Ramsby run for 7 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Wesley Fields rush for no gain to the TROY49 (Lloyd, William), PENALTY GS personal foul 15 yards to the GS36, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +6.71

BJ Johnson III 64 Yd pass from Kevin Ellison (Younghoe Koo Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 5 yds to the Troy 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 4 yds to the Troy 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan Chunn run for no gain to the Troy 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, false start (Emanuel Thompson) to the Troy 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Kay punt for 38 yds, downed at the GeoSo 33

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Matt Breida run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 31

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 9 yds to the GeoSo 40

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kevin Ellison run for no gain to the GeoSo 40

4th & 3Punt-2 yds

Matt Flynn punt for 44 yds , Cedarius Rookard returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.14

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 18 yds to the Troy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the Troy 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Sam Letton for 7 yds to the Troy 41

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.00

Brandon Silvers run for 1 yd to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds to the Troy 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for no gain to the Troy 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 9 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 7 yds to the GeoSo 38

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Brandon Silvers run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 36

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jordan Chunn run for no gain to the GeoSo 36

4th & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.72

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 5 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.32

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 20 yds to the GeoSo 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 10

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 1 yd to the GeoSo 9

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.38

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Josh Anderson for no gain to the GeoSo 9

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.66

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Tevaris McCormick

Situational Analysis

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
29 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play