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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2016Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 12.7

Home Win Probability

Texas State 17%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 26, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TroyTroy
14167340
Texas StateTexas State
00707

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-140-170-230-377-377-40
Texas StateTroy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROTSTROTSTROTSTROTSTROTSTROTSTROTSTSTROTSTROTSTROTSTROTSTROTSPUNT630ydTO37ydTD825ydPUNT6-1ydTD337ydPUNT36ydPUNT617ydPUNT5-1ydFG1042ydTO935ydTD673ydDOWNS934ydTD465ydEND10ydPUNT34ydTD1270ydDOWNS739ydPUNT3-2ydTD1072ydPUNT728ydPUNT421ydPUNT518ydPUNT3-4ydFG1130ydEND519yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Troy and Texas State
StatisticTroyTexas State
Passing24-3712-29
Pass Yards237147
Rush Yards154109
Total Yards391256
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-166-16
Penalties2-158-82
Possession32:4427:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Troy
passing
Brandon Silvers
20/28, 218 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jordan Chunn
19 CAR, 74 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tevaris McCormick
5 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Texas State
passing
Connor White
8/16, 108 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Siudzinski
11 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Elijah King
4 REC, 84 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 4 yds to the Troy 28

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Jordan Chunn run for 9 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 17 yds to the TexSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the TexSt 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Emanuel Thompson

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Jordan Chunn run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 46

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Kay punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Connor White run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 13

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Connor White pass complete to Elijah King for 8 yds to the TexSt 21

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return-12 ydsPPA -0.12

Connor White pass intercepted Jalen Rountree return for 12 yds to the TexSt 25

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 30

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Dominic Walker for 3 yds to the TexSt 27

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.50

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Justin Wyatt for 9 yds to the TexSt 18

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds to the TexSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds to the TexSt 10

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the TexSt 8

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the TexSt 6

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the TexSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Kay KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Stedman Mayberry run for no gain to the TexSt 20

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Stedman Mayberry run for 7 yds to the TexSt 27

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.00

Connor White run for 3 yds to the TexSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 25

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Stedman Mayberry run for 3 yds to the TexSt 28

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.55

TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSt 20 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TexSt Connor White

3rd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Connor White run for 4 yds to the TexSt 24

4th & 16Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 19

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Andre Flakes for 3 yds to the TexSt 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 5 yds to the TexSt 29

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.21

Josh Anderson run for 29 yds for a TD, (Ryan Kay KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Siudzinski run for 2 yds to the TexSt 29

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyler Siudzinski run for 4 yds to the TexSt 33

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Connor White pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 38 yds , Cedarius Rookard returns for no gain to the Troy 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 9 yds to the Troy 38

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd to the Troy 43

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

B.J. Smith run for 11 yds to the TEXSTATE 46 TROY Penalty, Offensive holding (Justin Wyatt) to the Troy 44

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Josh Anderson run for 2 yds to the Troy 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Emanuel Thompson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Kay punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyler Siudzinski run for 4 yds to the TexSt 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.71

Eddie Printz pass complete to Tyler Siudzinski for 6 yds to the TexSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Eddie Printz run for 3 yds to the TexSt 31

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.93

Tyler Siudzinski run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 27

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Eddie Printz pass incomplete to Elijah King

4th & 11Penalty-10 yds

Schrade, Gabe rush over left end for 15 yards to the TXST42 (Rookard, Cedarius), PENALTY TXST holding (Alexcee, Damani) 10 yards to the TXST17, NO PLAY.

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds to the TexSt 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 5 yds to the TexSt 37

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.65

Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd to the TexSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.38

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 15 yds to the TexSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.11

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Hiram Velez for 10 yds to the TexSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Emanuel Thompson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the TexSt 8

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Gabe Hill for 4 yds to the TexSt 4

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.06

Ryan Kay 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tyler Siudzinski run for 6 yds to the TexSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.18

Eddie Printz run for 11 yds to the TexSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Eddie Printz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Tyler Siudzinski run for 9 yds to the Troy 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.00

Tyler Siudzinski run for 2 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Stedman Mayberry run for 14 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Stedman Mayberry run for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 36

2nd & 13Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.81

Stedman Mayberry run for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 40

3rd & 17Pass Interception Return-20 ydsPPA -1.14

Eddie Printz pass intercepted Jalen Rountree return for 20 yds to the Troy 20 TEXAS STATE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Jordan Chunn run for 22 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the TexSt 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 2 yds to the TexSt 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.79

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Justin Wyatt for 6 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the TexSt 38

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.64

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 38 yds for a TD, (Ryan Kay PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Eddie Printz run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 30

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Eddie Printz pass incomplete to Elijah King

3rd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.96

Eddie Printz pass complete to Mason Hays for 17 yds to the TexSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Eddie Printz pass complete to Mason Hays for 9 yds to the Troy 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.13

Eddie Printz pass complete to Chris French for 7 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Eddie Printz run for 2 yds to the Troy 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Eddie Printz pass incomplete to Tyler Siudzinski

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Eddie Printz pass incomplete, broken up by Junior Gnonkonde

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.63

Eddie Printz pass incomplete to Mason Hays

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.59

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 14 yds to the TexSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Hiram Velez

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +4.57

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 46 yds for a TD, (Ryan Kay KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Eddie Printz pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Eddie Printz run for 4 yds to the TexSt 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Anthony D. Taylor run for no gain to the TexSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Eddie Printz pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Troy 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 11 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 1 yd to the Troy 42

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Jordan Chunn run for 7 yds to the Troy 49

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

B.J. Smith run for 9 yds to the TexSt 39

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Justin Wyatt

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Josh Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 40

4th & 2Penalty+15 yds

Silvers, Brandon deep out pass incomplete to Douglas, Deondre, PENALTY TXST pass interference (Tiggs, Quinn) 15 yards to the TXST25, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Tevaris McCormick

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.21

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 11 yds to the TexSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

Silvers, Brandon post pass incomplete to Davis, Sidney, PENALTY TXST pass interference (Griffin, Frankie) 12 yards to the TXST2, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Josh Anderson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Kay KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Connor White run for 2 yds to the TexSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Tyler Siudzinski run for 10 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.24

Connor White pass complete to Elijah King for 33 yds to the Troy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Siudzinski run for 1 yd to the Troy 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Connor White pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.32

Connor White run for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 36

4th & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Connor White pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.80

Sidney Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 34

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Sawyer Smith run for no gain to the Troy 34

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ryan Kay punt for 38 yds , Brandon McDowell returns for no gain to the TexSt 28 Brandon McDowell fumbled, recovered by TexSt Jashon Waddy

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Connor White pass incomplete to Elijah King

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Connor White run for 9 yds to the TexSt 37

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Stedman Mayberry run for 2 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Stedman Mayberry run for 2 yds to the TexSt 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.81

Connor White pass complete to Elijah King for 33 yds to the Troy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Connor White run for 1 yd to the Troy 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Connor White pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 4 yds to the Troy 21

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Connor White pass complete to Elijah King for 10 yds to the Troy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Connor White run for 1 yd to the Troy 10

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.75

Stedman Mayberry run for 10 yds for a TD, (Marcus Ripley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Josh Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 18

2nd & 12Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.03

Josh Anderson run for 4 yds to the Troy 22 for a 1ST down TEXAS STATE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Dean Taylor) to the Troy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Hiram Velez

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.02

Sawyer Smith sacked by Jeremy Miller and Dean Taylor for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 32

3rd & 15Penalty+15 yds

Smith, Sawyer rush up middle for no gain to the TROY32 (Loyd, Gabe;Davis, Ishmael), PENALTY TXST face mask (Davis, Ishmael) 15 yards to the TROY47, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Justin Wyatt

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ryan Kay punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 20

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Tyler Siudzinski run for 13 yds to the TexSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyler Siudzinski run for 5 yds to the TexSt 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Connor White pass complete to Tyler Watts for 3 yds to the TexSt 41

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Anthony D. Taylor run for no gain to the TexSt 41

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cedarius Rookard at the Troy 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Troy 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.58

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Sidney Davis for 13 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Sidney Davis for 5 yds to the Troy 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Sidney Davis for 3 yds to the Troy 46

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.69

TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Troy 40 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Troy Sawyer Smith

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Kay punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Connor White pass incomplete to Mason Hays

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor White run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 12

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Connor White pass incomplete to Stedman Mayberry

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kaleb Barker run for 4 yds to the TexSt 36

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.54

B.J. Smith run for 9 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Andre Flakes

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Kaleb Barker run for 10 yds to the TexSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kaleb Barker run for 4 yds to the TexSt 13

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the TexSt 12

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.83

B.J. Smith run for 6 yds to the TexSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the TexSt 5

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.51

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 8 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Troy Kaleb Barker

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

B.J. Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 10

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.49

Ryan Kay 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Connor White run for 2 yds to the TexSt 32

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 27

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Connor White pass complete to Brendon Rushing for 9 yds to the TexSt 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.98

Connor White pass complete to Tyler Siudzinski for 8 yds to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Connor White pass incomplete to Brendon Rushing

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Connor White run for 5 yds to the TexSt 49

Situational Analysis

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
29%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
38%
16 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
23%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
54%
13 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play