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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois by 7.9

Home Win Probability

Illinois 73%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 3, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Murray State
03003
IllinoisIllinois
142171052

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-335-342-349-352-3
IllinoisMurray State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSILLMSILLMSILLMSILLMSILLMSILLMSILLMSILLMSILLMSILLMSILLMSILLMSILLTO20ydTD837ydTO615ydTD168ydPUNT921ydPUNT724ydPUNT34ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-4ydTD439ydMISS1048ydTD468ydFG1064ydTD365ydEND1-3ydPUNT38ydPUNT533ydTD1180ydPUNT3-9ydTD875ydPUNT414ydFG735ydPUNT417ydPUNT529ydTO3-16ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Murray State and Illinois
StatisticMurray StateIllinois
Passing21-3516-24
Pass Yards175228
Rush Yards-10287
Total Yards165515
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-166-12
Penalties4-297-55
Possession26:3233:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Murray State
passing
KD Humphries
18/31, 163 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Mark Dodson
4 CAR, 16 YDS
receiving
Jesse Blackburn
4 REC, 48 YDS
defense
Illinois
passing
Wes Lunt
15/21, 226 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Kendrick Foster
4 CAR, 118 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Malik Turner
3 REC, 83 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Ryan Frain kickoff for 65 yds , D'Montre Wade return for 19 yds to the MurrS 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Mark Dodson run for no gain to the MurrS 19

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Kd Humphries pass intercepted Julian Hylton return for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 37

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the MurrS 33

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 10 yds to the MurrS 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 7 yds to the MurrS 16

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the MurrS 16

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 10 yds to the MurrS 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the MurrS 5

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the MurrS 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 5 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Kd Humphries pass complete to L.J. Gainey for a loss of 5 yards to the MurrS 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Kd Humphries pass complete to Demetric Johnson for 2 yds to the MurrS 22

3rd & 13Penalty+5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the MurrS 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.77

Kd Humphries pass complete to Jesse Blackburn for 8 yds to the MurrS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kd Humphries pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kd Humphries run for 5 yds to the MurrS 40

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.80

Kd Humphries pass intercepted Taylor Barton return for no gain to the Illin 32

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +5.52

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 68 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Kd Humphries sacked by Tito Odenigbo for a loss of 6 yards to the MurrS 19

2nd & 16Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.58

Mark Dodson run for 12 yds to the MurrS 31

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Mark Dodson run for 3 yds to the MurrS 34

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

STRATTON, Lando punt 50 yards to the ILL16, Mosely,Darius return to the ILL20 (RODRIGUEZ, Sean;RUTLAND, Drew), PENALTY ILL roughing the kicker (Smoot,Dawuane) 5 yards to the MUR39, 1ST DOWN MUR, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kd Humphries pass complete to Mitch Stults for 4 yds to the MurrS 43

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Mark Dodson run for 1 yd to the MurrS 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.14

Kd Humphries pass complete to Jordon Gandy for 7 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.18

Kd Humphries pass complete to Mitch Stults for a loss of 5 yards to the MurrS 46

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Kd Humphries pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Kd Humphries pass incomplete, broken up by Chris James

4th & 15Punt+22 yds

Landon Stratton punt for 44 yds , Darius Mosely returns for 22 yds to the Illin 32

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 13 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Illin 46

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Kendrick Foster run for 6 yds to the MurrS 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Wes Lunt pass complete to Caleb Reams for 4 yds to the MurrS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Kendrick Foster run for no gain to the MurrS 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Wes Lunt pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Wes Lunt pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kd Humphries pass incomplete to L.J. Gainey

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Demetric Johnson run for no gain to the MurrS 11

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Kd Humphries pass complete to Malik Golson for 4 yds to the MurrS 15

4th & 6Punt+53 yds

Landon Stratton punt for 43 yds , Darius Mosely returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 14 ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal block (Darwyn Kelly) to the Illin 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Desmond Cain

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Illin 33

3rd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Wes Lunt sacked by Jonathan Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 32

4th & 9Punt+46 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 46 yds , Malik Golson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Demetric Johnson run for 1 yd to the MurrS 22

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kd Humphries pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.15

Kd Humphries pass complete to Demetric Johnson for no gain to the MurrS 22

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 17

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Landon Stratton punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MurrS 39

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 42 Ke'Shawn Vaughn fumbled, recovered by Illin Ke'Shawn Vaughn

2nd & 13Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.06

Wes Lunt pass complete to Justin Hardee for 31 yds to the MurrS 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the MurrS 10

2nd & 9Penalty+8 yds

Lunt,Wes pass incomplete to Davis,Andrew, PENALTY MUR pass interference (WADE, D'Montre) 8 yards to the MUR2, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Ryan Frain kickoff for 65 yds , Malik Golson return for 20 yds to the MurrS 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Malik Golson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Demetric Johnson run for no gain to the MurrS 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.96

Kd Humphries pass complete to Demetric Johnson for 15 yds to the MurrS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

HUMPHRIES, KD pass complete to MOSS, Jonathan for 3 yards to the MUR38 (Crawford,James), PENALTY ILL offside defense (Smoot,Dawuane) 5 yards to the MUR40, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.31

Kd Humphries pass complete to Tyre Gray for 8 yds to the MurrS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Malik Golson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.18

Kd Humphries pass complete to Jesse Blackburn for 17 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Kd Humphries sacked by Hardy Nickerson for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 36

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kd Humphries run for 4 yds to the Illin 32

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Jesse Blackburn

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Connor Mitchell 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Wes Lunt pass complete to Caleb Reams for 5 yds to the Illin 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Wes Lunt pass complete to Dominic Thieman for 6 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Wes Lunt pass complete to Dominic Thieman for 1 yd to the Illin 44

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +5.39

Kendrick Foster run for 56 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Ryan Frain kickoff for 59 yds , Malik Golson return for 13 yds to the MurrS 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.29

Kd Humphries pass complete to Jensen Feggins for 17 yds to the MurrS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

HUMPHRIES, KD pass complete to GAINEY, L.J. for 4 yards to the MUR40 (Dunlap,Jaylen), PENALTY MUR ineligible downfield on pass (IRBY, Joe) 6 yards to the MUR30, NO PLAY.

1st & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Demetric Johnson run for 2 yds to the MurrS 32

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Kd Humphries pass complete to Demetric Johnson for 3 yds to the MurrS 35

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.81

Kd Humphries pass complete to Jesse Blackburn for 12 yds to the MurrS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Kd Humphries pass complete to Jesse Blackburn for 11 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.76

Kd Humphries pass complete to Malik Golson for 30 yds to the Illin 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kd Humphries pass incomplete to L.J. Gainey

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Kd Humphries run for 3 yds to the Illin 9

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.53

Kd Humphries sacked by Chunky Clements for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 17

4th & 15Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA +0.45

Connor Mitchell 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Wes Lunt pass complete to Zach Grant for 9 yds to the Illin 44

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn, broken up by D'Montre Wade

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +5.30

Kendrick Foster run for 56 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Ryan Frain kickoff for 65 yds , Mareio McGraw return for 16 yds to the MurrS 16

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Demetric Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the MurrS 13

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 13Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Connor Mitchell kickoff for 38 yds , Caleb Day return for 8 yds to the Illin 35

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 32 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

2nd & 13Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.13

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 11 yds to the Illin 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Illin 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Malik Golson at the MurrS 16

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Demetric Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 14

2nd & 12Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.69

Kd Humphries pass complete to Jordon Gandy for 29 yds to the MurrS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Jordon Gandy

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kd Humphries pass incomplete to Jesse Blackburn

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Kd Humphries pass complete to Demetric Johnson for 6 yds to the MurrS 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Landon Stratton punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Illin 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Wes Lunt pass complete to Sam Mays for 8 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Illin 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.48

Wes Lunt pass complete to Sam Mays for 19 yds to the MurrS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Caleb Reams

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.85

Wes Lunt pass complete to Andrew Davis for 12 yds to the MurrS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.82

Wes Lunt sacked by Jonathan Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the MurrS 47

2nd & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 6 yds to the MurrS 41

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.35

Wes Lunt pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 11 yds to the MurrS 30

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +4.28

Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 30 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Kd Humphries sacked by Carroll Phillips for a loss of 9 yards to the MurrS 16

2nd & 19Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.08

Kd Humphries sacked by Gimel President for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 15

3rd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.02

Kd Humphries run for 1 yd to the MurrS 16

4th & 19Punt+58 yds

Landon Stratton punt for 48 yds , Darius Mosely returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 15 ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal block (Darwyn Kelly) to the Illin 25

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Reggie Corbin run for 11 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.67

Reggie Corbin run for 19 yds to the MurrS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +0.94

Reggie Corbin run for 32 yds to the MurrS 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 18

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the MurrS 16

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Caleb Reams

3rd & 13Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.25

Chayce Crouch run for 14 yds to the MurrS 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the MurrS 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.33

Cameron Birse pass complete to Mitch Stults for 13 yds to the MurrS 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cameron Birse pass complete to Tyre Gray for 5 yds to the MurrS 19

2nd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.65

Cameron Birse sacked by Gimel President for a loss of 4 yards to the MurrS 15

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Cameron Birse pass incomplete to Tyre Gray

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Landon Stratton punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Tre Nation run for 12 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tre Nation run for 5 yds to the MurrS 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Chayce Crouch pass complete to Austin Roberts for 2 yds to the MurrS 46

3rd & 3Penalty+10 yds

Crouch,Chayce pass complete to Davis,Andrew for 8 yards to the MUR38 (WILLARD, Greg), PENALTY MUR holding (PAIGE, Marico) 10 yards to the MUR36, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Tre Nation run for 1 yd to the MurrS 35

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tre Nation run for 5 yds to the MurrS 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Caleb Reams

4th & 4Field Goal Good+48 ydsPPA +0.40

Chase McLaughlin 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Trae Gordon run for 2 yds to the MurrS 27

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

HARTZ, Houston pass incomplete to GOLSON, Malik, PENALTY ILL personal foul (Nelson,Patrick) 15 yards to the MUR42, 1ST DOWN MUR, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Trae Gordon run for no gain to the MurrS 42

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Houston Hartz run for 6 yds to the MurrS 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.59

Houston Hartz pass complete to Trae Gordon for a loss of 6 yards to the MurrS 42

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Landon Stratton punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Tre Nation run for 3 yds to the Illin 22

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.81

Tre Nation run for 17 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tre Nation run for 4 yds to the Illin 43

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tre Nation run for no gain to the Illin 43

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Illin 48

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Frain punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Mareio McGraw run for 3 yds to the MurrS 23

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Mareio McGraw run for 3 yds to the MurrS 26

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-6 ydsPPA -0.19

TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the MurrS 4 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Illin Patrick Nelson

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 5

Situational Analysis

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
21%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
30%
10 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
40%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play