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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2016Week 11
TulsaTulsa
40
-Final
42
NavyNavy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 4.5

Home Win Probability

Navy 64%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 12, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TulsaTulsa
101071340
NavyNavy
141401442

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-1021-1028-1728-2035-2735-3342-40
NavyTulsa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTD343ydTD174ydPUNT715ydFG961ydTD375ydPUNT729ydTD1069ydTD575ydTD1378ydFG1166ydEND1-4ydTO1049ydDOWNS1242ydTD662ydTD973ydTD1073ydTD569ydTD872ydEND936yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tulsa and Navy
StatisticTulsaNavy
Passing16-276-8
Pass Yards369111
Rush Yards207390
Total Yards576501
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-149-14
Penalties3-355-35
Possession22:3537:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tulsa
passing
Dane Evans
16/27, 369 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
James Flanders
19 CAR, 89 YDS
receiving
Justin Hobbs
5 REC, 123 YDS
defense
Navy
passing
Will Worth
6/8, 111 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Will Worth
26 CAR, 122 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Jamir Tillman
2 REC, 56 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TULSA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Tulsa 38

1st & 5Rush+31 ydsPPA +0.19

Dishan Romine run for 31 yds to the Tulsa 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Shawn White run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Darryl Bonner run for 4 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +6.01

Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 74 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Darryl Bonner run for no gain to the Navy 25

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Shawn White run for 6 yds to the Navy 31

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Shawn White run for 3 yds to the Navy 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Will Worth run for 3 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the Navy 38

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Shawn White run for 2 yds to the Navy 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Will Worth pass complete to Dishan Romine for 5 yds to the Navy 45

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Jamir Tillman) to the Navy 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alex Barta punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulsa 27

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

James Flanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 25

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.94

Dane Evans pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 11 yds to the Tulsa 36

3rd & 1Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.24

James Flanders run for 38 yds to the Navy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

James Flanders run for 8 yds to the Navy 18

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.30

Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 5 yds to the Navy 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

James Flanders run for 1 yd to the Navy 12

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

James Flanders run for no gain to the Navy 12

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Dane Evans pass incomplete to James Flanders

4th & 9Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.45

Redford Jones 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 32 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 41

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.86

Dishan Romine run for 41 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.37

James Flanders run for 14 yds to the Tulsa 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

James Flanders run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 18

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

James Flanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 16

3rd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.28

Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 22 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Dane Evans pass complete to Keevan Lucas for 1 yd to the Tulsa 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Dane Evans pass incomplete to Justin Hobbs, broken up by Tyris Wooten

3rd & 9Penalty-15 yds

EVANS, D. pass complete to LUCAS, K. for 12 yards to the NAVY49 (THOMASSON, D), PENALTY TLS face mask (WRIGHT, W.) 15 yards to the TLS24, NO PLAY.

3rd & 24Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Dane Evans run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 30

4th & 18Punt+10 yds

Dalton Parks punt for 49 yds , Craig Scott returns for 10 yds to the Navy 31

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Will Worth run for 9 yds to the Navy 40

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Will Worth pass complete to Tyler Carmona for 11 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Myles Swain run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 45

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Shawn White run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Will Worth run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 40 Will Worth fumbled, recovered by Navy Will Worth

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Shawn White run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 37

3rd & 11Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.33

Toneo Gulley run for 22 yds to the Tulsa 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Shawn White run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 12

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.72

Will Worth run for 11 yds to the Tulsa 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Will Worth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dane Evans pass incomplete to Justin Hobbs

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 12 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 44

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.92

Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 56 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.09

Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 24 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.93

Dishan Romine run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Shawn White run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 41

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 39

3rd & 5Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.71

Will Worth run for 20 yds to the Tulsa 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dishan Romine run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 14

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Shawn White run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 12

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Joshua Walker run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 10

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.55

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Will Worth sacked by Kolton Shindelar for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 12

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Will Worth run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 6

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Andrew Wood) to the Tulsa 11

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.15

Will Worth pass complete to Tyler Carmona for 11 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.30

Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 25 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.86

D'Angelo Brewer run for 22 yds to the Navy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd to the Navy 23

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

D'Angelo Brewer run for 7 yds to the Navy 16

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.23

D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the Navy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Dane Evans pass incomplete to Justin Hobbs, broken up by Tyris Wooten

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Navy 9

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan Lucas

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.66

Redford Jones 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Will Worth sacked by Jeremy Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 38

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Keevan Lucas run for 15 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

James Flanders run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 47

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 49

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan Lucas, broken up by Alohi Gilman

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

James Flanders run for 6 yds to the Navy 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keevan Lucas

4th & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.92

Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 17 yds to the Navy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.28

Dane Evans pass intercepted, touchback. Tyris Wooten return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Shawn White run for 7 yds to the Navy 27

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the Navy 28

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Will Worth run for 3 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Darryl Bonner run for 3 yds to the Navy 34

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Shawn White run for 6 yds to the Navy 40

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.99

Shawn White run for 1 yd to the Navy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Will Worth pass incomplete to Jamir Tillman

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Myles Swain run for 14 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 41

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 39

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Shawn White run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 36

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -2.44

Will Worth run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 38

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.34

D'Angelo Brewer run for 15 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

D'Angelo Brewer run for 9 yds to the Navy 38

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the Navy 33

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Navy 31

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.67

Dane Evans pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 31 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Will Worth pass incomplete to Jamir Tillman

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.75

Toneo Gulley run for 11 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.60

Toneo Gulley run for 19 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 39

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Myles Swain run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 34

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

WORTH, Will rush for 2 yards to the TLS32 (BARROW, W.), PENALTY NAVY holding 10 yards to the TLS44, NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

WORTH, Will pass complete to CARMONA, Tyler for 12 yards to the TLS32 (BARROW, W.;SUITS, C.), PENALTY NAVY ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TLS49, NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.81

Will Worth pass complete to Darryl Bonner for 28 yds to the Tulsa 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Dishan Romine run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 14

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Will Worth run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 15

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.88

Will Worth run for 15 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Keevan Lucas run for 15 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dane Evans pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 5 yds to the Tulsa 47

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

James Flanders run for 6 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Navy 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Dane Evans pass incomplete to Josh Atkinson

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Dane Evans pass incomplete to Josh Atkinson, broken up by Jarid Ryan

4th & 8Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +5.29

Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 44 yds to the Navy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

James Flanders run for no gain to the Navy 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

James Flanders run for no gain to the Navy 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Dane Evans 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Shawn White run for 1 yd to the Navy 32

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Toneo Gulley run for 4 yds to the Navy 36

3rd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.97

Toneo Gulley run for 19 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 44

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +4.25

Will Worth run for 44 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.09

Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 15 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.30

Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 20 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Navy 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Dane Evans pass incomplete to Justin Hobbs

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.48

Dane Evans pass complete to Josh Atkinson for 9 yds to the Navy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

James Flanders run for 2 yds to the Navy 22

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.92

Dane Evans pass complete to Chris Minter for 22 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Shawn White run for 4 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Shawn White run for 4 yds to the Navy 33

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.54

Dishan Romine run for 7 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the Navy 41

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Myles Swain run for no gain to the Navy 41

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Jamir Tillman run for 8 yds to the Navy 49

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.11

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

TULSA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jesse Brubaker) to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 37

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 39

Situational Analysis

Tulsa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
27 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
31%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
25%
28 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
64%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
75%
4 plays