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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

East Carolina by 1.8

Home Win Probability

East Carolina 56%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 3, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western Carolina
07007
East CarolinaEast Carolina
102121052

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-010-017-024-738-745-752-7
East CarolinaWestern Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WCECWCECWCECWCECWCECWCECWCECWCWCECWCECWCECWCECWCTO1167ydTD989ydPUNT534ydFG855ydPUNT634ydTD680ydPUNT34ydPUNT34ydTD432ydTD973ydPUNT618ydTD779ydEND39ydTD676ydPUNT34ydPUNT639ydTD593ydPUNT620ydTD465ydPUNT42ydMISS1357ydPUNT732ydPUNT37ydEND19yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Carolina and East Carolina
StatisticWestern CarolinaEast Carolina
Passing13-2729-33
Pass Yards172413
Rush Yards148275
Total Yards320688
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-1810-14
Penalties5-313-25
Possession28:1131:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Carolina
passing
Tyrie Adams
12/24, 167 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tyrie Adams
11 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Terryon Robinson
4 REC, 83 YDS
defense
East Carolina
passing
Philip Nelson
28/32, 398 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Anthony Scott
11 CAR, 120 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Zay Jones
10 REC, 180 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.84

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Michael Helms for 21 yds to the WCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Steffon Hill for 11 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 7 yds to the ECaro 38

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.44

Tyrie Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 11 yds to the ECaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyrie Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 30

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Tanner Poindexter) to the ECaro 35

2nd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Tyrie Adams run for 8 yds to the ECaro 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.19

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Steffon Hill for 16 yds to the ECaro 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyrie Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 14

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 4 yds to the ECaro 10

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return-7 ydsPPA -3.97

Tyrie Adams pass intercepted Travon Simmons return for 7 yds to the ECaro 11

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 10

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 7 yds to the ECaro 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.19

Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 33 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Stephen Baggett

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Anthony Scott run for 9 yds to the WCaro 41

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

James Summers run for 3 yds to the WCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.37

James Summers run for 12 yds to the WCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.52

Anthony Scott run for 19 yds to the WCaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Philip Nelson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyrie Adams run for 9 yds to the WCaro 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.06

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 17 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Detrez Newsome run for 3 yds to the ECaro 46

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Detrez Newsome run for 5 yds to the ECaro 41

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tyrie Adams run for no gain to the ECaro 41

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ian Berryman punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Anthony Scott run for 4 yds to the ECaro 24

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

James Summers run for 3 yds to the ECaro 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.50

Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 33 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 12 yds to the WCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 5 yds to the WCaro 24

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Philip Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 25

4th & 7Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +0.30

Davis Plowman 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Detrez Newsome run for 2 yds to the WCaro 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.47

Tyrie Adams run for 12 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (DaShaun Amos) to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Steffon Hill, broken up by DaShaun Amos

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Steffon Hill

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tyrie Adams run for 5 yds to the ECaro 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ian Berryman punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

James Summers run for 8 yds to the ECaro 28

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Anthony Scott run for 10 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +2.34

James Summers run for 42 yds to the WCaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 13 yds to the WCaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the WCaro 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 4 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Corey Holloway run for 2 yds to the ECaro 48

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Corey Holloway run for 2 yds to the ECaro 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Terryon Robinson

4th & 6Punt+1 yds

Ian Berryman punt for 36 yds , Quay Johnson returns for 1 yd to the ECaro 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Philip Nelson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 8 yds to the ECaro 19

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

James Summers run for 1 yd to the ECaro 20

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 15

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Worth Gregory punt for 17 yds, downed at the ECaro 32

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Tyrie Adams run for 9 yds to the ECaro 23

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.38

Detrez Newsome run for 10 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Detrez Newsome run for 13 yds for a TD, (Christian Stewart KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Philip Nelson run for 1 yd to the ECaro 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Philip Nelson pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 8 yds to the ECaro 36

3rd & 1Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.61

Philip Nelson pass complete to Stephen Baggett for 21 yds to the WCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Jimmy Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 3 yds to the WCaro 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.36

Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 32 yds to the WCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Quay Johnson run for 3 yds to the WCaro 5

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Anthony Scott run for no gain to the WCaro 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 5 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Detrez Newsome run for 2 yds to the WCaro 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete, broken up by Demetri McGill

3rd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Tyrie Adams run for 13 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Detrez Newsome run for 1 yd to the WCaro 41

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Detrez Newsome run for 1 yd to the WCaro 42

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyrie Adams run for 1 yd to the WCaro 43

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ian Berryman punt for 36 yds, downed at the ECaro 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.48

Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 18 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 6 yds to the ECaro 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.77

Philip Nelson pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 7 yds to the WCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.04

Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 26 yds to the WCaro 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 1 yd to the WCaro 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Quay Johnson

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.44

Zay Jones 21 Yd pass from Philip Nelson (Davis Plowman Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Detrez Newsome run for 4 yds to the WCaro 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Detrez Newsome run for 5 yds to the WCaro 34

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 9 yds to the ECaro 33

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

James Summers run for 12 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Anthony Scott run for 10 yds to the WCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.69

Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 16 yds to the WCaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 11 yds to the WCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 18 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Corey Holloway run for 7 yds to the WCaro 31

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Corey Holloway run for 2 yds to the WCaro 33

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Nathan Dalton) to the WCaro 28

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty0 yds

Ian Berryman punt 51 yards to the ECU21, JOHNSON, Quay return to the ECU42 (Chris Seaborn), PENALTY ECU illegal block off-setting, PENALTY WCU face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.

4th & 6Blocked Punt0 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Devaris Brunson blocked by Devaris Brunson Jordan Williams return for no gain to the WCaro 27 Jordan Williams fumbled, recovered by WCaro Avery Worsham

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.17

Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 5 yards to the WCaro 22

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.46

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 48 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Fred Payne for 2 yds to the ECaro 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Terryon Robinson

3rd & 8Penalty-6 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-6 Yards) to the ECaro 34

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete, broken up by Dayon Pratt

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ian Berryman punt for 27 yds, downed at the ECaro 7

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Anthony Scott run for 6 yds to the ECaro 13

2nd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.44

Philip Nelson pass complete to Stephen Baggett for 22 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Quay Johnson run for 4 yds to the ECaro 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.56

Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 30 yds to the WCaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 31 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Detrez Newsome run for 5 yds to the WCaro 6

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Detrez Newsome run for 3 yds to the WCaro 9

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.31

Detrez Newsome run for 3 yds to the WCaro 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 10

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Michael Helms for 11 yds to the WCaro 21

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Detrez Newsome run for no gain to the WCaro 21

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ian Berryman punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

James Summers run for 6 yds to the ECaro 41

2nd & 4Rush+48 ydsPPA +2.32

Anthony Scott run for 48 yds to the WCaro 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Anthony Scott run for 8 yds to the WCaro 3

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.08

Anthony Scott run for 3 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.39

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Steffon Hill for 15 yds to the WCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Walker Lanning) to the WCaro 38

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Corey Holloway run for no gain to the WCaro 38

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Steffon Hill for 4 yds to the WCaro 42

3rd & 11Penalty-10 yds

Tyrie Adams rush for 13 yards to the ECU45 (FULP, Bobby), PENALTY WCU holding 10 yards to the WCU32, NO PLAY.

3rd & 21Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.11

Connell Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 30

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Ian Berryman punt for 49 yds, downed at the ECaro 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devin Anderson run for 5 yds to the ECaro 26

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Devin Anderson run for 2 yds to the ECaro 28

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

James Summers run for 3 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Devin Anderson run for 3 yds to the ECaro 34

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

James Summers run for 5 yds to the ECaro 39

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.79

James Summers pass complete to Devin Anderson for 15 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Devin Anderson run for 5 yds to the WCaro 46

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Devin Anderson run for 3 yds to the WCaro 43

3rd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Devin Anderson run for 16 yds to the WCaro 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Devin Anderson run for 7 yds to the WCaro 20

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Devin Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 23

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Devin Anderson run for 1 yd to the WCaro 22

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Davis Plowman 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Corey Holloway run for 2 yds to the WCaro 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Wes Holcombe pass complete to Jacob Robinson for 5 yds to the WCaro 29

3rd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.14

Wes Holcombe run for 14 yds to the WCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Corey Holloway run for 10 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Connell Young run for 1 yd to the ECaro 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Wes Holcombe pass incomplete to Jacob Robinson

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Wes Holcombe pass incomplete to Jacob Robinson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Destry Barnwell punt for 36 yds, downed at the ECaro 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Hussein Howe run for 4 yds to the ECaro 14

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the ECaro 17

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Hussein Howe run for no gain to the ECaro 17

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Worth Gregory punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Wes Holcombe run for 9 yds to the WCaro 48

Situational Analysis

Western Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
30%
10 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
63%
35 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play