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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2016Week 12
MiamiMiami
27
-Final
13
NC StateNC State
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami by 0.5

Home Win Probability

NC State 48%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 19, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MiamiMiami
30141027
NC StateNC State
037313

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-33-33-1010-1713-2013-27
NC StateMiami

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSMIANSMIANSMIANSMIANSMIANSMIANSMIANSMIANSMIAMIANSMIANSMIAPUNT39ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT34ydFG1267ydPUNT922ydPUNT927ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT46ydPUNT928ydPUNT34ydFG963ydMISS1174ydEND12ydTD375ydTO864ydTD780ydTD1470ydPUNT416ydFG711ydFG1266ydTD765ydDOWNS40ydEND3-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami and NC State
StatisticMiamiNC State
Passing22-3820-44
Pass Yards286210
Rush Yards129119
Total Yards415329
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-145-17
Penalties6-454-51
Possession28:3331:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami
passing
Brad Kaaya
22/38, 286 YDS
rushing
Mark Walton
19 CAR, 120 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Ahmmon Richards
9 REC, 117 YDS
defense
Jamal Carter
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
NC State
passing
Ryan Finley
20/44, 210 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Matthew Dayes
20 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Stephen Louis
5 REC, 70 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds to the NCSt 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ryan Finley pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 4 yds to the NCSt 37

4th & 1Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.47

Mark Walton run for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaFl 17

3rd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 4 yds to the MiaFl 21

4th & 12Punt+31 yds

Justin Vogel punt for 53 yds , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for 31 yds to the MiaFl 43

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Matthew Dayes run for no gain to the MiaFl 43

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Matthew Dayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 44

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the MiaFl 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Nyheim Hines, broken up by Corn Elder

4th & 6Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Mark Walton run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.41

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 12 yds to the MiaFl 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 17 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 6 yds to the NCSt 46

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 49

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Mark Walton run for 2 yds to the NCSt 49

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.35

Mark Walton run for 9 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 2 yds to the NCSt 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.03

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 18 yds to the NCSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brad Kaaya run for 5 yds to the NCSt 15

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Mark Walton run for 2 yds to the NCSt 13

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.80

Michael Badgley 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 4 yds to the NCSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds to the NCSt 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Matthew Dayes run for no gain to the NCSt 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Ryan Finley run for 3 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the NCSt 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 9 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Matthew Dayes run for no gain to the NCSt 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Matthew Dayes

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Malcolm Lewis for 9 yds to the MiaFl 32

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.89

Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Gus Edwards run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to David Njoku

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.62

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 11 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Malcolm Lewis for 9 yds to the NCSt 45

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Justin Vogel punt for 38 yds, downed at the NCSt 12

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 11

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Nyheim Hines, broken up by Rayshawn Jenkins

3rd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.06

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for no gain to the NCSt 11

4th & 11Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 15 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to David Njoku, broken up by Josh Jones

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Mark Walton run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 41

3rd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.77

Brad Kaaya sacked by Bradley Chubb for a loss of 8 yards to the NCSt 49 MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Justin Vogel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Bra'Lon Cherry at the NCSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 5 yds to the NCSt 20

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Matthew Dayes run for 9 yds to the NCSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Bra'Lon Cherry

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Nyheim Hines

4th & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.49

Brady Bodine run for 11 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ryan Finley pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 3 yds to the NCSt 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jaylen Samuels, broken up by Rayshawn Jenkins

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jaylen Samuels

4th & 7Punt+5 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 43 yds , Braxton Berrios returns for 5 yds to the MiaFl 19

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.91

Brad Kaaya sacked by Darian Roseboro for a loss of 11 yards to the MiaFl 8

2nd & 21Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Joseph Yearby run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 10

3rd & 19Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.14

Joseph Yearby run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 23

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Justin Vogel punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Bra'Lon Cherry at the NCSt 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 6 yds to the NCSt 25

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.83

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 39 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Ryan Finley run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 27

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.39

Matthew Dayes run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 3 yds to the MiaFl 18

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.24

Connor Haskins 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Mark Walton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.48

Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 23 yds to the MiaFl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 16 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 10 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Mark Walton run for 7 yds to the NCSt 24

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.56

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 12 yds to the NCSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Ahmmon Richards, broken up by Mike Stevens

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Mark Walton run for 6 yds to the NCSt 6

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to David Njoku

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+23 yds

Michael Badgley 23 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 22

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Mark Walton for 19 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, roughing passer (Kentavius Street) to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 11 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Mark Walton run for 30 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 14 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.10

Matthew Dayes run for 23 yds to the MiaFl 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Thaddeus Moss

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Bra'Lon Cherry, broken up by Rayshawn Jenkins

3rd & 10Penalty+14 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Rayshawn Jenkins) to the MiaFl 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 12

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 11

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.99

Ryan Finley pass intercepted, touchback. Malek Young return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Mark Walton run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 22

2nd & 8Penalty-11 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, face mask (11 yards) (-11 Yards) to the MiaFl 11

2nd & 19Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.62

Mark Walton run for 19 yds to the MiaFl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 7 yds to the MiaFl 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 10 yds to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +2.88

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 51 yds to the NCSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Gus Edwards run for 1 yd to the NCSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Mark Walton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Stephen Louis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 7 yds to the NCSt 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.89

Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 8 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jaylen Samuels

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.39

Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 18 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 8 yds to the MiaFl 28

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.30

Ryan Finley run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Jaylen Samuels run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 18

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.12

Matthew Dayes run for 11 yds to the MiaFl 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jaylen Samuels run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Bra'Lon Cherry, broken up by Jamal Carter Sr.

4th & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Matthew Dayes run for 3 yds for a TD, (Connor Haskins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.06

Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 13 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 3 yds to the MiaFl 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to David Njoku

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Stacy Coley

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Justin Vogel punt for 45 yds , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for no gain to the NCSt 16 Bra'Lon Cherry fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Jaquan Johnson

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Mark Walton run for 8 yds to the NCSt 8

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Mark Walton run for no gain to the NCSt 8

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.73

Mark Walton run for 3 yds to the NCSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to David Njoku

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Mark Walton run for no gain to the NCSt 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Christopher Herndon IV, broken up by Nick McCloud

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -0.95

Michael Badgley 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Ryan Finley run for 10 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.95

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 23 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 7 yds to the MiaFl 35

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Matthew Dayes run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.67

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 14 yds to the MiaFl 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jaylen Samuels

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Ryan Finley pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 8 yds to the MiaFl 16

3rd & 2Penalty-16 yds

NC STATE Penalty, clipping (Clark Eyers) to the MiaFl 32

3rd & 18Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.69

Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 19 yds to the MiaFl 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Matthew Dayes run for no gain to the MiaFl 13

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Matthew Dayes run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 5

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 4

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, false start (Thaddeus Moss) to the MiaFl 9

4th & 6Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.77

Connor Haskins 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 8 yds to the MiaFl 43

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Gus Edwards run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, delay of game (Brad Kaaya) to the MiaFl 43

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Gus Edwards run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 46

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Ahmmon Richards, broken up by Mike Stevens

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jack Tocho) to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Mark Walton run for 11 yds to the NCSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Mark Walton run for 4 yds to the NCSt 24

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.81

Mark Walton run for 24 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Nyheim Hines

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Bra'Lon Cherry

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Bra'Lon Cherry

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.29

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Stephen Louis

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 27

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 28

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 29

Situational Analysis

Miami

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
57%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
29 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
43%
14 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays