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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2016Week 12
DukeDuke
14
-Final
56
PittsburghPittsburgh
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Pittsburgh by 8.5

Home Win Probability

Pittsburgh 75%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 19, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
DukeDuke
770014
PittsburghPittsburgh
1414141456

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-721-728-1442-1456-14
PittsburghDuke

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DUKPITDUKPITDUKPITDUKPITDUKPITDUKPITPITDUKPITDUKDUKPITDUKPITDUKPITDUKPITTO14ydTD317ydTD559ydTD864ydPUNT617ydPUNT527ydPUNT612ydTD256ydPUNT36ydPUNT31ydPUNT936ydTD311ydTD675ydMISS1068ydTD571ydTD30ydPUNT38ydPUNT844ydDOWNS1646ydTD566ydTO00ydTD725ydPUNT727ydEND3-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Duke and Pittsburgh
StatisticDukePittsburgh
Passing28-4611-18
Pass Yards243237
Rush Yards25224
Total Yards268461
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-149-13
Penalties6-457-55
Possession30:3729:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Duke
passing
Daniel Jones
28/46, 243 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Quay Mann
3 CAR, 12 YDS
receiving
T.J. Rahming
10 REC, 116 YDS
defense
Alonzo Saxton II
1 TFL, 1 PD
Pittsburgh
passing
Nathan Peterman
11/18, 237 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
James Conner
14 CAR, 101 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jester Weah
2 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 4 yards to the DU25 (Terrish Webb), PENALTY UP offside defense (Rori Blair) 5 yards to the DU26, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -1.96

Shaun Wilson run for no gain to the Duke 17 Shaun Wilson fumbled, forced by Oluwaseun Idowu, recovered by Pitt Matt Galambos , return for 8 yds to the Duke 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

James Conner run for 4 yds to the Duke 13

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.62

James Conner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 16

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.22

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 16 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 10 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Daniel Jones pass complete to Quay Mann for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 49

2nd & 12Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.00

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 43 yds to the Pitt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Daniel Jones run for 2 yds to the Pitt 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 6 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Quadree Henderson for 4 yds to the Pitt 40

2nd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.17

James Conner run for 21 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Quadree Henderson run for 9 yds to the Duke 30

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.35

James Conner run for 1 yd to the Duke 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.23

Nathan Peterman pass complete to George Aston for 14 yds to the Duke 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.62

James Conner run for 14 yds to the Duke 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

James Conner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 5 yds to the Duke 33

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the Duke 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.71

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 6 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Daniel Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 5 yds to the Duke 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Danny Stirt punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Quadree Henderson at the Pitt 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Quadree Henderson run for 4 yds to the Pitt 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.34

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 23 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete, broken up by Alonzo Saxton II

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Darrin Hall run for no gain to the Pitt 46

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Dontez Ford

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Winslow punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 2 yds to the Duke 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for no gain to the Duke 24

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.65

Daniel Jones run for 9 yds to the Duke 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Daniel Jones sacked by Ejuan Price for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 32

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Shaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the Duke 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Chris Taylor, broken up by Ryan Lewis

4th & 9Punt+22 yds

Danny Stirt punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PITTSBURGH 39 DUKE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Pitt 48

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.53

Quadree Henderson run for 52 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Shaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the Duke 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Daniel Jones pass complete to Erich Schneider for 4 yds to the Duke 34

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Erich Schneider

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Danny Stirt punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Darrin Hall

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Nathan Peterman run for 1 yd to the Pitt 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Dontez Ford

4th & 9Punt+12 yds

Ryan Winslow punt for 48 yds , Ryan Smith returns for 12 yds to the PITTSBURGH 45 DUKE Penalty, Offensive holding (Alonzo Saxton II) to the Duke 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.91

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 17 yds to the Duke 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.36

Daniel Jones sacked by Ejuan Price for a loss of 8 yards to the Duke 20

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Shaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the Duke 25

3rd & 13Penalty+10 yds

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Chris Taylor, PENALTY UP pass interference (Dane Jackson) 10 yards to the DU35, 1ST DOWN DU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Daniel Jones pass complete to Aaron Young for 10 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Shaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the Duke 47

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.82

Daniel Jones run for 14 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Erich Schneider, broken up by Reggie Mitchell

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for no gain to the UP39 (Ryan Lewis), PENALTY DU illegal block (Zach Harmon) 15 yards to the DU46, NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.48

Daniel Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 43

3rd & 28Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 4 yds to the Duke 47

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Danny Stirt punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Quadree Henderson at the Pitt 21

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Maurice Ffrench run for 8 yds to the Pitt 29

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the Pitt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-36 ydsPPA -8.48

Nathan Peterman pass intercepted for a TD Bryon Fields return for 36 yds for a TD, (AJ Reed KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Quadree Henderson run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Quadree Henderson for 6 yds to the Pitt 33

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Nathan Peterman run for 8 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.96

Nathan Peterman sacked by Ben Humphreys for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 36

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Darrin Hall run for 8 yds to the Pitt 44

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +6.13

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Jester Weah for 56 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.66

Daniel Jones sacked by Saleem Brightwell for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 17

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 5 yds to the Duke 22

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Daniel Helm, PENALTY UP substitution infraction 5 yards to the DU27, NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.64

Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 11 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Daniel Helm

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.69

Daniel Jones pass complete to Davis Koppenhaver for 19 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 10 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming, broken up by Avonte Maddox

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Davis Koppenhaver

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.86

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 20 yds to the Pitt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+31 yds

AJ Reed 31 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Quadree Henderson rush for 4 yards to the UP33 (Ben Humphreys;A.J. Wolf), PENALTY DU offside defense (Marquies Price) 5 yards to the UP34, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.92

James Conner run for 23 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

James Conner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 45

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

James Conner run for 5 yds to the Duke 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.74

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Jester Weah for 39 yds to the Duke 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

James Conner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shaun Wilson run for no gain to the Duke 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming, broken up by Avonte Maddox

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Chris Taylor

4th & 10Punt+65 yds

Danny Stirt punt for 40 yds , Quadree Henderson returns for 65 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Shaun Wilson run for no gain to the Duke 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 6 yds to the Duke 33

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Daniel Jones run for 2 yds to the Duke 35

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Daniel Jones punt for 43 yds, downed at the Pitt 22

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

James Conner run for 9 yds to the Pitt 31

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

James Conner run for 6 yds to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

James Conner rush for 13 yards to the 50 yardline (Mark Gilbert), PENALTY UP holding (Alex Officer) 10 yards to the UP27, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 10 yds to the Pitt 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Nathan Peterman pass complete to George Aston for 9 yds to the Pitt 46

3rd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.05

James Conner run for 17 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

James Conner run for 4 yds to the Duke 33

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Nathan Peterman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 34

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Quadree Henderson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Winslow punt for 34 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Daniel Helm

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Quay Mann run for 9 yds to the Duke 29

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, false start (Zach Harmon) to the Duke 24

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Duke 19

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Daniel Jones pass complete to Erich Schneider for 10 yds to the Duke 29

4th & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.43

Daniel Jones pass complete to Erich Schneider for 3 yds to the Duke 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Quay Mann run for 4 yds to the Duke 36

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Daniel Helm, PENALTY UP offside defense (Shane Roy) 5 yards to the DU41, NO PLAY.

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Daniel Jones pass complete to Erich Schneider for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Chris Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.77

Daniel Jones pass complete to Davis Koppenhaver for 10 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 4 yds to the Pitt 36

2nd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.78

Daniel Jones sacked by Ryan Lewis for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 40

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Davis Koppenhaver

4th & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +3.25

Daniel Jones pass complete to Aaron Young for 11 yds to the Pitt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Chris Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Chris Taylor

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.98

Daniel Jones sacked by Quintin Wirginis for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 34

4th & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Davis Koppenhaver

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Maurice Ffrench run for 3 yds to the Pitt 37

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Quadree Henderson run for 6 yds to the Pitt 43

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (Brian O'Neill) to the Pitt 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.59

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Darrin Hall for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Darrin Hall run for 2 yds to the Duke 48

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +4.47

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 48 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Duke 22

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Duke 21

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Manny Stocker run for 8 yds to the Duke 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Duke 9

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Manny Stocker run for 1 yd to the Duke 8

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Maurice Ffrench run for 6 yds to the Duke 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 3 yds to the Duke 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.01

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 7 yds to the Duke 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Daniel Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 30

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 5 yds to the Duke 35

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Chris Taylor (Dane Jackson), PENALTY UP pass interference (Dane Jackson) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN DU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Quay Mann run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 49

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Davis Koppenhaver

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Davis Koppenhaver, broken up by Bam Bradley

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Danny Stirt punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Quadree Henderson at the Pitt 17

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 15

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.19

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 13

3rd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.06

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 11

Situational Analysis

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
19%
27 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
58%
12 plays
57%
7 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
24%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th