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← Back to GamesNov 13, 2016Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 16.8

Home Win Probability

Louisville 89%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 13, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Wake ForestWake Forest
660012
LouisvilleLouisville
0373444

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-60-90-123-1210-1216-1230-1244-12
LouisvilleWake Forest

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFWFLOUWFTO14ydFG820ydPUNT30ydFG934ydPUNT3-13ydTO425ydTO646ydFG1263ydTO20ydFG1032ydFG1166ydEND1-2ydPUNT318ydPUNT418ydDOWNS614ydTD263ydPUNT312ydMISS557ydPUNT618ydPUNT528ydPUNT31ydTD965ydPUNT33ydTD443ydPUNT3-14ydTD637ydTD20ydPUNT34ydTD452ydEND11yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wake Forest and Louisville
StatisticWake ForestLouisville
Passing13-2414-26
Pass Yards141145
Rush Yards73346
Total Yards214491
Turnovers23
3rd Down5-185-12
Penalties4-254-55
Possession38:1621:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wake Forest
passing
John Wolford
13/22, 141 YDS
rushing
Cade Carney
17 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Cortez Lewis
4 REC, 41 YDS
defense
Louisville
passing
Lamar Jackson
14/26, 145 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Lamar Jackson
22 CAR, 153 YDS
receiving
Traveon Samuel
2 REC, 42 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -1.76

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 4 yds Jaylen Smith fumbled, forced by Brad Watson, recovered by WFrst Wendell Dunn

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the Lvile 37

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the Lvile 34

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

John Wolford run for 3 yds to the Lvile 31

4th & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.69

Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Zykiesis Cannon) to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the Lvile 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex Bachman

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.52

John Wolford sacked by DeAngelo Brown and Drew Bailey for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 19

4th & 15Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA +0.64

Mike Weaver 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari Staples

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Brandon Radcliff run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26

3rd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.21

Lamar Jackson sacked by Chris Stewart for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 25

4th & 10Punt+6 yds

Mason King punt for 42 yds , Jessie Bates III returns for 6 yds to the WFrst 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 42

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.52

Cade Carney run for 9 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.86

John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 16 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Cade Carney run for 10 yds to the Lvile 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cade Carney run for 4 yds to the Lvile 15

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (Ryan Anderson) to the Lvile 20

2nd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.69

John Wolford sacked by James Hearns for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 27

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam Serigne

4th & 18Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +1.73

Mike Weaver 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Lamar Jackson sacked by Marquel Lee for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 20

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Lamar Jackson run for 1 yd to the Lvile 21

3rd & 14Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.13

Lamar Jackson sacked by Duke Ejiofor for a loss of 9 yards to the Lvile 12

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates III at the WFrst 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.17

John Wolford pass complete to Matt Colburn for 15 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (Ryan Anderson) to the Lvile 47

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

John Wolford run for 1 yd to the Lvile 46

2nd & 14Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.30

John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 17 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -4.21

Cade Carney run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 32 Cade Carney fumbled, forced by DeAngelo Brown, recovered by Lvile Keith Kelsey

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 7 yds to the Lvile 39

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Lamar Jackson run for 6 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Brandon Radcliff run for 6 yds to the WFrst 49

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.84

Brandon Radcliff run for 12 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.43

Lamar Jackson run for 17 yds to the WFrst 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -4.38

Brandon Radcliff run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 22 Brandon Radcliff fumbled, recovered by WFrst Josh Okonye

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Matt Colburn run for 6 yds to the WFrst 28

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Matt Colburn run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 27

3rd & 5Rush+25 ydsPPA +3.16

John Wolford run for 25 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the Lvile 47

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.62

Matt Colburn run for 14 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Matt Colburn run for no gain to the Lvile 33

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Matt Colburn run for no gain to the Lvile 33

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.80

John Wolford pass complete to Tyler Bell for 15 yds to the Lvile 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Matt Colburn run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 21

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the Lvile 18

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyler Bell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 15

4th & 7Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.42

Mike Weaver 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to James Quick

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+25 ydsPPA -0.30

Lamar Jackson run for 25 yds to the WFrst 48 Lamar Jackson fumbled, forced by Jessie Bates III, recovered by WFrst Amari Henderson

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Wolford, John rush for 21 yards to the LOUISVILLE31, PENALTY WAKEFOREST holding (Osterhage, Patrick) 10 yards to the WAKEFOREST38, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the WFrst 40

2nd & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 8 yds to the WFrst 48

3rd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.08

John Wolford run for 15 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Cade Carney run for no gain to the Lvile 37

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.05

John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 11 yds to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the Lvile 25

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

John Wolford run for 5 yds to the Lvile 20

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex Bachman

4th & 4Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.37

Mike Weaver 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.75

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 20 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Lamar Jackson run for 5 yds to the Lvile 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari Staples

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.50

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jeremy Smith for 15 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.77

Lamar Jackson sacked by Willie Yarbary for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 42

2nd & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.78

Lamar Jackson run for 14 yds to the WFrst 28

3rd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.52

Lamar Jackson run for 17 yds to the WFrst 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.29

Lamar Jackson run for no gain to the WFrst 11 Lamar Jackson fumbled, recovered by Lvile Lamar Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari Staples

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari Staples

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.43

Blanton Creque 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 39

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Wolford, John pass incomplete to Lewis, Cortez, PENALTY LOUISVILLE pass interference (Alexander, Jaire) 15 yards to the WAKEFOREST44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WAKEFOREST.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the WFrst 46

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 49

3rd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.18

John Wolford sacked by Devonte Fields for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 47

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Dom Maggio punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaire Alexander at the Lvile 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Cole Hikutini for 11 yds to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Brandon Radcliff run for 1 yd to the Lvile 27

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Lamar Jackson run for 6 yds to the Lvile 33

4th & 3Punt+29 yds

Mason King punt for 47 yds , Jessie Bates III returns for 29 yds to the WFrst 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 9 yds to the Lvile 42

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.29

Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.86

Tabari Hines run for a loss of 10 yards to the Lvile 48

2nd & 20Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.81

John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 49

3rd & 21Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 12 yds to the Lvile 37

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.33

John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty Washington

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Lamar Jackson run for 8 yds to the Lvile 45

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.01

Brandon Radcliff run for 55 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Wolford, John pass incomplete, PENALTY LOUISVILLE holding 10 yards to the WAKEFOREST43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WAKEFOREST.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 44

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Cade Carney run for 1 yd to the WFrst 45

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

John Wolford pass incomplete to Chuck Wade

4th & 8Punt+5 yds

Dom Maggio punt for 43 yds , Jaire Alexander returns for 5 yds to the Lvile 17

1st & 10Rush+55 ydsPPA +3.77

Lamar Jackson run for 55 yds to the WFrst 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari Staples

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Lamar Jackson run for 2 yds to the WFrst 26

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Blanton Creque 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

John Wolford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Cade Carney run for 5 yds to the WFrst 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.13

John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 11 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.24

John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Dom Maggio punt for 45 yds, downed at the Lvile 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari Staples

2nd & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.18

Brandon Radcliff run for 27 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Lamar Jackson run for 1 yd to the Lvile 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari Staples

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates III at the WFrst 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 30

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

John Wolford run for no gain to the WFrst 30

3rd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.30

John Wolford sacked by James Hearns for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 29

4th & 9Punt+6 yds

Dom Maggio punt for 42 yds , Jaire Alexander returns for 6 yds to the Lvile 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jamari Staples for 7 yds to the Lvile 42

2nd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.98

Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.33

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 22 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jamari Staples for 4 yds to the WFrst 36

2nd & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.12

Lamar Jackson sacked by Willie Yarbary for a loss of 11 yards to the WFrst 47

3rd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.62

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Cole Hikutini for 13 yds to the WFrst 34

4th & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.13

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Reggie Bonnafon for 12 yds to the WFrst 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.45

Brandon Radcliff run for 15 yds to the WFrst 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Brandon Radcliff run for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.32

John Wolford sacked by DeAngelo Brown for a loss of 10 yards to the WFrst 30

2nd & 20Penalty-5 yds

WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 25

2nd & 25Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.07

John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 18 yds to the WFrst 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex Bachman

4th & 7Blocked Punt0 yds

Dom Maggio punt blocked by Devante Peete blocked by Devante Peete

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.63

Lamar Jackson run for 17 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jamari Staples for 7 yds to the WFrst 19

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brandon Radcliff run for no gain to the WFrst 19

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.91

Brandon Radcliff run for 19 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.24

John Wolford sacked by Devonte Fields for a loss of 11 yards to the WFrst 14

2nd & 21Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.19

John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 11 yds to the WFrst 25

3rd & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.27

John Wolford sacked by Devonte Fields for a loss of 14 yards to the WFrst 11

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Dom Maggio punt for 26 yds, downed at the WFrst 37

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.35

Lamar Jackson run for 12 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 11 yds to the WFrst 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Lamar Jackson run for 2 yds to the WFrst 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.83

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jamari Staples for 10 yds to the WFrst 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Cole Hikutini for 2 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Kyle Kearns pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception Return Touchdown-31 ydsPPA -7.30

Kyle Kearns pass intercepted for a TD Ronald Walker return for 31 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Rocky Reid run for 4 yds to the WFrst 25

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Rocky Reid run for no gain to the WFrst 25

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Rocky Reid run for no gain to the WFrst 25

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Dom Maggio punt for 27 yds, downed at the Lvile 48

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.34

Jeremy Smith run for 29 yds to the WFrst 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Jeremy Smith run for 8 yds to the WFrst 15

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Malik Williams run for 13 yds to the WFrst 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Malik Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Rocky Reid run for 1 yd to the WFrst 28

Situational Analysis

Wake Forest

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
15%
27 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
31%
13 plays
57%
7 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
57%
30 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
13%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play