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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2016Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 10.1

Home Win Probability

Boston College 22%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 5, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
211714052
Boston CollegeBoston College
00707

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-140-280-350-387-457-52
Boston CollegeLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCLOUBCBCLOUBCTD375ydPUNT610ydTD578ydPUNT64ydPUNT35ydPUNT38ydTD488ydDOWNS33ydTD110ydDOWNS938ydTD971ydTO10ydTO33ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-4ydTO1-12ydFG519ydEND1-2ydPUNT32ydTO21ydTD242ydTD877ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT30ydPUNT30ydTD362ydPUNT632ydMISS1265ydTO38ydDOWNS46ydPUNT34ydEND529yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Boston College
StatisticLouisvilleBoston College
Passing19-2914-25
Pass Yards305150
Rush Yards21057
Total Yards515207
Turnovers33
3rd Down6-134-16
Penalties0-06-70
Possession28:3831:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Lamar Jackson
12/17, 231 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Lamar Jackson
15 CAR, 185 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Jaylen Smith
6 REC, 123 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Boston College
passing
Patrick Towles
13/21, 147 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Richard Wilson
8 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Charlie Callinan
4 REC, 54 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Reggie Bonnafon run for 5 yds to the Lvile 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Brandon Radcliff run for 1 yd to the Lvile 31

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +6.61

Lamar Jackson run for 69 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 26

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 23

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.83

Patrick Towles pass complete to Tyler Rouse for 11 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Patrick Towles run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 33

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Myles Willis run for no gain to the BC 33

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Patrick Towles pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 45 yds, downed at the Lvile 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jamari Staples for 11 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.62

Lamar Jackson run for 18 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.95

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 19 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 30 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Davon Jones

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jeff Smith run for no gain to the BC 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.31

Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 19 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jeff Smith run for no gain to the Lvile 46

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Aaron Monteiro) to the BC 39

2nd & 25Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.22

Patrick Towles pass complete to Ben Glines for no gain to the BC 39

3rd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Tommy Sweeney

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jaire Alexander at the Lvile 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Lamar Jackson run for 2 yds to the Lvile 17

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Lamar Jackson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 20

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jeremy Smith run for no gain to the Lvile 20

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Myles Willis at the BC 36

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Towles, Patrick pass incomplete to Smith, Thadd, PENALTY BOSTCOLL pass interference (Idrizi, Korab) 15 yards to the BOSTCOLL21, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.67

Myles Willis run for 13 yds to the BC 34

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.04

Patrick Towles pass complete to Davon Jones for 10 yds to the BC 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for no gain to the BC 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jaire Alexander at the Lvile 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Brandon Radcliff run for 3 yds to the Lvile 15

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Jackson, Lamar pass incomplete to Samuel, Traveon, PENALTY BOSTCOLL roughing passer (Ray, Wyatt) 15 yards to the LOUISVILLE30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LOUISVILLE.

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Brandon Radcliff for 17 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Lamar Jackson run for 9 yds to the BC 44

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +2.92

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 44 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Patrick Towles run for 3 yds to the BC 21

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Thadd Smith run for no gain to the BC 21

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA +0.10

Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 9 yds, fumble forced by Keith Kelsey, recovered by Lvile Stacy Thomas ,return for 20 yds to the BC 10

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 10 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Jon Hilliman run for 8 yds to the BC 42

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyler Rouse run for 2 yds to the BC 48

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Patrick Towles run for 3 yds to the Lvile 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.30

Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 14 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jon Hilliman run for 6 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Davon Jones pass incomplete to Michael Walker

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Patrick Towles pass complete to Davon Jones for 1 yd to the Lvile 28

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.81

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Charlie Callinan

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Cole Hikutini

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Lamar Jackson run for 8 yds to the Lvile 37

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Brandon Radcliff run for 8 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Traveon Samuel run for no gain to the Lvile 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.86

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 38 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Lamar Jackson run for 8 yds to the BC 9

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

Jackson, Lamar pass sacked for loss of 8 yards to the BOSTCOLL17 (Kavalec, Kevin), PENALTY BOSTCOLL holding (Harris, William) 5 yards to the BOSTCOLL4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LOUISVILLE.

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 5

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brandon Radcliff run for no gain to the BC 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Cole Hikutini for 5 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-20 ydsPPA -0.99

Patrick Towles pass intercepted Chucky Williams return for 20 yds to the BC 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Lamar Jackson run for no gain to the BC 40

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jeremy Smith run for 3 yds to the BC 37

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return-22 ydsPPA -2.61

Lamar Jackson pass intercepted John Johnson return for 22 yds to the BC 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 32

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 4 yds to the BC 36

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jaire Alexander at the Lvile 18

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.84

Kyle Bolin sacked by Kevin Kavalec for a loss of 9 yards to the Lvile 9

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Kyle Bolin pass incomplete

3rd & 19Penalty+5 yds

Bolin, Kyle rush for 5 yards to the LOUISVILLE14, PENALTY BOSTCOLL offside (Kavalec, Kevin) 5 yards to the LOUISVILLE14, NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Traveon Samuel

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 40

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.42

Patrick Towles sacked by James Hearns for a loss of 12 yards to the BC 28 Patrick Towles fumbled, forced by James Hearns, recovered by Lvile DeAngelo Brown , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.22

Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jeremy Smith for 14 yds to the BC 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 5 yds to the BC 9

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jeremy Smith run for no gain to the BC 9

4th & 5Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.83

Blanton Creque 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 26

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 25

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff Smith

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 35 yds, downed at the Lvile 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jeremy Smith run for 1 yd to the Lvile 41

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -1.33

Lamar Jackson run for 1 yd to the Lvile 42 Lamar Jackson fumbled, forced by Kevin Kavalec, recovered by BC Connor Strachan

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the Lvile 39

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.59

Patrick Towles pass complete to Tyler Rouse for 39 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.87

Lamar Jackson sacked by Ty Schwab for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 20

2nd & 13Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.89

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 26 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Lamar Jackson run for 5 yds to the BC 45

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.05

Brandon Radcliff run for 5 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.47

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 14 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.18

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Cole Hikutini for 13 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Lamar Jackson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyler Rouse run for 1 yd to the BC 21

2nd & 9Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.49

Davon Jones run for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 14

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Tyler Rouse

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 57 yds, downed at the Lvile 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Lamar Jackson run for no gain to the Lvile 29

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari Staples

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 7 yds to the BC 31

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 30

3rd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.64

Patrick Towles sacked by Isaac Stewart for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 24

4th & 10Punt+7 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 45 yds , Jaire Alexander returns for 7 yds to the Lvile 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brandon Radcliff run for 3 yds to the Lvile 41

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Brandon Radcliff run for 6 yds to the Lvile 47

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +5.01

Lamar Jackson run for 53 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jeff Smith run for 1 yd to the Lvile 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.62

Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 11 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.83

Patrick Towles sacked by Henry Famurewa for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 43

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the Lvile 40

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Charlie Callinan

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Brandon Radcliff run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 19

3rd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.09

Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jeremy Smith for 17 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Jeremy Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.17

Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 25 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Kyle Bolin pass complete to Devante Peete for 10 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Brandon Radcliff run for 1 yd to the BC 29

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.30

Brandon Radcliff run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 32

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

Bolin, Kyle pass incomplete to Bagley, Javonte, PENALTY BOSTCOLL pass interference 15 yards to the BOSTCOLL17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LOUISVILLE.

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kyle Bolin pass complete to Javonte Bagley for 3 yds to the BC 14

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Brandon Radcliff run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 15

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.52

Kyle Bolin pass complete to Traveon Samuel for no gain to the BC 15

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Blanton Creque 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BC 21

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Richard Wilson run for 7 yds to the BC 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Darius Wade pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt-4 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 34 yds , Jaire Alexander returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 34 Jaire Alexander fumbled, recovered by BC Matt Milano

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Richard Wilson run for 4 yds to the Lvile 30

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.89

Richard Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 31

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Darius Wade pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -2.14

Darius Wade pass complete to Ben Glines for 3 yds to the Lvile 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the Lvile 30

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the Lvile 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kyle Bolin pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 42 yds, downed at the BC 26

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Richard Wilson run for 9 yds to the BC 35

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Richard Wilson run for 5 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Richard Wilson run for 6 yds to the BC 46

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.46

Richard Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 45

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.34

Richard Wilson run for 10 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
45%
31 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
33%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play