Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 24, 2016Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boston College by 4.2

Home Win Probability

Boston College 63%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 24, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Wagner
730010
Boston CollegeBoston College
141414042

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-714-714-1021-1028-1035-1042-10
Boston CollegeWagner

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WAGBCWAGBCWAGBCWAGBCWAGBCWAGBCWAGBCWAGBCWAGBCWAGBCWAGBCWAGBCWAGBCPUNT34ydPUNT3-6ydTD155ydTD544ydPUNT3-1ydTD1268ydPUNT37ydPUNT31ydFG1137ydTD475ydPUNT413ydTD880ydPUNT32ydPUNT38ydEND2-13ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-10ydTD16ydPUNT34ydPUNT515ydPUNT3-4ydTD1054ydPUNT38ydDOWNS1265ydPUNT635ydEND742yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wagner and Boston College
StatisticWagnerBoston College
Passing13-2512-20
Pass Yards62190
Rush Yards45300
Total Yards107490
Turnovers00
3rd Down2-137-15
Penalties1-57-85
Possession22:4837:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wagner
passing
Alex Thomson
13/25, 62 YDS
rushing
Alex Thomson
8 CAR, 20 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Keith Foster
4 REC, 23 YDS
defense
Santoni Graham
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
Boston College
passing
Patrick Towles
9/16, 157 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Davon Jones
12 CAR, 90 YDS
receiving
Michael Walker
4 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Keith Foster

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Alex Thomson pass complete to Lucas DePofi for 4 yds to the Wagn 27

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Denzel Knight

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 37

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Hilliman,J rush for 6 yards to the BC43 (GRAHAM, Santoni;HAMPTON,Quintin), PENALTY BC HL 10 yards to the BC27, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Patrick Towles pass complete to Davon Jones for 2 yds to the BC 29

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff Smith

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 26 yds, downed at the Wagn 45

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Alex Thomson run for 55 yds for a TD, (Jim Cooper KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 45

2nd & 11Rush+41 ydsPPA +2.92

Jon Hilliman run for 41 yds to the Wagn 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the Wagn 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Andre Yevchinecz

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Alex Thomson pass complete to Keith Foster for 1 yd to the Wagn 27

3rd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.25

Alex Thomson pass complete to Denzel Knight for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 25

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the BC 34

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.64

Jon Hilliman run for 9 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Jon Hilliman run for 8 yds to the Wagn 49

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.57

Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the Wagn 48

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.16

Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the Wagn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Patrick Towles run for 8 yds to the Wagn 38

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Myles Willis run for 1 yd to the Wagn 37

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.72

Davon Jones run for 6 yds to the Wagn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.26

Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 14 yds to the Wagn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Davon Jones run for no gain to the Wagn 17

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.92

Patrick Towles run for 17 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Denzel Knight run for 3 yds to the Wagn 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Alex Thomson pass complete to Brandon Peoples for 6 yds to the Wagn 29

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Alex Thomson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 27

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 38 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for 4 yds to the BC 31 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the BC 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 32

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 30

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff Smith

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wagn 46

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Matthias McKinnon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 45

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Brandon Peoples

3rd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.19

Matthias McKinnon run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 44 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the BC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.45

Alex Thomson pass complete to Andre Yevchinecz for 12 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Alex Thomson pass complete to Keith Foster for 3 yds to the BC 26

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Frank Labady

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.01

Alex Thomson run for 12 yds to the BC 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.52

Matthias McKinnon run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 17

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Alex Thomson pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Denzel Knight, broken up by Kevin Kavalec

4th & 13Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA +0.25

Jim Cooper 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.61

Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 18 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +4.56

Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 58 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Alex Thomson pass complete to Keith Foster for 17 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Matthias McKinnon run for 4 yds to the BC 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Alex Thomson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.04

Alex Thomson sacked by Matt Milano for a loss of 8 yards to the Wagn 48

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff Smith

2nd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.67

Davon Jones run for 25 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.49

Davon Jones run for 26 yds to the Wagn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Jon Hilliman run for 12 yds to the Wagn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the Wagn 14

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the Wagn 9

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wagn 14

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.10

Patrick Towles run for 13 yds to the Wagn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Patrick Towles run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Denzel Knight run for 2 yds to the Wagn 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Alex Thomson pass complete to Caleb Scepaniak for 1 yd to the Wagn 27

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Alex Thomson sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 7 yards to the Wagn 26 Alex Thomson fumbled, recovered by Wagn Titus Richards , return for 0 yards , return for 5 yds to the Wagn 26

4th & 8Punt+47 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 32 yds, downed at the BOSTCOLL 42 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, sideline interference (15 Yards) to the BC 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Patrick Towles run for 3 yds to the BC 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Patrick Towles pass complete to Thadd Smith for 5 yds to the BC 35

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Thadd Smith, broken up by Santoni Graham

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 20 yds, downed at the Wagn 45

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.73

Alex Thomson sacked by Wyatt Ray and Kevin Kavalec for a loss of 11 yards to the Wagn 34

2nd & 21Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.27

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 32

0th & 21End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 25

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 10 yds to the BC 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jesse Flaherty at the Wagn 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Matthias McKinnon run for 2 yds to the Wagn 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Ryan Owens WAGNER Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declined

3rd & 8Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.41

Alex Thomson sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 12 yards to the Wagn 16

4th & 20Punt+53 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 43 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for 53 yds to the Wagn 6

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Jon Hilliman run for 6 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Denzel Knight run for 1 yd to the Wagn 30

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Ryan Owens

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Alex Thomson pass complete to Jeffery Bost for 3 yds to the Wagn 33

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 19

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Myles Willis run for 6 yds to the BC 25

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Myles Willis run for 13 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Myles Willis run for 1 yd to the BC 39

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.22

Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 34

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Michael Walker

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Andre Yevchinecz at the Wagn 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Alex Thomson pass complete to Keith Foster for 2 yds to the Wagn 28

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Denzel Knight run for 2 yds to the Wagn 30

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.54

Alex Thomson sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 8 yards to the Wagn 22

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 32 yds, downed at the BC 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Patrick Towles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.09

Patrick Towles pass complete to Chris Garrison for 6 yds to the Wagn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Patrick Towles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the Wagn 39

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the Wagn 35

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.68

Davon Jones run for 6 yds to the Wagn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.26

Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 17 yds to the Wagn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler Rouse run for no gain to the Wagn 12

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Towles,P pass incomplete to Garrison,C, PENALTY BC pass interference 15 yards to the WAGNER27, NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +4.54

Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 27 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Matthias McKinnon run for 3 yds to the Wagn 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Keith Foster

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Denzel Knight run for 5 yds to the Wagn 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 40 yds, downed at the BC 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the BC 31

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BC 34

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.50

Darius Wade pass complete to Thadd Smith for 5 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Richard Wilson run for 4 yds to the BC 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.67

Darius Wade pass complete to Colton Cardinal for 14 yds to the Wagn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Richard Wilson run for 10 yds to the Wagn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Darius Wade run for 3 yds to the Wagn 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.53

Darius Wade pass complete to Colton Cardinal for 14 yds to the Wagn 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the Wagn 14

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Richard Wilson run for 5 yds to the Wagn 9

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Richard Wilson run for 1 yd to the Wagn 8

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Darius Wade pass incomplete to Colton Cardinal

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

THOMSON, Alex pass incomplete to FOSTER, Keith, PENALTY BC pass interference 15 yards to the WAGNER23, 1ST DOWN WAGNER, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Alex Thomson pass complete to Willie Dale for 6 yds to the Wagn 29

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.80

Alex Thomson pass complete to Brandon Peoples for no gain to the Wagn 29

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.75

Alex Thomson pass complete to Ryan Owens for 9 yds to the Wagn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Matthias McKinnon run for 2 yds to the Wagn 40

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Matthias McKinnon run for 3 yds to the Wagn 43

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Matthias McKinnon

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Richard Wilson run for 6 yds to the BC 26

2nd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.82

Richard Wilson run for 19 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.95

Richard Wilson run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 41

2nd & 14Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.63

Richard Wilson run for 12 yds to the Wagn 47

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Richard Wilson run for 3 yds to the Wagn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Richard Wilson run for 6 yds to the Wagn 38

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Richard Wilson run for no gain to the Wagn 38

Situational Analysis

Wagner

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
22%
18 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
10%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
37%
30 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
67%
12 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
67%
3 plays