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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2016Week 3
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida State by 1.4

Home Win Probability

Louisville 46%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 17, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Florida StateFlorida State
3701020
LouisvilleLouisville
1421141463

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-014-314-1028-1042-1049-1063-1063-1763-20
LouisvilleFlorida State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUFSLOUFSLOUFSLOUFSLOUFSLOUFSLOUFSFSFSLOUFSLOUFSLOUFSLOUFSLOUFSLOUFSLOUFSLOUTD675ydPUNT58ydPUNT34ydMISS520ydTD668ydFG733ydMISS844ydTD569ydTD979ydTO1-12ydTD523ydPUNT811ydTD671ydEND1-2ydTD35ydPUNT36ydPUNT525ydPUNT33ydTD665ydPUNT410ydTO10ydPUNT44ydTD271ydTO313ydTD210ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT37ydTD882ydPUNT39ydFG730ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida State and Louisville
StatisticFlorida StateLouisville
Passing8-2413-20
Pass Yards113216
Rush Yards171314
Total Yards284530
Turnovers21
3rd Down2-135-10
Penalties8-845-56
Possession31:5928:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida State
passing
Deondre Francois
7/18, 101 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jacques Patrick
7 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
Travis Rudolph
2 REC, 40 YDS
defense
Louisville
passing
Lamar Jackson
13/20, 216 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Lamar Jackson
17 CAR, 146 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
James Quick
7 REC, 122 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Brandon Radcliff run for 30 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 4 yds to the FlaSt 41

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Traveon Samuel run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.32

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 31 yds to the FlaSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Lamar Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Evan O'Hara KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Deondre Francois run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.95

Deondre Francois pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 14 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.68

Deondre Francois sacked by James Hearns for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaSt 38

2nd & 19Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 38

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Dalvin Cook

4th & 19Punt+49 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LOUISVILLE 23 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Lamar Atkins) to the Lvile 13

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds to the Lvile 17

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Traveon Samuel

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Reggie Bonnafon

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 35 yds , Jesus Wilson returns for no gain to the FlaSt 48

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Dalvin Cook run for 14 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the Lvile 35

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the Lvile 32

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Deondre Francois pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Ricky Aguayo 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Lamar Jackson run for 5 yds to the Lvile 37

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Lamar Jackson run for no gain to the Lvile 37

3rd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.25

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Reggie Bonnafon for 24 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brandon Radcliff run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 34

2nd & 5Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.51

Brandon Radcliff run for 20 yds to the FlaSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Lamar Jackson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Evan O'Hara KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 17 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Dalvin Cook run for 7 yds to the Lvile 38

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.02

Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Jesus Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the Lvile 33

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Deondre Francois run for 4 yds to the Lvile 29

4th & 5Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.43

Ricky Aguayo 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (DeMarcus Walker) to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brandon Radcliff run for 5 yds to the Lvile 40

2nd & 5Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.39

Lamar Jackson run for 33 yds to the FlaSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Brandon Radcliff for 9 yds to the FlaSt 18

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Brandon Radcliff run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.29

Lamar Jackson sacked by Jacob Pugh for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaSt 26

2nd & 19Penalty-15 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (Lukayus McNeil) to the FlaSt 41

2nd & 34Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari Staples

3rd & 34Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Jeremy Smith run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 31

4th & 24Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Evan O'Hara 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Deondre Francois run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +1.81

Jacques Patrick run for 41 yds to the Lvile 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Mavin Saunders) to the Lvile 30

1st & 25Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Deondre Francois pass complete to Jesus Wilson for 8 yds to the Lvile 22

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the Lvile 20

3rd & 15Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.85

Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 20 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.28

Lamar Jackson run for 16 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Reggie Bonnafon run for 5 yds to the Lvile 42

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari Staples

3rd & 5Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.29

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 30 yds to the FlaSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Brandon Radcliff run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 21

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.10

Lamar Jackson run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Lamar Jackson run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 2

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brandon Radcliff run for no gain to the FlaSt 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.46

Jeremy Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Evan O'Hara KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-12 ydsPPA -1.76

Deondre Francois run for a loss of 12 yards to the FlaSt 23 Deondre Francois fumbled, recovered by Lvile Jaire Alexander

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 5 yds to the FlaSt 18

2nd & 5Penalty-6 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (James Quick) to the FlaSt 24

2nd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.66

Lamar Jackson run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 7

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Lamar Jackson run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 4

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.64

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 4 yds for a TD, (Evan O'Hara KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dalvin Cook run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.21

Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 11 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Dalvin Cook run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 39

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.05

Dalvin Cook run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 40

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.18

Deondre Francois run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Jesus Wilson

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Deondre Francois sacked by DeAngelo Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 41

3rd & 12Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.65

Deondre Francois sacked by Devonte Fields for a loss of 12 yards to the FlaSt 29

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 16 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Cole Hikutini for 9 yds to the FlaSt 46

2nd & 1Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +1.83

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 44 yds to the FlaSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.23

Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 4 yds to the FlaSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Lamar Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan O'Hara KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dalvin Cook run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 22

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Deondre Francois pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Deondre Francois pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+69 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 47 yds , Jaire Alexander returns for 69 yds for a TD, (Evan O'Hara KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Dalvin Cook run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan Murray

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Deondre Francois run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 34

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaire Alexander at the Lvile 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jeremy Smith run for 3 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.28

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 19 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Lamar Jackson run for no gain to the Lvile 47

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Lamar Jackson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Reggie Bonnafon

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jesus Wilson at the FlaSt 11

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Deondre Francois run for no gain to the FlaSt 11

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Roderick Johnson) to the FlaSt 6

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Auden Tate

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.04

Deondre Francois pass complete to Dalvin Cook for 8 yds to the FlaSt 14

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 51 yds, downed at the Lvile 35

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Traveon Samuel run for 8 yds to the Lvile 43

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.73

Brandon Radcliff run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.93

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Cole Hikutini for 17 yds to the FlaSt 28 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (14 Yards) to the FlaSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Brandon Radcliff run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Lamar Jackson run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jeremy Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan O'Hara KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.78

Deondre Francois pass complete to Travis Rudolph for 23 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Jesus Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Travis Rudolph

3rd & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.73

Deondre Francois sacked by Josh Harvey-Clemons for a loss of 13 yards to the FlaSt 27

4th & 23Punt+61 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 51 yds , Jaire Alexander returns for 61 yds to the FlaSt 17

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.42

Lamar Jackson pass intercepted, touchback. Tarvarus McFadden return for no gain

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dalvin Cook run for no gain to the FlaSt 20

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ronald Walker) to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.98

Deondre Francois sacked by Jonathan Greenard for a loss of 11 yards to the FlaSt 24

2nd & 21Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.14

Dalvin Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 21

3rd & 24Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Dalvin Cook run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 24

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Reggie Bonnafon at the Lvile 29

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Lamar Jackson run for 47 yds for a TD, (Evan O'Hara KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Jacques Patrick run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 38

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-36 ydsPPA -1.35

Deondre Francois pass intercepted Chucky Williams return for 36 yds to the FlaSt 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Brandon Radcliff run for 6 yds for a TD, (Evan O'Hara KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

J.J. Cosentino pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

J.J. Cosentino pass incomplete to Auden Tate

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 40 yds, downed at the Lvile 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Malin Jones run for 3 yds to the Lvile 39

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Malin Jones run for 2 yds to the Lvile 41

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Malin Jones run for 2 yds to the Lvile 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Nyqwan Murray at the FlaSt 18

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Jacques Patrick run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Jacques Patrick run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 32

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

J.J. Cosentino run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 34

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Jacques Patrick run for 12 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Ryan Green run for 16 yds to the Lvile 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.24

Ryan Green run for 17 yds to the Lvile 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Ryan Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 12

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.87

J.J. Cosentino pass complete to Auden Tate for 12 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Malik Williams run for 5 yds to the Lvile 22

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Trey Smith run for 3 yds to the Lvile 25

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Trey Smith run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 19 yds, downed at the Lvile 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

J.J. Cosentino pass incomplete to Keith Gavin

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.60

Johnathan Vickers run for 13 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.66

Johnathan Vickers run for 30 yds to the Lvile 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 7

1st & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Johnathan Vickers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 10

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 15

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

J.J. Cosentino pass incomplete to Keith Gavin

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

J.J. Cosentino pass incomplete to Keith Gavin

4th & 15Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA +0.28

Ricky Aguayo 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 23

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 22

Situational Analysis

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
33 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
14%
7 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
62%
29 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th