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← Back to GamesSep 10, 2016Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

East Carolina by 0.2

Home Win Probability

East Carolina 50%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 10, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NC StateNC State
0203730
East CarolinaEast Carolina
9107733

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-09-012-012-712-1319-2019-2326-3033-30
East CarolinaNC State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSECNSECNSECNSECNSECNSECNSECNSECNSECNSECNSECNSECNSPUNT3-6ydFG856ydMISS637ydTD473ydMISS640ydFG1549ydTD774ydTO10ydTD549ydTD575ydTD180ydPUNT3-2ydTO3-2ydMISS815ydEND17ydPUNT621ydDOWNS666ydTO39ydFG46ydTD765ydTD1290ydTD1484ydPUNT719ydPUNT518ydEND538yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing NC State and East Carolina
StatisticNC StateEast Carolina
Passing21-3233-43
Pass Yards287297
Rush Yards215148
Total Yards502445
Turnovers12
3rd Down4-117-17
Penalties8-544-36
Possession28:0931:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

NC State
passing
Ryan Finley
20/31, 259 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Matthew Dayes
14 CAR, 103 YDS
receiving
Stephen Louis
3 REC, 142 YDS, 1 TD
defense
East Carolina
passing
Philip Nelson
33/43, 297 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Devin Anderson
9 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Quay Johnson
13 REC, 75 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ryan Finley pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 6 yds to the NCSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the NCSt 32

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 27

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.36

Ryan Finley sacked by Dayon Pratt for a loss of 8 yards to the NCSt 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 43 yds, downed at the ECaro 38

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Anthony Scott run for 7 yds to the ECaro 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 12 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for no gain to the NCSt 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.78

Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 33 yds to the NCSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Quay Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 12

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 6 yds to the NCSt 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay Jones

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.87

Davis Plowman 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Matthew Dayes run for no gain to the NCSt 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.18

Gavin Locklear pass complete to Stephen Louis for 28 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Matthew Dayes run for 8 yds to the ECaro 28

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jaylen Samuels run for no gain to the ECaro 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the ECaro 27

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Connor Haskins 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.00

Philip Nelson pass complete to James Summers for 39 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.66

Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for no gain to the NCSt 34

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 39

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.32

Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 12 yds to the NCSt 27

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.22

James Summers run for 27 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Ryan Finley pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 8 yds to the NCSt 43

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.85

Nyheim Hines run for 14 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+16 yds

Finley, R. middle pass incomplete to Louis, S. (FULP, Bobby), PENALTY ECU personal foul (FULP, Bobby) 16 yards to the ECU27, 1ST DOWN ST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the ECaro 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Ryan Finley pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 1 yd to the ECaro 25

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Bra'Lon Cherry

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Connor Haskins 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

James Summers run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay Jones

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 11 yds to the ECaro 34

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.95

Anthony Scott run for 5 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for no gain to the ECaro 39

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 6 yds to the ECaro 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.59

Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 17 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Jimmy Williams, broken up by Jack Tocho

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Philip Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 39

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

NELSON, Philip sideline pass incomplete, PENALTY ST offside defense (Chubb, B.) 5 yards to the ST34, NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 4 yds to the NCSt 30

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.45

Philip Nelson run for 5 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Anthony Scott run for 7 yds to the NCSt 18

2nd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.55

Philip Nelson sacked by James Smith-Williams and Airius Moore for a loss of 8 yards to the NCSt 26

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay Jones

4th & 11Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +0.85

Davis Plowman 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Ryan Finley run for 3 yds to the NCSt 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.46

Ryan Finley pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 10 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaylen Samuels run for 3 yds to the NCSt 42

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.95

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 14 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Jaylen Samuels run for 8 yds to the ECaro 37

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +2.75

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 37 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.38

Philip Nelson pass intercepted Jack Tocho return for no gain to the ECaro 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Ryan Finley pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 12 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, false start (Garrett Bradbury) to the ECaro 42

2nd & 15Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.50

Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 34 yds to the ECaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Matthew Dayes run for 3 yds to the ECaro 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jaylen Samuels run for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Anthony Scott run for 4 yds to the ECaro 29 Anthony Scott fumbled, forced by Shawn Boone,

2nd & 6Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.84

Devin Anderson run for 28 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NC STATE Penalty, sideline interference (15 Yards) to the NCSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

James Summers run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 4 yds to the NCSt 25

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.50

Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 25 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 80 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Anthony Scott

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Anthony Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Philip Nelson pass incomplete, broken up by Jerod Fernandez

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Worth Gregory punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Bra'Lon Cherry at the NCSt 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds to the NCSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Matthew Dayes

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 1 yd Bra'Lon Cherry fumbled, forced by Dayon Pratt, recovered by ECaro Travon Simmons

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Anthony Scott

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Anthony Scott run for 1 yd to the NCSt 37

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Philip Nelson run for 8 yds to the NCSt 29

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.20

James Summers run for 2 yds to the NCSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.38

Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the NCSt 33

2nd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 5 yds to the NCSt 28

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Philip Nelson pass incomplete to Zay Jones

4th & 11Penalty+5 yds

PLOWMAN, Davis field goal attempt from 45 MISSED - wide left,, clock 00:24, PENALTY ST roughing the kicker (Stevens, Mi.) 5 yards to the ST23, NO PLAY.

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Davis Plowman 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Matthew Dayes run for 7 yds to the NCSt 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Philip Nelson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Anthony Scott run for 6 yds to the ECaro 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 8 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 31

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Messiah Rice) to the ECaro 26

2nd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 6 yds to the ECaro 32

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 8 yds to the ECaro 40

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Worth Gregory punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bra'Lon Cherry at the NCSt 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Ryan Finley run for 6 yds to the NCSt 30

2nd & 4Rush+54 ydsPPA +3.25

Matthew Dayes run for 54 yds to the ECaro 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Matthew Dayes run for 6 yds to the ECaro 10

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

Matthew Dayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 11

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jaylen Samuels

4th & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.75

A.J. Cole III run for 1 yd to the ECaro 10

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Anthony Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 9

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Anthony Scott run for 6 yds to the ECaro 15

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 4 yds Anthony Scott fumbled, forced by B.J. Hill, recovered by NCSt Kentavius Street

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for no gain to the ECaro 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Ryan Finley pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 6 yds to the ECaro 13

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.73

Kyle Bambard 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Philip Nelson pass complete to Devin Anderson for 2 yds to the ECaro 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 4 yds to the ECaro 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.39

Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 12 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 13 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 6 yds to the NCSt 28

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.15

Zay Jones run for 13 yds to the NCSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

NELSON, Philip pass complete to BAGGETT, Steve for 8 yards to the ST7 (Moore, A.), PENALTY ECU holding off-setting, PENALTY ST roughing passer off-setting, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

James Summers run for 15 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Ryan Finley pass complete to Reggie Gallaspy II for 7 yds to the NCSt 17

2nd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 19 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the NCSt 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the NCSt 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.45

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 13 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Ryan Finley run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 46

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Ryan Finley pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 8 yds to the ECaro 38

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.04

Ryan Finley run for 5 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jaylen Samuels, broken up by DaShawn Benton

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Matthew Dayes run for 13 yds to the ECaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds to the ECaro 15

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.54

Ryan Finley run for 15 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 11 yds to the ECaro 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

James Summers run for no gain to the ECaro 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 7 yds to the ECaro 34

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 7 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.83

Devin Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 37

2nd & 14Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.02

Philip Nelson pass complete to Quay Johnson for 18 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Philip Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 46

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Devin Anderson run for 5 yds to the NCSt 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.92

Philip Nelson pass complete to Zay Jones for 15 yds to the NCSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.19

Devin Anderson run for 14 yds to the NCSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Devin Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 15

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Philip Nelson pass complete to Anthony Scott for 4 yds to the NCSt 11

3rd & 9Penalty+3 yds

NELSON, Philip middle pass incomplete to JONES, Zay, PENALTY ST pass interference (Stevens, Mi.) 3 yards to the ST8, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the NCSt 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Anthony Scott run for 5 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 7 yds to the NCSt 11

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Matthew Dayes run for 3 yds to the NCSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Finley, R. pass complete to Dayes, M. for 9 yards to the ST23 (GREEN, Pat), PENALTY ST ineligible downfield on pass (Jones, T.) 5 yards to the ST9, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Ryan Finley pass incomplete, broken up by Justin Brown

2nd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.20

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 16 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Stephen Louis

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jaylen Samuels

4th & 12Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 61 yds, downed at the ECaro 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Philip Nelson pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 6 yds to the ECaro 22

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Devin Anderson run for 5 yds to the ECaro 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Devin Anderson run for 2 yds to the ECaro 29

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.66

Devin Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 27

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Devin Anderson run for 7 yds to the ECaro 34

4th & 3Punt+2 yds

Worth Gregory punt for 30 yds , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for 2 yds to the NCSt 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ryan Finley pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 2 yds to the NCSt 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.08

Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 14 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Matthew Dayes

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Matthew Dayes

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.95

Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 22 yds to the ECaro 24 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
31 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
70%
10 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
71%
7 plays
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play