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← Back to GamesSep 1, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 1.1

Home Win Probability

NC State 54%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 1, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
William & Mary
707014
NC StateNC State
72171348

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-07-714-721-728-1435-1441-1448-14
NC StateWilliam & Mary

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSW&MNSW&MNSW&MNSW&MNSW&MW&MNSW&MNSW&MNSW&MNSW&MNSW&MNSW&MNSTD870ydTD1175ydTD1675ydPUNT4-7ydTO950ydTO22ydTD726ydTO730ydTD765ydEND1-2ydTD465ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-5ydTD1064ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS532ydPUNT33ydTD633ydPUNT38ydTD1077ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT33ydEND311yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing William & Mary and NC State
StatisticWilliam & MaryNC State
Passing10-1923-30
Pass Yards106262
Rush Yards62259
Total Yards168521
Turnovers21
3rd Down1-810-16
Penalties8-707-80
Possession24:4735:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

William & Mary
passing
Steve Cluley
9/18, 99 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Albert Funderburke
9 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
DeVonte Dedmon
5 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense
NC State
passing
Ryan Finley
17/21, 174 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Matthew Dayes
23 CAR, 138 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jaylen Samuels
5 REC, 66 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ryan Finley pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 4 yds to the NCSt 34

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.17

Matthew Dayes run for 7 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Jaylen Samuels run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.33

Ryan Finley pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 14 yds to the WmMry 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.46

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 22 yds to the WmMry 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds to the WmMry 12

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Matthew Dayes run for 7 yds to the WmMry 5

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.49

Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Haskins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Albert Funderburke run for 1 yd to the WmMry 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Albert Funderburke run for 3 yds to the WmMry 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.89

Steve Cluley pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 9 yds to the WmMry 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jonathan Dunn run for 1 yd to the WmMry 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.36

Steve Cluley pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 16 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Albert Funderburke run for 7 yds to the NCSt 38

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Jonathan Dunn run for 7 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jonathan Dunn run for 4 yds to the NCSt 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Steve Cluley pass complete to Daniel Kuzjak for 8 yds to the NCSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Albert Funderburke run for 3 yds to the NCSt 16

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.72

Steve Cluley pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 16 yds for a TD, (Nick Dorka KICK)

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Nyheim Hines run for 2 yds to the NCSt 27 NC STATE Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the NCSt 17

1st & 18Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 4 yds to the NCSt 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 11 yds to the NCSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.81

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 9 yds to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Matthew Dayes run for 8 yds to the NCSt 49 WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Ryan Finley pass complete to Cole Cook for 6 yds to the WmMry 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Ryan Finley sacked by Arman Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the WmMry 49

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 4 yds to the WmMry 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.78

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 17 yds to the WmMry 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds to the WmMry 26

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds to the WmMry 24

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Ryan Finley run for 7 yds to the WmMry 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Matthew Dayes run for 9 yds to the WmMry 8

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.84

Matthew Dayes run for 4 yds to the WmMry 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Matthew Dayes run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Steve Cluley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.31

Jalen Christian run for 2 yds to the WmMry 43 WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WmMry 47

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Hunter Windmuller punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bra'Lon Cherry at the NCSt 12

2nd & 18Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.80

Steve Cluley pass complete to Kendell Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 45

3rd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kendell Anderson run for 3 yds to the WmMry 48

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jalan McClendon run for 6 yds to the NCSt 18

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.90

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 13 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds to the NCSt 36

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Jaylen Samuels

3rd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.26

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 24 yds to the WmMry 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.71

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Maurice Trowell for 6 yds to the WmMry 34 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (Kelvin Harmon) to the WmMry 44

1st & 14Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jalan McClendon run for a loss of 3 yards to the WmMry 43 Jalan McClendon fumbled, recovered by NCSt Reggie Gallaspy II , return for 4 yds to the WmMry 43

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the WmMry 38

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return-9 ydsPPA -2.39

Jalan McClendon pass intercepted Corey Parker return for 9 yds to the WmMry 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Albert Funderburke run for 2 yds to the WmMry 30

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return-11 ydsPPA -0.63

Steve Cluley pass intercepted Jerod Fernandez return for 11 yds to the WmMry 26

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Matthew Dayes run for 9 yds to the WmMry 17

2nd & 1Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.76

Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the WmMry 16 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WmMry 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 2 yds to the WmMry 24

3rd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.06

Ryan Finley pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 21 yds to the WmMry 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the WmMry 8

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Ryan Finley run for 2 yds to the WmMry 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaylen Samuels run for 3 yds to the WmMry 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Jaylen Samuels run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Steve Cluley pass complete to Jack Armstrong for 9 yds to the WmMry 34

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.47

Kendell Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 33

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Shawn Boone) to the WmMry 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to DeVonte Dedmon

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Kendell Anderson

3rd & 10Sack+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Steve Cluley sacked by Kentavius Street for a loss of 7 yards to the NCSt 41 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kentavius Street) to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Kendell Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 45

2nd & 11Pass Interception Return-9 ydsPPA -2.39

Steve Cluley pass intercepted Josh Jones return for 9 yds to the NCSt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ryan Finley pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 5 yds to the NCSt 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.72

Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 16 yds to the WmMry 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Bra'Lon Cherry

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.78

Ryan Finley pass complete to Reggie Gallaspy II for 6 yds to the WmMry 38 for a 1ST down WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Marcus Harvey) to the WmMry 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 7 yds to the WmMry 16

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.34

Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 16 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 22

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, false start (Andrew Caskin) to the WmMry 30

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Daniel Kuzjak

2nd & 15Penalty+15 yds

NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (Justin Jones) to the WmMry 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Albert Funderburke run for 13 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +0.78

Steve Cluley pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 32 yds to the NCSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Steve Cluley run for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Dorka KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaylen Samuels run for 1 yd to the NCSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Ryan Finley pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 3 yds to the NCSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

4th & 6Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 41 yds, fair catch by DeVonte Dedmon at the WmMry 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Albert Funderburke run for 3 yds to the WmMry 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Steve Cluley pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 2 yds to the WmMry 35

3rd & 5Penalty-15 yds

WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, personal foul (Andrew Caskin) to the WmMry 20

3rd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Kendell Anderson run for 5 yds to the WmMry 25

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Hunter Windmuller punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bra'Lon Cherry at the NCSt 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Matthew Dayes run for 6 yds to the NCSt 42

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Matthew Dayes run for 10 yds to the WmMry 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds to the WmMry 43

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Matthew Dayes run for 9 yds to the WmMry 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Nyheim Hines run for 1 yd to the WmMry 33

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Dakwa Nichols run for 10 yds to the WmMry 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dakwa Nichols run for 4 yds to the WmMry 19

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds to the WmMry 14

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Matthew Dayes run for 6 yds to the WmMry 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Jaylen Samuels run for 8 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Jalen Christian

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Steve Cluley run for 2 yds to the WmMry 15

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WmMry 10

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Daniel Kuzjak

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Hunter Windmuller punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WmMry 33

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.44

Matthew Dayes run for 30 yds to the WmMry 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds to the WmMry 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Matthew Dayes run for no gain to the WmMry 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Matthew Dayes run for no gain to the WmMry 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Ryan Finley run for no gain to the WmMry 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Steve Cluley run for 1 yd to the WmMry 2

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Kendell Anderson run for 2 yds to the WmMry 4

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Steve Cluley pass incomplete to DeVonte Dedmon, broken up by Jack Tocho

4th & 7Punt+13 yds

Hunter Windmuller punt for 42 yds , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for 13 yds to the WmMry 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the WmMry 30

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nyheim Hines run for 5 yds to the WmMry 25

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Ryan Finley run for 1 yd to the WmMry 24

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.97

Jalan McClendon run for 4 yds to the WmMry 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 6 yds to the WmMry 14

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.43

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 14 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Albert Funderburke run for 1 yd to the WmMry 26

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Albert Funderburke run for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Steve Cluley pass complete to Jonathan Dunn for 9 yds to the WmMry 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Hunter Windmuller punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Bra'Lon Cherry at the NCSt 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 9 yds to the NCSt 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.43

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 29 yds to the WmMry 1 for a 1ST down

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dakwa Nichols run for 2 yds to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Dakwa Nichols run for 11 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalan McClendon run for 4 yds to the NCSt 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 7 yds to the WmMry 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Johnny Frasier run for 8 yds to the WmMry 36

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.11

Johnny Frasier run for 6 yds to the WmMry 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Johnny Frasier run for no gain to the WmMry 30

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Johnny Frasier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jonathan Dunn run for no gain to the WmMry 31

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jonathan Dunn run for 2 yds to the WmMry 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Tommy McKee pass complete to Jonathan Dunn for 7 yds to the WmMry 40

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hunter Windmuller punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Stephen Morrison

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jalan McClendon run for 4 yds to the NCSt 42

3rd & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.13

Jalan McClendon sacked by Josh Dulaney for a loss of 10 yards to the NCSt 32

4th & 16Penalty+5 yds

WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the NCSt 37

4th & 11Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 39 yds, downed at the WmMry 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Tommy McKee run for 6 yds to the WmMry 30

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Brehon Britt run for no gain to the WmMry 30

3rd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.56

Tommy McKee run for a loss of 3 yards to the WmMry 27

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hunter Windmuller punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Johnny Frasier run for 5 yds to the NCSt 25

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Johnny Frasier run for 3 yds to the NCSt 28

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Johnny Frasier run for 3 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

William & Mary

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
18%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
52%
33 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
73%
11 plays
50%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays