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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2016Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Michigan by 6.5

Home Win Probability

Western Michigan 69%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 25, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ToledoToledo
7702135
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
1410211055

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-717-717-1424-1431-1445-1445-2148-2855-35
Western MichiganToledo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TOLTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTD10ydTD675ydTD1381ydPUNT3-2ydFG1166ydTD490ydPUNT37ydDOWNS46ydTD1155ydPUNT933ydEND1-2ydTD1276ydPUNT418ydTD453ydTO1-10ydTD19ydPUNT35ydPUNT519ydTD684ydFG570ydTD580ydPUNT32ydTO426ydTD520ydTD476ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Toledo and Western Michigan
StatisticToledoWestern Michigan
Passing13-2419-25
Pass Yards229196
Rush Yards227249
Total Yards456445
Turnovers30
3rd Down3-910-15
Penalties9-717-80
Possession20:3339:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Toledo
passing
Logan Woodside
13/24, 229 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Kareem Hunt
20 CAR, 200 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kareem Hunt
3 REC, 73 YDS
defense
DeJuan Rogers
1 TFL, 1 PD
Western Michigan
passing
Zach Terrell
19/25, 196 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jamauri Bogan
31 CAR, 198 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Corey Davis
8 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-21 ydsPPA -7.61

Logan Woodside pass intercepted for a TD Asantay Brown return for 21 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kareem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.91

Logan Woodside pass complete to Kareem Hunt for 41 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Kareem Hunt run for 10 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.28

Kareem Hunt run for 16 yds to the WMich 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the WMich 9

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 9 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 25

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 27

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.45

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 9 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Zach Terrell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the WMich 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 9 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the Toled 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.10

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for no gain to the Toled 49

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.43

Zach Terrell run for 8 yds to the Toled 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.59

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jamauri Bogan for 19 yds to the Toled 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Toled 27

1st & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Jamauri Bogan run for 12 yds to the Toled 15

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the Toled 14

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.71

Jarvion Franklin run for 14 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Toled 28

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Toled 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Michael Roberts

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Michael Roberts

4th & 12Punt-3 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 46 yds , Darius Phillips returns for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.49

Zach Terrell pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 16 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 9 yds to the Toled 47

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.03

Jamauri Bogan run for 8 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the Toled 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the Toled 30

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.46

Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the Toled 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.36

Jamauri Bogan run for 16 yds to the Toled 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the Toled 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zach Terrell run for no gain to the Toled 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Michael Henry, broken up by Ka'dar Hollman

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.87

Butch Hampton 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.74

Kareem Hunt run for 27 yds to the Toled 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kareem Hunt run for 6 yds to the Toled 43

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.55

Kareem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WOODSIDE, Logan pass incomplete to JOHNSON, De. (BEAL, Sam), PENALTY WMU pass interference (BEAL, Sam) 15 yards to the WMU38, 1ST DOWN TOLEDO, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Kareem Hunt run for 38 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Zach Terrell run for no gain to the WMich 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 7 yds to the WMich 29

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

4th & 3Punt+22 yds

Derrick Mitchell punt for 45 yds, downed at the WESTMICH 26 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, kick catching interference (-23 Yards) to the Toled 49

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Logan Woodside run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 47 Logan Woodside fumbled, recovered by Toled Logan Woodside

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kareem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Toled 48

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Logan Woodside pass complete to Kareem Hunt for 9 yds to the WMich 43

4th & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.62

Kareem Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 13 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Jamauri Bogan run for 9 yds to the Toled 33

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the Toled 33

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.49

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the Toled 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the Toled 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds to the Toled 23

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.50

Zach Terrell run for 9 yds to the Toled 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 11 yds to the Toled 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the Toled 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Toled 12

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Michael Roberts, broken up by Sam Beal

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 9 yds to the Toled 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kareem Hunt run for 5 yds to the Toled 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 1 yd to the Toled 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 7 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Terry Swanson

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Toled 29

2nd & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.04

Kareem Hunt run for 12 yds to the Toled 41

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Kareem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Toled 42

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 51 yds, downed at the WMich 7

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.38

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 5

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the WMich 32

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 32

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jamauri Bogan for 3 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.35

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 20 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Zach Terrell pass incomplete, broken up by Jordan Martin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.50

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 17 yds to the Toled 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 10 yds to the Toled 15 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, illegal procedure ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the Toled 15

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.19

Jamauri Bogan run for 11 yds to the Toled 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Toled 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 1 yd for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.70

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 28 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Kareem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Corey Jones, broken up by Justin Ferguson

3rd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.45

Logan Woodside sacked by Keion Adams for a loss of 9 yards to the Toled 26

4th & 20Punt+16 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 43 yds , Darius Phillips returns for 16 yds to the WMich 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Donnie Ernsberger

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.01

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 12 yds to the Toled 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the Toled 38

2nd & 7Penalty+11 yds

TERRELL, Zach pass incomplete to THOMPSON, C, PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (MARTIN, Jordan) 11 yards to the TOLEDO27, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Jamauri Bogan run for 27 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)

1st & 10Sack+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Logan Woodside sacked by Keion Adams for a loss of 10 yards to the Toled 9 Logan Woodside fumbled, recovered by WMich Nathan Braster , return for 0 yards , return for 6 yds to the Toled 9

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Carrington Thompson 9 Yd pass from Zach Terrell (Butch Hampton Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 4 yds to the Toled 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the Toled 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Michael Roberts

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 29

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 28

2nd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.45

Zach Terrell pass complete to N/A for 17 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 48

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the Toled 47

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the Toled 47

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WMich 48

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Coleman punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Corey Jones at the Toled 16

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Kareem Hunt run for 9 yds to the Toled 25

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Kareem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Toled 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.15

Kareem Hunt run for 13 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.95

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 28 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Delando Johnson, broken up by Darius Phillips

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, targeting (Caleb Bailey) to the WMich 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WOODSIDE, Logan pass incomplete to TEAM, PENALTY WMU pass interference (BEAL, Sam) 15 yards to the WMU3, 1ST DOWN TOLEDO, NO PLAY.

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 3 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+61 ydsPPA +3.59

Jamauri Bogan run for 61 yds to the Toled 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+8 yds

TERRELL, Zach sacked for loss of 5 yards to the TOLEDO20 (TAAFE, Tyler), PENALTY TOLEDO face mask (MARTIN, Jordan) 8 yards to the TOLEDO7, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the Toled 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the Toled 5

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.87

Butch Hampton 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Kareem Hunt run for 8 yds to the Toled 28

2nd & 2Penalty0 yds

HUNT, Kareem rush for 23 yards to the WMU49 (BROWN, Asantay), PENALTY WMU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY TOLEDO face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.

2nd & 2Rush+47 ydsPPA +2.89

Kareem Hunt run for 47 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the WMich 21

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.22

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 21 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the Toled 34

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tom Flacco run for no gain to the Toled 34

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

4th & 8Punt0 yds

James Coleman punt for 34 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.92

Logan Woodside pass complete to Kareem Hunt for 23 yds to the Toled 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

HUNT, Kareem rush for 12 yards to the WMU45 (TRANQUILL, J), PENALTY TOLEDO illegal block 10 yards to the TOLEDO33, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Michael Roberts

2nd & 20Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Terry Swanson run for 13 yds to the Toled 46

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return-33 ydsPPA -1.03

Logan Woodside pass intercepted Darius Phillips return for 33 yds to the Toled 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the Toled 19

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.59

Jamauri Bogan run for 11 yds to the Toled 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the Toled 7

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the Toled 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Zach Terrell pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 7 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.33

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 46 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.35

Terry Swanson run for 27 yds to the WMich 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the WMich 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Terry Swanson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 46

Situational Analysis

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
58%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
44%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
14%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
78%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays