Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 12, 2016Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 3.6

Home Win Probability

Buffalo 39%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 12, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
13712335
BuffaloBuffalo
0731424

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-130-207-2010-2010-3210-3517-3524-35
BuffaloMiami (OH)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(M(BUFM(BUFBUFM(BUFBUFBUFM(BUFM(BUFM(TD675ydMISS941ydPUNT30ydPUNT518ydTD689ydPUNT33ydPUNT516ydPUNT3-2ydTD538ydDOWNS1461ydTD1-5ydPUNT39ydPUNT38ydPUNT37ydEND1-1ydFG1166ydPUNT619ydTD20ydTD1451ydPUNT34ydFG947ydTD1175ydPUNT514ydTD968ydEND21yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami (OH) and Buffalo
StatisticMiami (OH)Buffalo
Passing7-1421-40
Pass Yards105193
Rush Yards204187
Total Yards309380
Turnovers12
3rd Down6-136-16
Penalties6-425-36
Possession28:5231:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami (OH)
passing
Gus Ragland
7/14, 105 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Alonzo Smith
7 CAR, 91 YDS
receiving
Jared Murphy
2 REC, 57 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Buffalo
passing
Grant Rohach
9/13, 97 YDS
rushing
Jordan Johnson
29 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Mason Schreck
10 REC, 89 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the MiaOh 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Maurice Thomas run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Gus Ragland pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+11 yds

[SGUN], RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to GARDNER, James (LEWIS, Cameron), PENALTY UB pass interference (LEWIS, Cameron) 11 yards to the MIAMI42, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Gus Ragland pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 5 yds to the MiaOh 47

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.97

Gus Ragland pass complete to Grant Niemiec for 11 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 40 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the Buff 28

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.01

Jordan Johnson run for 14 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Mason Schreck for 7 yds to the Buff 49

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Johnathan Hawkins run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Marcus McGill for 10 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.54

Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 38

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Tyree Jackson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 32

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Adam Mitcheson 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Kenny Young run for no gain to the MiaOh 32

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Maurice Thomas run for no gain to the MiaOh 32

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 27 yds, downed at the Buff 41

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Jordan Johnson run for 8 yds to the Buff 49

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyree Jackson run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Johnathan Hawkins for 2 yds to the MiaOh 44

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Mason Schreck

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 12

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Gus Ragland pass complete to Maurice Thomas for 8 yds to the MiaOh 20

3rd & 1Rush+70 ydsPPA +4.23

Alonzo Smith run for 70 yds to the Buff 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Spencer McInnis run for 3 yds to the Buff 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Gus Ragland pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Gus Ragland run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the Buff 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 40 yds , Jared Murphy returns for no gain to the MiaOh 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 25

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Gus Ragland run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Gus Ragland pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

[PSTL], RAGLAND, Gus pass complete to WILLIAMS, R. for 46 yards to the UB19 (WILLIAMSON, Rya), PENALTY MIAMI ineligible downfield on pass (MCCOLLUM, Sam) 5 yards to the MIAMI30, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 9 yds to the MiaOh 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 55 yds , Jamarl Eiland returns for 4 yds to the Buff 43 BUFFALO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Buff 10

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

[SGUN], HAWKINS, Johnat rush for 1 yard to the UB11 (JONES, JT;HARDING, Heath), PENALTY UB personal foul (O'HAGAN, James) 5 yards to the UB5, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Johnathan Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Buff 8

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Johnathan Hawkins run for no gain to the Buff 8

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Johnathan Hawkins

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the Buff 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.43

Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 15 yds to the Buff 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.47

Maurice Thomas run for 16 yds to the Buff 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-5 yds

[SGUN], PENALTY MIAMI false start (HEIDEMAN, R.) 5 yards to the UB12, NO PLAY.

1st & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Gus Ragland pass incomplete

2nd & 12Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.90

Gus Ragland sacked by Ishmael Hargrove and Jarrett Franklin for a loss of 5 yards to the Buff 17

3rd & 17Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.81

Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 17 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Mason Schreck for 13 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the Buff 41

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the Buff 45

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Buff 47

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.10

Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Kamathi Holsey for 9 yds to the MiaOh 43

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.81

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyree Jackson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.69

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Mason Schreck, broken up by Buchi Okafor for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul (Buchi Okafor) to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Marcus McGill

4th & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA -2.63

Tyree Jackson run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 14

1st & 10Sack+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Gus Ragland sacked by Brandon Crawford for a loss of 5 yards Gus Ragland fumbled, recovered by Buff Brandon Crawford , return for 0 yards , return for 9 yds, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Gus Ragland run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 40

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 42

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Buff 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Marcus McGill for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 23 yds, downed at the MiaOh 27

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Maurice Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 26

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Alonzo Smith run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 34

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Gus Ragland run for no gain to the MiaOh 34

4th & 3Punt+5 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 18 , Jamarl Eiland returns for 5 yds to the Buff 18

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 17

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Mason Schreck for 13 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Marcus McGill for 12 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Tyree Jackson run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 45

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan Johnson run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 34

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Jordan Johnson run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 19

2nd & 6Penalty+6 yds

[SGUN], JACKSON, Tyree pass incomplete to SCHRECK, Mason, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (HARDING, Heath) 6 yards to the MIAMI13, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 12

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Mason Schreck, broken up by Brad Koenig

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey

4th & 9Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.45

Adam Mitcheson 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Kenny Young run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Spencer McInnis run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Maurice Thomas run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Kenny Young

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

[SGUN], PENALTY MIAMI false start (HEIDEMAN, R.) 5 yards to the MIAMI32, NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Gus Ragland run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jamarl Eiland at the Buff 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Marcus McGill

2nd & 10Interception Return Touchdown-20 ydsPPA -7.18

Tyree Jackson pass intercepted for a TD De'Andre Montgomery return for 20 yds for a TD, (Nick Dowd PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 40

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jordan Johnson run for 6 yds to the Buff 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.32

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Mason Schreck for 10 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Johnson run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 39

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Marcus McGill for 6 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Mason Schreck for 2 yds to the MiaOh 31

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jordan Johnson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 25

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Malcolm Robinson for 6 yds to the MiaOh 15

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Johnathan Hawkins run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 3 BUFFALO Penalty, Offensive holding (Kamathi Holsey) to the MiaOh 13

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.25

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Johnson run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 3

3rd & 0Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+92 yds

Tyree Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards Tyree Jackson fumbled, recovered by MiaOh De'Andre Montgomery , return for 92 yds, (Nick Dowd PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the Buff 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Grant Rohach pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 3 yds to the Buff 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Marcus McGill, broken up by Buchi Okafor

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Kenny Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 49

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +3.14

Gus Ragland run for 19 yds to the Buff 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Alonzo Smith run for 7 yds to the Buff 24

2nd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.28

Spencer McInnis run for 17 yds to the Buff 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Spencer McInnis run for 2 yds to the Buff 5

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Spencer McInnis run for no gain to the Buff 5

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the Buff 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 ydsPPA -1.08

Nick Dowd 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the Buff 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Grant Rohach pass complete to Mason Schreck for 9 yds to the Buff 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Grant Rohach run for 5 yds to the Buff 41

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Grant Rohach run for 1 yd to the Buff 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.83

Grant Rohach pass complete to Mason Schreck for 5 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Jamarl Eiland

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.48

Grant Rohach pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 25 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.44

Grant Rohach run for 20 yds to the MiaOh 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Mason Schreck

2nd & 8Penalty+6 yds

[SGUN], ROHACH, Grant pass incomplete to MCGILL, Marcus, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (OKAFOR, Buchi) 6 yards to the MIAMI2, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, Defensive offside (Tatum Slack) to the MiaOh 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Spencer McInnis run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 33

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.39

Spencer McInnis run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Spencer McInnis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 47

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Spencer McInnis run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 48

3rd & 6Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.38

Spencer McInnis run for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 42

4th & 12Punt+21 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 47 yds , Jamarl Eiland returns for 21 yds to the Buff 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Johnathan Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Buff 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Grant Rohach pass complete to Mason Schreck for 8 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Grant Rohach pass complete to Mason Schreck for 13 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Grant Rohach pass complete to Jamarl Eiland for 12 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Johnathan Hawkins run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.78

Grant Rohach pass complete to Johnathan Hawkins for 13 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Grant Rohach pass complete to Mason Schreck for 9 yds to the MiaOh 10

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Grant Rohach pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.55

Johnathan Hawkins run for 10 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Spencer McInnis run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 44

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 43

Situational Analysis

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
37 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
43%
14 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays