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← Back to GamesNov 2, 2016Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Michigan by 12.9

Home Win Probability

Ball State 16%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 2, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
217141052
Ball StateBall State
733720

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-77-147-2110-2110-2810-4213-4520-52
Ball StateWestern Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMBSWMTD938ydTD475ydPUNT48ydPUNT32ydTD880ydDOWNS632ydTD157ydDOWNS1352ydPUNT37ydFG949ydTD778ydTO10ydPUNT33ydMISS732ydPUNT30ydTO542ydTD162ydPUNT615ydTD1096ydFG657ydFG1791ydPUNT35ydTD568ydTD1162ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Michigan and Ball State
StatisticWestern MichiganBall State
Passing23-3420-38
Pass Yards367199
Rush Yards186298
Total Yards553497
Turnovers03
3rd Down4-96-17
Penalties2-106-55
Possession28:4531:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Michigan
passing
Zach Terrell
23/34, 367 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jarvion Franklin
17 CAR, 109 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Corey Davis
12 REC, 272 YDS, 3 TD
defense
Ball State
passing
Jack Milas
20/38, 199 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
James Gilbert
29 CAR, 155 YDS
receiving
KeVonn Mabon
5 REC, 58 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Milas pass incomplete to KeVonn Mabon

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.54

James Gilbert run for 10 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Jack Milas pass complete to Aaron Hepp for 13 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the WMich 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton Jr.

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.07

Jack Milas pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 7 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the WMich 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Cywettnie Brown

3rd & 6Interception Return Touchdown-75 ydsPPA -9.73

Darius Phillips 75 Yd Interception Return (Butch Hampton Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.81

James Gilbert run for 14 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Malik Dunner run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.57

Malik Dunner 50 Yd Run (Morgan Hagee Kick)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BALL ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Sean Wiggins) to the WMich 24

1st & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.48

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 6 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 2 yds to the WMich 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Michael Henry

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Michael Henry

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Drake Spears) to the WMich 27

4th & 13Punt0 yds

James Coleman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the BalSt 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton Jr.

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton Jr.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kyle Schmidt punt for 42 yds, downed at the WMich 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 10 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 4 yds to the WMich 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.46

Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 10 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.05

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 16 yds to the BALLST 34 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, 12 Men on the Field ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the BalSt 31

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Jamauri Bogan run for 8 yds to the BalSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Jarvion Franklin 23 Yd Run (Butch Hampton Kick)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

James Gilbert run for 11 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.38

James Gilbert run for 15 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Milas, Jack pass incomplete to Pinter, Danny, PENALTY BALLST holding (Dunner, Malik) 10 yards to the BALLST41, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.57

James Gilbert run for 16 yds to the WMich 43

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

James Gilbert run for no gain to the WMich 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jack Milas pass incomplete to KeVonn Mabon

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Jordan Hogue

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +4.47

Corey Davis 57 Yd pass from Zach Terrell (Butch Hampton Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the BalSt 32

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 35

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.42

James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Jack Milas pass complete to Aaron Hepp for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 38

2nd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.44

James Gilbert run for 11 yds to the BalSt 49

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.67

James Gilbert run for 12 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Malik Dunner run for 2 yds to the WMich 37

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Milas, Jack pass incomplete to Hazelton Jr., Damon, PENALTY BALLST holding (Dunner, Malik) 10 yards to the WESTMICH47, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the WMich 41

3rd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.66

Jack Milas run for 14 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the WMich 23

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the WMich 19

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the WMich 18

4th & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -3.74

James Gilbert run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 22

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Zach Terrell pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 6 yds to the WMich 28

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Derrick Mitchell punt for 43 yds, downed at the BalSt 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Jack Milas pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 13 yds to the BalSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BALL ST Penalty, False Start (Alex Joss) to the BalSt 37

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the BalSt 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.14

Jack Milas pass complete to Cywettnie Brown for 20 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Jack Milas pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 13 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.20

James Gilbert run for 11 yds to the WMich 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Williamson, Teddy rush for 7 yards to the WESTMICH11, PENALTY BALLST holding (Joss, Alex) 10 yards to the WESTMICH28, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jack Milas pass incomplete to KeVonn Mabon

2nd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

James Gilbert run for no gain to the WMich 28

3rd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jack Milas pass complete to Damon Hazelton Jr. for 6 yds to the WMich 22

4th & 14Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.81

Morgan Hagee 39 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.55

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 12 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.92

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 22 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Zach Terrell pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 8 yds to the BalSt 36

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.83

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 6 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Keishawn Watson) to the BalSt 35

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.42

Corey Davis 35 Yd pass from Zach Terrell (Butch Hampton Kick)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.99

Jack Milas pass intercepted Justin Ferguson return for no gain to the WMich 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 16

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Donnie Ernsberger

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Coleman punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.31

Jack Milas pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 16 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jack Milas pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 6 yds to the WMich 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jack Milas pass complete to Damon Hazelton Jr. for 6 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jack Milas pass incomplete to KeVonn Mabon

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jack Milas pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 4 yds to the WMich 27

4th & 6Blocked Field Goal+44 yds

Morgan Hagee 44 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by TEAM

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington Thompson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington Thompson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Coleman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Corey Lacanaria at the BalSt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jack Milas pass complete to Teddy Williamson for 8 yds to the BalSt 43

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Teddy Williamson

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.71

Jack Milas pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Jack Milas pass complete to Teddy Williamson for 12 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -3.91

Jack Milas pass complete to Damon Hazelton Jr. for 15 yds Damon Hazelton Jr. fumbled, forced by Asantay Brown, recovered by WMich Asantay Brown

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +4.95

Corey Davis 62 Yd pass from Zach Terrell (Butch Hampton Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the BalSt 20

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the BalSt 21

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Jack Milas pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 9 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

James Gilbert run for no gain to the BalSt 30

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Cywettnie Brown

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Aaron Hepp

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kyle Schmidt punt for 66 yds, downed at the WMich 4

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.36

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 1

2nd & 13Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.15

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 23 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.19

Jarvion Franklin run for 14 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.05

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 29 yds to the BalSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Jarvion Franklin run for 9 yds to the BalSt 24

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.42

Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the BalSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the BalSt 14

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Jarvion Franklin run for 9 yds to the BalSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the BalSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jarvion Franklin 2 Yd Run (Butch Hampton Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the BalSt 22

2nd & 6Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.73

Jack Milas run for 47 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the WMich 27

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the WMich 25

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Cywettnie Brown

4th & 4Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA -0.02

Morgan Hagee 42 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.42

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 14 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.84

Jarvion Franklin run for 13 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds to the WMich 37

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 7 yds to the WMich 47

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.30

Davon Tucker run for no gain to the WMich 47

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.74

Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Zach Terrell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the BalSt 39

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.35

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 13 yds to the BalSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Davon Tucker run for 1 yd to the BalSt 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 10 yds to the BalSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the BalSt 7

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the BalSt 6

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.97

Butch Hampton 23 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Corey Lacanaria

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Cywettnie Brown

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Jack Milas pass complete to Aaron Hepp for 5 yds to the BalSt 22

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kyle Schmidt punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 11 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+55 ydsPPA +3.25

Tom Flacco run for 55 yds to the BalSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Fabian Johnson run for 1 yd to the BalSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tom Flacco run for no gain to the BalSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Fabian Johnson 1 Yd Run (Butch Hampton Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Malik Dunner run for 4 yds to the BalSt 42

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Malik Dunner run for 2 yds to the BalSt 44

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jack Milas run for 3 yds to the BalSt 47

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.26

Teddy Williamson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jack Milas run for 5 yds to the WMich 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Malik Dunner run for 2 yds to the WMich 43

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Teddy Williamson run for 2 yds to the WMich 41

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.86

Teddy Williamson run for 1 yd to the WMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.51

Jack Milas pass complete to KeVonn Mabon for 16 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Jack Milas pass complete to Malik Dunner for 10 yds to the WMich 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Damon Hazelton Jr. 14 Yd pass from Jack Milas (Morgan Hagee Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 13

Situational Analysis

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
66%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
33 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
18%
11 plays
33%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play