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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2016Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Buffalo by 2.3

Home Win Probability

Buffalo 57%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 8, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kent StateKent State
101071744
BuffaloBuffalo
0331420

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-103-136-206-2713-2720-3420-44
BuffaloKent State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFFG568ydPUNT617ydTD384ydPUNT33ydPUNT835ydPUNT3-2ydFG839ydFG1568ydPUNT31ydTD1-9ydPUNT425ydEND612ydFG841ydPUNT3-8ydMISS1031ydTD1271ydTD1275ydTD631ydTD879ydTD248ydDOWNS624ydFG554ydUncategorized419yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kent State and Buffalo
StatisticKent StateBuffalo
Passing7-1321-40
Pass Yards89256
Rush Yards341116
Total Yards430372
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-1210-19
Penalties2-122-18
Possession29:3830:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kent State
passing
Nick Holley
7/13, 89 YDS
rushing
Nick Holley
24 CAR, 224 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Justin Rankin
2 REC, 40 YDS
defense
Buffalo
passing
Tyree Jackson
20/39, 250 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tyree Jackson
11 CAR, 40 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marcus McGill
4 REC, 65 YDS
defense
Boise Ross
0.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Adam Mitcheson kickoff for 65 yds , Justin Rankin return for 18 yds to the KntSt 18

1st & 10Rush+65 ydsPPA +3.91

Nick Holley run for 65 yds to the Buff 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the Buff 16

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the Buff 13

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Justin Rankin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 14

4th & 7Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.48

Shane Hynes 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Shane Hynes kickoff for 51 yds , Johnathan Hawkins return for 11 yds to the Buff 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the Buff 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the Buff 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Marcus McGill for 8 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.80

Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 34

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Marcus McGill for 8 yds to the Buff 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.54

Nick Holley pass complete to Kavious Price for 16 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +5.43

Nick Holley run for 67 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Shane Hynes kickoff for 42 yds , Tyler Mabry return for 4 yds to the Buff 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Marcus McGill

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the Buff 30

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Tyler Mabry

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 25

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.72

Nick Holley run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 20

3rd & 12Penalty+10 yds

HOLLEY, Nick pass intercepted by HODGE, Khalil at the KENT25, HODGE, Khalil return to the KENT35, PENALTY UB holding (HODGE, Khalil) 10 yards to the KENT30, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 31

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.89

Nick Holley pass complete to Kavious Price for 18 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the Buff 45

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the Buff 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Nick Holley pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the Buff 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 yds

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Marcus McGill, broken up by Najee Murray BUFFALO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Buff 17

3rd & 9Penalty-8 yds

[SGUN], JACKSON, Tyree pass complete to MCGILL, Marcus for 8 yards to the UB25 (MURRAY, Najee), PENALTY UB pass interference (MCGILL, Marcus) 8 yards to the UB9, NO PLAY.

3rd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Johnathan Hawkins run for 5 yds to the Buff 14

4th & 12Punt+7 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 58 yds , Zaquon Tyson returns for 7 yds to the KntSt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Nick Holley pass complete to Raekwon James for 6 yds to the KntSt 41

2nd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.55

Justin Rankin run for 17 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Nick Holley run for 9 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the Buff 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Nick Holley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the Buff 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Nick Holley pass complete to Kavious Price for 2 yds to the Buff 26

4th & 4Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +0.06

Shane Hynes 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Shane Hynes kickoff for 65 yds , Johnathan Hawkins return for 15 yds to the Buff 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyree Jackson run for 1 yd to the Buff 16

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Johnathan Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Buff 17

3rd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.43

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Marcus McGill for 23 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.02

Tyree Jackson sacked by Jon Cunningham for a loss of 6 yards to the Buff 34

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tyree Jackson run for 5 yds to the Buff 39

3rd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.14

Tyree Jackson run for 14 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jordan Johnson pass complete to Johnathan Hawkins for 6 yds to the KntSt 41

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Tyree Jackson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Mason Schreck, broken up by Nate Holley

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.19

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Mason Schreck for 9 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Johnson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 18

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the KntSt 18

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyree Jackson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 17

4th & 4Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA -0.55

Adam Mitcheson 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Adam Mitcheson kickoff for 43 yds , Myles Washington return for 9 yds to the KntSt 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Nick Holley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 32

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Nick Holley pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 44 yds , Jamarl Eiland returns for no gain to the Buff 24

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -0.85

Jordan Johnson run for no gain Jordan Johnson fumbled, forced by Jon Cunningham, recovered by KntSt James Alexander , return for 15 yds, (Shane Hynes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 20 yds to the Buff 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jordan Johnson for 3 yds to the Buff 48

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Johnathan Hawkins run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Marcus McGill

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Zaquon Tyson at the KntSt 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 20

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 25

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.43

Justin Rankin run for 11 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Nick Holley pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 7 yds to the KntSt 43

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Justin Rankin run for 6 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-21 ydsPPA -3.39

Nick Holley sacked by Brandon Crawford for a loss of 21 yards to the KntSt 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.27

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jordan Johnson for 30 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 4 yds to the KntSt 29

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.74

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Malcolm Robinson for 4 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 21

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.87

Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 24

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Marcus McGill, broken up by Najee Murray

4th & 9Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +0.44

Adam Mitcheson 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Adam Mitcheson kickoff for 65 yds , Justin Rankin return for 22 yds to the KntSt 22

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

[SGUN], PENALTY KENT false start (SHINSKY, Connor) 5 yards to the KENT17, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Kavious Price run for no gain to the KntSt 17

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 19

3rd & 13Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.11

Nick Holley sacked by Jordan Collier for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 14

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jamarl Eiland at the Buff 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey, broken up by James Alexander

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Mason Schreck for 3 yds to the Buff 43

3rd & 7Penalty+7 yds

[SGUN], JACKSON, Tyree pass incomplete to MCGILL, Marcus (MURRAY, Najee), PENALTY KENT pass interference (MURRAY, Najee) 7 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Jordan Johnson run for 9 yds to the KntSt 41

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey, broken up by Jamal Parker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Malcolm Robinson for 10 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Malcolm Robinson, broken up by Najee Murray

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey, broken up by Juantez McRae

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Malcolm Robinson

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Adam Mitcheson 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kavious Price run for no gain to the KntSt 29

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.24

Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 10 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.80

Nick Holley pass complete to Justin Rankin for 30 yds to the Buff 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nick Holley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Justin Rankin run for 7 yds to the Buff 21

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the Buff 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the Buff 13

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.27

Nick Holley run for 10 yds to the Buff 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Justin Rankin run for no gain to the Buff 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Nick Holley pass incomplete to Ryan Malone

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Nick Holley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Tyree Jackson run for 11 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jamarl Eiland for 7 yds to the Buff 43

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Mason Schreck, broken up by Najee Murray

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.95

Johnathan Hawkins run for 8 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Johnathan Hawkins run for 2 yds to the KntSt 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.74

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Kamathi Holsey for 20 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.32

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Kamathi Holsey for 18 yds to the KntSt 9 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyree Jackson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Malcolm Robinson

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Jordan Johnson run for 7 yds to the KntSt 1

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Johnathan Hawkins for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK) KENT ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+66 yds

Adam Mitcheson kickoff for 62 yds , Raekwon James return for 66 yds to the Buff 31

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Will Matthews run for no gain to the Buff 31

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Nick Holley run for 8 yds to the Buff 23

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Nick Holley run for 8 yds to the Buff 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Nick Holley run for 8 yds to the Buff 7

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.90

Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the Buff 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Nick Holley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Shane Hynes kickoff for 55 yds , Johnathan Hawkins return for 11 yds to the Buff 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.24

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Marcus McGill for 26 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.43

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Malcolm Robinson for 30 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Malcolm Robinson, broken up by Najee Murray

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.46

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Mason Schreck for 9 yds to the KntSt 14

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Jordan Johnson run for 7 yds to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Jordan Johnson run for 6 yds to the KntSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tyree Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Will Matthews run for 5 yds to the Buff 43

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.59

Nick Holley run for 43 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Shane Hynes kickoff for 50 yds , Marcus McGill return for 30 yds to the Buff 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jamarl Eiland for 9 yds to the KntSt 46

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyree Jackson run for 6 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Jamarl Eiland

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyree Jackson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey

4th & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -1.15

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Malcolm Robinson for 8 yds to the KntSt 31

1st & 10Rush+51 ydsPPA +3.02

Will Matthews run for 51 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Will Matthews run for 6 yds to the Buff 12

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.66

George Bollas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Buff 15

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Will Matthews run for no gain to the Buff 15

4th & 7Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.42

Shane Hynes 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Shane Hynes kickoff for 44 yds , Marcus McGill return for 13 yds to the Buff 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Johnathan Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Buff 38

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Emmanuel Reed run for 5 yds to the Buff 43

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Emmanuel Reed run for 9 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the KntSt 47

Situational Analysis

Kent State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
43%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
34%
32 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
21%
14 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays