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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2016Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boston College by 7

Home Win Probability

Boston College 71%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 1, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
03003
Boston CollegeBoston College
71401435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-328-335-3
Boston CollegeBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BCBUFBCBUFBCBUFBCBUFBCBUFBCBUFBCBUFBUFBCBUFBCBUFBCBUFBCBUFBCBUFPUNT30ydPUNT57ydPUNT610ydPUNT35ydDOWNS47ydPUNT30ydTD871ydPUNT33ydTD1154ydPUNT47ydTO3-6ydFG40ydTD1184ydEND1-2ydPUNT415ydPUNT829ydPUNT422ydTO1144ydPUNT3-4ydTD878ydTO517ydPUNT31ydPUNT32ydTD839ydEND1-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Boston College
StatisticBuffaloBoston College
Passing10-2315-27
Pass Yards41258
Rush Yards26142
Total Yards67400
Turnovers12
3rd Down1-1110-20
Penalties5-394-28
Possession16:5343:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Tyree Jackson
9/21, 42 YDS
rushing
Johnathan Hawkins
6 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
Mason Schreck
2 REC, 26 YDS
defense
Boston College
passing
Patrick Towles
14/25, 234 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jon Hilliman
19 CAR, 54 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jeff Smith
5 REC, 65 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 35

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 36

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff Smith

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 31 yds, downed at the Buff 33

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Johnathan Hawkins run for 7 yds to the Buff 40

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Marcus McGill for 1 yd to the Buff 45

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Malcolm Robinson run for no gain to the Buff 45

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Buff 40

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Malcolm Robinson, broken up by Isaac Yiadom

4th & 14Punt+15 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 46 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for 15 yds to the BC 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Jon Hilliman run for 7 yds to the BC 36

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 35

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.75

Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 6 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 39

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Patrick Towles pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff Smith BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyree Jackson run for 3 yds to the Buff 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Marcus McGill for 2 yds to the Buff 37

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

4th & 5Blocked Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt blocked by Matt Milano blocked by Matt Milano

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the Buff 39

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the Buff 35

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the Buff 34

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.35

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff Smith

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Johnathan Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 32

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Malcolm Robinson

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Johnathan Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Buff 34

4th & 10Punt+14 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 51 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for 14 yds to the BC 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the BC 33

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Michael Walker run for 5 yds to the BC 38

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.54

Davon Jones run for 7 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +1.75

Patrick Towles pass complete to Chris Garrison for 44 yds to the Buff 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the Buff 8

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Patrick Towles pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.96

Patrick Towles run for 7 yds to the Buff 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Davon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the Buff 15

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the Buff 18

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Marcus McGill

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 36 yds, downed at the BC 46

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Myles Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 44

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Myles Willis run for 5 yds to the BC 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 10 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff Smith

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.86

Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Buff 45

3rd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.78

Patrick Towles run for 13 yds to the Buff 32

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.38

Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.39

Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 21 yds to the Buff 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the Buff 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Patrick Towles pass incomplete

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 7 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Marcus McGill for 14 yds to the Buff 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Buff 41

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the Buff 41

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -0.88

Tyree Jackson sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 9 yards to the Buff 32 Tyree Jackson fumbled, , return for 0 yards

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 51 yds, downed at the BC 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Tommy Sweeney

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Thadd Smith run for 4 yds to the BC 21

3rd & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.33

Patrick Towles sacked by Ishmael Hargrove for a loss of 10 yards to the BC 11 Patrick Towles fumbled, recovered by Buff Ishmael Hargrove , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Johnathan Hawkins

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.43

Adam Mitcheson 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 13

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Towles,P pass complete to Walker,M for 10 yards to the BC23 (ROBERTS, Tim), PENALTY BC illegal procedure 5 yards to the BC8, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Rush0 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyler Rouse run for no gain to the BC 8

3rd & 18Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.13

Patrick Towles pass complete to Tyler Rouse for 27 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 9 yds to the BC 44

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Patrick Towles run for 3 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.54

Patrick Towles pass complete to Davon Jones for 38 yds to the Buff 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the Buff 11

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Jon Hilliman run for 6 yds to the Buff 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the Buff 1

2nd & 1Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.25

TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the Buff 11

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.15

Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 11 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 10

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Mason Schreck for 3 yds to the Buff 14

2nd & 7Penalty+10 yds

JACKSON, Tyree pass incomplete to ROBINSON, Malco, PENALTY BC holding 10 yards to the UB24, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the Buff 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Marcus McGill for 1 yd to the Buff 26

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Mason Schreck

4th & 8Punt+9 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 47 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for 9 yds to the BC 36

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Davon Jones run for 11 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Davon Jones run for 8 yds to the Buff 45

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Patrick Towles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the Buff 40

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Towles,P pass incomplete to Walker,M, PENALTY UB pass interference 15 yards to the UB25, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-3 yds

Willis,M rush for 15 yards to the UB10 (ROBERTS, Tim), PENALTY BC holding 3 yards to the UB28, NO PLAY.

1st & 13Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.97

Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the Buff 31

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Patrick Towles run for 5 yds to the Buff 26

3rd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.59

Patrick Towles sacked by Demone Harris for a loss of 9 yards to the Buff 35

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 18 yds, downed at the Buff 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.78

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Mason Schreck for 23 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.91

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jamarl Eiland for a loss of 5 yards to the Buff 35

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyree Jackson run for 4 yds to the Buff 39

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+5 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 46 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for 5 yds to the BC 44 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the BC 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Davon Jones run for no gain to the BC 10

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BC 13

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.82

Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 7 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Myles Willis run for 3 yds to the BC 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Michael Walker

3rd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.11

Patrick Towles run for 15 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the BC 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.55

Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 15 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the Buff 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Charlie Callinan

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -2.19

Patrick Towles run for a loss of 4 yards to the Buff 46 Patrick Towles fumbled, forced by Charles Harris, recovered by Buff Brandon Crawford

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the Buff 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete, broken up by Matt Milano

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 44

3rd & 12Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.56

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Johnathan Hawkins for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 42

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 36 yds, downed at the BC 22

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Jon Hilliman run for 10 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the BC 37

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.41

Jon Hilliman run for 11 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the Buff 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +2.22

Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 43 yds to the Buff 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the Buff 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the Buff 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Johnathan Hawkins run for 6 yds to the Buff 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Marcus McGill for 5 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.81

Johnathan Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Buff 42 Johnathan Hawkins fumbled, forced by Truman Gutapfel, recovered by BC Connor Strachan

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Richard Wilson run for 1 yd to the Buff 41

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Richard Wilson run for no gain to the Buff 41

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Darius Wade pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mike Knoll punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Johnathan Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Buff 10

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.27

Grant Rohach pass complete to Tyler Mabry for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 9

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Jamarl Eiland, broken up by Isaac Yiadom

4th & 8Punt+16 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 46 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for 16 yds to the Buff 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Richard Wilson run for 2 yds to the Buff 37

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Richard Wilson run for 4 yds to the Buff 33

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Richard Wilson run for 1 yd to the Buff 32

4th & 3Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.14

Darius Wade pass complete to Colton Cardinal for 24 yds to the Buff 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Richard Wilson run for 1 yd to the Buff 7

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Richard Wilson run for no gain to the Buff 7

3rd & 7Penalty+4 yds

Wade,D pass incomplete, PENALTY UB offside 4 yards to the UB3, NO PLAY.

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Richard Wilson run for no gain to the Buff 3

4th & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Richard Wilson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.17

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Buff 22

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
17%
18 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
10%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
38%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
5 plays
100%
5 plays
0%
12 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
75%
4 plays