Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 17, 2016Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Michigan by 4.3

Home Win Probability

Illinois 37%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 17, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
14103734
IllinoisIllinois
073010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-217-2410-2410-2710-34
IllinoisWestern Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WMILLWMILLWMILLWMILLWMILLWMILLWMILLWMILLWMILLWMILLWMILLWMILLWMILLWMPUNT3-7ydPUNT738ydPUNT512ydDOWNS734ydTD560ydPUNT421ydTD281ydTO1-5ydTD25ydPUNT417ydMISS739ydTD374ydFG1165ydPUNT514ydEND21ydFG1061ydPUNT4-3ydPUNT3-2ydFG762ydPUNT412ydPUNT418ydPUNT37ydTD665ydTO437ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-10ydDOWNS715yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Michigan and Illinois
StatisticWestern MichiganIllinois
Passing9-1329-42
Pass Yards150312
Rush Yards2873
Total Yards437315
Turnovers02
3rd Down2-111-11
Penalties5-367-48
Possession35:0025:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Michigan
passing
Zach Terrell
9/13, 150 YDS
rushing
Jamauri Bogan
24 CAR, 189 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Corey Davis
4 REC, 97 YDS
defense
Illinois
passing
Wes Lunt
29/42, 312 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ke'Shawn Vaughn
8 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
Malik Turner
9 REC, 107 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.19

Zach Terrell sacked by Carroll Phillips for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 45

2nd & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.87

Zach Terrell sacked by Jamal Milan for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 43

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Zach Terrell pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt+4 yds

James Coleman punt for 38 yds , Darius Mosely returns for 4 yds to the Illin 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.65

Wes Lunt pass complete to Zach Grant for 19 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Wes Lunt pass complete to Justin Hardee for 6 yds to the Illin 48

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Illin 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.92

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 10 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Wes Lunt pass complete to Reggie Corbin for 4 yds to the WMich 37

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.37

Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 39

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner

4th & 8Punt0 yds

David Reisner punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zach Terrell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 11 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 33

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.74

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 32

4th & 9Punt+1 yds

James Coleman punt for 43 yds , Darius Mosely returns for 1 yd to the Illin 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.54

Wes Lunt pass complete to Nathan Echard for 17 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 42

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.22

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 11 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the WMich 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 5 yds to the WMich 38

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -2.25

Tre Nation run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 10 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.00

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 44 yds to the Illin 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the Illin 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.28

Wes Lunt pass complete to Dionte Taylor for 19 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Wes Lunt pass complete to Dionte Taylor for 5 yds to the Illin 39

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 2 yds to the Illin 41

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Wes Lunt pass incomplete

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the Illin 36

4th & 8Punt0 yds

David Reisner punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.52

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 30 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Terrell, Zach pass incomplete, PENALTY ILLINOIS roughing passer (James, Chris) 15 yards to the ILLINOIS36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Jamauri Bogan run for 36 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Illin 19

1st & 15Sack+18 ydsPPA +1.80

Wes Lunt sacked by Eric Assuoa for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 5 Wes Lunt fumbled, recovered by WMich , return for 18 yds to the Illin 5

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the Illin 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Zach Terrell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Wes Lunt pass complete to Justin Hardee for 13 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the WMich 49

2nd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.48

Wes Lunt sacked by Keion Adams for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 42

3rd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Wes Lunt pass complete to Ainslie Johnson for 10 yds to the WMich 48

4th & 6Punt0 yds

David Reisner punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 41

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WMich 46

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+13 ydsPPA +1.96

Jamauri Bogan run for 13 yds to the Illin 40 Jamauri Bogan fumbled, recovered by WMich Donnie Ernsberger for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the Illin 34

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Illin 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the Illin 28

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.88

Zach Terrell sacked by Carroll Phillips for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 34

3rd & 15Penalty-10 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Illin 44

3rd & 25Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.36

Zach Terrell run for 18 yds to the Illin 26

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Butch Hampton 43 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.94

Wes Lunt pass complete to Justin Hardee for 15 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.37

Wes Lunt pass complete to Ainslie Johnson for 56 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 22

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.23

Jamauri Bogan run for 10 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Jamauri Bogan run for 19 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Jarvion Franklin run for 16 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Illin 38

1st & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Zach Terrell sacked by Rob Bain for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 40

2nd & 17Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.23

Jamauri Bogan run for 11 yds to the Illin 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 12 yds to the Illin 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the Illin 16

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the Illin 15

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

4th & 8Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.35

Butch Hampton 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Wes Lunt pass complete to Zach Grant for 7 yds to the Illin 30

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.49

Wes Lunt pass complete to Zach Grant for 6 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Wes Lunt pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 1 yd to the Illin 37

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Wes Lunt pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

David Reisner punt for 61 yds , Darius Phillips returns for no gain to the WMich 37 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Carrington Thompson) to the WMich 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Zach Terrell run for 1 yd to the WMich 2

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.12

Zach Terrell run for no gain to the WMich 2

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Illin 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Wes Lunt pass complete to Justin Hardee for 12 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.81

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 10 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Wes Lunt pass complete to Nathan Echard for 5 yds to the WMich 36

2nd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.63

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 25 yds to the WMich 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kendrick Foster run for 5 yds to the WMich 6

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Wes Lunt pass complete to Austin Roberts for 3 yds to the WMich 3

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Reggie Corbin

4th & 2Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -1.13

Chase McLaughlin 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.78

Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the WMich 40 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WMich 30

1st & 16Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 29

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 34

3rd & 12Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.26

Zach Terrell sacked by Chris James for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 33

4th & 13Punt0 yds

James Coleman punt for 44 yds , Darius Mosely returns for no gain to the Illin 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 6 yds to the Illin 29

3rd & 4Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.64

Wes Lunt sacked by Asantay Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 21

4th & 12Punt0 yds

David Reisner punt for 45 yds, downed at the WMich 34

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Zach Terrell run for 11 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 6 yds to the Illin 49

2nd & 4Rush+40 ydsPPA +1.47

Jamauri Bogan run for 40 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the Illin 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the Illin 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -1.02

Butch Hampton 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 12 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Wes Lunt pass complete to Justin Hardee for 3 yds to the Illin 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.02

Wes Lunt pass complete to Ainslie Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 34

3rd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Wes Lunt pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 33

4th & 10Punt0 yds

David Reisner punt for 43 yds, downed at the WMich 24

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Jamauri Bogan run for 11 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 36

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the WMich 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 6 yds to the WMich 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Coleman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Darius Mosely at the Illin 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Justin Hardee

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Wes Lunt pass complete to Kendrick Foster for 7 yds to the Illin 25

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner

4th & 3Punt0 yds

David Reisner punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.43

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 35 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Jamauri Bogan run for 9 yds to the Illin 21

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.43

Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the Illin 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Jarvion Franklin run for 9 yds to the Illin 6

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.01

Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the Illin 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Illin 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.01

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 15 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.56

Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 21 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-23 ydsPPA -3.91

Wes Lunt pass intercepted Robert Spillane return for 23 yds to the WMich 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Zach Terrell run for 4 yds to the WMich 46

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 48

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Punt+1 yds

James Coleman punt for 38 yds , Darius Mosely returns for 1 yd to the Illin 13

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.63

Wes Lunt sacked by Eric Assuoa for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 6

2nd & 17Penalty-3 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (-3 Yards) to the Illin 3

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik Turner

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.01

Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Kendrick Foster

4th & 20Punt0 yds

David Reisner punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Illin 39

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the Illin 35

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.01

Jamauri Bogan run for 10 yds to the Illin 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 27

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 29

3rd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the Illin 24

4th & 9Penalty-10 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Illin 31

4th & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA -1.12

Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the Illin 24

Situational Analysis

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
48%
27 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
60%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays