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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northwestern by 3

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 59%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 3, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
0610622
NorthwesternNorthwestern
707721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-37-1314-1621-22
NorthwesternWestern Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NORWMNORWMNORWMNORNORNORWMNORWMNORWMNORWMNORWMTD1575ydPUNT612ydPUNT32ydMISS827ydPUNT514ydFG1968ydMISS80ydFG1037ydEND1-1ydTD672ydPUNT39ydPUNT36ydTD463ydFG1663ydTD863ydTD1275ydTO659ydEND825yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Michigan and Northwestern
StatisticWestern MichiganNorthwestern
Passing26-3615-22
Pass Yards218196
Rush Yards198123
Total Yards416319
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-174-10
Penalties3-302-20
Possession39:0420:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Michigan
passing
Zach Terrell
26/36, 218 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jamauri Bogan
22 CAR, 103 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Corey Davis
7 REC, 70 YDS
defense
Northwestern
passing
Clayton Thorson
15/22, 196 YDS
rushing
Justin Jackson
23 CAR, 124 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Austin Carr
5 REC, 75 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Justin Jackson run for 6 yds to the Nwest 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.56

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 15 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Andrew Scanlan for 6 yds to the WMich 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.01

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 12 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the WMich 31

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Macan Wilson

4th & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.04

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 14 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Warren Long run for 9 yds to the WMich 8

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Clayton Thorson run for 2 yds to the WMich 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.62

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 7 yds to the WMich 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the WMich 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Justin Jackson 1 Yd Run (Jack Mitchell Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 1 yd to the WMich 40

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.92

Zach Terrell run for 5 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zach Terrell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 47

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zach Terrell pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

James Coleman punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.43

Clayton Thorson sacked by Robert Spillane for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 1

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.05

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Nwest 1

3rd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 8

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 12 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Zach Terrell pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 7 yds to the Nwest 41

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Zach Terrell run for 2 yds to the Nwest 39

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.74

Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the Nwest 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to LeVante Bellamy

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Butch Hampton 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 36

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.35

Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 52 yds, downed at the WMich 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 5 yds to the WMich 7

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.53

Jamauri Bogan run for 13 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.78

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 16 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 39

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 41

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Zach Terrell run for 3 yds to the WMich 44

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.22

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the WMich 32

1st & 25Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 31

2nd & 26Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.21

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 9 yds to the WMich 40

3rd & 17Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.70

Zach Terrell run for 18 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the Nwest 42

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the Nwest 38

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zach Terrell run for 5 yds to the Nwest 33

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the Nwest 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.98

Zach Terrell sacked by Brett Walsh for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 38

2nd & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 8 yds to the Nwest 30

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Zach Terrell pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +1.12

Butch Hampton 47 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Justin Jackson run for 9 yds to the Nwest 39

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.21

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Solomon Vault for 6 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Clayton Thorson sacked by Asantay Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 41

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Chukwuma Okorafor) to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Zach Terrell pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 3 yds to the Nwest 45

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 5 yds to the Nwest 40

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.93

Jamauri Bogan run for 13 yds to the Nwest 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jamauri Bogan for 5 yds to the Nwest 22

2nd & 5Uncategorized+9 yds

Jamauri Bogan run for 9 yds to the Nwest 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 2 yds to the Nwest 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zach Terrell pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Michael Henry

4th & 8Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.57

Butch Hampton 27 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

LeVante Bellamy run for 10 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.66

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 20 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Jarvion Franklin run for 10 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the Nwest 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.66

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 17 yds to the Nwest 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

D'Wayne Eskridge 13 Yd pass from Zach Terrell (Butch Hampton Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 30

2nd & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.31

Clayton Thorson sacked by Caleb Bailey for a loss of 10 yards to the Nwest 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.49

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Solomon Vault for 14 yds to the Nwest 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 49 yds, downed at the WMich 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Zach Terrell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 20

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Zach Terrell pass complete to Fabian Johnson for 3 yds to the WMich 23

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Derrick Mitchell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Matthew Harris at the Nwest 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 10 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 8 yds to the WMich 45

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.48

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 46

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +4.67

Justin Jackson 46 Yd Run (Jack Mitchell Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the WMich 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 5 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds to the WMich 43

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 11 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the Nwest 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Michael Henry

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Zach Terrell pass complete to Fabian Johnson for 7 yds to the Nwest 33

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.50

Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the Nwest 23

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the Nwest 21

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.32

Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the Nwest 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the Nwest 13

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Tom Flacco run for 1 yd to the Nwest 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

4th & 6Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.65

Butch Hampton 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 44

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.77

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 46

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.42

Justin Jackson run for 6 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Andrew Scanlan for 13 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Solomon Vault run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 38

2nd & 11Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 37 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Justin Jackson 1 Yd Run (Jack Mitchell Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Zach Terrell run for 9 yds to the WMich 34

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Jamauri Bogan run for 12 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.20

Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 11 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Zach Terrell run for 6 yds to the Nwest 33

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 4 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the Nwest 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.78

Zach Terrell pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 19 yds to the Nwest 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Zach Terrell run for no gain to the Nwest 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tom Flacco run for 5 yds to the Nwest 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the Nwest 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 2 yds to the Nwest 37

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.50

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 29 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.28

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 14 yds to the WMich 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Justin Jackson run for 12 yds to the WMich 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -4.95

Clayton Thorson run for 5 yds Clayton Thorson fumbled, forced by Robert Spillane, recovered by WMich Davontae Ginwright

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the WMich 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Zach Terrell pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 4 yds to the WMich 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.56

Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 9 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jamauri Bogan run for 9 yds to the WMich 42

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.68

Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 41

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.63

Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 46

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 45

Situational Analysis

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
47%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
67%
9 plays
11%
9 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
52%
21 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play