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← Back to GamesOct 22, 2016Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 10.1

Home Win Probability

Air Force 78%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 22, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
Hawai'iHawai'i
010371434
Air ForceAir Force
7067727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-37-1713-1713-1720-2027-27
Air ForceHawai'i

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HAWAFHAWAFHAWAFHAWAFHAWAFHAWAFAFHAWAFHAWAFHAWAFHAWAFHAWAFAFHAWAFPUNT714ydTD1379ydTO456ydPUNT37ydPUNT69ydDOWNS525ydFG845ydPUNT825ydPUNT434ydTO519ydTD836ydUncategorized00ydFG545ydTO23ydFG618ydPUNT723ydTO6-9ydFG4-6ydTD1275ydTD575ydPUNT35ydTD522ydTD1972ydTD80ydTD425ydTO714yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Hawai'i and Air Force
StatisticHawai'iAir Force
Passing21-371-10
Pass Yards31220
Rush Yards75389
Total Yards387409
Turnovers23
3rd Down6-1312-22
Penalties4-464-35
Possession25:1834:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Hawai'i
passing
Dru Brown
21/37, 312 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Paul Harris
8 CAR, 40 YDS
receiving
Marcus Kemp
6 REC, 151 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Air Force
passing
Nate Romine
1/10, 20 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Shayne Davern
24 CAR, 98 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ryan Reffitt
1 REC, 20 YDS
defense
Patrick Healy
1.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 4 yds to the Hawa 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Dru Brown pass complete to Metuisela 'Unga for 9 yds to the Hawa 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 7 yds to the Hawa 45

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon Barker, broken up by Lochlin Deeks

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Dru Brown pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Williams run for 5 yds to the AFA 32

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jacobi Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 31

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 53 yds, fair catch by John Ursua at the Hawa 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Diocemy Saint Juste run for 7 yds to the Hawa 23

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.11

Dru Brown run for 3 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.82

Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 20 yds to the Hawa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dru Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Haji Dunn Jr.

3rd & 10Penalty-15 yds

HAWAII Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Marcus Kemp) to the Hawa 31

3rd & 25Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.08

Dru Brown pass complete to Paul Harris for a loss of 6 yards to the Hawa 25

4th & 31Punt0 yds

Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 28

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.58

Timothy McVey run for 17 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Shayne Davern run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Timothy McVey run for 4 yds to the Hawa 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Nate Romine run for no gain to the Hawa 46

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.48

Timothy McVey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.41

Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 29 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Dru Brown pass complete to Makoa Camanse-Stevens for 3 yds to the AFA 21

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the AFA 20

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 9 yds to the AFA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Dru Brown pass incomplete to Metuisela 'Unga

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Dru Brown run for 3 yds to the AFA 8

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.75

Rigoberto Sanchez 25 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler Williams run for 3 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nate Romine pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

HAWAII Penalty, Defensive holding (Rojesterman Farris II) to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

D.J. Johnson run for 5 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the AFA 46

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.36

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the Hawa 49

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Williams run for 4 yds to the Hawa 45

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, illegal shift (Timothy McVey) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Nate Romine pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 49 yds, downed at the Hawa 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.43

Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 41 yds to the Hawa 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -2.01

Dru Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the Hawa 37 Dru Brown fumbled, recovered by Hawa Dru Brown

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp

3rd & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.27

Dru Brown sacked by Santo Coppola and Claude Alexander III for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 35

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 48 yds , Ronald Cleveland returns for no gain to the AFA 17

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.65

Timothy McVey run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 14

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.16

Nate Romine run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 12

3rd & 15Penalty+16 yds

HAWAII Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Rojesterman Farris II) to the AFA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Nate Romine pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

D.J. Johnson run for 6 yds to the AFA 34

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -0.54

D.J. Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 36 D.J. Johnson fumbled, forced by Kory Rasmussen, recovered by Hawa Damien Packer

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.97

Paul Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 33

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.47

Dru Brown pass complete to Metuisela 'Unga for 16 yds to the AFA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Dru Brown pass incomplete to Ammon Barker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 13 yds to the AFA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Steven Lakalaka run for 3 yds to the AFA 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Steven Lakalaka run for no gain to the AFA 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Steven Lakalaka 1 Yd Run (Rigoberto Sanchez Kick)

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +3.14

Nate Romine run for 41 yds to the Hawa 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 30

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Nate Romine run for 3 yds to the Hawa 27

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.42

Jacobi Owens run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 30

4th & 6Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.64

Luke Strebel 47 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Diocemy Saint Juste run for 3 yds to the Hawa 42

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-27 ydsPPA -1.72

Dru Brown pass intercepted Jesse Washington return for 27 yds to the Hawa 43

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shayne Davern run for 5 yds to the Hawa 38

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Nate Romine run for 8 yds to the Hawa 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 26

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Jacobi Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 27

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Nate Romine run for 2 yds to the Hawa 25

4th & 5Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +0.09

Luke Strebel 42 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 10 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Paul Harris run for 4 yds to the Hawa 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.45

Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 10 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Paul Harris run for 2 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

HAWAII Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 48

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Timothy McVey run for 8 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Timothy McVey run for 3 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Tyler Williams run for no gain to the AFA 33

3rd & 7Penalty-15 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, illegal block (Jake Barnhorst) to the AFA 18

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

4th & 22Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-9 ydsPPA +0.39

Nate Romine run for a loss of 9 yards to the AFA 11 Nate Romine fumbled, forced by Jahlani Tavai, recovered by Hawa Meffy Koloamatangi

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Paul Harris run for 1 yd to the AFA 10

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Dru Brown pass complete to Dylan Collie for 3 yds to the AFA 7

3rd & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.72

Dru Brown sacked by Ryan Watson for a loss of 10 yards to the AFA 17

4th & 16Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA +0.56

Rigoberto Sanchez 35 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Nate Romine pass complete to Ryan Reffitt for 20 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Shayne Davern run for 6 yds to the Hawa 49

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Shayne Davern run for 3 yds to the Hawa 46

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.17

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the Hawa 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Nate Romine run for 12 yds to the Hawa 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 29

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

D.J. Johnson run for 5 yds to the Hawa 24

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.50

D.J. Johnson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ronald Cleveland run for 5 yds to the Hawa 13

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Shayne Davern run for 11 yds to the Hawa 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Shayne Davern 2 Yd Run (Luke Strebel Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Dru Brown pass complete to Marcus Kemp for 23 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Dru Brown run for 8 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.13

Dru Brown pass complete to John Ursua for 4 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

John Ursua 40 Yd pass from Dru Brown (Rigoberto Sanchez Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

D.J. Johnson run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jacobi Owens run for 1 yd to the AFA 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Tyler Williams

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 48 yds, fair catch by John Ursua at the Hawa 22

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Diocemy Saint Juste run for 7 yds to the Hawa 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Dru Brown pass complete to Ammon Barker for 11 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Dru Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Diocemy Saint Juste run for 1 yd to the Hawa 41

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Dru Brown run for 3 yds to the Hawa 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Rigoberto Sanchez punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the AFA 13

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Shayne Davern run for 12 yds to the AFA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Timothy McVey run for 6 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Nate Romine run for 3 yds to the AFA 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Shayne Davern run for 6 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nate Romine run for 4 yds to the AFA 48

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.40

Parker Wilson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jacobi Owens run for 5 yds to the Hawa 43

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Parker Wilson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.67

Parker Wilson run for 2 yds to the Hawa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the Hawa 34

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the Hawa 30

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.66

Shayne Davern run for 4 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shayne Davern run for 5 yds to the Hawa 21

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Shayne Davern run for 1 yd to the Hawa 20

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Shayne Davern run for 6 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Shayne Davern run for 2 yds to the Hawa 12

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.57

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Hawa 15

3rd & 11Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Luke Strebel 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Shayne Davern run for 2 yds to the Hawa 23

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tyler Williams run for 6 yds to the Hawa 17

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Shayne Davern run for 3 yds to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Shayne Davern run for 8 yds to the Hawa 6

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Shayne Davern run for 1 yd to the Hawa 5

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Nate Romine run for 2 yds to the Hawa 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Shayne Davern run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hawa 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

N. Romine run for 5 yds for a TD, (L. Strebel KICK)

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.07

Marcus Kemp 13 Yd pass from Dru Brown (Rigoberto Sanchez Kick)

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.22

Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the AFA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Dru Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Kemp, broken up by Roland Ladipo

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the AFA 13

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Diocemy Saint Juste run for 2 yds to the AFA 13

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +6.08

Marcus Kemp 25 Yd pass from Dru Brown (Rigoberto Sanchez Kick)

4th & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -3.63

N. Romine pass intercepted by Rogers.

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Shayne Davern run for 3 yds to the Hawa 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Nate Romine run for 3 yds to the Hawa 11

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Shayne Davern run for no gain to the Hawa 11

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Nate Romine pass incomplete to Ryan Reffitt

4th & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.63

Nate Romine pass intercepted Jalen Rogers return for no gain to the Hawa 0

Situational Analysis

Hawai'i

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
24 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
18%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
47%
30 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
23%
13 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
73%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play