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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2016Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 11.9

Home Win Probability

Fresno State 18%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 15, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
377017
Fresno StateFresno State
00303

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-30-103-103-17
Fresno StateSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSDOWNS1275ydTO33ydFG617ydPUNT927ydTD1175ydPUNT39ydPUNT1037ydTO650ydEND211ydFG1354ydPUNT940ydPUNT34ydTD952ydPUNT623ydPUNT33ydPUNT34ydPUNT1037ydTO652ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and Fresno State
StatisticSan Diego StateFresno State
Passing7-1216-27
Pass Yards72139
Rush Yards29278
Total Yards364217
Turnovers03
3rd Down7-135-14
Penalties6-655-36
Possession37:1922:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Christian Chapman
7/12, 72 YDS
rushing
Donnel Pumphrey
38 CAR, 220 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
David Wells
3 REC, 30 YDS
defense
Fresno State
passing
Chason Virgil
16/26, 139 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Chason Virgil
9 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
KeeSean Johnson
8 REC, 56 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the SDSt 33

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.24

Christian Chapman pass complete to Nick Bawden for 14 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.82

Donnel Pumphrey run for 18 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Donnel Pumphrey run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 17

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 12

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.43

Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the FrsSt 8

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Rashaad Penny run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the FrsSt 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Chason Virgil run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 3

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Dontel James run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 4

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.27

Chason Virgil pass intercepted Damontae Kazee return for no gain to the FrsSt 46

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Christian Chapman run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Donnel Pumphrey run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Christian Chapman run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 28

3rd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Christian Chapman sacked by Nela Otukolo and Tobenna Okeke for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 29

4th & 6Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.55

John Baron II 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Dontel James run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 10

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 7 yds to the FrsSt 17

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.52

Dontel James run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Dontel James run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 19

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Dontel James run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Dontel James run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Dontel James run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 3 yds to the FrsSt 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Christian Chapman pass complete to Rashaad Penny for 5 yds to the SDSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.42

Rashaad Penny run for 12 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Rashaad Penny run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 41

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.44

Christian Chapman pass complete to Parker Houston for 14 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Rashaad Penny run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 47

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.44

Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 11 yds to the FrsSt 36

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.59

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.30

Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 14 yds to the FrsSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 10

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Donnel Pumphrey run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Dontel James run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 22

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 8 yds to the FrsSt 30

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Dontel James run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 32

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the SDSt 32

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.52

Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Christian Chapman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Christian Chapman pass complete to Nick Bawden for 9 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 47

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Donnel Pumphrey run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Christian Chapman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Rashaad Penny run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 37

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 42

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Christian Chapman pass incomplete

4th & 16Penalty+5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the FrsSt 37

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Tyquwan Glass at the FrsSt 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 5 yds to the FrsSt 19

2nd & 5Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.49

Chason Virgil run for 28 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Malik Smith) to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.78

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for no gain to the SDSt 38

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Chason Virgil run for 2 yds to the SDSt 36

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson, broken up by Noble Hall

4th & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.53

Blake Cusick pass intercepted Derek Babiash return for no gain to the SDSt 14

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Rashaad Penny run for 10 yds to the SDSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the SDSt 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Aaron Peck

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 6 yds to the FrsSt 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 4 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Dontel James run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 42

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.46

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 4 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Chason Virgil pass complete to Kyle Riddering for 2 yds to the FrsSt 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 1 yd to the FrsSt 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.93

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 22 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Aaron Peck, broken up by Derek Babiash

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Dontel James run for 1 yd to the SDSt 28

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Chason Virgil run for 6 yds to the SDSt 22

4th & 3Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA -0.34

Kody Kroening 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 19

2nd & 6Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.03

Donnel Pumphrey run for 22 yds to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Donnel Pumphrey run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 46

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Christian Chapman run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.39

Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 5 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 31

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 32

3rd & 5Penalty-15 yds

CHAPMAN, Christ rush for no gain to the FS32 (OTUKOLO, Nela), PENALTY SDSU personal foul (BRUNSKILL, Dani) 15 yards to the FS47, NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Christian Chapman run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 45

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tyquwan Glass at the FrsSt 13

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

VIRGIL, Chason pass complete to JOHNSON, KeeSea for 17 yards to the FS30 (SMITH, Malik;BARRETT, Alex), PENALTY FS holding (RIDDERING, Kyle) 6 yards to the FS7, NO PLAY.

1st & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.14

Dontel James run for no gain to the FrsSt 7

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

3rd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.08

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 10 yds to the FrsSt 17

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Donnel Pumphrey, broken up by Tyquwan Glass

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.52

Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Christian Chapman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 32

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.40

Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.25

Christian Chapman run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rashaad Penny run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 13

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.52

Donnel Pumphrey run for 13 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

JAMES, Dontel rush for 3 yards to the FS32 (DUNN, Ryan;BABIASH, Derek), PENALTY FS holding (RIDDERING, Kyle) 10 yards to the FS19, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Chason Virgil run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 21

2nd & 18Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.83

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 8 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (Billy Vaughn Jr) to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Chason Virgil run for 11 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Dontel James run for 3 yds to the SDSt 42

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Dontel James run for 2 yds to the SDSt 40

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.36

Chason Virgil sacked by Kyle Kelley for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSt 48

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 38 yds , Quest Truxton returns for no gain to the SDSt 10 Quest Truxton fumbled, recovered by SDSt Quest Truxton

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Rashaad Penny run for 6 yds to the SDSt 16

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the SDSt 17

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the SDSt 18

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 13

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Dontel James run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 3 yds to the FrsSt 34

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Chason Virgil run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 39

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 34

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the SDSt 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the SDSt 29

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.56

Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the SDSt 43

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 49

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 47

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Rashaad Penny run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 39

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 40

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 33 yds, downed at the FrsSt 7

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan, broken up by Malik Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.77

Chason Virgil pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 49 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Chason Virgil sacked by Alex Barrett for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 48

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 7 yds to the SDSt 41

4th & 7Pass Interception Return-20 ydsPPA -1.19

Chason Virgil pass intercepted Kameron Kelly return for 20 yds to the SDSt 41

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 39

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 38

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
52%
33 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
78%
9 plays
30%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
13%
16 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
36%
11 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays