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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2016Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nevada by 6.4

Home Win Probability

Nevada 69%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 8, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
607922
NevadaNevada
7140627

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-37-614-621-621-1327-1627-22
NevadaFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVPUNT521ydFG959ydTD1082ydFG1157ydMISS1469ydTO324ydTD1044ydPUNT616ydTD984ydTO125ydEND1-15ydPUNT1035ydPUNT412ydTD1565ydTO218ydFG525ydTD1475ydTD975ydPUNT37ydDOWNS1056ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and Nevada
StatisticFresno StateNevada
Passing16-2814-23
Pass Yards197163
Rush Yards255226
Total Yards452389
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-144-11
Penalties5-573-35
Possession32:0827:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Chason Virgil
16/27, 197 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Dontel James
27 CAR, 169 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
KeeSean Johnson
5 REC, 71 YDS
defense
Nevada
passing
Tyler Stewart
13/20, 127 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
James Butler
37 CAR, 175 YDS
receiving
Wyatt Demps
9 REC, 124 YDS, 3 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

James Butler run for 6 yds to the Nevad 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 9 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

James Butler run for 1 yd to the Nevad 41

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

James Butler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Andrew Celis for 2 yds to the Nevad 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Alex Boy punt for 40 yds, downed at the FrsSt 14

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.65

Dontel James run for 34 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Dontel James run for 3 yds to the Nevad 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 11 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Dontel James run for 8 yds to the Nevad 30

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Dontel James run for 2 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Chason Virgil run for 1 yd to the Nevad 27

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Dontel James run for no gain to the Nevad 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson, broken up by Jaden Sawyer

4th & 9Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA +0.72

Kody Kroening 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

James Butler run for 9 yds to the Nevad 27

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.08

James Butler run for 5 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico Richardson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jarred Gipson

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

STEWART, Tyler sacked for loss of 10 yards to the NEV22 (BAILEY,James), PENALTY FS personal foul (BAILEY,James) 15 yards to the NEV47, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

James Butler run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

James Butler run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 48

3rd & 5Penalty-15 yds

STEWART, Tyler rush for 6 yards to the FS42, out-of-bounds (BELONY, Patrick), PENALTY NEV clipping (EDWARDS, Nathan) 15 yards to the NEV37, NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.82

Tyler Stewart pass complete to James Butler for 19 yds to the FrsSt 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.04

James Butler run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 36

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.02

Andrew Celis pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 36 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Justin Rice run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Rice run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 43

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.63

Dontel James run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Chason Virgil pass complete to Kyle Riddering for 12 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Dontel James run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 41

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Dontel James run for 9 yds to the Nevad 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Chason Virgil pass complete to Treyvon Green for 14 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

VIRGIL, Chason pass incomplete to PECK, Aaron, PENALTY NEV pass interference (JOHNSON, K.) 15 yards to the NEV3, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Justin Rice run for no gain to the Nevad 3

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson, broken up by Elijah Mitchell

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.70

Kody Kroening 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jaxson Kincaide run for 12 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jaxson Kincaide run for 9 yds to the Nevad 46

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 7 yds to the FrsSt 44

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

James Butler run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

James Butler run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico Richardson

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 8 yds to the FrsSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (Sean Krepsz) to the FrsSt 31

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

James Butler run for no gain to the FrsSt 31

2nd & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.31

James Butler run for 16 yds to the FrsSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

James Butler run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 13

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

James Butler run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 8

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

James Butler run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 6

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+24 yds

Brent Zuzo 24 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Dontel James run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Dontel James run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 34

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -0.90

Zach Kline run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 44 Zach Kline fumbled, forced by Malik Reed, recovered by Nevad Alex Bertrando

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

James Butler run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 36

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Andrew Celis pass incomplete to Tyler Stewart

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

James Butler run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 35

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.60

James Butler run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico Richardson

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.85

Tyler Stewart run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 2 yds to the FrsSt 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Ahki Muhammad for 5 yds to the FrsSt 14

3rd & 3Penalty+12 yds

STEWART, Tyler pass incomplete to DEMPS, Wyatt, PENALTY FS pass interference (ELLIS, Jamal) 12 yards to the FS2, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

James Butler run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Tyler Stewart run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

KLINE, Zach pass complete to JORDAN, Jamire for 75 yards to the NEV0, clock 04:10, PENALTY FS holding (PECK, Aaron) 10 yards to the FS15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Dontel James run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 23

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Zach Kline run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 26

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Zach Kline run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dontel James run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Zach Kline pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Zach Kline run for no gain to the FrsSt 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Andrew Celis at the Nevad 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

James Butler run for 7 yds to the Nevad 23

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico Richardson, broken up by Tyquwan Glass

3rd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.07

James Butler run for 17 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.20

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 45 yds to the FrsSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 4 yds to the FrsSt 11

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 5 yds to the FrsSt 6

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.04

James Butler run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 3 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+24 ydsPPA -0.92

Dontel James run for 24 yds to the 50 yard line Dontel James fumbled, forced by Dameon Baber, recovered by Nevad Asauni Rufus , return to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -3.27

Tyler Stewart sacked by Nick Kristofors for a loss of 15 yards to the Nevad 35

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dontel James run for no gain to the FrsSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Dontel James run for 16 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 4 yds to the FrsSt 45

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.14

Chason Virgil run for 7 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Dontel James run for 8 yds to the Nevad 40

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Dontel James run for 3 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Dontel James run for 3 yds to the Nevad 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -2.18

Chason Virgil run for a loss of 6 yards to the Nevad 40 Chason Virgil fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Chason Virgil

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Andrew Celis at the Nevad 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 10 yds to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

James Butler run for 2 yds to the Nevad 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Ahki Muhammad, broken up by Tyquwan Glass

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico Richardson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Boy punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyquwan Glass at the FrsSt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Chason Virgil pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 6 yds to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.75

Dontel James run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Dontel James run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Dontel James run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Dontel James

4th & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +3.29

KeeSean Johnson run for 10 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.71

Chason Virgil sacked by Malik Reed for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 44

2nd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.11

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 15 yds to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

JAMES, Dontel rush for 5 yards to the NEV24 (WILSON, Travis), PENALTY FS illegal block (VAZQUEZ, Jacob) 15 yards to the NEV44, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Treyvon Green run for 4 yds to the Nevad 40

2nd & 21Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 6 yds to the Nevad 34

3rd & 15Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +4.14

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 33 yds to the Nevad 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Dontel James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Dontel James run for 1 yd to the Nevad 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Dontel James run for no gain to the Nevad 1

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Chason Virgil pass complete to Jared Rice for 1 yd for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

James Butler run for 8 yds to the Nevad 33

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -1.83

James Butler run for 10 yds to the Nevad 43 James Butler fumbled, forced by Stratton Brown, recovered by FrsSt Nick Kristofors

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.65

Treyvon Green run for 18 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Treyvon Green run for 4 yds to the Nevad 21

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Treyvon Green run for 3 yds to the Nevad 18

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Treyvon Green run for no gain to the Nevad 18

4th & 3Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.57

Kody Kroening 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

James Butler run for 6 yds to the Nevad 31

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

James Butler run for 8 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

James Butler run for 7 yds to the Nevad 46

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.39

James Butler run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 42

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 40

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.86

James Butler run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

James Butler run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 29

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

James Butler run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 27

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 25

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.00

James Butler run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Jaxson Kincaide run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

James Butler run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 8

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.62

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 8 yds for a TD FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Brent Zuzo PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson, broken up by Jordan Silva

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.94

Chason Virgil pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Chason Virgil run for 15 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Chason Virgil pass complete to Treyvon Green for 9 yds to the Nevad 26

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Treyvon Green run for no gain to the Nevad 26

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.28

Chason Virgil run for 2 yds to the Nevad 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.23

Chason Virgil pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 19 yds to the Nevad 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Dontel James run for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

James Butler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 25

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

James Butler run for 4 yds to the Nevad 29

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

James Butler run for no gain to the Nevad 29

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Alex Boy punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 48

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Dontel James run for 3 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 11 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Chason Virgil run for 1 yd to the Nevad 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.14

Chason Virgil pass complete to Delvon Hardaway for 23 yds to the Nevad 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Dontel James run for 10 yds to the Nevad 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Aaron Peck, broken up by Elijah Mitchell

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.29

Chason Virgil pass complete to Dontel James for no gain to the Nevad 4

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 3

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
46%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
55%
11 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
55%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
9 plays
83%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays