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← Back to GamesOct 2, 2016Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

UNLV by 2.3

Home Win Probability

UNLV 57%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 2, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
0710320
UNLVUNLV
021101445

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-721-721-1031-1031-2045-20
UNLVFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSUNLFSPUNT834ydPUNT837ydPUNT919ydPUNT411ydPUNT414ydTD1470ydTD476ydTD769ydPUNT615ydTD267ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT37ydDOWNS49ydEND1-1ydPUNT34ydFG952ydTD390ydPUNT34ydFG954ydTD180ydPUNT31ydFG1038ydPUNT49ydPUNT514ydPUNT510ydPUNT30ydTD356ydDOWNS49ydTD224ydTO620yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and UNLV
StatisticFresno StateUNLV
Passing16-458-16
Pass Yards296129
Rush Yards64364
Total Yards360493
Turnovers10
3rd Down7-217-15
Penalties6-504-45
Possession27:4332:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Chason Virgil
16/45, 296 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dontel James
18 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Aaron Peck
5 REC, 194 YDS, 2 TD
defense
UNLV
passing
Dalton Sneed
8/16, 129 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Charles Williams
18 CAR, 153 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Elijah Trosclair
1 REC, 61 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Dontel James run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 9 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Dontel James

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.64

Chason Virgil run for 19 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dontel James run for 5 yds to the UNLV 36

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 41

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 25

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.29

Dalton Sneed pass complete to Andrew Price for 6 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.97

Dalton Sneed pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 14 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 49

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 49

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Dalton Sneed run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Evan Pantels punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Dontel James run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.21

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 17 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Dontel James run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.01

Chason Virgil pass complete to Michael Martens for 14 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Chason Virgil run for 2 yds to the UNLV 45

2nd & 8Sack-16 ydsPPA -3.01

Chason Virgil sacked by Tau Lotulelei for a loss of 11 yards to the UNLV 44 FRESNO ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Chason Virgil) to the FrsSt 39

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Darren Woods Jr. run for 11 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 35

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 34

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr., broken up by James Bailey

4th & 10Punt+2 yds

Evan Pantels punt for 48 yds , Tyquwan Glass returns for 2 yds to the FrsSt 20

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Jamire Jordan run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Dontel James run for no gain to the FrsSt 32

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Chason Virgil run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 34

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 35

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.31

Dalton Sneed run for 10 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.48

Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Charles Williams run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 35

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Dalton Sneed run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Mekhi Stevenson

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.98

Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 18

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Dalton Sneed run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Dalton Sneed run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Chason Virgil pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 6 yds to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +3.23

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 52 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jamire Jordan run for 3 yds to the UNLV 15

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.70

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 15 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Dalton Sneed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Dalton Sneed run for 8 yds to the UNLV 39

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Dalton Sneed run for 9 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dalton Sneed pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 5 yds to the FrsSt 47

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 44

3rd & 2Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.43

Charles Williams run for 39 yds to the FrsSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Charles Williams run for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Dontel James run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 23

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Aaron Peck

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.90

Chason Virgil pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 4 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Aaron Peck

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Dontel James run for no gain to the FrsSt 27

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Chason Virgil run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 31

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 37 yds , Mekhi Stevenson returns for no gain to the UNLV 33 Mekhi Stevenson fumbled,

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Dalton Sneed pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 6 yds to the UNLV 39

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +5.04

Dalton Sneed pass complete to Elijah Trosclair for 61 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dontel James run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 33

2nd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.48

Chason Virgil sacked by Mike Hughes Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the FrsSt 24

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Dalton Sneed run for 7 yds to the UNLV 35

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd, broken up by DeShawn Potts

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Evan Pantels punt , Juju Hughes returns for no gain to the UNLV 32 Juju Hughes return for 11 yds to the UNLV 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Chason Virgil pass complete to Chason Virgil for 1 yd to the UNLV 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 8 yds to the UNLV 23

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.48

Dontel James run for no gain to the UNLV 23

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 22

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 30

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 31

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 30

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Evan Pantels punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tyquwan Glass at the FrsSt 23

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.01

Jamire Jordan run for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 17

2nd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Dontel James run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 24

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

VIRGIL, Chason pass intercepted by KEYS, Kenny at the LV45, KEYS, Kenny return to the FS30 (JAMES, Dontel), PENALTY LV pass interference (HOUGH, Tim) 15 yards to the FS39, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -2.19

Chason Virgil run for a loss of 9 yards to the FrsSt 24 Chason Virgil fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Chason Virgil

2nd & 25Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.10

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 32

3rd & 17Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +4.37

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 38 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Dontel James run for 1 yd to the UNLV 29

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jamire Jordan run for 4 yds to the UNLV 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +0.09

Kody Kroening 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 9

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Tim Holt, broken up by James Bailey

3rd & 11Rushing Touchdown+91 ydsPPA +7.32

Dalton Sneed run for 91 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Aaron Peck

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Dontel James run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan, broken up by Robert Jackson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 54 yds, downed at the UNLV 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dalton Sneed run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.98

Dalton Sneed pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 36 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 33

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 31

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the FrsSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Dalton Sneed run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 23

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 22

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Dalton Sneed run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 21

4th & 5Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.22

Evan Pantels 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 80 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dalton Sneed pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 5 yds to the UNLV 29

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Mekhi Stevenson

3rd & 5Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.50

Dalton Sneed pass complete to Lexington Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 25

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Evan Pantels punt for 45 yds , Tyquwan Glass returns for 2 yds to the FrsSt 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Dontel James run for no gain to the FrsSt 32

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Aaron Peck

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.86

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 15 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jamire Jordan run for 4 yds to the UNLV 49

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Jamire Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.76

Chason Virgil run for 3 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Robert Jackson) to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Dontel James run for 2 yds to the UNLV 30

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.89

Kody Kroening 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dalton Sneed run for no gain to the UNLV 35

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

SNEED, Dalton pass complete to KANTEMAN, T. for 1 yard to the LV36 (HUGHES, Brandon), PENALTY FS personal foul (OTUKOLO, Nela) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN LV, NO PLAY.

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Evan Pantels punt for 52 yds, downed at the FrsSt 4

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 46

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Dalton Sneed run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.16

Dalton Sneed run for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 44 Dalton Sneed fumbled, recovered by UNLV

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Dontel James run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 11

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Dontel James run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Dontel James run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 18

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Stevenson at the UNLV 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Charles Williams run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

David Greene run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 37

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the FrsSt 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Dalton Sneed pass incomplete to Devonte Boyd, broken up by Jamal Ellis

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

UNLV Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 42

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Evan Pantels punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Stevenson at the UNLV 44

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +1.82

Charles Williams run for 42 yds to the FrsSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 9

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.47

David Greene run for 9 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 9 yds to the FrsSt 24

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan, broken up by Jay'Onn Myles

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.06

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Michael Martens

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Xzaviar Campbell run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 16

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.21

David Greene run for 16 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Michael Martens

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dontel James run for no gain to the FrsSt 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Chason Virgil pass complete to Delvon Hardaway for 12 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Delvon Hardaway

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Chason Virgil pass complete to Justin Allen for 8 yds to the FrsSt 45

3rd & 2Pass Interception Return-59 ydsPPA -1.62

Chason Virgil pass intercepted Darius Mouton return for 59 yds to the FrsSt 3

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
28 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
28%
18 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

UNLV

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
46%
28 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
38%
13 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play