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← Back to GamesSep 18, 2016Week 3
BuffaloBuffalo
14
-Final
38
NevadaNevada

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nevada by 7.9

Home Win Probability

Nevada 73%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 18, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
007714
NevadaNevada
7177738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-017-024-031-038-738-14
NevadaBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFNEVBUFNEVBUFNEVBUFNEVBUFNEVBUFNEVNEVBUFNEVBUFNEVBUFNEVBUFNEVPUNT520ydTD872ydMISS756ydPUNT510ydDOWNS1034ydFG551ydPUNT525ydTD1587ydPUNT610ydTD1175ydPUNT431ydEND11ydTD1375ydPUNT49ydPUNT516ydTD780ydTD1575ydTD775ydPUNT518ydPUNT416ydEND725yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Nevada
StatisticBuffaloNevada
Passing7-2317-25
Pass Yards130169
Rush Yards231352
Total Yards361521
Turnovers00
3rd Down6-1410-15
Penalties4-245-35
Possession20:3139:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Tyree Jackson
7/22, 130 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tyree Jackson
8 CAR, 87 YDS
receiving
Jordan Johnson
1 REC, 57 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Nevada
passing
Tyler Stewart
16/21, 160 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
James Butler
28 CAR, 174 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Jerico Richardson
3 REC, 46 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Brent Zuzo kickoff for 65 yds , Johnathan Hawkins return for 20 yds to the Buff 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Jordan Johnson run for 7 yds to the Buff 27

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.25

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the Buff 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Jordan Johnson run for 8 yds to the Buff 39

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.05

Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the Buff 40

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the Buff 40

4th & 1Punt+11 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 43 yds , Andrew Celis returns for 11 yds to the Nevad 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

James Butler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 11 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Andrew Celis for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

James Butler run for 5 yds to the Buff 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 7 yds to the Buff 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.37

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jarred Gipson for 20 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Jaxson Kincaide run for 9 yds to the Buff 9

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +1.97

Tyler Stewart run for 9 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Brent Zuzo kickoff for 65 yds , Johnathan Hawkins return for 18 yds to the Buff 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Johnathan Hawkins for 6 yds to the Buff 24

2nd & 4Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.38

Johnathan Hawkins run for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.08

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 22 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jordan Johnson run for 6 yds to the Nevad 22

2nd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.09

Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 26

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Adam Mitcheson 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

James Butler run for 8 yds to the Nevad 34

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Andrew Celis for 10 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

James Butler run for 2 yds to the Nevad 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jerico Richardson

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

STEWART, Tyler pass complete to RICHARDSON, J. for 11 yards to the UB43 (HARGROVE, Ishma), PENALTY NEV holding (KREPSZ, Sean) 10 yards to the NEV36, NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt+8 yds

Alex Boy punt for 49 yds , Jamarl Eiland returns for 8 yds to the Buff 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Tyree Jackson run for 7 yds to the Buff 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.51

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Johnathan Hawkins for 7 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Tyree Jackson run for 9 yds to the Buff 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Johnathan Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Johnathan Hawkins run for 6 yds to the Nevad 46

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 7 yds to the Nevad 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Johnathan Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Nevad 43

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.76

Tyree Jackson run for no gain to the Nevad 43

1st & 10Rush+48 ydsPPA +2.04

Jaxson Kincaide run for 48 yds to the Buff 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the Buff 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

James Butler run for 2 yds to the Buff 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Hasaan Henderson

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.87

Brent Zuzo 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.69

Tyree Jackson run for 22 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Andrew Celis at the Nevad 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

James Butler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.62

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 19 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

James Butler run for 10 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.51

James Butler run for 27 yds to the Buff 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ty Gangi run for 10 yds to the Buff 18 NEVADA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Buff 28

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for no gain to the Buff 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Andrew Celis for 11 yds to the Buff 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

James Butler run for 5 yds to the Buff 12

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.31

Tyler Stewart run for 5 yds to the Buff 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

James Butler run for 1 yd to the Buff 6

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

STEWART, Tyler pass incomplete to DEMPS, Wyatt, PENALTY NEV ineligible downfield on pass (GOLTRY, Nathan) 5 yards to the UB11, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaxson Kincaide run for no gain to the Buff 11

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Tyler Stewart run for 3 yds to the Buff 8 for a 1ST down BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (Ryan Williamson) to the Buff 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 9

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Stewart run for 5 yds to the Buff 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

James Butler run for 2 yds to the Buff 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

James Butler run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jordan Johnson run for 6 yds to the Buff 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Buff 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Andrew Celis at the Nevad 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 15 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Jerico Richardson for 12 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Hasaan Henderson, broken up by Boise Ross

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Tyler Stewart run for 9 yds to the Buff 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.71

Asauni Rufus run for 3 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds to the Buff 29

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Ty Gangi run for no gain to the Buff 29

3rd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.78

James Butler run for 15 yds to the Buff 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 19

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

James Butler run for 8 yds to the Buff 11

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.96

Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds to the Buff 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

James Butler run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Mason Schreck for 31 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Jamarl Eiland

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Mason Schreck

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Jamarl Eiland

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the Nevad 21

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Ahki Muhammad for 9 yds to the Nevad 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

James Butler run for no gain to the Nevad 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

James Butler run for 3 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ahki Muhammad run for 7 yds to the Nevad 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 8 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.78

James Butler run for 15 yds to the Buff 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.31

James Butler run for 15 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaxson Kincaide run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 19

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the Buff 17

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Brandon Scott for 10 yds to the Buff 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

James Butler run for 5 yds to the Buff 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

James Butler run for 1 yd to the Buff 1

3rd & 0Penalty0 yds

STEWART, Tyler rush for no gain to the UB1 (FORD, Chris), PENALTY UB offside 0 yards to the UB1, NO PLAY.

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

James Butler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Brent Zuzo kickoff for 65 yds , Jamarl Eiland return for 23 yds to the Buff 23

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.16

Tyree Jackson run for 14 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Mason Schreck, broken up by Jaden Sawyer

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.02

Johnathan Hawkins run for a loss of 5 yards to the Buff 32

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 54 yds, downed at the Nevad 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the Nevad 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Ty Gangi pass complete to Ahki Muhammad for 9 yds to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the Nevad 28

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Ty Gangi run for 3 yds to the Nevad 31

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Jerico Richardson

4th & 6Punt+1 yds

Alex Boy punt for 50 yds , Jamarl Eiland returns for 1 yd to the Buff 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Buff 22

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the Buff 25

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.39

Tyree Jackson run for 7 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the Buff 36

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.07

Tyree Jackson run for 7 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +4.47

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jordan Johnson for 57 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Stewart run for no gain to the Nevad 25

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

James Butler run for 9 yds to the Nevad 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

James Butler run for 1 yd to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

James Butler run for 10 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Jarred Gipson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jaxson Kincaide run for no gain to the Nevad 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.05

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Hasaan Henderson for 13 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

James Butler run for 2 yds to the Buff 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Tyler Stewart pass incomplete to Wyatt Demps, broken up by Boise Ross

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (Boise Ross) to the Buff 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

James Butler run for 7 yds to the Buff 18

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Stewart pass complete to James Butler for 5 yds to the Buff 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

James Butler run for 8 yds to the Buff 5

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the Buff 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the Buff 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Tyler Stewart pass complete to Wyatt Demps for 2 yds for a TD, (Brent Zuzo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Johnathan Hawkins for no gain to the Buff 25

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Johnathan Hawkins run for 8 yds to the Buff 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Johnathan Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.14

Jordan Johnson run for 28 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyree Jackson run for 21 yds to the Nevad 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 12

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.66

Jordan Johnson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Taylor Sheets kickoff for 60 yds , Elijah Mitchell return for 17 yds to the Nevad 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Ty Gangi pass incomplete to Hasaan Henderson

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.55

Jaxson Kincaide run for 12 yds to the Nevad 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the Nevad 37

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the Nevad 40

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jaxson Kincaide run for no gain to the Nevad 40

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Alex Boy punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 11

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Johnathan Hawkins run for 11 yds to the Buff 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Grant Rohach run for 4 yds to the Buff 26

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Johnathan Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Buff 27

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey, broken up by Cameron Turner

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Andrew Celis at the Nevad 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Blake Wright run for 6 yds to the Nevad 41

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Blake Wright run for 3 yds to the Nevad 44

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Blake Wright run for 4 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Blake Wright run for 4 yds to the Buff 48

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Kelton Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 49

3rd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.45

Kelton Moore run for 11 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 40

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
25 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
55%
11 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
53%
40 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
64%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
57%
14 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play