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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nebraska by 11.2

Home Win Probability

Nebraska 81%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 4, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
0100010
NebraskaNebraska
7772243

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-714-1021-1036-1043-10
NebraskaFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEBFSNEBFSNEBFSNEBFSNEBFSFSNEBFSNEBFSNEBFSNEBFSNEBFSNEBFSNEBPUNT37ydMISS1346ydTD1380ydPUNT3-9ydTD438ydPUNT39ydPUNT516ydTD732ydPUNT33ydFG1068ydPUNT31ydTD957ydPUNT729ydPUNT38ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-4ydTO32ydTD262ydPUNT31ydTD863ydDOWNS731ydTD1067ydTO971ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and Nebraska
StatisticFresno StateNebraska
Passing24-436-13
Pass Yards243114
Rush Yards31292
Total Yards274406
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-155-11
Penalties6-297-80
Possession28:0731:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Chason Virgil
17/32, 133 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dontel James
12 CAR, 20 YDS
receiving
Aaron Peck
9 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Nebraska
passing
Tommy Armstrong Jr.
5/10, 108 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Devine Ozigbo
17 CAR, 103 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Alonzo Moore
3 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Joshua Kalu
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 2 yds to the Neb 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Neb 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for no gain to the Neb 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Dontel James run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.07

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 12 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Jamire Jordan run for 1 yd to the Neb 47

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Dontel James run for 1 yd to the Neb 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 6 yds to the Neb 40

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.04

Dontel James run for 3 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.94

KeeSean Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 38

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Chason Virgil pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 8 yds to the Neb 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Chason Virgil pass complete to Chad Olsen for 8 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (KeeSean Johnson) to the Neb 27

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Dontel James run for 2 yds to the Neb 25

2nd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.55

Chason Virgil pass complete to Chad Olsen for 10 yds to the Neb 15

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Kody Kroening 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Terrell Newby run for 7 yds to the Neb 27

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Alonzo Moore run for 10 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Terrell Newby run for 9 yds to the Neb 46

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Devine Ozigbo run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 43

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 11 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 22

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Terrell Newby run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Dejonte O'Neal run for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 24

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

3rd & 13Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.16

Chason Virgil sacked by Joshua Kalu for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 18

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 20 yds, downed at the FrsSt 38

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.46

Devine Ozigbo run for 17 yds to the FrsSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Devine Ozigbo run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Devine Ozigbo run for 6 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 7 yds to the FrsSt 29

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Dontel James run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 31

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Dontel James run for no gain to the FrsSt 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 31

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Terrell Newby run for no gain to the Neb 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.96

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 23 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.52

De'Mornay Pierson-El run for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 47 De'Mornay Pierson-El fumbled, recovered by Neb De'Mornay Pierson-El

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo Moore, broken up by Tank Kelly

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Terrell Newby

4th & 17Blocked Punt+15 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Robert Stanley blocked by Robert Stanley Robert Stanley return for 15 yds to the Neb 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 2 yds to the Neb 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.73

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for no gain to the Neb 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 11 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Dontel James run for 1 yd to the Neb 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.10

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 11 yds to the Neb 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 7 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 37

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 40

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Carter, Cethan for 14 yards to the FS46, PENALTY NEB illegal formation 5 yards to the NEB35, NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan Westerkamp, broken up by DeShawn Potts

4th & 7Punt+2 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 43 yds , Tyquwan Glass returns for 2 yds to the FrsSt 24

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Chason Virgil sacked by Ross Dzuris for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 23

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.34

Dontel James run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 21 FRESNO ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 13Penalty+15 yds

VIRGIL, Chason pass incomplete to JORDAN, Jamire, QB hurry by Gifford, Luke, PENALTY NEB personal foul (Gifford, Luke) 15 yards to the FS36, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

KLINE, Zach rush up middle for 2 yards to the FS38, PENALTY FS holding (MITCHELL, Aaron) 10 yards to the FS26, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Dontel James run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 31

2nd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.75

Zach Kline pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 16 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Zach Kline pass complete to Aaron Peck for 8 yds to the Neb 45

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Zach Kline run for 11 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.51

Zach Kline pass complete to Aaron Peck for 25 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Zach Kline pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 1 yd to the Neb 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Zach Kline pass incomplete to Aaron Peck

3rd & 8Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -1.05

Kody Kroening 26 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Dontel James run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Chad Olsen

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Aaron Peck, broken up by Chris Jones

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 36 yds, downed at the Neb 43

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 46

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Terrell Newby run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 48

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.28

Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Cethan Carter

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.97

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 12 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 18

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.34

Jordan Westerkamp run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 11 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Dontel James run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 36

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Aaron Peck

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Chason Virgil pass complete to Aaron Peck for 9 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Chason Virgil run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 44

2nd & 11Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.60

Chason Virgil sacked by Lamar Jackson for a loss of 11 yards to the FrsSt 33 FRESNO ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Chason Virgil) to the FrsSt 33

3rd & 3Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 48 yds for a touchback

2nd & 22Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.20

Chason Virgil run for 19 yds to the Neb 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 21

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Terrell Newby run for 7 yds to the Neb 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Terrell Newby

4th & 2Punt+21 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 36 yds, downed at the NEBRASKA 36 NEBRASKA Penalty, kick catching interference (Chris Weber) to the Neb 49

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Dejonte O'Neal run for no gain to the Neb 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Chason Virgil pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 6 yds to the Neb 43

3rd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.67

Chason Virgil sacked by Ross Dzuris for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jordan Westerkamp at the Neb 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 16

2nd & 9Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.36

Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 20 NEBRASKA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Dylan Utter) to the Neb 10

3rd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.03

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 11

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyquwan Glass at the Neb 48

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (David Patterson) to the FrsSt 47

1st & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.70

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 12 yds to the Neb 41

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (Christian Cronk) to the Neb 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return-8 ydsPPA -1.61

Chason Virgil pass intercepted Kieron Williams return for 8 yds to the Neb 38

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 43

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +4.84

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 57 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 1 yd to the FrsSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Delvon Hardaway, broken up by Joshua Kalu

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 37 yds, downed at the Neb 37

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 41

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 46

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.18

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 5 yds to the FrsSt 46

2nd & 5Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.17

Alonzo Moore run for 24 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Devine Ozigbo run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 14

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Devine Ozigbo run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Z. Darlington Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dontel James run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

3rd & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.40

Chason Virgil pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 12 yds to the NEBRASKA 48 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Joshua Kalu) to the Neb 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Chad Olsen

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Aaron Peck

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.59

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Aaron Peck

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Tre Bryant run for 13 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Tre Bryant run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ryker Fyfe run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 37

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tre Bryant run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 34

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-El

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.72

Tre Bryant run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Sam Cotton

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.78

Mikale Wilbon run for 16 yds to the FrsSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.07

Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 6 yds to the FrsSt 7 for a 1ST down FRESNO ST Penalty, face mask (4 yards) (Dalen Jones) to the FrsSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Tre Bryant run for 3 yds for a TD, (Spencer Lindsay KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dejonte O'Neal run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.19

Zach Kline pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 18 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zach Kline pass incomplete to Aaron Peck

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Zach Kline pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 10 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +0.88

Zach Kline pass complete to Aaron Peck for 32 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Treyvon Green run for 3 yds to the Neb 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Zach Kline pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan, broken up by Aaron Williams for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Aaron Williams) to the Neb 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Dejonte O'Neal run for no gain to the Neb 4

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.67

Zach Kline pass intercepted, touchback. Chris Jones return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 18

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
25%
24 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
36%
14 plays
57%
7 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
57%
28 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
75%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play