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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2016Week 12

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 23.1

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 95%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 19, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Austin Peay
760013
KentuckyKentucky
02121749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-137-1314-1328-1335-1349-13
KentuckyAustin Peay

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20APKENAPKENAPKENAPKENAPKENAPKENAPKENAPKENAPKENAPKENAPKENAPTO1571ydPUNT49ydTD963ydTD34ydTD00ydPUNT64ydTO614ydTD737ydPUNT36ydTD351ydPUNT3-1ydTD556ydEND320ydTD338ydDOWNS623ydTD148ydPUNT614ydTD140ydPUNT37ydTD1372ydMISS1558ydPUNT37ydEND39yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Austin Peay and Kentucky
StatisticAustin PeayKentucky
Passing9-188-14
Pass Yards27129
Rush Yards257281
Total Yards284410
Turnovers21
3rd Down8-185-11
Penalties7-5510-85
Possession37:4422:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Austin Peay
passing
JaVaughn Craig
9/18, 27 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Kentel Williams
25 CAR, 124 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kyran Moore
2 REC, 26 YDS
defense
Kentucky
passing
Stephen Johnson
5/9, 101 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Benny Snell Jr.
14 CAR, 152 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Garrett Johnson
3 REC, 46 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.48

JaVaughn Craig run for 20 yds to the APeay 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

JaVaughn Craig run for 6 yds to the APeay 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.46

JaVaughn Craig pass complete to Kyran Moore for 3 yds to the APeay 46

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.42

Kyran Moore run for 6 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Kentel Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the APeay 48

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Kentel Williams run for 7 yds to the Kent 45

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

JaVaughn Craig run for 5 yds to the Kent 40

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.12

JaVaughn Craig run for 5 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.29

JaVaughn Craig pass complete to Jared Beard for 11 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kyran Moore run for 5 yds to the Kent 19

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

JaVaughn Craig pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

JaVaughn Craig pass complete to James Coleman for 7 yds to the Kent 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kentel Williams run for no gain to the Kent 12

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

JaVaughn Craig pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.86

JaVaughn Craig pass intercepted Chris Westry return for no gain to the Kent 7

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 6

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.12

Stanley Williams run for 3 yds to the Kent 9 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (-4 Yards) to the Kent 5

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.08

Jojo Kemp run for 1 yd to the Kent 6

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Luke Wright pass complete to Dorian Baker for 10 yds to the Kent 16

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 47 yds, downed at the APeay 37

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Kyran Moore run for 9 yds to the APeay 46

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kentel Williams run for 2 yds to the APeay 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Kentel Williams run for 7 yds to the Kent 45

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.49

Kentel Williams run for 12 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kentel Williams run for no gain to the Kent 33

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Kentel Williams run for 7 yds to the Kent 26

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.53

JaVaughn Craig run for 4 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kentel Williams run for 5 yds to the Kent 17

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.57

Kentel Williams run for 17 yds for a TD, (Nick Gauna KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Luke Wright pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 6 yds to the Kent 22

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

[SHOT], PENALTY UK false start (J. Stallings) 5 yards to the UK17, NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Stanley Williams run for 3 yds to the Kent 20

3rd & 6Interception Return Touchdown-25 ydsPPA -6.93

Luke Wright pass intercepted for a TD Gunnar Scholato return for 25 yds for a TD, (Nick Gauna PAT MISSED)

1st & 3Penalty+1 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (1 Yards) to the Kent 2

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Jeff Badet

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.59

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 5 yds to the APeay 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.00

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for no gain to the APeay 45

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the APeay 38

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Dorian Baker

4th & 3Penalty-15 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Dorian Baker) to the Kent 47

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 28 yds, downed at the APeay 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kentel Williams run for no gain to the APeay 26

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Kyran Moore run for 9 yds to the APeay 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Kentel Williams run for 2 yds to the APeay 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kentel Williams run for 3 yds to the APeay 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

JaVaughn Craig pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return-61 ydsPPA -0.60

JaVaughn Craig pass intercepted Mike Edwards return for 46 yds to the KENTUCKY 14 KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the APeay 37

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Stanley Williams run for 5 yds to the APeay 32

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Stanley Williams run for 3 yds to the APeay 29

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the APeay 29

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the APeay 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

[SHOT], Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Blake Bone, PENALTY APSU offside (PACE, Jule) 5 yards to the APSU20, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the APeay 20

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

[SHOT], Stephen Johnson rush for 14 yards to the APSU6 (BRYANT, Juant), PENALTY UK holding (G. Asafo-Adjei) 10 yards to the APSU30, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +4.69

Benny Snell Jr. run for 30 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kentel Williams run for 3 yds to the APeay 12

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kentel Williams run for 3 yds to the APeay 15

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

JaVaughn Craig pass incomplete to Jared Beard, broken up by Chris Westry

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Devin Stuart punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.50

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Jeff Badet for 42 yds to the APeay 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-10 yds

[SHOT], Jojo Kemp rush for 9 yards to the APSU0, clock 04:22, PENALTY UK holding (J. Stallings) 10 yards to the APSU19, NO PLAY.

1st & 19Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jojo Kemp run for 5 yds to the APeay 14

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.03

Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Kyran Moore run for 2 yds to the APeay 26

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

JaVaughn Craig pass incomplete to Jared Beard

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+18 ydsPPA +2.66

JaVaughn Craig pass complete to Jared Beard for a loss of 2 yards Jared Beard fumbled, forced by Josh Allen, recovered by APeay Kyran Moore , return for 18 yds to the APeay 23

4th & 11Punt+1 yds

Devin Stuart punt for 34 yds , Charles Walker returns for 1 yd to the Kent 44

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Stephen Johnson sacked by Shaun Whittinghill for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 40

2nd & 14Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.76

Stephen Johnson run for 14 yds to the APeay 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Stanley Williams run for 6 yds to the APeay 40

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Charles Walker, broken up by Trent Taylor

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.26

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 40 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Zeandre Floyd run for 1 yd to the APeay 21

2nd & 9Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.10

Kentel Williams run for 4 yds to the APeay 25 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the APeay 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

JaVaughn Craig pass incomplete to Jared Beard

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

AUSTINPEAY Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the APeay 20

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Ryan Timmons run for 11 yds to the APeay 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Stanley Williams run for 2 yds to the APeay 25

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.00

Stanley Williams run for 25 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kyran Moore run for 4 yds to the APeay 29

2nd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.18

Kentel Williams run for 19 yds to the APeay 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

[SHOT], PENALTY APSU false start (EWOLDT, Max) 5 yards to the APSU43, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Kentel Williams run for 1 yd to the APeay 44

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

JaVaughn Craig pass incomplete to Jared Beard AUSTINPEAY Penalty, IS ( Yards) declined

3rd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Kentel Williams run for 10 yds to the Kent 46

4th & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.10

JaVaughn Craig sacked by Jordan Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the APeay 48

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Benny Snell Jr. run for 48 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Kendall Morris run for 1 yd to the APeay 11

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Kentel Williams run for 7 yds to the APeay 18

3rd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.28

Kentel Williams run for 13 yds to the APeay 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kentel Williams run for no gain to the APeay 31

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Kentel Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 30

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.30

JaVaughn Craig run for a loss of 6 yards to the APeay 24 JaVaughn Craig fumbled, recovered by APeay JaVaughn Craig

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Devin Stuart punt for 16 yds, downed at the APeay 40

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Jojo Kemp run for 40 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kendall Morris run for 5 yds to the APeay 36

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Rashaan Coleman run for 2 yds to the APeay 38

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

JaVaughn Craig run for no gain to the APeay 38

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jalen Marsalis punt for 34 yds , Charles Walker returns for no gain to the Kent 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 32

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 37

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

[SHOT], Benny Snell rush for 5 yards to the UK42 (ALEXANDER, Josh), PENALTY UK false start 5 yards to the UK32, NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.36

Luke Wright pass complete to Charles Walker for 12 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Benny Snell Jr. pass incomplete to Dorian Baker

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the APeay 48

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the APeay 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the APeay 36

2nd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.11

Benny Snell Jr. run for 18 yds to the APeay 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Benny Snell Jr. run for 9 yds to the APeay 9

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.76

Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 2 yards to the APeay 11

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 12

4th & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.03

Jojo Kemp run for 5 yds to the APeay 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jojo Kemp run for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

JaVaughn Craig run for 7 yds to the APeay 28

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

[SHOT], PENALTY APSU false start (EWOLDT, Max) 5 yards to the APSU23, NO PLAY.

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kentel Williams run for 4 yds to the APeay 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.26

JaVaughn Craig pass complete to Kyran Moore for 5 yds to the APeay 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kentel Williams run for 3 yds to the APeay 35

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.80

JaVaughn Craig run for 12 yds to the APeay 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kendall Morris run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kendall Morris run for 4 yds to the Kent 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.48

JaVaughn Craig pass complete to James Coleman for 6 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Kendall Morris run for 3 yds to the Kent 37

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kyran Moore run for 3 yds to the Kent 34

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.19

JaVaughn Craig run for 17 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

JaVaughn Craig pass complete to Kentel Williams for 1 yd to the Kent 16

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kyran Moore run for 3 yds to the Kent 13

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

[SHOT], MOMODU, Prince rush for 6 yards to the UK7 (Kash Daniel), PENALTY APSU illegal formation 5 yards to the UK18, NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.28

JaVaughn Craig pass complete to Prince Momodu for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 21

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Nick Gauna 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Sihiem King run for 2 yds to the Kent 23

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Sihiem King run for 1 yd to the Kent 24

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Sihiem King run for 4 yds to the Kent 28

4th & 3Punt+41 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 41 yds , Kyran Moore returns for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

JaVaughn Craig run for 6 yds to the APeay 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.03

JaVaughn Craig pass complete to Kentel Williams for no gain to the APeay 36

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

JaVaughn Craig run for 3 yds to the APeay 39

Situational Analysis

Austin Peay

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
36%
14 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
56%
18 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play