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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2016Week 9

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wagner by 3.8

Home Win Probability

Massachusetts 38%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 29, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Wagner
003710
MassachusettsMassachusetts
14137034

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-024-027-034-334-10
MassachusettsWagner

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MASWAGMASWAGMASWAGMASWAGMASWAGMASWAGMASWAGWAGMASWAGMASWAGMASWAGMASTD675ydPUNT527ydPUNT623ydDOWNS757ydTD684ydPUNT39ydTD680ydPUNT611ydFG1071ydPUNT521ydTO216ydPUNT3-1ydFG1064ydEND1-2ydTO10ydPUNT3-7ydDOWNS736ydTD564ydFG1467ydPUNT30ydTD1693ydEND1037yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wagner and Massachusetts
StatisticWagnerMassachusetts
Passing21-3526-41
Pass Yards295364
Rush Yards67143
Total Yards362507
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-147-13
Penalties7-897-60
Possession34:1025:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wagner
passing
Alex Thomson
21/34, 295 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Denzel Knight
10 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
John Williams
6 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Massachusetts
passing
Andrew Ford
25/39, 355 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Sekai Lindsay
10 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Adam Breneman
8 REC, 138 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Isaiah Rodgers
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 6 yds to the UMass 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.39

Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 19 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Marquis Young run for 12 yds to the Wagn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Marquis Young run for 7 yds to the Wagn 36

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

Ford, A. pass incomplete to Isabella, A., PENALTY WAGNER pass interference (FLAHERTY, Jesse) 15 yards to the WAGNER21, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Ford, A. pass incomplete to Williams, J., PENALTY UMASS holding 10 yards to the WAGNER31, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the Wagn 28

2nd & 17Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.84

Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 28 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Matthias McKinnon run for 4 yds to the Wagn 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.85

Alex Thomson pass complete to Frank Labady for 47 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

WAGNER Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Frank Labady) to the UMass 29

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.91

Matthias McKinnon run for 7 yds to the UMass 22 WAGNER Penalty, personal foul (Daniel Clifford) to the UMass 37

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 9

2nd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.14

Alex Thomson pass complete to John Williams for 11 yds to the UMass 26

3rd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.07

Alex Thomson sacked by Peter Angeh and Sha-Ki Holines for a loss of 12 yards to the UMass 38

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 9

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 3 yds to the UMass 12

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 12 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Sekai Lindsay run for 3 yds to the UMass 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 6 yds to the UMass 33

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Sekai Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 32

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Logan Laurent punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Andre Yevchinecz at the Wagn 27

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Brandon Peoples run for 13 yds to the Wagn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

KNIGHT, Denzel rush for 1 yard to the WAGNER41 (TEAM), PENALTY WAGNER illegal block 15 yards to the WAGNER25, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.74

Alex Thomson pass complete to Andre Yevchinecz for 21 yds to the Wagn 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.66

Alex Thomson pass complete to John Williams for 29 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Denzel Knight run for 2 yds to the UMass 23

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Matthias McKinnon run for 3 yds to the UMass 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Alex Thomson pass complete to Andre Yevchinecz for 4 yds to the UMass 16

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.83

Matthias McKinnon run for no gain to the UMass 16

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WAGNER Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UMass 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Andrew Ford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 9 yds to the UMass 40

3rd & 1Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.68

Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 25 yds to the Wagn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 7 yds to the Wagn 28

2nd & 3Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.53

Sekai Lindsay run for 22 yds to the Wagn 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 6 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Denzel Knight run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wagn 25

2nd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.06

Denzel Knight run for 12 yds to the Wagn 37

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Frank Labady

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 43 yds, downed at the UMass 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 9 yds to the UMass 29

3rd & 1Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 16 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sekai Lindsay

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Andrew Ford pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +6.35

Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 55 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Matthias McKinnon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 22

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Matthias McKinnon run for 1 yd to the Wagn 23

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.95

Alex Thomson pass complete to John Williams for 12 yds to the Wagn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Matthias McKinnon, broken up by Steve Casali

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.91

Alex Thomson sacked by Steve Casali for a loss of 5 yards to the Wagn 30

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Frank Labady run for 5 yds to the Wagn 35

4th & 10Punt+51 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 36 yds MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UMass 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Bernard Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.56

Andrew Ford pass complete to N/A for 18 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.04

Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 23 yds to the Wagn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 12 yds to the Wagn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam Breneman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.95

Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 15 yds to the Wagn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Andrew Ford pass complete to Travis Reynolds for 3 yds to the Wagn 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Andrew Ford pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Bernard Davis

4th & 7Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.42

Logan Laurent 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Alex Thomson pass complete to John Williams for 7 yds to the Wagn 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Alex Thomson pass complete to Brandon Peoples for 10 yds to the Wagn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to John Williams

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Denzel Knight run for 4 yds to the UMass 49

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Ryan Owens, broken up by Jackson Porter

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.28

Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 16 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -1.95

Andrew Ford pass intercepted Myron Morris return for 4 yds to the Wagn 44

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Matthias McKinnon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 43

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Matthias McKinnon

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to John Williams, broken up by Lee Moses

4th & 11Punt+10 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 36 yds , James Allen returns for 10 yds to the UMass 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 15 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 6 yds to the Wagn 48

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sekai Lindsay, broken up by Quintin Hampton

3rd & 4Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.45

Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 31 yds to the Wagn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sadiq Palmer

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.98

Sekai Lindsay run for 16 yds to the Wagn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wagn 6

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam Breneman

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Sekai Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Wagn 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam Breneman

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -0.95

Logan Laurent 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.73

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 19

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.76

Alex Thomson pass intercepted Isaiah Rodgers return for no gain to the UMass 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Andrew Ford pass complete to Travis Reynolds for 3 yds to the UMass 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.74

Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for no gain to the UMass 34

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the UMass 29

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UMass 24

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Andrew Ford pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Logan Laurent punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wagn 28 , Denzel Knight returns for no gain to the Wagn 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Alex Thomson pass complete to Andre Yevchinecz for 18 yds to the Wagn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Matthias McKinnon run for 3 yds to the Wagn 49

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.36

Matthias McKinnon run for 10 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Andre Yevchinecz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Matthias McKinnon run for 5 yds to the UMass 36

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Frank Labady

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.90

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Brandon Peoples

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.33

Bilal Ally run for 34 yds to the Wagn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 12 yds to the Wagn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the Wagn 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam Breneman, broken up by Najee Harris

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.16

Andrew Ford run for 16 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Denzel Knight run for 5 yds to the Wagn 28

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.88

Alex Thomson run for 7 yds to the Wagn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Denzel Knight run for 1 yd to the Wagn 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Alex Thomson pass complete to John Williams for 19 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Ryan Owens

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Alex Thomson pass complete to Nour Aly for 6 yds to the UMass 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Alex Thomson pass complete to Matthias McKinnon for 10 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Craig Merkle run for 5 yds to the UMass 24

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Frank Labady, broken up by Isaiah Rodgers

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Alex Thomson pass complete to Nour Aly for 9 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Alex Thomson pass complete to Ryan Owens for 9 yds to the UMass 6

2nd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.90

Matthias McKinnon run for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 10

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to John Williams, broken up by Jackson Porter

4th & 5Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.79

Jim Cooper 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 34

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Bilal Ally run for 1 yd to the UMass 35

3rd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.63

Andrew Ford sacked by Jordan Baskerville for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 31

4th & 10Punt-4 yds

Logan Laurent punt for 58 yds , Andre Yevchinecz returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Wagn 7

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Denzel Knight run for 2 yds to the Wagn 9

2nd & 8Penalty-4 yds

WAGNER Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Wagn 5

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Alex Thomson pass complete to Nour Aly for 7 yds to the Wagn 12

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Alex Thomson pass complete to Ryan Owens for 8 yds to the Wagn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Denzel Knight run for 7 yds to the Wagn 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Alex Thomson pass complete to Denzel Knight for 10 yds to the Wagn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Matthias McKinnon run for 4 yds to the Wagn 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Andre Yevchinecz

3rd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.14

Alex Thomson pass complete to Ryan Owens for 21 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

McKINNON,M rush for 3 yards to the UMASS35 (Ali-Musa, A.;Dowe Jr., M.), PENALTY WAGNER holding (RICHARDS, Titus) 10 yards to the UMASS48, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Matthias McKinnon run for 4 yds to the UMass 44

2nd & 16Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.03

Alex Thomson sacked by Peter Ngobidi for a loss of 11 yards to the Wagn 45

3rd & 27Penalty+15 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Peter Ngobidi) to the UMass 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Denzel Knight run for 9 yds to the UMass 31

2nd & 1Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.93

Alex Thomson sacked by Lucas Amato for a loss of 10 yards to the UMass 41

3rd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.60

Alex Thomson pass complete to Nour Aly for 17 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Denzel Knight run for 4 yds to the UMass 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.50

Alex Thomson pass complete to Denzel Knight for 18 yds to the UMass 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Alex Thomson pass complete to John Williams for 2 yds for a TD, (Jim Cooper KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Sekai Lindsay run for 6 yds to the UMass 41

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Bilal Ally run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Malik Lee run for 1 yd to the Wagn 49

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the Wagn 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.26

Randall West pass complete to Dan Jonah for 9 yds to the Wagn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Sekai Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Wagn 36

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Sekai Lindsay run for 9 yds to the Wagn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Sekai Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Wagn 26

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.79

Sekai Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 27

3rd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Malik Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 28

Situational Analysis

Wagner

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
8 plays
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
41%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
50%
16 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play