Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 8, 2016Week 6

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 2.6

Home Win Probability

NC State 58%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 8, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Notre DameNotre Dame
00303
NC StateNC State
300710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q407143-03-310-3
NC StateNotre Dame

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDNSNDNSNDNSNDNSNDNSNDNSNDNSNDNSNDNSNDNSNDNDNSNDNSPUNT33ydMISS1137ydPUNT621ydFG643ydPUNT3-11ydPUNT30ydTO524ydTO10ydTO83ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT37ydDOWNS1051ydEND31ydDOWNS4-10ydFG42ydTO23ydDOWNS4-2ydDOWNS1651ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT3-2ydTD3-4ydTO26ydPUNT39ydDOWNS1860ydEND525yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Notre Dame and NC State
StatisticNotre DameNC State
Passing9-267-14
Pass Yards5441
Rush Yards59157
Total Yards113198
Turnovers32
3rd Down1-152-14
Penalties5-402-20
Possession27:4132:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Notre Dame
passing
DeShone Kizer
9/26, 54 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Josh Adams
14 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
defense
NC State
passing
Ryan Finley
5/12, 27 YDS
rushing
Matthew Dayes
23 CAR, 126 YDS
receiving
Matthew Dayes
3 REC, 14 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Sanders for 6 yds to the NDame 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.45

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 23

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 42 yds , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for no gain to the NCSt 23 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.77

Jaylen Samuels run for 10 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds to the NDame 35

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.42

Jaylen Samuels run for 11 yds to the NDame 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Matthew Dayes run for 3 yds to the NDame 21

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.20

Ryan Finley run for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 26 Ryan Finley fumbled, recovered by NCSt

3rd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.48

Ryan Finley pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 13 yds to the NDame 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the NDame 12

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ryan Finley pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 4 yds to the NDame 8

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the NDame 13

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Kyle Bambard 31 yd FG MISSED

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Kyle Bambard 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NDame 24

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.29

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Durham Smythe for 6 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NDame 36

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NDame 40

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Dexter Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 41

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 37

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Matthew Dayes run for 11 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.13

Matthew Dayes run for 23 yds to the NCSTATE 29 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the NDame 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jaylen Samuels run for 1 yd to the NDame 18

2nd & 9Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.46

Matthew Dayes run for a loss of 7 yards to the NDame 25

3rd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ryan Finley run for 5 yds to the NDame 20

4th & 11Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA +0.30

Kyle Bambard 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-19 ydsPPA -1.31

TEAM run for a loss of 19 yards to the NDame 6

2nd & 29Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.01

Dexter Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 8

3rd & 27Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.00

Dexter Williams run for 6 yds to the NDame 14

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 69 yds, downed at the NCSt 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Nyheim Hines run for 3 yds to the NCSt 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ryan Finley pass complete to Nyheim Hines for 4 yds to the NCSt 24

3rd & 3Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.54

Ryan Finley run for a loss of 7 yards to the NCSt 17 Ryan Finley fumbled, recovered by NCSt

4th & 10Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 29 yds, downed at the NCSt 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.53

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 10 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 8 yds to the NCSt 28

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Dexter Williams run for 3 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds to the NCSt 22

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -4.16

TEAM run for no gain to the NCSt 23 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NCSt B.J. Hill , return for 1 yd to the NCSt 23

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.79

Nyheim Hines run for no gain to the NCSt 22 Nyheim Hines fumbled, forced by Asmar Bilal, recovered by NDame D.J. Morgan

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 27

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Durham Smythe

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 32

4th & 20Penalty+15 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NCSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Josh Adams run for no gain to the NCSt 17

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 11 yds to the NCSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 11

1st & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.86

DeShone Kizer sacked by Bradley Chubb for a loss of 8 yards to the NCSt 19

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Interception Return-25 ydsPPA -2.86

DeShone Kizer pass intercepted Jarius Morehead return for 25 yds to the NCSt 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Matthew Dayes run for 3 yds to the NCSt 29

2nd & 7Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.92

Jaylen Samuels run for a loss of 6 yards to the NCSt 23

3rd & 13Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.10

Ryan Finley pass complete to Matthew Dayes for no gain to the NCSt 23

4th & 13Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 38 yds, downed at the NDame 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the NDame 44

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 46

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 39 yds, downed at the NCSt 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds to the NCSt 17

2nd & 8Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.63

Matthew Dayes run for 28 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the NCSt 46

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Matthew Dayes run for 5 yds to the NDame 49

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Matthew Dayes run for 3 yds to the NDame 46

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.38

Matthew Dayes run for 7 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Matthew Dayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 6 yds to the NDame 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.09

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Thaddeus Moss

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Dexter Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 32

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds to the NDame 35

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Matthew Dayes run for no gain to the NCSt 35

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 37

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Ryan Finley run for 3 yds to the NCSt 40

4th & 5Rush-15 ydsPPA -0.17

TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the NCSt 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

DeShone Kizer run for 2 yds to the NCSt 23

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NCSt 21

3rd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.02

DeShone Kizer sacked by Bradley Chubb for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 23

4th & 8Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.24

Justin Yoon 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Matthew Dayes run for 3 yds to the NCSt 22 Matthew Dayes fumbled, forced by Devin Studstill, recovered by NDame James Onwualu

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.60

DeShone Kizer sacked by Kentavius Street for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 24

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.23

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Matthew Dayes run for 3 yds to the NCSt 27

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.33

Jalan McClendon run for 20 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jalan McClendon run for 6 yds to the NDame 47

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds to the NDame 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jalan McClendon run for 1 yd to the NDame 44

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.99

Jalan McClendon run for 1 yd to the NDame 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jaylen Samuels

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.55

Jalan McClendon run for 16 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 11 yds to the NDame 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jalan McClendon run for 5 yds to the NDame 11

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Matthew Dayes run for 4 yds to the NDame 7

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.05

Jalan McClendon run for 4 yds to the NDame 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Jalan McClendon run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ryan Finley run for 3 yds to the NDame 2

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-16 ydsPPA -2.33

Ryan Finley run for a loss of 16 yards to the NDame 18 Ryan Finley fumbled, recovered by NCSt Ryan Finley

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

DeShone Kizer sacked by Bradley Chubb for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. Sanders

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 45 yds, downed at the NCSt 33

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Jalan McClendon run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 32 Jalan McClendon fumbled, forced by Devin Studstill, recovered by NCSt Nyheim Hines

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Matthew Dayes run for no gain to the NCSt 32

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 39 yds, downed at the NDame 29

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.22

DeShone Kizer run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 25

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

DeShone Kizer run for no gain to the NDame 25

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

4th & 14Blocked Punt+16 yds

Tyler Newsome punt blocked by Pharoah McKever blocked by Pharoah McKever Dexter Wright return for 16 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Josh Adams run for 6 yds to the NDame 45

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -2.55

DeShone Kizer run for 6 yds to the NCSt 49 DeShone Kizer fumbled, forced by Shawn Boone, recovered by NCSt B.J. Hill

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds to the NDame 49

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Matthew Dayes run for 4 yds to the NDame 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 3 yds to the NDame 42

4th & 1Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 9 yds to the NDame 29

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Josh Adams run for no gain to the NDame 34

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.14

Josh Adams run for 12 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.60

DeShone Kizer sacked by Kentavius Street for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 44

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 47

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

DeShone Kizer run for 7 yds to the NCSt 46

4th & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.52

DeShone Kizer run for 7 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Malik Zaire run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 40

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Dexter Williams run for 3 yds to the NCSt 37

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

DeShone Kizer run for 6 yds to the NCSt 31

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.45

Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NCSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 11 yds to the NCSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

DeShone Kizer pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -3.28

DeShone Kizer pass complete to Mike McGlinchey for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Jalan McClendon run for 7 yds to the NCSt 27

2nd & 3Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.10

Matthew Dayes run for 24 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.45

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 47

3rd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 45

Situational Analysis

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
21 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
8 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
29%
24 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
38%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play