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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2016Week 4
ArmyArmy
20
-Final
23
BuffaloBuffalo

House Prediction

Model Margin

Army by 4.7

Home Win Probability

Buffalo 35%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 24, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
ArmyArmy
73100020
BuffaloBuffalo
00614323

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-106-136-2013-2020-20
BuffaloArmy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFARMBUFARMBUFARMBUFARMBUFARMBUFARMBUFARMBUFARMBUFARMBUFARMBUFARMBUFPUNT35ydTD971ydTO512ydDOWNS46ydPUNT36ydFG1480ydPUNT1140ydTO1050ydEND29ydTO415ydTD623ydFG755ydPUNT34ydTD1162ydDOWNS519ydDOWNS621ydTD866ydPUNT39ydTD1362ydMISS931ydEND1-1ydMISS4-1ydFG510yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Army and Buffalo
StatisticArmyBuffalo
Passing4-1020-31
Pass Yards48178
Rush Yards39687
Total Yards444265
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-177-15
Penalties8-835-35
Possession36:2423:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Army
passing
Ahmad Bradshaw
3/8, 36 YDS
rushing
Ahmad Bradshaw
22 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Christian Poe
1 REC, 23 YDS
defense
Buffalo
passing
Tyree Jackson
20/31, 178 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Johnathan Hawkins
10 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Marcus McGill
2 REC, 63 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Kamathi Holsey for 5 yds to the Buff 43

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey

4th & 5Punt+18 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 46 yds , Malik McGue returns for 18 yds to the Army 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Tyler Campbell run for 7 yds to the Army 36

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Army 38

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.65

Jordan Asberry run for 23 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Buff 32

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.49

Tyler Campbell run for 14 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jordan Asberry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 20

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds to the Buff 15

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.07

Jordan Asberry run for 15 yds for a TD BUFFALO Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Blake Wilson KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Malcolm Robinson for 4 yds Malcolm Robinson fumbled, forced by Andrew King,

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.98

Jordan Johnson run for 7 yds to the Buff 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 33

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Buff 35 BUFFALO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.20

Tyree Jackson pass intercepted Kenneth Brinson return for no gain to the Buff 43

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Buff 38

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 43

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 6 yds to the Buff 37

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.07

Darnell Woolfolk run for no gain to the Buff 37 Darnell Woolfolk fumbled, forced by Ishmael Hargrove,

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.93

Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tyree Jackson run for no gain to the Buff 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.88

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jamarl Eiland for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 36

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Kamathi Holsey for 8 yds to the Buff 44

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Malik McGue at the Army 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Tyler Campbell run for 3 yds to the Army 19

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Andy Davidson run for 6 yds to the Army 25

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.64

Chris Carter run for 2 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Kell Walker run for 12 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Kell Walker run for 10 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Chris Carter run for 13 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Chris Carter run for 3 yds to the Buff 35

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jordan Asberry run for 3 yds to the Buff 32

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Chris Carter run for 2 yds to the Buff 30

4th & 2Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.96

Tyler Campbell run for 23 yds to the Buff 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Andy Davidson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 8

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Buff 5

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Elijah St. Hilaire run for 1 yd to the Buff 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.02

Blake Wilson 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Johnathan Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Buff 22

2nd & 9Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.36

Johnathan Hawkins run for 21 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

[SGUN], PENALTY UB false start (JOSEPH, Roubben) 5 yards to the UB38, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jamarl Eiland for 6 yds to the Buff 44

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Johnathan Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Buff 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.56

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Johnathan Hawkins for 10 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jamarl Eiland for 5 yds to the Army 39

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Mason Schreck for 13 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.32

Johnathan Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Army 22 BUFFALO Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Army 32

1st & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Johnathan Hawkins run for no gain to the Army 32

2nd & 16Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Johnathan Hawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 35

3rd & 19Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.26

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jordan Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 39

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.61

Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Christian Poe for 23 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the Army 40

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Joe Walker run for 5 yds to the Army 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd to the Army 46

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.17

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Joe Walker pass complete to Ahmad Bradshaw for 12 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Darnell Woolfolk run for 11 yds to the Buff 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 34

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds to the Buff 30

2nd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.04

Ahmad Bradshaw sacked by Khalil Hodge for a loss of 6 yards to the Buff 36

3rd & 17Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.50

Chris Carter pass intercepted Brandon Williams return for no gain to the Buff 1

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Jordan Johnson run for 6 yds to the Buff 7

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the Buff 10

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 7 yds to the Army 15

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Andy Davidson run for 9 yds to the Army 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jordan Asberry run for 1 yd to the Army 25

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 23 Ahmad Bradshaw fumbled, recovered by Buff Ishmael Hargrove , return for no gain to the Army 23

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Johnathan Hawkins run for 9 yds to the Army 14

2nd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.11

Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Mason Schreck for 12 yds to the Army 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Tyree Jackson run for 4 yds to the Army 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Army 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tyree Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Andy Davidson

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Kell Walker run for 7 yds to the Army 31

3rd & 3Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.80

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 43 yds to the Buff 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.51

Tyler Campbell run for a loss of 7 yards to the Buff 33

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Christian Poe

3rd & 17Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.43

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 12 yds to the Buff 21

4th & 5Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.22

Blake Wilson 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Johnathan Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Buff 27

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Malcolm Robinson

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kyle Deween punt for 35 yds, downed at the Army 38

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Andy Davidson run for 7 yds to the Army 45

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.77

Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Army 47

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Andy Davidson run for 6 yds to the Buff 43

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Andy Davidson run for 6 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Buff 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Christian Poe

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Andy Davidson run for 6 yds to the Buff 28

4th & 1Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.44

Kell Walker run for 19 yds to the Buff 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

Davidson, Andy rush for 1 yard to the UB8 (FRANKLIN, Jarre), PENALTY ARMY illegal formation 5 yards to the UB14, NO PLAY.

1st & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 9 yds to the Buff 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Marcus McGill for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Tyree Jackson run for 7 yds to the Army 43

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Malcolm Robinson

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tyree Jackson run for no gain to the Army 43

4th & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Johnathan Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Army 49

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.09

Andy Davidson run for 8 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Bradshaw, Ahmad rush for 9 yards to the UB34 (LEWIS, Cameron), PENALTY ARMY personal foul (Enegren, Colby) 15 yards to the ARMY42, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Andy Davidson run for 7 yds to the Army 49

2nd & 18Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 8 yds to the Buff 43

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 8 yds to the Buff 35

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.39

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd to the Buff 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.76

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Marcus McGill for 49 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jamarl Eiland for 4 yds to the Army 13

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tyree Jackson run for 5 yds to the Army 8

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.87

Tyree Jackson run for 2 yds to the Army 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Army 4

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Kamathi Holsey for 5 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the Army 25

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Army 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd to the Army 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nick Schrage punt for 33 yds, downed at the Buff 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jordan Johnson for 4 yds to the Buff 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Johnathan Hawkins for 4 yds to the Buff 46

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.36

Tyree Jackson run for 3 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Johnathan Hawkins run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Jamarl Eiland

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete, broken up by James Nachtigal

4th & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +3.43

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Mason Schreck for 10 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

[SGUN], JACKSON, Tyree pass incomplete to HOLSEY, Kamathi, PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Hyatt, Marcus) 15 yards to the ARMY25, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

[SGUN], JOHNSON, Jordan rush for 5 yards to the ARMY20 (King, Andrew;Timpf, Jeremy), PENALTY UB holding (O'HENLY, Tyler) 10 yards to the ARMY35, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Marcus McGill

2nd & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Malcolm Robinson for 8 yds to the Army 27

3rd & 12Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.78

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Mason Schreck for 19 yds to the Army 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Mason Schreck for 4 yds to the Army 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyree Jackson run for 3 yds to the Army 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tyree Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds to the Buff 43

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Andy Davidson run for 1 yd to the Buff 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Jeff Ejekam

4th & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.71

Kell Walker run for 11 yds to the Buff 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Buff 29

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler Campbell run for 5 yds to the Buff 24

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.48

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds to the Buff 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Buff 17

2nd & 8Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Blake Wilson 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 19

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Bradshaw, Ahmad rush for 4 yards to the UB21 (LEWIS, Cameron), PENALTY ARMY personal foul (Enegren, Colby) 15 yards to the UB40, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Tyler Campbell run for 1 yd to the Buff 39

2nd & 24Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.29

Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Jeff Ejekam for 11 yds to the Buff 28

3rd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Kell Walker for 2 yds to the Buff 26

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Blake Wilson 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Tyree Jackson run for 12 yds to the Army 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Army 11

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyree Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 15

3rd & 12Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.64

Adam Mitcheson 33 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
27 plays
50%
4 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
0%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
21 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play