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← Back to GamesNov 14, 2015Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia Southern by 6.5

Home Win Probability

Troy 30%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 14, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
101471445
TroyTroy
1000010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-710-1010-1710-3110-3810-45
TroyGeorgia Southern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROGSGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROTROFG1172ydTD1-6ydTD1166ydTO30ydFG612ydPUNT523ydTD480ydPUNT434ydPUNT1054ydPUNT34ydTD333ydDOWNS930ydTD1583ydTO542ydPUNT74ydPUNT34ydTD1775ydTD410ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia Southern and Troy
StatisticGeorgia SouthernTroy
Passing4-715-29
Pass Yards85170
Rush Yards32568
Total Yards410238
Turnovers13
3rd Down7-163-10
Penalties7-704-41
Possession42:5517:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia Southern
passing
Kevin Ellison
2/4, 58 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Matt Breida
17 CAR, 84 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Malik Henry
1 REC, 35 YDS
Troy
passing
Brandon Silvers
12/25, 134 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Brandon Burks
12 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Teddy Ruben
4 REC, 51 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Brandon Silvers run for 14 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.88

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 26 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Andre Flakes run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30 Andre Flakes fumbled, forced by Antwione Williams, recovered by Troy Dalton Bennett

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Brandon Burks run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 8 yds to the GeoSo 12

2nd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Brandon Silvers pass complete to K.D. Edenfield for 2 yds to the GeoSo 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Brandon Burks run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to John Johnson

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Emanuel Thompson

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 ydsPPA -1.08

Jed Solomon 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+19 ydsPPA -0.92

Kevin Ellison run for a loss of 5 yards Kevin Ellison fumbled, recovered by Troy Demetrius Cain , return for 19 yds, (Jed Solomon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 35

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 37

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.29

Matt Breida run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.25

Kevin Ellison run for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 39

2nd & 16Penalty+5 yds

Ellison,K. deep pass incomplete to Keaton,D., PENALTY TROY offside defense (Dillard, Rashad) 5 yards to the GS44, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 47

3rd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.03

Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Troy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.40

Favian Upshaw pass complete to Bj Johnson for 19 yds to the Troy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Matt Breida run for no gain to the Troy 16

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.38

LA Ramsby run for 9 yds to the Troy 7

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 12

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.47

Favian Upshaw run for 9 yds to the Troy 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Matt Breida run for 3 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brandon Silvers run for no gain to the Troy 25

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-16 ydsPPA +0.13

Brandon Silvers pass intercepted Caleb Williams return for 16 yds to the Troy 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Favian Upshaw run for 5 yds to the Troy 13

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the Troy 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

LA Ramsby run for 2 yds to the Troy 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Favian Upshaw run for no gain to the Troy 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Bj Johnson

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.87

Younghoe Koo 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brandon Silvers run for no gain to the Troy 25

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Brandon Burks run for 14 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brandon Burks run for 3 yds to the Troy 42

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brandon Burks run for 5 yds to the Troy 47

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Brandon Burks run for 1 yd to the Troy 48

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Kay punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.62

Matt Breida run for 16 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Troy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Ellison,K. rush quarterback draw for 17 yards to the TROY32 (Kitchens, M.), PENALTY GS holding (Kwon,A.) 10 yards to the GS41, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kevin Ellison run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 45

2nd & 16Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.51

Kevin Ellison pass complete to Malik Henry for 35 yds to the Troy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Myles Campbell run for 20 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.61

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 32 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Teddy Ruben for no gain to the Troy 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 4 yds to the GeoSo 47

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 42

3rd & 1Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.53

Brandon Burks run for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Kay punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Derek Keaton at the GeoSo 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

LA Ramsby run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 16

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

LA Ramsby run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 20

3rd & 1Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.82

Kevin Ellison run for 29 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Kevin Ellison run for 6 yds to the Troy 45

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the Troy 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Matt Breida run for no gain to the Troy 43

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.19

LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the Troy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Derek Keaton

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kevin Ellison run for 5 yds to the Troy 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Wesley Fields

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kevin Ellison punt for 33 yds, downed at the Troy 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Brandon Burks run for 2 yds to the Troy 4

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Brandon Burks run for 2 yds to the Troy 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Teddy Ruben

4th & 6Punt+21 yds

Ryan Kay punt for 48 yds , Derek Keaton returns for 21 yds to the Troy 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Matt Breida run for no gain to the Troy 33

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Matt Breida run for 10 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Kevin Ellison pass complete to James Dean for 23 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 4 yds to the Troy 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.42

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Brandon Burks for 13 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Brandon Burks for 5 yds to the Troy 42

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.21

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to John Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Emanuel Thompson

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 22

2nd & 5Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Kevin Ellison run for 31 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the Troy 44

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

LA Ramsby run for 4 yds to the Troy 40

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.24

Kevin Ellison run for 8 yds to the Troy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the Troy 27

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Kevin Ellison run for no gain to the Troy 27

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

LA Ramsby run for 2 yds to the Troy 25

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.24

LA Ramsby run for 4 yds to the Troy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Matt Breida run for 6 yds to the Troy 15

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the Troy 14

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Kevin Ellison run for 1 yd to the Troy 13

4th & 2Penalty+6 yds

Koo,Y. field goal attempt from 31 GOOD, clock 07:45, PENALTY TROY personal foul 6 yards to the TROY7, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.

1st & 7Penalty-15 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Troy 22

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.45

Favian Upshaw run for 15 yds to the Troy 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

LA Ramsby run for 5 yds to the Troy 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

LA Ramsby run for 2 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Brandon Burks run for 8 yds to the Troy 22

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Brandon Burks run for 1 yd to the Troy 23

3rd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.89

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 17 yds to the Troy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Brandon Silvers pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 15 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -3.52

Andre Flakes run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 44 Andre Flakes fumbled, forced by Antwione Williams, recovered by GeoSo Tay Hicklin

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Wesley Fields run for 9 yds to the Troy 47

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

Fields,W. rush left for 6 yards to the TROY41, PENALTY GS holding (Foreman,D.) 10 yards to the GS43, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 48

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.39

LA Ramsby run for 10 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Matt Breida run for 13 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Matt Breida run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 30

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

LA Ramsby run for 2 yds to the Troy 28

3rd & 9Penalty-10 yds

Upshaw,F. rush quarterback draw for 28 yards to the TROY0, clock 00:48, PENALTY GS holding (Kwon,A.) 10 yards to the TROY38, NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Rush-14 ydsPPA -1.44

Favian Upshaw run for a loss of 14 yards to the GeoSo 48

4th & 33Punt0 yds

Ryan Nowicki punt for 37 yds, downed at the Troy 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Brandon Burks run for 4 yds to the Troy 19

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to John Johnson

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre Douglas, broken up by Darius Jones

4th & 6Punt+9 yds

Ryan Kay punt for 50 yds , Derek Keaton returns for 9 yds to the GeoSo 28 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (Caleb Williams) to the GeoSo 25

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Matt Breida run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 39

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 41

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

LA Ramsby run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 46

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.49

LA Ramsby run for 6 yds to the Troy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Favian Upshaw pass complete to Ryan Longoria for 8 yds to the Troy 40

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.05

LA Ramsby run for 6 yds to the Troy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

LA Ramsby run for 4 yds to the Troy 30

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Wesley Fields run for no gain to the Troy 30

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

LA Ramsby run for 5 yds to the Troy 25

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.97

LA Ramsby run for 1 yd to the Troy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the Troy 18

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Wesley Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 19

3rd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Wesley Fields run for 12 yds to the Troy 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Chaz Thornton run for 1 yd to the Troy 6

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Favian Upshaw run for 4 yds to the Troy 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Chaz Thornton run for 2 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Ismail Saleem for 7 yds to the Troy 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Dallas Tidwell pass incomplete to K.D. Edenfield, broken up by Tay Hicklin

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 3 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown-61 ydsPPA -8.76

Riyahd Jones 61 Yd Fumble Return (Younghoe Koo Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Andre Flakes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 23

Situational Analysis

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
59%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
10 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
21 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play