Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 24, 2015Week 8
Wagner
6
-Final
70
BYUBYU

House Prediction

Model Margin

BYU by 20.5

Home Win Probability

BYU 93%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 24, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Wagner
00606
BYUBYU
282114770

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567014-028-035-049-049-656-670-6
BYUWagner

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BYUWAGBYUWAGBYUWAGBYUWAGBYUWAGBYUWAGBYUWAGBYUWAGBYUWAGBYUWAGBYUWAGBYUWAGTD475ydPUNT35ydTD348ydPUNT3-5ydTD466ydPUNT31ydTD672ydPUNT69ydTD586ydPUNT36ydTD450ydTO34ydTD1040ydPUNT417ydEND515ydTD1570ydTD780ydPUNT30ydTD276ydPUNT34ydTD1277ydPUNT30ydDOWNS7-6ydEND38yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wagner and BYU
StatisticWagnerBYU
Passing8-1623-27
Pass Yards46411
Rush Yards83330
Total Yards129741
Turnovers10
3rd Down6-178-9
Penalties2-157-55
Possession30:3729:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wagner
passing
Alex Thomson
7/12, 43 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Alex Thomson
8 CAR, 28 YDS
receiving
Ryan Owens
2 REC, 28 YDS
BYU
passing
Tanner Mangum
12/13, 237 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Algernon Brown
6 CAR, 109 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
David Kessler
3 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Devon Blackmon for 7 yds to the BYU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.54

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 34 yds to the Wagn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.37

Algernon Brown run for 18 yds to the Wagn 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Colby Pearson for 16 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Matthias McKinnon run for 3 yds to the Wagn 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Andre Yevchinecz

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Alex Thomson pass complete to Andre Yevchinecz for 2 yds to the Wagn 30

4th & 5Punt+19 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 37 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 19 yds to the Wagn 48

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Francis Bernard run for 7 yds to the Wagn 41

2nd & 3Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.51

Francis Bernard run for 21 yds to the Wagn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 20 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Alex Thomson run for no gain to the Wagn 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Otis Wright run for 4 yds to the Wagn 29

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

WAGNER Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wagn 24

3rd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.19

Alex Thomson sacked by Fred Warner for a loss of 4 yards to the Wagn 20

4th & 15Punt+8 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 54 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 8 yds to the BYU 34

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Algernon Brown run for 10 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 14 yds to the Wagn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Terenn Houk, broken up by Mike Mentor

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +4.20

Algernon Brown run for 42 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chris Andrews run for no gain to the Wagn 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Chris Andrews run for 1 yd to the Wagn 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Ralph Greene

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 46 yds, downed at the BYU 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Algernon Brown run for 1 yd to the BYU 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.60

Tanner Mangum pass complete to David Kessler for 20 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Algernon Brown run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Francis Bernard run for 6 yds to the Wagn 44

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.43

Francis Bernard run for 7 yds to the Wagn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Algernon Brown run for 37 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Chris Andrews run for 1 yd to the Wagn 26

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Matthias McKinnon run for 8 yds to the Wagn 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Chris Andrews run for 2 yds to the Wagn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.70

Chris Andrews run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wagn 31

2nd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Chris Andrews pass complete to Caleb Scepaniak for 3 yds to the Wagn 34

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Ralph Greene

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 52 yds, downed at the BYU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.23

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 19 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Nate Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 30

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 5 yds to the BYU 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +4.13

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 46 yds to the Wagn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 19 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Matthias McKinnon run for no gain to the Wagn 31

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Otis Wright run for 6 yds to the Wagn 37

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Ryan Owens, broken up by Chris Badger

4th & 4Punt+40 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 53 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 40 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.00

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Devon Blackmon for 19 yds to the Wagn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.30

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 18 yds to the Wagn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.60

Francis Bernard run for 12 yds to the Wagn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Francis Bernard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Otis Wright run for no gain to the Wagn 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Otis Wright run for 4 yds to the Wagn 29

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -0.16

Alex Thomson pass intercepted Jordan Preator return for 3 yds to the Wagn 40

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nate Carter run for 5 yds to the Wagn 35

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.29

Beau Hoge run for 5 yds to the Wagn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Beau Hoge run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 32

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Nate Carter run for 8 yds to the Wagn 24

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Beau Hoge run for 8 yds to the Wagn 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CARTER,Nate rush for 2 yards to the WAGNER14 (APPIAH, John), PENALTY BYU illegal motion 5 yards to the WAGNER21, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Beau Hoge pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau

2nd & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.43

Beau Hoge run for 16 yds to the Wagn 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Beau Hoge run for 3 yds to the Wagn 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Beau Hoge run for no gain to the Wagn 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Beau Hoge run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BYU Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Wagn 30

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Alex Thomson run for 13 yds to the Wagn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Matthias McKinnon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wagn 40

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Anthony Carrington

3rd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Alex Thomson pass complete to Andre Yevchinecz for 2 yds to the Wagn 42

4th & 11Punt+17 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 36 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 17 yds to the BYU 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Nate Carter run for 1 yd to the BYU 40

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Nate Carter run for 7 yds to the BYU 47

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.42

Beau Hoge run for 4 yds to the Wagn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Beau Hoge run for 2 yds to the Wagn 47

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Nate Carter run for 1 yd to the Wagn 46

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Otis Wright run for 2 yds to the Wagn 32

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Otis Wright run for no gain to the Wagn 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.49

Alex Thomson pass complete to Ryan Owens for 12 yds to the Wagn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Otis Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 42

3rd & 12Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.66

Alex Thomson run for 22 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST down

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Andre Yevchinecz

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Otis Wright run for 2 yds to the BYU 34

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Alex Thomson run for 3 yds to the BYU 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.95

Alex Thomson pass complete to Anthony Carrington for 5 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Otis Wright run for 2 yds to the BYU 24

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Otis Wright run for 2 yds to the BYU 22

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.21

Alex Thomson pass complete to Ryan Owens for 16 yds to the BYU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Otis Wright run for 4 yds to the BYU 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Otis Wright run for 1 yd to the BYU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Matthias McKinnon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bryan Maley PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Beau Hoge pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 9 yds to the BYU 29

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Beau Hoge run for 5 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Beau Hoge run for 3 yds to the BYU 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Beau Hoge pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.73

Beau Hoge pass complete to Josh Weeks for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Nate Carter run for 3 yds to the Wagn 47

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +4.23

Beau Hoge pass complete to David Kessler for 47 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Alex Thomson run for 3 yds to the Wagn 28

2nd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Alex Thomson sacked by Fred Warner for a loss of 3 yards to the Wagn 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Anthony Carrington, broken up by Grant Jones

4th & 10Punt+10 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 51 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 10 yds to the BYU 35 BYU Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the BYU 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Koy Detmer Jr. pass complete to Josh Weeks for 6 yds to the BYU 30

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.82

Nate Carter run for 70 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Denzel Knight run for 3 yds to the Wagn 19

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Denzel Knight run for 2 yds to the Wagn 21

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

THOMSON, Alex pass complete to SMITH, Eli for 25 yards to the WAGNER46 (JONES,Grant), PENALTY WAGNER pass interference 10 yards to the WAGNER11, NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.08

Denzel Knight run for 9 yds to the Wagn 20

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 57 yds, downed at the BYU 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Beau Hoge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Beau Hoge pass complete to Trey Dye for 8 yds to the BYU 31

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.65

Beau Hoge pass complete to Akile Davis for 9 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Beau Hoge pass complete to Jake Ziolkowski for 7 yds to the BYU 47

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.21

Nate Carter run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Nate Carter run for 7 yds to the Wagn 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Beau Hoge pass complete to David Kessler for 11 yds to the Wagn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Toloa'i Ho Ching run for 5 yds to the Wagn 27

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.24

Beau Hoge pass complete to Jake Ziolkowski for 13 yds to the Wagn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Colby Hansen run for 8 yds to the Wagn 6

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.16

Toloa'i Ho Ching run for 5 yds to the Wagn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Beau Hoge run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Matthias McKinnon run for 3 yds to the Wagn 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Alex Thomson pass complete to Caleb Scepaniak for 3 yds to the Wagn 31

3rd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.67

Alex Thomson sacked by Va'a Niumatalolo for a loss of 6 yards to the Wagn 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Bryan Rafano punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Koy Detmer Jr. pass complete to Josh Weeks for 4 yds to the BYU 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Colby Hansen run for 1 yd to the BYU 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.60

Koy Detmer Jr. pass complete to Trey Dye for 47 yds to the Wagn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

BYU Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Wagn 27

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Colby Hansen run for 6 yds to the Wagn 21

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

BYU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wagn 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Colby Hansen run for 2 yds to the Wagn 24

3rd & 7Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.61

Koy Detmer Jr. run for a loss of 9 yards to the Wagn 33

4th & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Colby Hansen run for no gain to the Wagn 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Alex Thomson pass complete to Lloyd Smith for 3 yds to the Wagn 36

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Denzel Knight run for 6 yds to the Wagn 42

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Denzel Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 41

Situational Analysis

Wagner

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
6%
17 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
23%
13 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
66%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
71%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
9 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play