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← Back to GamesSep 5, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 9.1

Home Win Probability

App State 76%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 5, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Howard
00000
App StateApp State
72121049

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-035-042-049-0
App StateHoward

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HOWASHOWASHOWASHOWASHOWASHOWASHOWASASHOWASHOWASHOWASHOWASHOWPUNT515ydTD1476ydDOWNS1153ydPUNT32ydPUNT30ydTD585ydPUNT34ydTD479ydPUNT31ydTD563ydPUNT22ydTO963ydPUNT30ydEND321ydTD980ydTO311ydTD647ydPUNT511ydTD873ydDOWNS653ydPUNT823ydPUNT516ydDOWNS1061ydEND36yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Howard and App State
StatisticHowardApp State
Passing14-2321-28
Pass Yards136287
Rush Yards36390
Total Yards172677
Turnovers11
3rd Down1-137-13
Penalties6-417-60
Possession24:1035:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Howard
passing
Kalen Johnson
12/21, 119 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Aquanius Freeman
12 CAR, 24 YDS
receiving
Aquanius Freeman
5 REC, 48 YDS
App State
passing
Taylor Lamb
16/21, 209 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Marcus Cox
11 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Shaedon Meadors
4 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Aquanius Freeman run for 2 yds to the Howrd 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Kalen Johnson pass complete to Aquanius Freeman for 9 yds to the Howrd 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Aquanius Freeman run for 3 yds to the Howrd 39

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Aquanius Freeman run for 4 yds to the Howrd 43

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.17

Aquanius Freeman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 40

4th & 6Punt+2 yds

John Fleck punt for 38 yds , Bobo Beathard returns for 2 yds to the AppSt 24

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Marcus Cox run for 10 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Marcus Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 33

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 2 yds to the AppSt 35

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Taylor Lamb run for 8 yds to the AppSt 43

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.10

Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 9 yds to the Howrd 46

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.25

Marcus Cox run for 4 yds to the Howrd 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Marcus Cox run for 7 yds to the Howrd 35

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.92

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for a loss of 4 yards to the Howrd 39

4th & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.87

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 11 yds to the Howrd 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Terrence Upshaw run for 8 yds to the Howrd 20

2nd & 2Penalty+10 yds

Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Lewis, Ike, PENALTY HOW personal foul (KEBE,Ibrahima) 10 yards to the HOW10, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marcus Cox run for 5 yds to the Howrd 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 5 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Robert Mercer, broken up by Latrell Gibbs

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kalen Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 15

3rd & 13Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +4.01

Kalen Johnson pass complete to Aquanius Freeman for 28 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (Alex Gray) to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Aquanius Freeman run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 43

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Aquanius Freeman run for 6 yds to the AppSt 37

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kalen Johnson run for 4 yds to the AppSt 33

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.44

Kalen Johnson run for 2 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Aquanius Freeman run for no gain to the AppSt 31

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Aquanius Freeman

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Aquanius Freeman run for 2 yds to the AppSt 29

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.21

Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Aquanius Freeman

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon Meadors, broken up by Travon Hunt

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the AppSt 31

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bentlee Critcher punt for 40 yds , Jalen Avery returns for no gain to the Howrd 29

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Kalen Johnson pass complete to Rodney Tyson for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 27

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Rodney Tyson run for 2 yds to the Howrd 29

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Rodney Tyson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

John Fleck punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Terrence Upshaw run for 3 yds to the AppSt 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Terrence Upshaw for 20 yds to the AppSt 38 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the AppSt 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Taylor Lamb run for 6 yds to the AppSt 29

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the AppSt 32

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +6.23

Marcus Cox run for 68 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Kalen Johnson sacked by John Law for a loss of 4 yards to the Howrd 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Kalen Johnson pass complete to Robert Mercer for 6 yds to the Howrd 27

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Kalen Johnson run for 7 yds to the Howrd 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

HOWARD Penalty, delay of game (Kalen Johnson) to the Howrd 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

John Fleck punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.57

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 19 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Terrence Upshaw run for 1 yd to the AppSt 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 50 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aquanius Freeman run for no gain to the Howrd 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kalen Johnson pass complete to Aquanius Freeman for 2 yds to the Howrd 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kalen Johnson pass complete to Aquanius Freeman for 4 yds to the Howrd 31

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

HOWARD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Howrd 26

4th & 9Punt+11 yds

John Fleck punt for 38 yds , Simms McElfresh returns for 11 yds to the AppSt 37 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the AppSt 37

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Terrence Upshaw run for 11 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Marcus Cox run for no gain to the AppSt 48

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marcus Cox run for 5 yds to the Howrd 47

3rd & 5Penalty+1 yds

Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Gray, Alex, PENALTY HOW pass interference (HUNT,Travon) 1 yards to the HOW46, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Josh Boyd run for no gain to the Howrd 46

2nd & 10Penalty+29 yds

Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Burns, Barrett, PENALTY HOW pass interference (ANGLIN,Elijah) 29 yards to the HOW17, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Simms McElfresh 17 Yd Run (Zach Matics Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kalen Johnson pass complete to Myles Williams for 5 yds to the Howrd 18

2nd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Kalen Johnson sacked by Anthony Flory and Osvaldo Sombo for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 15

3rd & 8Punt0 yds

John Fleck punt for 83 yds, downed at the AppSt 2

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Terrence Upshaw run for 3 yds to the AppSt 5

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Terrence Upshaw run for 5 yds to the AppSt 10

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.45

Terrence Upshaw run for 6 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Ricky Fergerson run for 7 yds to the AppSt 23

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 8 yds to the AppSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 9 yds to the AppSt 35

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.11

Taylor Lamb run for 14 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -3.08

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Josh Boyd for 12 yds Josh Boyd fumbled, forced by Jalen Day, recovered by Howrd Ghafona Iduwe

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Aquanius Freeman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen Avery

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kalen Johnson pass incomplete to Tamlin Antoine

4th & 10Punt0 yds

John Fleck punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 14 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 7 yds to the Howrd 44

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon Meadors, broken up by DeAndre Price

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Terrence Upshaw run for 5 yds to the AppSt 25

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Terrence Upshaw run for 5 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.34

Terrence Upshaw run for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 25

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.30

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jaquil Capel for 14 yds to the AppSt 39

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.05

Taylor Lamb run for 13 yds to the Howrd 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.04

Jalin Moore run for 26 yds to the Howrd 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the Howrd 16

2nd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.86

Jalin Moore run for a loss of 4 yards to the Howrd 20

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.32

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 20 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kalen Johnson pass complete to Aquanius Freeman for 5 yds to the Howrd 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Kalen Johnson pass complete to Matthew Colvin for 6 yds to the Howrd 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.85

Kalen Johnson pass intercepted Latrell Gibbs return for no gain to the Howrd 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.85

JP Caruso pass complete to Ricky Fergerson for 19 yds to the Howrd 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

JP Caruso run for 4 yds to the Howrd 24

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Ricky Fergerson run for 7 yds to the Howrd 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Josh Boyd run for 5 yds to the Howrd 12

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.31

JP Caruso pass complete to Deltron Hopkins for 5 yds to the Howrd 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jalin Moore run for 7 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Aquanius Freeman run for 2 yds to the Howrd 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Kalen Johnson pass complete to Matthew Colvin for 8 yds to the Howrd 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Aquanius Freeman run for 7 yds to the Howrd 42

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Aquanius Freeman run for 2 yds to the Howrd 44

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Kalen Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 36 Kalen Johnson fumbled, recovered by Howrd Kalen Johnson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

John Fleck punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the AppSt 30

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.50

JP Caruso run for 10 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 44

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.24

Jalin Moore run for 8 yds to the Howrd 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

JP Caruso pass complete to Jaylan Barbour for 11 yds to the Howrd 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

JP Caruso pass incomplete to Jaylan Barbour

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Josh Boyd run for no gain to the Howrd 37

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +4.77

JP Caruso pass complete to Isaiah Lewis for 37 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ricquaz Brannon run for 4 yds to the Howrd 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.43

Kalen Johnson pass complete to Jalen Avery for 43 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Ricquaz Brannon run for 2 yds to the AppSt 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kalen Johnson pass complete to Ricquaz Brannon for 5 yds to the AppSt 21

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kalen Johnson run for 2 yds to the AppSt 19

4th & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -3.69

Ricquaz Brannon run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

JP Caruso run for 4 yds to the AppSt 26

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Josh Boyd run for 5 yds to the AppSt 31

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.86

Josh Boyd run for 2 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Eric Davidson run for no gain to the AppSt 33

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.29

JP Caruso run for 14 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 42

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 37

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Eric Davidson run for 2 yds to the AppSt 39

2nd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

JP Caruso pass complete to Nikia Cathey for 6 yds to the AppSt 45

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

JP Caruso pass incomplete to Deltron Hopkins

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Bentlee Critcher punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Donnell Pleasant run for no gain to the Howrd 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.61

Da'Vaun Johnson pass complete to Matthew Colvin for 14 yds to the Howrd 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Donnell Pleasant run for no gain to the Howrd 34

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Donnell Pleasant run for 4 yds to the Howrd 38

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

HOWARD Penalty, false start (Myles Williams) to the Howrd 33

3rd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Da'Vaun Johnson pass complete to Ricquaz Brannon for 3 yds to the Howrd 36

4th & 8Punt0 yds

John Fleck punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 32

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.58

JP Caruso run for 34 yds to the Howrd 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.33

Jalin Moore run for 15 yds to the Howrd 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Eric Davidson run for 2 yds to the Howrd 17

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Eric Davidson run for 7 yds to the Howrd 10

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Eric Davidson run for no gain to the Howrd 10

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.55

Eric Davidson run for 1 yd to the Howrd 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Josh Boyd run for 3 yds to the Howrd 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Josh Boyd run for 5 yds to the Howrd 1

3rd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.67

JP Caruso run for a loss of 5 yards to the Howrd 6

4th & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.87

Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 7

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Ricquaz Brannon run for 1 yd to the Howrd 8

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ricquaz Brannon run for 4 yds to the Howrd 12

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Ricquaz Brannon run for 1 yd to the Howrd 13

Situational Analysis

Howard

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
16%
19 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
36%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
57%
40 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
78%
9 plays
80%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play