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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2015Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Buffalo by 6.5

Home Win Probability

Miami (OH) 31%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 29, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
10712029
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
7100724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-37-1010-1010-1717-2317-2924-29
Miami (OH)Buffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(BUFM(BUFBUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFBUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(PUNT30ydFG727ydPUNT3-2ydTD718ydTD178ydPUNT521ydPUNT47ydFG1064ydPUNT422ydPUNT34ydTD1179ydTD357ydEND27ydTD872ydMISS720ydTD975ydPUNT750ydPUNT520ydTO111ydMISS43ydDOWNS643ydPUNT38ydPUNT614ydPUNT35ydTD1180ydPUNT34ydEND411yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Miami (OH)
StatisticBuffaloMiami (OH)
Passing22-2913-36
Pass Yards289224
Rush Yards144124
Total Yards433348
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-155-16
Penalties6-656-53
Possession35:1424:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Joe Licata
22/29, 289 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jordan Johnson
28 CAR, 123 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ron Willoughby
2 REC, 87 YDS, 2 TD
Miami (OH)
passing
Billy Bahl
13/36, 224 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Leonard Ross
6 CAR, 42 YDS
receiving
Sam Martin
4 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kenny Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Billy Bahl pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Christian Koch punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the Buff 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Joe Licata pass complete to Matt Weiser for 7 yds to the MiaOh 48

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.65

Jordan Johnson run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Johnson run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Joe Licata pass complete to Marcus McGill for 3 yds to the MiaOh 29

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the MiaOh 29

4th & 2Field Goal Good+46 ydsPPA +0.07

Adam Mitcheson 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 9 yds to the MiaOh 34 MIAMI OH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the MiaOh 19

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Billy Bahl pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Christian Koch punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 47

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Jordan Johnson run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.03

Joe Licata pass complete to Matt Weiser for 14 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.16

Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 29

2nd & 16Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.73

Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 33

3rd & 20Interception Return Touchdown-76 ydsPPA -8.45

Joe Licata pass intercepted for a TD Brison Burris return for 76 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +6.27

Joe Licata pass complete to Ron Willoughby for 78 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 16 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Maurice Thomas run for 10 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Billy Bahl pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Billy Bahl pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.16

Billy Bahl sacked by Okezie Alozie for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 46

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Christian Koch punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Joe Licata pass complete to Matt Weiser for 20 yds to the Buff 45 for a 1ST down BUFFALO Penalty, illegal block (Marcus McGill) to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Devin Campbell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Buff 32

2nd & 13Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.49

Joe Licata pass complete to Brandon Smiley for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 30

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Anthone Taylor run for 2 yds to the Buff 32

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 68 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Ryan Smith) to the MiaOh 15

1st & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.70

Leonard Ross run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 29

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.90

Kenny Young run for 15 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BAHL, Billy pass incomplete to MARTIN, Sam, PENALTY UB pass interference (ROSS, Boise) 15 yards to the UB41, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Leonard Ross run for 4 yds to the Buff 37

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Kenny Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 4 yds to the Buff 34

4th & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.96

Kenny Young run for 10 yds to the Buff 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Alonzo Smith run for 7 yds to the Buff 17

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the Buff 15

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 16

4th & 2Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.75

Kaleb Patterson 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Joe Licata pass complete to Jacob Martinez for 16 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Buff 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Joe Licata pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Joe Licata pass complete to Jordan Johnson for 4 yds to the Buff 47

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 23

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 27

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Billy Bahl pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Christian Koch punt for 56 yds , Collin Lisa returns for 4 yds to the Buff 21

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 20

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Jordan Johnson run for 7 yds to the Buff 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.53

Joe Licata pass complete to Collin Lisa for 8 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Joe Licata pass complete to Jacob Martinez for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Joe Licata pass complete to Jordan Johnson for 13 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.37

Joe Licata pass complete to Collin Lisa for 13 yds to the MiaOh 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Joe Licata pass complete to Collin Lisa for 3 yds to the MiaOh 20

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Brandon Smiley, broken up by Allan Koikoi

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

MITCHESON, Adam field goal attempt from 37 MISSED - short,, clock 03:03, PENALTY MIAMI roughing the kicker (KOIKOI, Allan) 5 yards to the MIAMI15, NO PLAY.

4th & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.92

Jordan Johnson run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.85

Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 37 yds to the Buff 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Leonard Ross run for 4 yds to the Buff 16

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.64

Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 16 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Anthone Taylor run for 5 yds to the Buff 22

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Anthone Taylor run for 2 yds to the Buff 24

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the Buff 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Joe Licata pass complete to Malcolm Robinson for 6 yds to the Buff 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.90

Joe Licata pass complete to Matt Weiser for 8 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+48 ydsPPA +2.05

Jordan Johnson run for 48 yds to the MiaOh 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Joe Licata pass incomplete, broken up by Ikeem Allen

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Anthone Taylor run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 9

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Joe Licata sacked by Bryson Albright for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 13

4th & 13Penalty+7 yds

MITCHESON, Adam field goal attempt from 29 GOOD, clock 11:20, PENALTY MIAMI personal foul (WINTERS, Mitch) 7 yards to the MIAMI6, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Jordan Johnson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Rokeem Williams run for 8 yds to the Buff 36

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared Murphy, broken up by Andrews Dadeboe

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Maurice Thomas run for 9 yds to the Buff 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the Buff 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the Buff 24

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Sam Martin

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Kaleb Patterson 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Joe Licata pass complete to Mason Schreck for 3 yds to the Buff 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Buff 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.50

Joe Licata pass complete to Marcus McGill for 29 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.29

Joe Licata pass complete to Mason Schreck for 20 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Marcus McGill, broken up by De'Andre Montgomery

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Jordan Johnson run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the MiaOh 9

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Joe Licata pass complete to Ron Willoughby for 9 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 15 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.12

Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 43 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Leonard Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 31

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams

3rd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.45

Billy Bahl sacked by Brandon Berry for a loss of 9 yards to the Buff 40 MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Christian Koch punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Collin Lisa at the Buff 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Anthone Taylor run for 2 yds to the Buff 16

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Anthone Taylor run for 12 yds to the Buff 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LICATA, Joe pass complete to WILLOUGHBY, Ron for 11 yards to the UB39 (BIRDSALL, Bert), PENALTY UB ineligible downfield on pass (JOSEPH, Roubben) 5 yards to the UB23, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Anthone Taylor run for 1 yd to the Buff 24

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Anthone Taylor run for 2 yds to the Buff 26

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, false start (James O'Hagan) to the Buff 21

3rd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.33

Joe Licata pass complete to Anthone Taylor for 13 yds to the Buff 34

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 23

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -0.79

Rokeem Williams run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 34 Rokeem Williams fumbled, forced by Boise Ross, recovered by Buff Brandon Berry

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Malcolm Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 31

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Collin Lisa, broken up by Buchi Okafor

4th & 7Blocked Field Goal+47 yds

Adam Mitcheson 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Mitchell Winters

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.13

Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 24 yds to the Buff 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.78

Leonard Ross run for 20 yds to the Buff 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared Murphy

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Leonard Ross run for 1 yd to the Buff 24

3rd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.24

Kenny Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 26

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.15

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared Murphy, broken up by Marqus Baker

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Anthone Taylor run for no gain to the Buff 26

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Anthone Taylor run for 1 yd to the Buff 27

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Joe Licata pass complete to Matt Weiser for 7 yds to the Buff 34

4th & 2Punt+54 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MIAMIOH 22 MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding (Tony Reid) to the MiaOh 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Billy Bahl run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Sam Martin, broken up by Andrews Dadeboe

3rd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.22

Billy Bahl run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Sam Martin

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared Murphy, broken up by Marqus Baker

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Christian Koch punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Collin Lisa at the Buff 46

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the Buff 46

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the Buff 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Joe Licata pass complete to Marcus McGill for 2 yds to the MiaOh 49

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Billy Bahl pass incomplete, broken up by Demone Harris

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Billy Bahl run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.91

Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 13 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.91

Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 23 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Billy Bahl pass incomplete, broken up by Brandon Crawford

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.33

Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 12 yds to the Buff 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BAHL, Billy pass incomplete, PENALTY UB PU (1R) 15 yards to the UB14, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Ryan Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Billy Bahl pass complete to Spencer McInnis for 10 yds to the Buff 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Billy Bahl run for 2 yds to the Buff 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Billy Bahl pass incomplete

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 2 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Jordan Johnson run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 42

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.98

Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 46

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 27 yds, downed at the MiaOh 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Billy Bahl pass incomplete, broken up by Marqus Baker

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Billy Bahl pass incomplete, broken up by Marqus Baker

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Billy Bahl pass incomplete, broken up by Boise Ross

4th & 10Penalty+15 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Brandon Crawford) to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.49

Billy Bahl sacked by Solomon Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 30

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
32%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
53%
15 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
18%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
30%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play