Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 17, 2015Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Central Michigan by 5

Home Win Probability

Central Michigan 65%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 17, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
700714
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
14237751

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-723-737-744-751-14
Central MichiganBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFBUFCMBUFCMCMBUFCMCMBUFCMBUFCMTD778ydPUNT36ydPUNT34ydTD771ydTD756ydDOWNS1048ydTD776ydSAF3-6ydTD850ydTO10ydTD439ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-2ydEND15ydPUNT424ydPUNT63ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-6ydTD629ydDOWNS1449ydTD22ydTD975ydTO523ydPUNT34ydTO312ydEND721yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Central Michigan
StatisticBuffaloCentral Michigan
Passing14-2823-30
Pass Yards149313
Rush Yards87156
Total Yards236469
Turnovers41
3rd Down5-146-12
Penalties5-639-87
Possession24:5035:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Joe Licata
13/25, 133 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Anthone Taylor
13 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Ron Willoughby
2 REC, 53 YDS, 1 TD
Central Michigan
passing
Cooper Rush
23/30, 313 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Martez Walker
20 CAR, 66 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jesse Kroll
7 REC, 133 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.52

Cooper Rush pass complete to Zach Crouch for 18 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Martez Walker run for 7 yds to the CMich 47

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Martez Walker run for 9 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Cooper Rush run for no gain to the Buff 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.87

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 34 yds to the Buff 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Martez Walker run for 4 yds to the Buff 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Martez Walker run for 6 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Joe Licata pass complete to Anthone Taylor for 6 yds to the Buff 37

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Jacob Martinez

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Anthone Taylor

4th & 4Punt+6 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 50 yds , Emmitt Thomas returns for 6 yds to the CMich 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Martez Walker run for 4 yds to the CMich 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.49

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for no gain to the CMich 23

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Ben McCord

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ron Coluzzi punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Joe Licata pass complete to Marcus McGill for 9 yds to the Buff 38

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.37

Anthone Taylor run for no gain to the Buff 38

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.35

Joe Licata run for 5 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Anthone Taylor run for 5 yds to the Buff 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.81

Joe Licata pass complete to Mason Schreck for 6 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Anthone Taylor run for 12 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Joe Licata pass complete to Ron Willoughby for 34 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Mark Chapman run for 1 yd to the CMich 45

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.00

Mark Chapman run for 13 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 9 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (Andrews Dadeboe) to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jay Roberson run for 3 yds to the Buff 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.24

Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 12 yds to the Buff 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jay Roberson run for 2 yds to the Buff 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Cooper Rush run for 1 yd for a TD BUFFALO Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Brian Eavey KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 27

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jacob Martinez run for 5 yds to the Buff 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.26

Joe Licata pass complete to Jacob Martinez for 11 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

LICATA, Joe pass incomplete to SMILEY, Brandon, PENALTY CMU pass interference (COX, Josh) 15 yards to the CMU42, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the CMich 38

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Mason Schreck, broken up by Tony Annese

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.51

Joe Licata pass complete to Matt Weiser for 7 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Joe Licata pass complete to Jordan Johnson for 7 yds to the CMich 24

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

JOHNSON, Jordan rush for 1 yard to the CMU23 (PERRY, Jeff;ANNESE, Tony), PENALTY UB holding 10 yards to the CMU34, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Joe Licata pass complete to Matt Weiser for 6 yds to the CMich 28

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the CMich 24

4th & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -3.20

Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the CMich 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Martez Walker run for no gain to the CMich 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Cooper Rush pass complete to Zach Crouch for 11 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Martez Walker run for 5 yds to the CMich 40

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 8 yds to the CMich 43

3rd & 2Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.62

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 23 yds to the Buff 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Mark Chapman run for 3 yds to the Buff 31

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

RUSH, Cooper pass complete to CONKLIN, Tyler for 9 yards to the UB22 (BERRY, Brandon), PENALTY CMU pass interference 15 yards to the UB46, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +5.99

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 46 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Anthone Taylor run for 4 yds to the Buff 20

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Mason Schreck, broken up by Tony Annese

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

LICATA, Joe pass complete to WILLOUGHBY, Ron for 7 yards to the UB27 (COX, Josh;RICKETTS, N.), PENALTY UB pass interference (WEISER, Matt) 10 yards to the UB10, NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Jacob Martinez

4th & 16Blocked Punt0 yds

Tyler Grassman punt blocked by Zach Oakley for a SAFETY blocked by Zach Oakley for a SAFETY for a SAFETY

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.97

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jay Roberson for 18 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Romello Ross run for 1 yd to the Buff 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Nathan Ricketts, broken up by Boise Ross

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.51

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 12 yds to the Buff 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.72

Corey Willis run for 14 yds to the Buff 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Martez Walker run for 3 yds to the Buff 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Martez Walker run for no gain to the Buff 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Cooper Rush pass complete to Trevor Thomas for 2 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Joe Licata pass intercepted Kavon Frazier return for no gain to the Buff 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 3 yds to the Buff 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Cooper Rush pass complete to Martez Walker for 10 yds to the Buff 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, illegal use of hands (13 Yards) to the Buff 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cooper Rush pass incomplete, broken up by Gusty Schwartzmeier

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Buff 23

2nd & 20Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.75

Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 23 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Anthone Taylor run for 6 yds to the Buff 25

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.78

Anthone Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 24

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Joe Licata pass incomplete, broken up by Michael Steinhauer

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 31 yds, downed at the CMich 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 4 yds to the CMich 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Cooper Rush pass incomplete, broken up by Brandon Crawford

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.45

Cooper Rush sacked by Brandon Crawford for a loss of 6 yards to the CMich 43 Cooper Rush fumbled, recovered by CMich Jack Ford , return for 0 yards

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ron Coluzzi punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Anthone Taylor run for 5 yds to the Buff 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Joe Licata pass complete to Ron Willoughby for 19 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Anthone Taylor run for 1 yd to the Buff 45

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Anthone Taylor run for 4 yds to the Buff 49

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Joe Licata pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 41 yds, downed at the CMich 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Martez Walker run for 2 yds to the CMich 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Martez Walker

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 10 yds to the CMich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Martez Walker run for 6 yds to the CMich 28

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Martez Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 26

3rd & 6Penalty-13 yds

RUSH, Cooper pass complete to RICE, Anthony for 4 yards to the CMU30 (STANBACK, Brand), PENALTY CMU illegal block 13 yards to the CMU13, NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Rush0 ydsPPA -0.03

Martez Walker run for no gain to the CMich 13

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Ron Coluzzi punt for 66 yds, downed at the Buff 21

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Buff 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Joe Licata pass complete to Jordan Johnson for 5 yds to the Buff 28

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.68

Joe Licata sacked by Amari Coleman for a loss of 8 yards to the Buff 20

4th & 11Punt+55 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 24 , Emmitt Thomas returns for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 19 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, illegal block (Eric Cooper) to the CMich 24

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (Kavon Frazier) to the CMich 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jay Roberson run for 4 yds to the CMich 16

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Anthony Rice

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jay Roberson for 2 yds to the CMich 18

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ron Coluzzi punt for 47 yds , Collin Lisa returns for no gain to the Buff 29 Collin Lisa fumbled, forced by Josh Cox, recovered by CMich Stefon Armstead

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 11 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Martez Walker run for 3 yds to the Buff 15

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Martez Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 16

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.22

Cooper Rush pass complete to Trevor Thomas for 15 yds to the Buff 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Martez Walker run for no gain to the Buff 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Martez Walker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Anthone Taylor run for 7 yds to the Buff 38

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Anthone Taylor run for 4 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Joe Licata pass complete to Anthone Taylor for 7 yds to the Buff 49

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Mason Schreck, broken up by Kavon Frazier

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Anthone Taylor run for no gain to the Buff 49

4th & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.99

Joe Licata pass complete to Matt Weiser for 11 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Anthone Taylor run for 5 yds to the CMich 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Marcus McGill

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the CMich 31

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.34

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the CMich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the CMich 25

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Brandon Smiley, broken up by Stefon Armstead

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Joe Licata pass complete to Matt Weiser for 5 yds to the CMich 20

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.55

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Ron Willoughby

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Romello Ross run for 2 yds to the CMich 22

2nd & 8Interception Return Touchdown-17 ydsPPA -7.25

Cooper Rush pass intercepted for a TD Andrews Dadeboe return for 17 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Martez Walker run for 5 yds to the CMich 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Martez Walker run for 5 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Martez Walker run for 3 yds to the CMich 38

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jay Roberson run for 3 yds to the CMich 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.00

Cooper Rush pass complete to Jay Roberson for 7 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Romello Ross run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.69

Romello Ross run for 15 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.37

Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 16 yds to the Buff 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Cooper Rush pass complete to Eric Cooper for 19 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the Buff 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.93

Tony Daniel pass complete to Mason Schreck for 16 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Johnathan Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 46

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Johnathan Hawkins run for 4 yds to the CMich 42

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.13

Tony Daniel pass intercepted Stefon Armstead return for no gain to the CMich 10

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Stefon Armstead) to the CMich 5

1st & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Romello Ross run for 2 yds to the CMich 5

1st & 10Penalty-2 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive holding (-2 Yards) to the CMich 3

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Romello Ross run for 4 yds to the CMich 9

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Romello Ross run for 5 yds to the CMich 14

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ron Coluzzi punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Johnathan Hawkins run for 11 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Chris Merchant pass incomplete to Kyril Threats, broken up by Tyree Waller

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -2.88

Johnathan Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 40 Johnathan Hawkins fumbled, recovered by CMich Gary Jones

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Romello Ross run for 6 yds to the CMich 46

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.59

Romello Ross run for 5 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Romello Ross run for 2 yds to the Buff 47

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Romello Ross run for 1 yd to the Buff 46

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Romello Ross run for 5 yds to the Buff 41

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.14

Romello Ross run for 4 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 39

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
57%
23 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
4 plays

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
39%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
14 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play