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← Back to GamesOct 24, 2015Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 9.6

Home Win Probability

Air Force 77%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 24, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
1400014
Air ForceAir Force
71414742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-1414-1421-1428-1435-1442-14
Air ForceFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSAFFSAFFSAFFSAFFSAFFSAFFSAFFSAFFSAFFSAFFSAFFSAFFSAFDOWNS644ydPUNT31ydTD486ydPUNT517ydTD794ydTD975ydTO30ydTD310ydPUNT37ydMISS757ydPUNT3-14ydTD962ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT924ydEND2-6ydTD675ydPUNT35ydTO839ydPUNT30ydTD979ydPUNT30ydTD556ydPUNT937ydDOWNS1557ydDOWNS744ydEND3-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and Air Force
StatisticFresno StateAir Force
Passing14-396-11
Pass Yards177128
Rush Yards134458
Total Yards311586
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-128-18
Penalties5-395-38
Possession17:2242:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Kilton Anderson
14/39, 177 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Marteze Waller
10 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marteze Waller
2 REC, 40 YDS
Air Force
passing
Karson Roberts
5/10, 108 YDS
rushing
Bryan Driskell
12 CAR, 144 YDS
receiving
Jalen Robinette
3 REC, 79 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Kilton Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.91

Kilton Anderson pass complete to Marteze Waller for 39 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Marteze Waller run for 3 yds to the AFA 37

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kilton Anderson pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 5 yds to the AFA 32

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.67

Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the AFA 31

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jacobi Owens run for no gain to the AFA 31

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Benton Washington run for 1 yd to the AFA 32

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Karson Roberts pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+53 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 43 yds , Da'Mari Scott returns for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 31 FRESNO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the FrsSt 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Kilton Anderson run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 16

2nd & 8Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.79

Marteze Waller run for 20 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +6.19

Marteze Waller run for 64 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Karson Roberts run for 13 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Karson Roberts pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jacobi Owens run for 1 yd to the AFA 42

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Karson Roberts pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 52 yds, downed at the FrsSt 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Dustin Garrison run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 9

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Kilton Anderson pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 7 yds to the FrsSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (Da'Mari Scott) to the FrsSt 11

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 6

2nd & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.03

Kilton Anderson pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 7 yds to the FrsSt 13

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.39

Kilton Anderson pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 14 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Kilton Anderson pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 13 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.76

Dustin Garrison run for 60 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Karson Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Benton Washington run for 5 yds to the AFA 31

3rd & 4Rush+54 ydsPPA +4.05

Bryan Driskell run for 54 yds to the FrsSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Aubrey Duty-Tyson run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 13

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Aubrey Duty-Tyson run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 9

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Bryan Driskell run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 6

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.19

Karson Roberts run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Bryan Driskell run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Karson Roberts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Marteze Waller run for no gain to the FrsSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-17 ydsPPA +0.13

Kilton Anderson pass intercepted Roland Ladipo return for 17 yds to the FrsSt 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Karson Roberts run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Karson Roberts run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Karson Roberts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Marteze Waller run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Kilton Anderson pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 8 yds to the FrsSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 23

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Jacobi Owens run for 8 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 2Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.87

Karson Roberts pass complete to Garrett Griffin for 24 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.71

Karson Roberts pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 17 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Karson Roberts pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jacobi Owens run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 22

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Bryan Driskell run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 20

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Luke Strebel 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Marteze Waller run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 18

2nd & 12Penalty-9 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference (-9 Yards) to the FrsSt 9

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Marteze Waller

3rd & 21Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.02

Kilton Anderson sacked by D.J. Dunn Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 6

4th & 24Punt+55 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 55 yds , Garrett Brown returns for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 38

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.36

Jacobi Owens run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jacobi Owens run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 42

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Aubrey Duty-Tyson run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.39

Karson Roberts pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 18 yds to the FrsSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Bryan Driskell run for no gain to the FrsSt 17

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Bryan Driskell run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Karson Roberts pass incomplete to Benton Washington AIR FORCE Penalty, illegal forward pass (Karson Roberts) to the AFA 35

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Benton Washington run for 8 yds to the AFA 43

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Karson Roberts run for 6 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Marteze Waller run for a loss of 5 yards to the FrsSt 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Da'Mari Scott

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

4th & 15Punt-2 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 52 yds , Garrett Brown returns for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 26

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Garrett Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 24

2nd & 12Rush+25 ydsPPA +3.01

Karson Roberts run for 25 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Karson Roberts run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jacobi Owens run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 43

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Aubrey Duty-Tyson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 42 Aubrey Duty-Tyson fumbled, recovered by AFA Aubrey Duty-Tyson

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.01

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the AFA 46

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Bryan Driskell run for 3 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 48

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 45

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Delvon Hardaway, broken up by Roland Ladipo

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.67

Kilton Anderson sacked by Alex Hansen for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Karson Roberts run for 9 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.18

Karson Roberts pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 44 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Karson Roberts run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 14

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jacobi Owens run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 13

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.66

Benton Washington run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Karson Roberts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kilton Anderson pass complete to Marteze Waller for 1 yd to the FrsSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kilton Anderson pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 4 yds to the FrsSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Garrett Brown at the AFA 21

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Karson Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Benton Washington run for no gain to the AFA 28

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.22

Karson Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.13

Bryan Driskell run for 25 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Karson Roberts run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Aubrey Duty-Tyson run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 38

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Benton Washington run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 35

4th & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+24 ydsPPA -2.26

Karson Roberts run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 36 Karson Roberts fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Jamal Ellis , return for 24 yds to the AFA 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the AFA 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Delvon Hardaway

3rd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Marteze Waller run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 36

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 15 yds, downed at the AFA 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacobi Owens run for 5 yds to the AFA 26

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jacobi Owens run for 8 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.36

Jacobi Owens run for 31 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 32

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Aubrey Duty-Tyson run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 28

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.63

Jacobi Owens run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 18 AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the FrsSt 28

1st & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Bryan Driskell run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 20

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.87

Jalen Robinette pass complete to Karson Roberts for 20 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Dustin Garrison

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 31 yds, downed at the AFA 44

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Bryan Driskell run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Bryan Driskell run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jacobi Owens run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 32

2nd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.28

Bryan Driskell run for 17 yds to the FrsSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Jacobi Owens run for 15 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 10 yds to the FrsSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.28

Kilton Anderson pass complete to Delvon Hardaway for 16 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Malique Micenheimer run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.54

Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malique Micenheimer for 9 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Delvon Hardaway

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Karson Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Benton Washington run for 3 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Benton Washington run for 16 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jacobi Owens run for no gain to the AFA 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Karson Roberts pass complete to Garrett Brown for 5 yds to the FrsSt 47

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Benton Washington run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 43

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.00

Benton Washington run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Jacobi Owens run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 34

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Aubrey Duty-Tyson run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 32

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.48

Aubrey Duty-Tyson run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Timothy McVey run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 25

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jacob Stafford run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 21

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 26

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Timothy McVey run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 25

4th & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.70

Jacob Stafford run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.10

Kilton Anderson pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 17 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.85

Kilton Anderson pass complete to Justin Johnson for 27 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Justin Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Justin Johnson

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.59

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Da'Mari Scott

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 32

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.59

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 30

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.18

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 29

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
18%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
36%
14 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
47%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
57%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
53%
15 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play