Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 4, 2015Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

New Mexico by 10.4

Home Win Probability

New Mexico 79%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 4, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
1793029
New MexicoNew Mexico
14015938

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-1714-2314-2622-2929-2936-2938-29
New MexicoNew Mexico State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NMSNMNMSNMNMSNMSNMNMSNMNMSNMNMSNMNMSNMNMSNMNMNMSNMNMSNMNMSNMNMSNMNMSNMNMSNMNMSNMTD575ydTD375ydDOWNS858ydPUNT610ydTD2-4ydTD375ydTO420ydFG4-2ydMISS1462ydPUNT627ydPUNT618ydTD253ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT728ydFG575ydUncategorized00ydTO0-1ydFG811ydTD1040ydPUNT3-7ydTD448ydTO513ydMISS929ydPUNT37ydTD278ydPUNT34ydPUNT646ydTO625ydPUNT35ydSAF4-10ydEND3-16yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico State and New Mexico
StatisticNew Mexico StateNew Mexico
Passing12-285-17
Pass Yards10845
Rush Yards308401
Total Yards416446
Turnovers32
3rd Down4-166-17
Penalties7-394-27
Possession25:5034:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico State
passing
Tyler Rogers
12/24, 108 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Larry Rose III
21 CAR, 260 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Tyrain Taylor
3 REC, 44 YDS
New Mexico
passing
Lamar Jordan
5/17, 45 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Lamar Jordan
16 CAR, 157 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marquis Bundy
2 REC, 15 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Larry Rose III run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Larry Rose III run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Jordan Bergstrom

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Tyrain Taylor

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +6.78

Larry Rose III run for 63 yds for a TD, (Parker Davidson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Carlos Wiggins

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Lamar Jordan run for 5 yds to the NMex 30

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +6.74

Lamar Jordan run for 70 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.11

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Tyrain Taylor for 40 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Rayvean Moore for 7 yds to the NMex 28

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyler Rogers run for 2 yds to the NMex 26

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.26

Larry Rose III run for 1 yd to the NMex 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 1 yd to the NMex 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 7 yds to the NMex 17

4th & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -3.70

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Tyrain Taylor for no gain to the NMex 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Lamar Jordan run for 2 yds to the NMex 19

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jhurell Pressley run for 2 yds to the NMex 21

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.28

Lamar Jordan run for 8 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 27

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Dameon Gamblin

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Zack Rogers punt for 69 yds, downed at the NMxSt 4

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.36

Larry Rose III run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMxSt 1

0th & 0Fumble Return Touchdown0 yds

Lee Crosby 0 Yd Fumble Return (Jason Sanders Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Larry Rose III run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.47

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Gregory Hogan for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 33

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +6.30

Larry Rose III run for 67 yds for a TD, (Parker Davidson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Teriyon Gipson run for 8 yds to the NMex 18

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.52

Teriyon Gipson run for 12 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Dameon Gamblin

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.44

Lamar Jordan pass intercepted Gregory Hogan return for no gain to the NMex 21

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Tyler Rogers sacked by Dakota Cox for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 23

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Tyler Rogers run for 7 yds to the NMex 16

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.70

Tyler Rogers sacked by Lee Crosby for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 23

4th & 12Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +0.68

Parker Davidson 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the NMex 27

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Jhurell Pressley run for 8 yds to the NMex 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Jhurell Pressley run for 11 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.28

Jhurell Pressley run for 20 yds to the NMxSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 28

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Teriyon Gipson run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 26

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 25

4th & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.26

Lamar Jordan run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Marquis Bundy

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Lamar Jordan pass complete to Teriyon Gipson for 6 yds to the NMxSt 12

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Jason Sanders 29 yd FG MISSED

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, false start (Andy Cunningham) to the NMxSt 15

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Larry Rose III run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.32

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Gregory Hogan for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.90

Teldrick Morgan sacked by Markel Byrd for a loss of 10 yards to the NMxSt 40

2nd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Rayvean Moore for 9 yds to the NMxSt 49

3rd & 11Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyler Rogers sacked by Dakota Cox for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 47

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Anthony Torres punt for 51 yds, downed at the NMex 2

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Rayvean Moore

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jhurell Pressley run for 5 yds to the NMex 7

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jhurell Pressley run for 2 yds to the NMex 9

3rd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.95

Lamar Jordan run for 15 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 25

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.57

Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 20

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Carlos Wiggins

4th & 14Punt+7 yds

Zack Rogers punt for 40 yds , Teldrick Morgan returns for 7 yds to the NMxSt 47

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Larry Rose III run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 49

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +4.76

Larry Rose III run for 51 yds for a TD, (Parker Davidson PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jhurell Pressley run for 2 yds to the NMex 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Carlos Wiggins

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Zack Rogers punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMxSt 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Larry Rose III run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyler Rogers sacked by Daniel Henry for a loss of 4 yards to the NMxSt 23

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, false start (Teldrick Morgan) to the NMxSt 18

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Anthony Torres punt for 50 yds , Carlos Wiggins returns for no gain to the NMex 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Lamar Jordan pass complete to Marquis Bundy for 4 yds to the NMex 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.66

Lamar Jordan pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 12 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Lamar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NMex 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.72

Lamar Jordan pass complete to Marquis Bundy for 11 yds to the NMxSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Reece White

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Carlos Wiggins

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Lamar Jordan pass incomplete to Delane Hart-Johnson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Zack Rogers punt for 22 yds, downed at the NMxSt 18

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Tyler Rogers run for 40 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Tyrain Taylor for 4 yds to the NMex 38

2nd & 6Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.20

Larry Rose III run for 24 yds to the NMex 14 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kimmie Carson) to the NMex 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Larry Rose III run for no gain to the NMex 7

2nd & 7Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -1.39

Parker Davidson 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
No play data available
1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Jordan Bergstrom

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Joshua Bowen for 2 yds to the NMex 32

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (Donnie White) to the NMex 27

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, false start (Anthony McMeans) to the NMex 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 7 yds to the NMex 25

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.99

Larry Rose III run for 2 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Xavier Hall run for no gain to the NMex 23

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyler Rogers run for no gain to the NMex 23

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Teldrick Morgan, broken up by Cranston Jones

4th & 10Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.46

Parker Davidson 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 42

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Lamar Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 43

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.59

Lamar Jordan pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 12 yds to the NMxSt 31

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Teriyon Gipson run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 21

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Teriyon Gipson run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

David Anaya run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 11

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 8

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Richard McQuarley run for 6 yds for a TD, (L. Jordan Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Teldrick Morgan

2nd & 10Penalty-12 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, personal foul (Andy Cunningham) to the NMxSt 13

2nd & 22Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Larry Rose III run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 18

3rd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyler Rogers run for no gain to the NMxSt 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Anthony Torres punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMxSt 48

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Teriyon Gipson run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 43

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Teriyon Gipson run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 32

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.08

Jhurell Pressley run for 32 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Jordan Bergstrom for 3 yds to the NMxSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Larry Rose III run for 10 yds to the NMxSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Teldrick Morgan

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Gregory Hogan

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyler Rogers pass intercepted Markel Byrd return for no gain to the NMex 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jhurell Pressley run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 46

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, offside defense (Stody Bradley) to the NMxSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Teriyon Gipson run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 38

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 34

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.82

Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 26

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 25

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 24

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Jason Sanders 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Jordan Bergstrom

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyler Rogers run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 26

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tyler Rogers run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 31

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Anthony Torres punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Carlos Wiggins at the NMex 22

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.26

Lamar Jordan run for 42 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Teriyon Gipson run for 36 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Larry Rose III run for no gain to the NMxSt 20

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Larry Rose III run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Nick Jeanty pass incomplete to Tyrain Taylor, broken up by Cranston Jones

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Anthony Torres punt for 60 yds, downed at the NMex 16

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Lamar Jordan run for no gain to the NMex 16

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.27

Lamar Jordan run for 13 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.72

Teriyon Gipson run for 34 yds to the NMxSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 35

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 34

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 33

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMxSt 38

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Zack Rogers punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Nick Jeanty run for 16 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Nick Jeanty run for 13 yds to the NMxSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, false start (Isaiah Folasa-Lutui) to the NMxSt 44

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Nick Jeanty run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 45

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Nick Jeanty pass incomplete to Gregory Hogan

3rd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Larry Rose III run for no gain to the NMxSt 45

4th & 14Pass Interception Return-15 ydsPPA +0.05

Nick Jeanty pass intercepted Cranston Jones return for 15 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 46

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 45

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jhurell Pressley run for no gain to the NMxSt 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Zack Rogers punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Teldrick Morgan at the NMxSt 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Larry Rose III run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 15

2nd & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.64

Nick Jeanty sacked by Aaron Jenkins and Ryan Langford for a loss of 10 yards to the NMxSt 5

3rd & 15Penalty-2 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, sideline interference (-2 Yards) to the NMxSt 3

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Nick Jeanty pass incomplete to Teldrick Morgan

4th & 17Safety-3 ydsPPA -1.60

Nick Jeanty sacked by Maurice Daniels for a loss of 3 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.03

TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the NMxSt 41

2nd & 17Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.71

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMxSt 46

3rd & 22Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.55

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

New Mexico State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
12 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
29%
31 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
9 plays
36%
14 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays