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← Back to GamesOct 4, 2015Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 4.9

Home Win Probability

San Diego State 65%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 4, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
07007
San Diego StateSan Diego State
707721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-714-721-7
San Diego StateFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSFSSDSFSSDSFSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSFSSDSTD1078ydDOWNS1141ydMISS933ydPUNT37ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-7ydTD328ydPUNT37ydPUNT38ydPUNT39ydPUNT37ydPUNT615ydEND1-12ydPUNT3-12ydPUNT4-10ydPUNT3-5ydTD443ydPUNT38ydPUNT831ydPUNT3-11ydTD972ydPUNT511ydMISS841ydPUNT30ydEND760yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and San Diego State
StatisticFresno StateSan Diego State
Passing12-255-12
Pass Yards77104
Rush Yards12305
Total Yards89409
Turnovers01
3rd Down0-128-18
Penalties6-475-50
Possession22:3937:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Zack Greenlee
12/25, 77 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Marteze Waller
11 CAR, 20 YDS
receiving
KeeSean Johnson
5 REC, 35 YDS, 1 TD
San Diego State
passing
Maxwell Smith
5/12, 104 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Chase Price
27 CAR, 151 YDS
receiving
Rashaad Penny
2 REC, 48 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the SDSt 31

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.82

Donnel Pumphrey run for 14 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dakota Gordon run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.92

Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 39

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Maxwell Smith run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 35

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the FrsSt 35

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.56

Dakota Gordon run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Donnel Pumphrey run for 33 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Zack Greenlee pass complete to Josiah Blandin for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 31

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Zack Greenlee pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 13 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Marteze Waller run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 47

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Marteze Waller run for 5 yds to the SDSt 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Zack Greenlee pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 6 yds to the SDSt 42

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.21

Dustin Garrison run for 8 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Marteze Waller run for no gain to the SDSt 34

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Josiah Blandin

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.49

Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 37

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.31

Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSt 32

3rd & 12Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.12

Rashaad Penny run for 17 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 46

3rd & 5Penalty+10 yds

SMITH, Maxwell pass incomplete to HOLDER, Mikah, PENALTY FS holding 10 yards to the FS36, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 33

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.09

Maxwell Smith sacked by Charles Washington for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 39

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Maxwell Smith pass complete to Mikah Holder for 6 yds to the FrsSt 33

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Donny Hageman 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Zack Greenlee pass complete to Marteze Waller for 1 yd to the FrsSt 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zack Greenlee pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 5 yds to the FrsSt 39

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Zack Greenlee run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 40

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 45 yds, downed at the SDSt 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Chase Price run for 1 yd to the SDSt 16

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Chase Price run for 4 yds to the SDSt 20

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Donnel Pumphrey, broken up by Ejiro Ederaine

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 37 yds, fair catch by KeeSean Johnson at the FrsSt 43

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Marteze Waller run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 42

2nd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.27

Zack Greenlee sacked by Jon Sanchez for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 36

3rd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.17

Zack Greenlee run for no gain to the FrsSt 36

4th & 17Punt+35 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 35 yds , Lloyd Mills returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 28 Lloyd Mills fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Stratton Brown

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Zack Greenlee pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 1 yd to the SDSt 27

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.59

Marteze Waller run for 11 yds to the SDSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Zack Greenlee pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 16 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Maxwell Smith pass complete to Dakota Gordon for 6 yds to the SDSt 24

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SDSt 25

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Donnel Pumphrey, broken up by Ejiro Ederaine

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 38 yds, fair catch by KeeSean Johnson at the FrsSt 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Marteze Waller run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Marteze Waller run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 45

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Marteze Waller run for no gain to the FrsSt 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Donnel Pumphrey, broken up by Charles Washington

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the SDSt 26

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the SDSt 26

4th & 1Punt+7 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 39 yds , KeeSean Johnson returns for 7 yds to the FrsSt 42

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Dustin Garrison run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Dustin Garrison run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 42

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Zack Greenlee pass complete to Dustin Garrison for 7 yds to the FrsSt 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 24

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

PUMPHREY, Donne rush for 45 yards to the FS31 (ELLIS, Jamal), PENALTY SDSU holding 10 yards to the SDSU14, NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.86

Maxwell Smith pass complete to Rashaad Penny for 15 yds to the SDSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete, broken up by James Bailey

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SDSt 32

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 35

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 39 yds, fair catch by KeeSean Johnson at the FrsSt 26

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.32

Zack Greenlee sacked by Randy Ricks for a loss of 12 yards to the FrsSt 14

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

WALLER, Marteze rush for loss of 3 yards to the FS22 (DUNN, Ryan), PENALTY FS illegal block 12 yards to the FS13, NO PLAY.

1st & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Chad Olsen

2nd & 22Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Zack Greenlee pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 5 yds to the FrsSt 18

3rd & 17Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 13

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan, broken up by Malik Smith

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 42

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.55

Donnel Pumphrey run for 15 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 23

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

PUMPHREY, Donne rush for 15 yards to the FS8 (ELLIS, Jamal), PENALTY SDSU holding 10 yards to the FS33, NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.13

Maxwell Smith sacked by Ejiro Ederaine for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 39

3rd & 22Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.10

Maxwell Smith sacked by Nathan Madsen and Todd Hunt for a loss of 13 yards to the SANDIEGOST 48 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 35Punt+45 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 39 yds, fair catch by KeeSean Johnson at the SANDIEGOST 13 FRESNO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (6 Yards) to the FrsSt 7

1st & 10Penalty-4 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the FrsSt 3

1st & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.16

Marteze Waller run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 2

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Da'Mari Scott

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

4th & 15Punt+8 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 39 yds , Damontae Kazee returns for 8 yds to the FrsSt 10 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the FrsSt 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Daniel Brunskill

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Donnel Pumphrey run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 35

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.67

Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Maxwell Smith pass complete to Rashaad Penny for 33 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Zack Greenlee pass complete to Dustin Garrison for 2 yds to the FrsSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Zack Greenlee pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 7 yds to the FrsSt 34

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Dustin Garrison run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Damontae Kazee at the SDSt 28

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Chase Price run for 7 yds to the SDSt 35

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Chase Price run for 7 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Dakota Gordon, broken up by Jamal Ellis

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Chase Price run for 6 yds to the SDSt 48

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.93

Chase Price run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Chase Price run for no gain to the FrsSt 45

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chase Price run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Chase Favreau

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

GREENLEE, Zack pass incomplete to OLSEN, Chad, PENALTY FS pass interference 10 yards to the FS10, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.12

Marteze Waller run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 8

2nd & 22Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.09

Zack Greenlee pass complete to Delvon Hardaway for 10 yds to the FrsSt 18

3rd & 12Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.13

Zack Greenlee sacked by Jake Fely and Alex Barrett for a loss of 9 yards to the FrsSt 9

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 63 yds, downed at the SDSt 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Chase Price run for 4 yds to the SDSt 32

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Chase Price run for 8 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Chase Price run for 1 yd to the SDSt 41

2nd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.32

Chase Price run for 16 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Chase Price run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 7Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.48

Chase Price run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 32 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the FrsSt 47

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Chase Price run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 45

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Chase Price run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 44

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +5.06

Maxwell Smith pass complete to Eric Judge for 44 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Dustin Garrison run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 22

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Zack Greenlee run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Josiah Blandin

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Chad Olsen, broken up by Kameron Kelly

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Damontae Kazee at the SDSt 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chase Price run for 5 yds to the SDSt 39

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Chase Price run for 1 yd to the SDSt 40

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.07

Dakota Gordon run for 8 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.10

Dakota Gordon run for 19 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chase Price run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Chase Price run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 25

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Chase Price run for no gain to the FrsSt 25

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Donny Hageman 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Zack Greenlee pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Damontae Kazee at the SDSt 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chase Price run for 3 yds to the SDSt 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chase Price run for no gain to the SDSt 28

3rd & 7Rush+42 ydsPPA +4.12

Chase Price run for 42 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Chase Price run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 26

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Chase Price run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 23

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Dakota Gordon run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 21

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.85

Chase Price run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 15 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
13%
15 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
63%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
28 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
31%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
38%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays