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← Back to GamesSep 27, 2015Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San José State by 1

Home Win Probability

San José State 53%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 27, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
01013023
San José StateSan José State
147141449

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-728-1028-1735-2342-2349-23
San José StateFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSSJSFSFSSJSDOWNS46ydTD1173ydPUNT3-11ydDOWNS4-7ydDOWNS48ydTD861ydPUNT36ydTO522ydTD737ydTD975ydFG847ydMISS745ydTD775ydTD751ydDOWNS4-6ydTD419ydTD775ydPUNT3-1ydTD1177ydDOWNS935ydPUNT433ydTD415ydDOWNS735ydEND540yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and San José State
StatisticFresno StateSan José State
Passing19-3320-23
Pass Yards159252
Rush Yards88291
Total Yards247543
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-137-10
Penalties3-304-30
Possession22:0437:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Ford Childress
19/32, 159 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Marteze Waller
19 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
KeeSean Johnson
7 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TD
San José State
passing
Joe Gray
20/23, 252 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Tyler Ervin
42 CAR, 300 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Tim Crawley
1 REC, 49 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jamire Jordan run for 4 yds to the SJSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Da'Mari Scott run for 3 yds to the SJSt 26

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.17

Jamire Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 28

4th & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.66

Malique Micenheimer run for 1 yd to the SJSt 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Joe Gray pass complete to Billy Freeman for 12 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the SJSt 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Joe Gray pass complete to Billy Freeman for 5 yds to the SJSt 48

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.23

Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 45

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Joe Gray run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.38

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 15 yds to the FrsSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Tyler Ervin run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 14

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jarrod Lawson run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Tyler Ervin run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 2

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Marteze Waller run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 13

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Ford Childress pass incomplete to Marteze Waller

3rd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.11

Ford Childress sacked by Eugene Taylor for a loss of 10 yards to the FrsSt 3

4th & 21Penalty0 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the FrsSt 3

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the FrsSt 46

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 43

2nd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.61

Joe Gray sacked by Claudell Louis for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 49

3rd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.13

Joe Gray pass complete to Justin Holmes for 11 yds to the FrsSt 40

4th & 4Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.64

Joe Gray sacked by Ejiro Ederaine for a loss of 13 yards to the SJSt 47

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Marteze Waller run for 4 yds to the SJSt 43

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the SJSt 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Ford Childress pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -1.54

Ford Childress pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 2 yds to the SJSt 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Joe Gray pass complete to Billy Freeman for 6 yds to the SJSt 45

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyler Ervin run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Joe Gray sacked by Ejiro Ederaine for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 48

2nd & 12Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.24

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 19 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Joe Gray pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Shane Smith run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 26

3rd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.34

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 24 yds to the FrsSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the SJSt 47

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the SJSt 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Ford Childress pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 3 yds to the SJSt 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the SJSt 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 3 yds to the SJSt 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.02

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 6 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the SJSt 29

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

GRAY, Joe pass complete to WINSTON, Tyler for 4 yards to the SJ33 (GLASS, Tyquwan), PENALTY SJ ineligible downfield on pass (GONZALEZ, Chris) 5 yards to the SJ24, NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -0.07

Joe Gray pass complete to Jarrod Lawson for 12 yds Jarrod Lawson fumbled, forced by Stratton Brown, recovered by FrsSt James Bailey

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.43

Kilton Anderson run for 17 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kilton Anderson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 17

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan, broken up by Andre Chachere

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Ford Childress pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 8 yds to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Marteze Waller run for 3 yds to the SJSt 6

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Marteze Waller run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Ford Childress pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 7 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Joe Gray sacked by Shannon Edwards for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.72

Joe Gray pass complete to Josh Oliver for 24 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Tyler Ervin run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 48

2nd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.34

Tyler Ervin run for 17 yds to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyler Ervin run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 25

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Thomas Tucker run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Thomas Tucker run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 17

2nd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.73

Joe Gray sacked by Nathan Madsen for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 20

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.46

Joe Gray pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 20 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Marteze Waller run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.47

Ford Childress pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 14 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Ford Childress pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.23

Marteze Waller run for 28 yds to the SJSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Marteze Waller run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 22

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Ford Childress pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

3rd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.82

Ford Childress pass complete to Marteze Waller for no gain to the SJSt 22

4th & 11Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.48

Kody Kroening 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Tyler Ervin run for 19 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 39

1st & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Tyler Ervin run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.91

Joe Gray sacked by Justin Green for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.65

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 12 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Joe Gray pass complete to Billy Freeman for 11 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Tyler Winston

2nd & 10Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Austin Lopez 47 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyler Ervin run for 8 yds to the SJSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.48

Tyler Ervin run for 19 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 7 yds to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 40

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.86

Thomas Tucker run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

GRAY, Joe pass incomplete to WINSTON, Tyler (GLASS, Tyquwan), PENALTY FS offside defense (EDERAINE, Ejiro) 5 yards to the FS33, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Joe Gray run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.49

Tyler Ervin run for 30 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Marteze Waller run for 3 yds to the SJSt 48

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Marteze Waller run for 8 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marteze Waller run for 5 yds to the SJSt 35

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Marteze Waller run for 3 yds to the SJSt 32

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.56

Marteze Waller run for 2 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the SJSt 29

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.24

Ford Childress pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 29 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyler Ervin run for 7 yds to the SJSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Joe Gray pass complete to Hansell Wilson for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 3 yds to the SJSt 33

4th & 2Rush-14 ydsPPA -0.10

TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the SJSt 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Marteze Waller run for 3 yds to the SJSt 16

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Marteze Waller run for 7 yds to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Malique Micenheimer run for 4 yds to the SJSt 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jamire Jordan run for 5 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyler Ervin run for 9 yds to the SJSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the SJSt 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 5 yds to the SJSt 46

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.36

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +4.57

Joe Gray pass complete to Tim Crawley for 49 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ford Childress pass complete to Josiah Blandin for 5 yds Josiah Blandin fumbled, forced by Maurice McKnight, recovered by FrsSt Justin Northern

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.88

Marteze Waller run for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 30

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Ford Childress pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Garrett Swanson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Tyler Ervin run for 6 yds to the SJSt 29

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.62

Tyler Ervin run for 16 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyler Ervin run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 47

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 42

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Tyler Ervin run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Tyler Ervin run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 20

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Tyler Ervin run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 9

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Joe Gray pass complete to Billy Freeman for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Ford Childress pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson, broken up by Jimmy Pruitt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.69

Ford Childress pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 19 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ford Childress pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 4 yds to the SJSt 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ford Childress pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.66

Ford Childress pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 10 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Ford Childress pass incomplete to Marteze Waller

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Ford Childress pass complete to Marteze Waller for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 31

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ford Childress pass incomplete to Josiah Blandin

4th & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -1.55

Ford Childress pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 4 yds to the SJSt 27

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, personal foul (Jamire Jordan) to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down FRESNO ST Penalty, Defensive holding (Nathan Madsen) to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Tyler Ervin run for no gain to the FrsSt 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Joe Gray pass incomplete to Shane Smith

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Michael Carrizosa punt for 37 yds, downed at the FrsSt 3

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ford Childress pass complete to Malique Micenheimer for 2 yds to the FrsSt 5

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Ford Childress pass incomplete to Josiah Blandin

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.80

Ford Childress pass complete to Josiah Blandin for 13 yds to the FrsSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-27 ydsPPA -7.51

Ford Childress pass intercepted for a TD Jimmy Pruitt return for 27 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.17

Ford Childress pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 25 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Ford Childress pass complete to Marteze Waller for 7 yds to the SJSt 36

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Ford Childress pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 10 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Ford Childress pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Ford Childress pass complete to Marteze Waller for 2 yds to the SJSt 24

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.61

Ford Childress sacked by Andre Chachere for a loss of 9 yards to the SJSt 33

4th & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Ford Childress pass incomplete to Marteze Waller, broken up by Mark Amann

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the SJSt 38

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.86

Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.32

Tyler Ervin run for 18 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Thomas Tucker run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 37

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Thomas Tucker run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
24 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
29%
7 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays

San José State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
56%
36 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
44%
9 plays
71%
7 plays
64%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play