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← Back to GamesNov 7, 2015Week 10
UCFUCF
30
-Final
45
TulsaTulsa
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tulsa by 6.2

Home Win Probability

Tulsa 69%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 7, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UCFUCF
30171030
TulsaTulsa
141002145

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-324-324-1024-1331-2031-2345-2345-30
TulsaUCF

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFTULUCFTULUCFUCFTULUCFTULUCFTULUCFTULUCFTULUCFUCFTULUCFTULUCFTULTULUCFUCFTULPUNT618ydTD875ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT324ydTO438ydFG49ydTD655ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT36ydDOWNS838ydTD463ydTO1-1ydFG713ydEND1133ydTO750ydTD971ydFG713ydTO621ydTD338ydTD1375ydFG959ydTO31ydTD344ydTD828ydTD1069ydEND213yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UCF and Tulsa
StatisticUCFTulsa
Passing23-4310-18
Pass Yards303150
Rush Yards109275
Total Yards412425
Turnovers44
3rd Down7-188-13
Penalties8-603-38
Possession35:4024:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UCF
passing
Justin Holman
22/40, 293 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Taj McGowan
11 CAR, 38 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tre'Quan Smith
7 REC, 131 YDS, 1 TD
Tulsa
passing
Dane Evans
10/18, 150 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Ramadi Warren
19 CAR, 168 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Conner Floyd
3 REC, 72 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

C.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the UCF 30

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

C.J. Jones run for 2 yds to the UCF 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.00

Nick Patti pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 10 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

C.J. Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 40

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Justin Holman pass complete to Taylor Oldham for 4 yds to the UCF 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Justin Holman pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+4 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 35 yds , Conner Floyd returns for 4 yds to the Tulsa 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.46

Dane Evans pass complete to D'Angelo Brewer for 27 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the UCF 45

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.29

D'Angelo Brewer run for 12 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TULSA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UCF 43

1st & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ramadi Warren run for no gain to the UCF 43

2nd & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 7 yds to the UCF 36

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +5.04

Dane Evans pass complete to Conner Floyd for 36 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the UCF 27

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

C.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the UCF 31

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

C.J. Jones run for no gain to the UCF 31

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Justin Holman pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 43 yds, downed at the Tulsa 26

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

UCF Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 43

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 47

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Dane Evans run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Dalton Parks punt for 35 yds, downed at the UCF 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.53

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 32 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.99

Tristan Payton run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 43

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.16

Justin Holman pass complete to Nick Patti for 10 yds to the Tulsa 47

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return-14 ydsPPA -2.07

Justin Holman pass intercepted Darrell Williams return for 14 yds to the Tulsa 29 Darrell Williams fumbled, recovered by UCF

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Michael Willett run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 24

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Michael Willett run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 23

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Taj McGowan run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 20

4th & 1Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.64

Matthew Wright 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 47

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the UCF 49

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

UCF Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UCF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.87

Dane Evans pass complete to Justin Hobbs for 31 yds to the UCF 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Ramadi Warren run for 1 yd to the UCF 12

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Dane Evans pass incomplete

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.09

Dane Evans pass complete to Conner Floyd for 12 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Justin Holman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.95

C.J. Jones run for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 29

3rd & 16Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.13

Justin Holman sacked by Jeremy Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 28

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Caleb Houston punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Conner Floyd at the Tulsa 32

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 37

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 38

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Dane Evans pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Dalton Parks punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Blake Tiralosi at the UCF 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 9 yds to the UCF 34

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

C.J. Jones run for 5 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

C.J. Jones run for 3 yds to the UCF 42

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

C.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the UCF 46

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 41

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

TULSA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Justin Holman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

C.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Justin Holman pass complete to C.J. Jones for 3 yds to the Tulsa 37

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.06

Justin Holman pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ramadi Warren run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 44

2nd & 3Rush+47 ydsPPA +1.91

Ramadi Warren run for 47 yds to the UCF 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 4 yds to the UCF 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Ramadi Warren run for 5 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -0.92

C.J. Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 24 C.J. Jones fumbled, forced by Trent Martin, recovered by Tulsa Matt Linscott

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Dane Evans pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Dane Evans pass complete to Joshua Atkinson for 7 yds to the UCF 17

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.31

D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the UCF 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.68

Dane Evans sacked by Chequan Burkett for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 19

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Chad President run for 4 yds to the UCF 15

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the UCF 11

4th & 7Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.63

Redford Jones 28 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Justin Holman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Justin Holman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.96

Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Franks for 15 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Michael Willett run for 8 yds to the UCF 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Justin Holman pass complete to Cam Stewart for 5 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Justin Holman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Justin Holman pass complete to Dontravious Wilson for 7 yds to the Tulsa 45

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Justin Holman pass incomplete

4th & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.51

Justin Holman run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.36

Justin Holman sacked by Derrick Alexander and Jeremy Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulsa 47

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

D'Angelo Brewer run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 28

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 29

3rd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Dane Evans run for 15 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.50

Dane Evans pass complete to Conner Floyd for 24 yds to the UCF 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Dane Evans pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Dane Evans pass complete to Nigel Carter for 2 yds to the UCF 30

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return-15 ydsPPA -3.08

Dane Evans pass intercepted Brendin Straubel return for 15 yds to the UCF 29

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Nick Patti run for 16 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Justin Holman run for 10 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taj McGowan run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Justin Holman pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Justin Holman pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.80

Justin Holman pass complete to Tristan Payton for 16 yds to the Tulsa 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Taj McGowan run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 15

2nd & 1Penalty+13 yds

TULSA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (13 Yards) to the Tulsa 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Taj McGowan run for no gain to the Tulsa 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Taj McGowan run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Taj McGowan run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 14

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Taj McGowan run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 10

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.57

Justin Holman pass complete to Tristan Payton for 8 yds to the Tulsa 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Taj McGowan run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 1

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Taj McGowan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Justin Holman pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+19 ydsPPA -1.08

Matthew Wright 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.29

D'Angelo Brewer run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

D'Angelo Brewer run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 44

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Ramadi Warren run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ramadi Warren run for no gain to the Tulsa 46

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-15 ydsPPA -1.66

Dane Evans pass intercepted Chequan Burkett return for 15 yds to the Tulsa 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.63

Justin Holman pass complete to Tristan Payton for 35 yds to the Tulsa 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Justin Holman run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 1

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

UCF Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulsa 11

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 11 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dane Evans run for no gain to the Tulsa 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Ramadi Warren run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 32

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Ramadi Warren run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for no gain to the Tulsa 39

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Ramadi Warren run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 45

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

UCF Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Ramadi Warren run for 1 yd to the UCF 49

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

James Flanders run for 5 yds to the UCF 44

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.45

James Flanders run for 4 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the UCF 35

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

D'Angelo Brewer run for no gain to the UCF 35

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

D'Angelo Brewer run for 9 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.78

Ramadi Warren run for 25 yds to the UCF 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Ramadi Warren run for 1 yd for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Nick Patti run for 6 yds to the UCF 21

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Justin Holman pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.02

Justin Holman run for 6 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Taj McGowan run for 7 yds to the UCF 34

2nd & 3Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.53

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 38 yds to the Tulsa 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Patti run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 25

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Nick Patti run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 26

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Justin Holman pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +0.51

Matthew Wright 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Dane Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 24

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ramadi Warren run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Dane Evans pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Dalton Parks punt for 32 yds , Blake Tiralosi returns for 2 yds to the UCF 44 Blake Tiralosi fumbled, recovered by Tulsa Reymundo Higuera

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +0.89

Ramadi Warren run for 33 yds to the UCF 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Ramadi Warren run for 9 yds to the UCF 2

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Ramadi Warren run for 2 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Justin Holman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.83

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 21 yds to the Tulsa 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Justin Holman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Taj McGowan run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 40

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 45

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.39

Justin Holman pass complete to Cam Stewart for 12 yds to the Tulsa 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Justin Holman run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 25

2nd & 2Penalty-10 yds

UCF Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulsa 35

2nd & 12Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.99

Michael Willett run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulsa 40

3rd & 17Interception Return Touchdown-86 ydsPPA -8.14

Justin Holman pass intercepted for a TD Michael Mudoh return for 86 yds for a TD, (Redford Jones KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Franks for 3 yds to the UCF 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.29

Justin Holman pass complete to Michael Willett for 18 yds to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 10 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.39

Justin Holman pass complete to Cam Stewart for 13 yds to the Tulsa 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Franks for 7 yds to the Tulsa 18

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Michael Willett run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 17

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Justin Holman pass complete to Michael Willett for 6 yds to the Tulsa 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Justin Holman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Justin Holman run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 10

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.03

Justin Holman pass complete to Jordan Franks for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Ramadi Warren run for 13 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Ramadi Warren run for no gain to the UCF 35

Situational Analysis

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
48%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
33%
12 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Tulsa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play