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← Back to GamesNov 14, 2015Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 20.3

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 93%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 14, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MarylandMaryland
70007
Michigan StateMichigan State
7107024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-714-724-7
Michigan StateMaryland

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMSMARMSMARMSPUNT517ydTO321ydTD1050ydTD1091ydPUNT54ydPUNT36ydTO10ydPUNT3-5ydDOWNS730ydPUNT35ydTO517ydPUNT611ydPUNT3-1ydTD432ydPUNT37ydPUNT34ydTO10ydEND618ydPUNT34ydTD1162ydTO1346ydPUNT415ydPUNT35ydTO1030ydPUNT31ydDOWNS947ydPUNT38ydTO553ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Maryland and Michigan State
StatisticMarylandMichigan State
Passing17-3612-32
Pass Yards182121
Rush Yards107141
Total Yards289262
Turnovers53
3rd Down4-166-16
Penalties1-87-50
Possession27:4932:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Maryland
passing
Perry Hills
14/30, 140 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Wes Brown
12 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Amba Etta-Tawo
5 REC, 63 YDS
Michigan State
passing
Connor Cook
6/20, 77 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Gerald Holmes
18 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Macgarrett Kings Jr.
4 REC, 48 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Connor Cook run for 8 yds to the MchSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Gerald Holmes run for 7 yds to the MchSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Gerald Holmes run for 2 yds to the MchSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 29 yds, downed at the Mary 29

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Wes Brown run for no gain to the Mary 29

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Mary 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Kenneth Goins Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 43

2nd & 11Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Mary 48

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -2.47

Wes Brown run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line Wes Brown fumbled, forced by Malik McDowell, recovered by MchSt Damon Knox , return to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 9 yds to the Mary 41

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.19

Gerald Holmes run for 7 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Macgarrett Kings Jr. run for 6 yds to the Mary 28

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.73

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 6 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Macgarrett Kings Jr. run for 6 yds to the Mary 16

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler O'Connor run for no gain to the Mary 16

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 5 yds to the Mary 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

R.J. Shelton run for 1 yd to the Mary 10

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.75

Macgarrett Kings Jr. 10 Yd pass from Tyler O'Connor (Michael Geiger Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.64

Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 37 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Perry Hills pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Perry Hills pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 6 yds to the MchSt 48

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.67

Brandon Ross run for 5 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Perry Hills pass incomplete to Jahrvis Davenport

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MchSt 38

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Brandon Ross run for 8 yds to the MchSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Perry Hills run for 8 yds to the MchSt 22

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA -0.12

Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 13 yds to the MchSt 9 for a 1ST down

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Brandon Ross 1 Yd Run (Adam Greene Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.66

Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 21 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mary 47

1st & 20Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for no gain to the Mary 47

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete

3rd & 20Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.68

Tyler O'Connor sacked by Yannick Ngakoue for a loss of 7 yards to the MchSt 46

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 48 yds, downed at the Mary 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Perry Hills pass complete to William Likely for 6 yds to the Mary 12

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Wes Brown run for no gain to the Mary 12

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Perry Hills pass incomplete to D.J. Moore

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nicolas Pritchard punt for 32 yds, downed at the Mary 44

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -3.59

LJ Scott run for no gain to the Mary 44 LJ Scott fumbled, forced by Azubuike Ukandu, recovered by Mary Brett Zanotto

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.08

Perry Hills sacked by Malik McDowell and Riley Bullough for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 39

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Perry Hills pass incomplete to Brandon Ross

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Perry Hills pass incomplete to Avery Edwards

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Nicolas Pritchard punt for 11 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Madre London run for 1 yd to the Mary 49

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

R.J. Shelton run for 3 yds to the Mary 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.53

Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 28 yds to the Mary 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Madre London run for 4 yds to the Mary 14

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Madre London

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Josiah Price

4th & 6Rush-6 ydsPPA -3.55

Michael Geiger run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 20

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Perry Hills run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 19

2nd & 11Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Mary 24

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Perry Hills run for 1 yd to the Mary 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern Jacobs

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lee Shrader punt for 19 yds, downed at the Mary 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 6 yds to the Mary 38

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Gerald Holmes run for 14 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.78

Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 27

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

3rd & 13Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.80

Connor Cook pass intercepted Anthony Nixon return for no gain to the Mary 2

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Hills, Perry pass incomplete, PENALTY MICHIGANST offside 5 yards to the MARYLAND7, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Wes Brown run for 2 yds to the Mary 9

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Perry Hills pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Perry Hills pass complete to Malcolm Culmer for 5 yds to the Mary 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Brandon Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 12

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

William Likely run for 1 yd to the Mary 13

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Perry Hills pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Lee Shrader punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Connor Cook pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

3rd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Connor Cook sacked by Yannick Ngakoue and Jesse Aniebonam for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 45

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 6

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.94

Perry Hills run for 32 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

William Likely run for no gain to the Mary 38

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Perry Hills pass incomplete

3rd & 10Interception Return Touchdown-44 ydsPPA -7.27

Riley Bullough 44 Yd Interception Return (Michael Geiger Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Perry Hills pass incomplete to Taivon Jacobs

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Perry Hills pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Perry Hills run for 7 yds to the Mary 24

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Lee Shrader punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Macgarrett Kings Jr. at the MchSt 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 4 yds to the MchSt 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Connor Cook pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-7 ydsPPA -0.61

Caleb Rowe pass intercepted Arjen Colquhoun return for 7 yds to the Mary 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 7 yds to the Mary 28

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA -0.00

Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 11 yds to the Mary 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Connor Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Connor Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

4th & 10Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.04

Michael Geiger 35 Yd Field Goal

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Perry Hills run for 2 yds to the Mary 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Brandon Ross run for 2 yds to the Mary 29

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Perry Hills run for no gain to the Mary 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Lee Shrader punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gerald Holmes run for 4 yds to the MchSt 42

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Gerald Holmes run for 5 yds to the MchSt 47

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Tyler O'Connor run for 6 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Gerald Holmes run for 8 yds to the Mary 39

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.06

Gerald Holmes run for 6 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the Mary 30

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Gerald Holmes run for 8 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Gerald Holmes run for 8 yds to the Mary 14

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Gerald Holmes run for no gain to the Mary 14

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyler O'Connor run for 11 yds to the Mary 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Gerald Holmes 3 Yd Run (Michael Geiger Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Perry Hills pass complete to William Likely for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 20

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Perry Hills run for 4 yds to the Mary 24

3rd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.03

Wes Brown run for 12 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Wes Brown run for 11 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Wes Brown run for 1 yd to the Mary 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.82

Perry Hills pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 12 yds to the MchSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Wes Brown run for 2 yds to the MchSt 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 5 yds to the MchSt 33

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Perry Hills pass incomplete

4th & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.81

Perry Hills run for 6 yds to the MchSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.04

Perry Hills run for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 31

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Perry Hills pass incomplete

3rd & 14Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -2.33

Brandon Ross run for 2 yds to the MchSt 29 Brandon Ross fumbled, forced by Demetrius Cooper, recovered by MchSt Demetrius Cooper

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+12 ydsPPA +1.12

LJ Scott run for 12 yds to the MchSt 41 LJ Scott fumbled, forced by Anthony Nixon, recovered by MchSt Aaron Burbridge for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Delton Williams run for 3 yds to the MchSt 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Wes Brown run for 7 yds to the Mary 27

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.20

Perry Hills run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 23 Perry Hills fumbled, recovered by Mary Perry Hills

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Perry Hills run for 2 yds to the Mary 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lee Shrader punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Macgarrett Kings Jr. at the MchSt 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Gerald Holmes run for 2 yds to the MchSt 29

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.96

Damion Terry run for 14 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gerald Holmes run for 4 yds to the MchSt 47

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.84

Damion Terry run for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.12

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 14 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-38 ydsPPA -3.65

Tyler O'Connor pass intercepted Anthony Nixon return for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 39 Sean Davis return for 38 yds to the Mary 39

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-38 ydsPPA -3.65

Tyler O'Connor pass intercepted Anthony Nixon return for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 0 Sean Davis return for 38 yds to the Mary 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

D.J. Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.95

Wes Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 35

3rd & 13Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.26

Perry Hills sacked by Chris Frey for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 34

4th & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.25

Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 10 yds to the Mary 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Madre London run for 4 yds to the Mary 40

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.70

Madre London run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Damion Terry pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+7 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 32 yds , William Likely returns for 7 yds to the Mary 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Perry Hills pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 7 yds to the Mary 25

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Wes Brown run for 12 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.99

Perry Hills sacked by Craig Evans and Shilique Calhoun for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 29

2nd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Perry Hills pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 13 yds to the Mary 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.76

Perry Hills pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 16 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Perry Hills pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 7 yds to the MchSt 35

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Perry Hills pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Perry Hills pass incomplete

4th & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -2.26

Perry Hills run for no gain to the MchSt 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Gerald Holmes run for 6 yds to the MchSt 41

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 40

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Damion Terry run for 3 yds to the MchSt 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.58

Caleb Rowe pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 20 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Caleb Rowe pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 13 yds to the MchSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MchSt 43

1st & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.37

Caleb Rowe pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 9 yds to the MchSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Wes Brown run for 6 yds to the MchSt 28

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return-30 ydsPPA -4.29

Caleb Rowe pass intercepted Montae Nicholson return for 30 yds to the MchSt 45

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 43

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 42

Situational Analysis

Maryland

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
39%
28 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
34%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
22%
9 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play