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← Back to GamesSep 12, 2015Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 2.1

Home Win Probability

Penn State 57%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 12, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
007714
Penn StatePenn State
01031427

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142810-010-713-720-727-14
Penn StateBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSBUFPSBUFPSBUFPSBUFBUFPSBUFPSBUFPSBUFPSBUFPSBUFPSBUFPSBUFPSBUFPSDOWNS48ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT39ydMISS740ydMISS1438ydPUNT88ydPUNT34ydDOWNS39ydPUNT05ydTD224ydTO48ydFG47ydPUNT6-3ydEND736ydPUNT3-11ydPUNT34ydTD1178ydFG1256ydPUNT33ydTD462ydPUNT31ydTD674ydTD1382ydDOWNS67ydDOWNS512ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Penn State
StatisticBuffaloPenn State
Passing24-3514-27
Pass Yards205128
Rush Yards69200
Total Yards274328
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-166-15
Penalties14-1077-65
Possession30:2629:34

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Joe Licata
24/35, 205 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Anthone Taylor
18 CAR, 93 YDS
receiving
Ron Willoughby
8 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
Penn State
passing
Christian Hackenberg
14/27, 128 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Saquon Barkley
12 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chris Godwin
5 REC, 75 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+58 yds

Tyler Grassman kickoff for 65 yds , Nick Scott return for 58 yds to the Buff 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Akeel Lynch run for 2 yds to the Buff 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 6 yds to the Buff 34

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.91

Akeel Lynch run for a loss of 4 yards to the Buff 38

4th & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -1.58

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 4 yds to the Buff 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Joe Licata pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Anthone Taylor run for 2 yds to the Buff 36

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.62

Joe Licata sacked by Carl Nassib for a loss of 7 yards to the Buff 29

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 24

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 48 yds , Mark Allen returns for no gain to the PnSt 28

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Akeel Lynch run for 7 yds to the PnSt 35

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Akeel Lynch run for 2 yds to the PnSt 37

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Akeel Lynch run for no gain to the PnSt 37

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Daniel Pasquariello punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Joe Licata pass complete to Anthone Taylor for 2 yds to the Buff 32

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Anthone Taylor run for 6 yds to the Buff 38

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 33

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Licata, Joe pass incomplete to McGill, Marcus, PENALTY PENNST pass interference 15 yards to the BUFFALO48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BUFFALO.

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.04

Joe Licata pass complete to Collin Lisa for 17 yds to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 40

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 45

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Joe Licata pass complete to Ron Willoughby for 5 yds to the PnSt 40

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Anthone Taylor run for 2 yds to the PnSt 38

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Anthone Taylor run for 8 yds to the PnSt 30

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Adam Mitcheson 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Akeel Lynch run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 28

3rd & 12Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.37

Akeel Lynch run for 12 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Kyle Carter for 9 yds to the PnSt 49

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.40

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.47

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 10 yds to the Buff 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Akeel Lynch run for 7 yds to the Buff 39

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Akeel Lynch run for 1 yd to the Buff 38

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Akeel Lynch run for 1 yd to the Buff 37

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.69

Christian Hackenberg run for 2 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Akeel Lynch run for no gain to the Buff 35

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Akeel Lynch run for 3 yds to the Buff 32

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Geno Lewis

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Joey Julius 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jordan Johnson run for 3 yds to the Buff 35

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jordan Johnson run for 6 yds to the Buff 41

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.00

Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the Buff 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Joe Licata pass complete to Jordan Johnson for 3 yds to the Buff 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.38

Joe Licata pass complete to Ron Willoughby for 8 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the PnSt 43

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 48

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Ron Willoughby

3rd & 11Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.38

Joe Licata sacked by Austin Johnson for a loss of 12 yards to the Buff 40

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Mark Allen run for 2 yds to the PnSt 16

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Akeel Lynch run for 2 yds to the PnSt 18

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Daniel Pasquariello punt for 55 yds, downed at the Buff 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Collin Lisa

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Joe Licata pass complete to Collin Lisa for 4 yds to the Buff 31

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Joe Licata pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Offside Defense (5 Yards) to the Buff 36

4th & 1Punt+58 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 46 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 58 yds to the Buff 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Christian Hackenberg run for 2 yds to the Buff 22

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.92

Brandon Polk run for 22 yds for a TD, (Joey Julius KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Anthone Taylor run for 5 yds to the Buff 30

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.98

Anthone Taylor run for 18 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Buff 33

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Joe Licata pass incomplete

2nd & 25Pass Interception Return-10 ydsPPA +0.15

Joe Licata pass intercepted Carl Nassib return for 10 yds to the Buff 12

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

Akeel Lynch run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 14

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 7 yds to the Buff 7

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Akeel Lynch run for 2 yds to the Buff 5

4th & 3Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -1.04

Joey Julius 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Anthone Taylor run for 1 yd to the Buff 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Anthone Taylor run for 2 yds to the Buff 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Joe Licata pass complete to Ron Willoughby for 7 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Anthone Taylor run for 2 yds to the Buff 37

2nd & 8Penalty-15 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the Buff 22

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Joe Licata pass incomplete

3rd & 23Rush0 ydsPPA -0.03

Anthone Taylor run for no gain to the Buff 22

4th & 23Punt+11 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 40 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 11 yds to the PnSt 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 9 yds to the Buff 42

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Geno Lewis

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.99

Akeel Lynch run for 7 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Geno Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 11 yds to the Buff 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, Offside Defense (5 Yards) to the Buff 19

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Kyle Carter for 4 yds to the Buff 15

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, Personal Foul (-12 Yards) to the Buff 13

1st & 22Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Anthone Taylor run for 6 yds to the Buff 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Joe Licata pass complete to Malcolm Robinson for 1 yd to the Buff 20

3rd & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.10

Joe Licata sacked by Austin Johnson and Garrett Sickels for a loss of 6 yards to the Buff 14

4th & 21Punt+38 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 38 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Saquon Barkley run for 5 yds to the Buff 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the Buff 44

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Buff 49

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Daniel Pasquariello punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joe Licata pass complete to Ron Willoughby for 5 yds to the Buff 27

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Anthone Taylor run for no gain to the Buff 27

3rd & 5Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.43

Anthone Taylor run for 29 yds to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Anthone Taylor run for 1 yd to the PnSt 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.32

Joe Licata pass complete to Marcus McGill for 12 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 34

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the PnSt 32

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Jordan Johnson run for 7 yds to the PnSt 25

4th & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.41

Joe Licata pass complete to Marcus McGill for 9 yds to the PnSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Anthone Taylor run for 2 yds to the PnSt 14

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.75

Joe Licata pass complete to Ron Willoughby for 14 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, Offside Defense (5 Yards) to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 2 yds to the PnSt 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 5 yds to the Buff 48

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Akeel Lynch run for 4 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Mike Gesicki

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Akeel Lynch run for 3 yds to the Buff 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.96

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 11 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, False Start (5 Yards) to the Buff 25

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Akeel Lynch run for 1 yd to the Buff 24

2nd & 4Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.92

Brandon Polk run for 20 yds to the Buff 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Buff 9

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Saquon Barkley run for 5 yds to the Buff 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Mike Gesicki

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Kyle Carter

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.02

Joey Julius 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the Buff 27

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Joe Licata pass complete to Ron Willoughby for 6 yds to the Buff 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.27

Joe Licata pass complete to Collin Lisa for no gain to the Buff 28

4th & 7Punt+3 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 37 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 3 yds to the PnSt 38

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.16

Saquon Barkley run for 33 yds to the Buff 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.26

Saquon Barkley run for 17 yds to the Buff 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 7 yds to the Buff 5

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.23

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 5 yds for a TD, (Joey Julius KICK)

3rd & 3Penalty-15 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the PnSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Ron Willoughby

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Johnson run for 1 yd to the Buff 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Joe Licata pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tyler Grassman punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 26

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Saquon Barkley run for 9 yds to the PnSt 35

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Brandon Polk run for 3 yds to the Buff 47

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Kyle Carter

3rd & 7Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.93

Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 38 yds to the Buff 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Saquon Barkley run for 9 yds for a TD, (Joey Julius KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Joe Licata pass incomplete to Matt Weiser

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Joe Licata pass complete to Anthone Taylor for 5 yds to the Buff 23

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 18

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.71

Joe Licata pass complete to Ron Willoughby for 14 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.74

Joe Licata sacked by Carl Nassib for a loss of 11 yards to the Buff 21 BUFFALO Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Buff 21

2nd & 21Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.17

Joe Licata pass complete to Mason Schreck for 9 yds to the Buff 30

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Joe Licata pass complete to Malcolm Robinson for 11 yds to the Buff 41

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.02

Anthone Taylor run for 2 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Anthone Taylor run for 3 yds to the Buff 46

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Anthone Taylor run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.27

Joe Licata pass complete to Ron Willoughby for 21 yds to the PnSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Joe Licata pass complete to Matt Weiser for 2 yds to the PnSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.56

Joe Licata pass complete to Jacob Martinez for 17 yds to the PnSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Joe Licata pass complete to Marcus McGill for 10 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.18

Saquon Barkley run for 24 yds to the Buff 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.19

Saquon Barkley run for 5 yds to the Buff 22 PENN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the Buff 37

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the Buff 35

2nd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the Buff 33

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete

4th & 16Rush-11 ydsPPA -0.95

TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the Buff 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Joe Licata pass complete to Marcus McGill for 14 yds to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Joe Licata pass complete to Mason Schreck for 9 yds to the PnSt 33

2nd & 1Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.72

Joe Licata sacked by Carl Nassib for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 37

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.36

Joe Licata sacked by Carl Nassib for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 44

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Joe Licata pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 43

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
23 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
58%
12 plays
38%
8 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
42%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
55%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play