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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 6.7

Home Win Probability

Western Michigan 30%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 4, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
2077337
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
737724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-137-2010-27
Western MichiganMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WMMSWMMSWMMSWMMSWMMSWMMSWMMSWMMSWMMSWMMSWMMSWMMSMISS46ydPUNT620ydTO33ydTD227ydTD00ydTD865ydPUNT36ydTD673ydPUNT725ydTO329ydPUNT30ydTD880ydFG1288ydPUNT510ydEND66ydTD1375ydTD1575ydPUNT521ydTD880ydFG971ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT30ydTO1183ydEND414yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Western Michigan
StatisticMichigan StateWestern Michigan
Passing15-3133-50
Pass Yards256365
Rush Yards19618
Total Yards452383
Turnovers12
3rd Down10-158-18
Penalties3-258-77
Possession28:1931:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Connor Cook
15/31, 256 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
LJ Scott
13 CAR, 77 YDS
receiving
Aaron Burbridge
4 REC, 117 YDS
Western Michigan
passing
Zach Terrell
33/50, 365 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jarvion Franklin
8 CAR, 23 YDS
receiving
Corey Davis
10 REC, 154 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zach Terrell run for no gain to the MchSt 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 31

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 7 yds to the MchSt 24

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Andrew Haldeman 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Madre London run for 1 yd to the MchSt 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

3rd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.72

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 19 yds to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 39

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aj Troup

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

R.J. Shelton run for 5 yds to the MchSt 44

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 14

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 13

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Zach Terrell run for 4 yds to the WMich 17

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.16

Zach Terrell pass intercepted Montae Nicholson return for no gain to the WMich 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

R.J. Shelton run for 3 yds to the WMich 24

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.89

Madre London run for 24 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

3rd & 7Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Kevin Cronin kickoff for 65 yds , Darius Phillips return for 100 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.77

Gerald Holmes run for 20 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Gerald Holmes run for 2 yds to the WMich 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 7 yds to the WMich 36

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.56

Gerald Holmes run for 2 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.93

Connor Cook pass complete to Gerald Holmes for no gain to the WMich 35

3rd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.14

Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 20 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+8 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ronald Zamort) to the WMich 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Madre London 7 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 18

2nd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.45

Zach Terrell sacked by Joel Heath for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 15

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 6 yds to the WMich 21

4th & 4Punt0 yds

J. Schroeder punt for 52 yds, downed at the MchSt 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aj Troup

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Lj Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+56 ydsPPA +4.32

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 56 yds to the WMich 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Lj Scott run for 5 yds to the WMich 9

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.82

Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 11 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 6 yds to the WMich 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.24

Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 7 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the MchSt 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.88

Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Fabian Johnson WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chukwuma Okorafor) declined

4th & 7Punt0 yds

J. Schroeder punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Macgarrett Kings Jr. at the MchSt 15

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Madre London run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 14

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

Cook, Connor pass incomplete to Burbridge, Aaron, PENALTY WESTMICH pass interference (Zamort, Ronald) 15 yards to the MICHIGANST29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Madre London run for 2 yds to the MchSt 31

2nd & 8Penalty+10 yds

Cook, Connor pass sacked for loss of 4 yards to the MICHIGANST27 (Braster, Nathan), PENALTY WESTMICH holding (Zamort, Ronald) 10 yards to the MICHIGANST41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -2.34

R.J. Shelton run for 3 yds to the MchSt 39 R.J. Shelton fumbled, forced by Keion Adams, recovered by WMich Rontavious Atkins

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel Braverman

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Michael Henry

4th & 10Punt0 yds

J. Schroeder punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.11

Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 25 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 15 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Gerald Holmes run for 9 yds to the WMich 31

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.33

Gerald Holmes run for 7 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Damion Terry run for 2 yds to the WMich 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.10

Connor Cook pass complete to Aj Troup for 14 yds to the WMich 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Gerald Holmes run for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 11

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (John Keenoy) to the WMich 6

2nd & 13Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.10

Zach Terrell sacked by Riley Bullough for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 4

3rd & 15Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.36

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 44 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the MchSt 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Kendrick Roberts

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.26

Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 11 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.37

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 13 yds to the MchSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.99

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 20 yds to the MchSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the MchSt 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Jarvion Franklin

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

4th & 3Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -1.08

Andrew Haldeman 22 yd FG GOOD

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Lj Scott run for 4 yds to the MchSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Connor Cook pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Josiah Price

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel Braverman

3rd & 12Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.10

Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 23 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 5 yds to the MchSt 48

3rd & 15Penalty-15 yds

Terrell, Zach pass complete to Braverman, Daniel for 18 yards to the MICHIGANST40, PENALTY WESTMICH personal foul (Okorafor, Chukwuma) 15 yards to the WESTMICH27, NO PLAY.

3rd & 30Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 5 yds to the WMich 32

0th & 30End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Madre London run for 5 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Madre London run for 5 yds to the MchSt 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.03

Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 6 yds to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Madre London run for 2 yds to the MchSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.83

Connor Cook pass complete to DeAnthony Arnett for 15 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Madre London run for 7 yds to the WMich 29

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Madre London run for 1 yd to the WMich 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 7 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Paul Lang

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 11 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.92

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 15 yds to the MchSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the MchSt 41

2nd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Zach Terrell sacked by Riley Bullough for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 45

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.55

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 13 yds to the MchSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Terrell, Zach pass complete to Davis, Corey for 8 yards to the MICHIGANST24, PENALTY WESTMICH personal foul (Okorafor, Chukwuma) 15 yards to the MICHIGANST47, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jamauri Bogan for 3 yds to the MchSt 44

2nd & 22Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 1 yd to the MchSt 43

3rd & 21Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.19

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 16 yds to the MchSt 27

4th & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.64

Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 7 yds to the MchSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the MchSt 15

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the MchSt 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Zach Terrell pass complete to Fabian Johnson for 3 yds to the MchSt 12

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Willie Beavers) to the MchSt 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.81

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 14 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gerald Holmes run for 4 yds to the MchSt 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Connor Cook pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Josiah Price

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.93

Zach Terrell sacked by Riley Bullough for a loss of 9 yards to the WMich 11

2nd & 19Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.80

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jamauri Bogan for 6 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Montae Nicholson) to the WMich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.22

Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 26 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the MchSt 34

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the MchSt 33

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.51

Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the MchSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Lj Scott run for 17 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.75

Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 28 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Lj Scott run for 8 yds to the WMich 22

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.29

Lj Scott run for 4 yds to the WMich 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Lj Scott run for 10 yds to the WMich 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Lj Scott run for 4 yds to the WMich 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Lj Scott run for no gain to the WMich 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron Burbridge

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.57

Zach Terrell sacked by Shilique Calhoun for a loss of 9 yards to the WMich 16

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

2nd & 4Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.45

Madre London run for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 48

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aj Troup

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Jamauri Bogan run for 12 yds to the WMich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.52

Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 18 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Zach Terrell pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 7 yds to the WMich 47

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.06

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 11 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Terrell, Zach pass incomplete to Davis, Corey, PENALTY MICHIGANST pass interference (Williamson, Rj) 5 yards to the MICHIGANST37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.40

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 15 yds to the MchSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 2 yds to the MchSt 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.67

Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 13 yds to the MchSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.80

Zach Terrell pass intercepted, touchback. Vayante Copeland return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Lj Scott run for 1 yd to the MchSt 21

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Lj Scott run for 4 yds to the MchSt 25

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Lj Scott run for 11 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
83%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play