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← Back to GamesOct 30, 2015Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 8.7

Home Win Probability

Wake Forest 25%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 30, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
0173020
Wake ForestWake Forest
1090019

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-310-1019-1719-20
Wake ForestLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WFLOUWFLOUWFWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUWFLOUPUNT30ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT3-1ydTO427ydFG4-10ydPUNT511ydTD282ydFG1462ydPUNT3-4ydTD750ydPUNT514ydPUNT37ydPUNT642ydSAF2-8ydTD366ydTD478ydPUNT31ydPUNT35ydTO33ydPUNT37ydPUNT621ydPUNT77ydTO10ydFG40ydTO857ydMISS1373ydTO511ydPUNT39ydTO4-13ydEND3-9yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Wake Forest
StatisticLouisvilleWake Forest
Passing23-329-30
Pass Yards249226
Rush Yards6840
Total Yards317266
Turnovers15
3rd Down5-183-16
Penalties10-893-29
Possession34:5025:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Lamar Jackson
19/26, 207 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jeremy Smith
12 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Jamari Staples
10 REC, 133 YDS, 2 TD
Wake Forest
passing
John Wolford
6/18, 131 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Matt Colburn
11 CAR, 24 YDS
receiving
Tabari Hines
3 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

John Wolford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

John Wolford pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

John Wolford pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Alexander Kinal punt for 40 yds, downed at the Lvile 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Reggie Bonnafon run for 7 yds to the Lvile 37

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.48

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 35 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Lvile Lamar Jackson

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari Staples, broken up by Brad Watson

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Joshua Appleby punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tabari Hines at the WFrst 19

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyler Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 18

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 20

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.21

John Wolford sacked by Trevon Young for a loss of 8 yards to the WFrst 12

4th & 17Punt-4 yds

Alexander Kinal punt for 44 yds , Cornelius Sturghill returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

L.J. Scott run for 1 yd to the Lvile 41

2nd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.08

Lamar Jackson sacked by Marquel Lee and Duke Ejiofor for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 39

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to James Quick

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Joshua Appleby punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.63

John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 20 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

John Wolford pass incomplete to K.J. Brent, broken up by Shaq Wiggins

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 5 yds to the WFrst 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Alexander Kinal punt for 43 yds , Cornelius Sturghill returns for no gain to the Lvile 8 Cornelius Sturghill fumbled, recovered by WFrst Zack Wary

1st & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Kendall Hinton run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 12

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kendall Hinton run for no gain to the Lvile 12

3rd & 12Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.64

Kendall Hinton sacked by Trevon Young for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 18

4th & 0Field Goal Good+36 yds

Mike Weaver 36 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Lamar Jackson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 9 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 42

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari Staples

3rd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Lamar Jackson run for 4 yds to the Lvile 46

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Joshua Appleby punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tabari Hines at the WFrst 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 22

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +6.57

Cortez Lewis 78 Yd pass from Kendall Hinton (Mike Weaver Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 13

1st & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.59

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jamari Staples for 14 yds to the Lvile 27

2nd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.53

Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 23

3rd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.78

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jamari Staples for 23 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jamari Staples for 5 yds to the WFrst 49

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

L.J. Scott run for 1 yd to the WFrst 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.01

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jamari Staples for 12 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Lamar Jackson pass complete to L.J. Scott for 1 yd to the WFrst 35

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Reggie Bonnafon run for no gain to the WFrst 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Cole Hikutini for 7 yds to the WFrst 28

4th & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.31

Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Charles Standberry for 4 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Lamar Jackson run for 1 yd to the WFrst 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to James Quick

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Lamar Jackson run for 3 yds to the WFrst 20

4th & 6Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.19

John Wallace 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 20

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Bell run for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 15

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis

4th & 14Punt+3 yds

Alexander Kinal punt for 38 yds , Alphonso Carter returns for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.03

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 5 yds to the WAKEFOREST 45 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Personal Foul (Tylor Harris) to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

L.J. Scott run for 1 yd to the WFrst 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Cole Hikutini

3rd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.49

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Reggie Bonnafon for 26 yds to the WFrst 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-13 ydsPPA -1.71

Jeremy Smith run for 2 yds to the WFrst 1 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Skylar Lacy) to the WFrst 16

1st & 16Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Keith Towbridge for 2 yds to the WFrst 14

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.03

Jamari Staples 14 Yd pass from Lamar Jackson (John Wallace Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. Brent

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.15

Kendall Hinton run for 13 yds to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Alex Bachman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Kendall Hinton pass complete to Cam Serigne for 1 yd to the WFrst 28

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Alex Bachman

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alexander Kinal punt for 24 yds, downed at the Lvile 48

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Jeremy Smith run for 7 yds to the WFrst 45

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Lamar Jackson run for 2 yds to the WFrst 43

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.64

Jeremy Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 45

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Joshua Appleby punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tabari Hines at the WFrst 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the WFrst 17

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 19

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.60

John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Devonte Fields) to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

Wolford, John pass incomplete to Brent, K.J., PENALTY LOUISVILLE pass interference (Wiggins, Shaq) 14 yards to the WAKEFOREST48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WAKEFOREST.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

John Wolford run for 6 yds to the Lvile 46

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alexander Kinal punt for 38 yds, downed at the Lvile 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

L.J. Scott run for 1 yd to the Lvile 9

2nd & 9Safety0 ydsPPA -1.88

Team Safety

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Tyler Bell run for 6 yds to the WFrst 40

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Bell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 42

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +5.64

Tabari Hines 58 Yd pass from John Wolford (Mike Weaver Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.43

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Lamar Jackson pass complete to L.J. Scott for 10 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.54

Lamar Jackson pass complete to James Quick for 18 yds to the WFrst 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Jamari Staples 22 Yd pass from Lamar Jackson (John Wallace Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 12

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 13

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Kendall Hinton run for 2 yds to the WFrst 15

4th & 9Punt-7 yds

Alexander Kinal punt for 41 yds , Alphonso Carter returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 37

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jamari Staples for 6 yds to the Lvile 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari Staples

3rd & 4Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Lamar Jackson sacked by Thomas Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 30

4th & 5Punt+15 yds

Joshua Appleby punt for 50 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 15 yds to the WFrst 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Bell run for 3 yds to the WFrst 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cam Serigne

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kendall Hinton pass intercepted Dee Smith return for no gain to the Lvile 47

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Reggie Bonnafon run for 4 yds to the WFrst 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 3 yds to the WFrst 46

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 49

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Lamar Jackson run for 5 yds to the WFrst 46

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Joshua Appleby punt for 45 yds, downed at the WFrst 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Matt Colburn run for no gain to the WFrst 1

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to K.J. Brent

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.80

Kendall Hinton pass complete to K.J. Brent for 16 yds to the WFrst 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 18

2nd & 9Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.40

Kendall Hinton run for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 12

3rd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Tyler Bell run for 10 yds to the WFrst 22

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alexander Kinal punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Alphonso Carter at the Lvile 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jamari Staples

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Lamar Jackson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.06

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jamari Staples for 7 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Lamar Jackson run for 1 yd to the Lvile 42

2nd & 9Penalty+9 yds

Bonnafon, Reggie pass incomplete to Towbridge, Keith, PENALTY WAKEFOREST pass interference (Lee, Marquel) 9 yards to the WAKEFOREST49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LOUISVILLE.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Lukayus McNeil) to the Lvile 46

1st & 15Penalty-15 yds

Smith, Jeremy rush for 9 yards to the WAKEFOREST45, PENALTY LOUISVILLE illegal block 15 yards to the LOUISVILLE31, NO PLAY.

1st & 30Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Reggie Bonnafon run for 4 yds to the Lvile 35

2nd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to Jeremy Smith

3rd & 26Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Reggie Bonnafon run for 3 yds to the Lvile 38

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Joshua Appleby punt for 50 yds, downed at the WFrst 12

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-20 ydsPPA -0.27

John Wolford pass intercepted Chucky Williams return for 20 yds to the WFrst 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

L.J. Scott run for 5 yds to the WFrst 17

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.87

Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 21

3rd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

L.J. Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 22

4th & 10Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.37

John Wallace 39 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the WFrst 26

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

John Wolford pass incomplete to Tyler Bell

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (Justin Herron) to the WFrst 21

3rd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.79

John Wolford run for 12 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Matt Colburn run for no gain to the WFrst 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.41

John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 32 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.31

John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 12 yds to the Lvile 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the Lvile 21

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return-13 ydsPPA -4.11

John Wolford pass intercepted Trumaine Washington return for 5 yds to the Lvile 16 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Block (8 Yards) to the Lvile 8

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.16

Jeremy Smith run for 22 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jeremy Smith run for 5 yds to the Lvile 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.05

Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jamari Staples for 19 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jeremy Smith run for 1 yd to the WFrst 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.40

Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jamari Staples for 11 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Kyle Bolin pass complete to Jeremy Smith for 8 yds to the WFrst 26

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jeremy Smith run for 3 yds to the WFrst 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jeremy Smith run for 3 yds to the WFrst 20

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.37

Jeremy Smith run for 11 yds to the WFrst 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jeremy Smith run for 2 yds to the WFrst 7

2nd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.53

Kyle Bolin sacked by Hunter Williams for a loss of 12 yards to the WFrst 19

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Kyle Bolin pass incomplete

4th & 19Blocked Field Goal+36 yds

John Wallace 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Josh Banks

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the Lvile 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

John Wolford pass incomplete to K.J. Brent

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Bell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 38

4th & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.10

John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 4 yds to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-36 ydsPPA -4.06

John Wolford pass intercepted Shaq Wiggins return for 36 yds to the Lvile 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jeremy Smith run for 2 yds to the Lvile 41

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jeremy Smith run for 2 yds to the Lvile 43

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

L.J. Scott run for 5 yds to the Lvile 48

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Joshua Appleby punt for 34 yds, downed at the WFrst 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kendall Hinton pass incomplete to Cam Serigne

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Kendall Hinton pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kendall Hinton sacked by Devonte Fields for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 15

4th & 13Sack-10 ydsPPA +0.37

Kendall Hinton sacked by Trevon Young for a loss of 10 yards to the WFrst 5 Kendall Hinton fumbled, forced by Trevon Young, recovered by Lvile Devonte Fields , return for 0 yards

1st & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 8

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.48

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 11

3rd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.94

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 14

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
48%
27 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
25%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Wake Forest

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
21%
24 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
18%
11 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play