Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 29, 2015Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Pittsburgh by 1.7

Home Win Probability

Pittsburgh 55%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 29, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
3173326
PittsburghPittsburgh
3010619

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-33-103-2013-2313-2619-26
PittsburghNorth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCFG1459ydFG1067ydPUNT722ydTD587ydMISS1140ydFG851ydTO213ydTD338ydPUNT412ydPUNT522ydEND660ydPUNT35ydFG44ydFG557ydTD1375ydPUNT539ydPUNT39ydPUNT618ydPUNT931ydFG1073ydTD975ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina and Pittsburgh
StatisticNorth CarolinaPittsburgh
Passing14-2327-42
Pass Yards270262
Rush Yards174153
Total Yards444415
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-138-17
Penalties3-156-55
Possession24:4535:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina
passing
Marquise Williams
14/23, 270 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Elijah Hood
20 CAR, 98 YDS
receiving
Ryan Switzer
5 REC, 126 YDS, 1 TD
Pittsburgh
passing
Nathan Peterman
27/42, 262 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Qadree Ollison
10 CAR, 54 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Boyd
10 REC, 89 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Qadree Ollison run for 9 yds to the Pitt 24

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.12

Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the Pitt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 2 yds to the Pitt 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 7 yds to the Pitt 38

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Alex Officer) to the Pitt 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.12

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 9 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.32

Nathan Peterman sacked by TEAM for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 34

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the Pitt 39

3rd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.32

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Zach Challingsworth for 15 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Nathan Peterman run for no gain to the NCaro 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.83

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 19 yds to the NCaro 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Chris James run for 1 yd to the NCaro 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 4 yds to the NCaro 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.44

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Qadree Ollison for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 26

4th & 9Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA +0.62

Chris Blewitt 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Elijah Hood run for 9 yds to the NCaro 34

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Marquise Williams run for 11 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.18

Marquise Williams pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 17 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Marquise Williams run for 4 yds to the Pitt 34

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Elijah Hood run for 7 yds to the Pitt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

T.J. Logan run for 11 yds to the Pitt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

T.J. Logan run for 2 yds to the Pitt 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Ryan Switzer

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Marquise Williams pass complete to Elijah Hood for 6 yds to the Pitt 8

4th & 2Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -1.02

Nick Weiler 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Qadree Ollison run for 10 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Pitt 39

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the Pitt 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Nathan Peterman run for 2 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Nathan Peterman pass complete to George Aston for no gain to the Pitt 47

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Zach Challingsworth

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ryan Winslow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ryan Switzer at the NCaro 13

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Elijah Hood run for 4 yds to the NCaro 17

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Marquise Williams run for 3 yds to the NCaro 20

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.90

Marquise Williams pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 6 yds to the NCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Elijah Hood run for 3 yds to the NCaro 29

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.31

Marquise Williams pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 71 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler Boyd run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.97

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 15 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chris James run for 4 yds to the Pitt 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Chris James run for 3 yds to the Pitt 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 2 yds to the NCaro 49

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.10

Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Nathan Peterman pass complete to J.P. Holtz for 13 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Tyler Boyd

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Tyler Boyd

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Chris Blewitt 53 yd FG MISSED. Blocked by Mikey Bart, Team return for no gain to NCaro 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Elijah Hood run for 3 yds to the NCaro 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Bug Howard

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.83

Marquise Williams pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 14 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Williams, Marquise pass incomplete, PENALTY PITTSBURGH pass interference (Pitts, Lafayette) 15 yards to the PITTSBURGH33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UNC.

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Elijah Hood run for 11 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Elijah Hood run for 7 yds to the Pitt 15

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the Pitt 13

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA +0.07

Elijah Hood run for 1 yd to the Pitt 14 Elijah Hood fumbled, recovered by NCaro Brandon Fritts

4th & 2Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.83

Nick Weiler 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Chris James for 5 yds to the Pitt 30

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -1.02

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 8 yds Dontez Ford fumbled, forced by Donnie Miles, recovered by NCaro Junior Gnonkonde

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Kendrick Singleton

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Marquise Williams run for 6 yds to the Pitt 32

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.62

Marquise Williams pass complete to Mack Hollins for 32 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Elijah Zeise for 10 yds to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Nathan Peterman sacked by Junior Gnonkonde for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 36

2nd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.92

Nathan Peterman sacked by M.J. Stewart for a loss of 6 yards to the Pitt 30

3rd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.21

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Zach Challingsworth for 9 yds to the Pitt 39

4th & 8Punt+1 yds

Ryan Winslow punt for 41 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for 1 yd to the NCaro 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Marquise Williams pass complete to T.J. Logan for 2 yds to the NCaro 23

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.47

T.J. Logan run for 12 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Quinshad Davis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Marquise Williams pass complete to T.J. Logan for 8 yds to the NCaro 43

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Ryan Switzer

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Corbin Daly punt for 35 yds, downed at the Pitt 22

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Adam Bisnowaty) to the Pitt 17

1st & 15Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.26

Nathan Peterman run for 24 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Tyler Boyd

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Tyler Boyd

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.45

Nathan Peterman pass complete to J.P. Holtz for 20 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.55

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 21 yds to the NCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Dontez Ford

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Marquise Williams run for 1 yd to the NCaro 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Marquise Williams pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 4 yds to the NCaro 31

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Kendrick Singleton

4th & 5Blocked Punt+3 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Quintin Wirginis blocked by Quintin Wirginis Jamal Davis II return for 3 yds to the NCaro 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chris James run for 5 yds to the NCaro 10

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Chris James run for 2 yds to the NCaro 8

3rd & 3Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Nathan Peterman sacked by Justin Thomason for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 11

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.69

Chris Blewitt 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.52

Marquise Williams pass complete to Mack Hollins for 49 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Mack Hollins

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Quinshad Davis

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Marquise Williams pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 8 yds to the Pitt 22

4th & 2Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA -0.44

Nick Weiler 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Dontez Ford

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Chris James run for 4 yds to the Pitt 29

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Nathan Peterman run for 8 yds to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.44

Nathan Peterman pass complete to J.P. Holtz for 16 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Tyler Boyd run for 6 yds to the NCaro 41

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Chris James run for 1 yd to the NCaro 40

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.30

Qadree Ollison run for 10 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.98

Chris James run for 2 yds to the NCaro 28 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Alex Officer) to the NCaro 38

1st & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Nathan Peterman pass complete to George Aston for 9 yds to the NCaro 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Chris James

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.37

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 12 yds to the NCaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.89

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 13 yds to the NCaro 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Elijah Hood run for 7 yds to the NCaro 32

2nd & 3Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.12

Elijah Hood run for 25 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Marquise Williams run for 2 yds to the Pitt 41

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Marquise Williams run for 2 yds to the Pitt 39

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Elijah Hood run for 4 yds to the Pitt 36 Elijah Hood fumbled, forced by Jordan Whitehead, recovered by NCaro Brandon Fritts

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Joey Mangili punt for 36 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Chris James run for 3 yds to the Pitt 23

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Chris James run for 6 yds to the Pitt 29

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nathan Peterman run for no gain to the Pitt 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Winslow punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Ryan Switzer at the NCaro 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Elijah Hood run for 5 yds to the NCaro 27

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Elijah Hood run for 3 yds to the NCaro 30

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.41

Elijah Hood run for 7 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Marquise Williams run for 1 yd to the NCaro 38

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

T.J. Logan run for 2 yds to the NCaro 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Ryan Switzer

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Corbin Daly punt for 56 yds, downed at the Pitt 4

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Chris James run for 4 yds to the Pitt 8

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Chris James run for 9 yds to the Pitt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 8 yds to the Pitt 25

4th & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.48

Matt Galambos run for 6 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Chris James

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 2 yds to the Pitt 33

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Nathan Peterman run for 2 yds to the Pitt 35

4th & 6Punt-3 yds

Ryan Winslow punt for 50 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.78

Marquise Williams pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 26 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.91

Elijah Hood run for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 32

2nd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Marquise Williams pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 4 yds to the NCaro 36

3rd & 12Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.68

Marquise Williams pass complete to Kendrick Singleton for 23 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Elijah Hood run for 1 yd to the Pitt 40

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 45

2nd & 14Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.33

Marquise Williams run for 22 yds to the Pitt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Elijah Hood run for 9 yds to the Pitt 14

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Elijah Hood run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 16

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Elijah Hood run for 1 yd to the Pitt 15

4th & 2Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.79

Nick Weiler 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Nathan Peterman sacked by Jessie Rogers for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.53

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 33 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Chris James for 2 yds to the NCaro 45

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 13Penalty+4 yds

Peterman, Nathan pass incomplete, PENALTY UNC pass interference 4 yards to the UNC46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH.

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.95

Nathan Peterman run for 28 yds to the NCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+6 yds

Peterman, Nathan pass incomplete, PENALTY UNC pass interference 6 yards to the UNC12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Zach Challingsworth for 6 yds to the NCaro 6

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Dontez Ford

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.72

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 6 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 42

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 44

Situational Analysis

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
4 plays

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
33 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
29%
7 plays
31%
13 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play