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← Back to GamesOct 10, 2015Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Pittsburgh by 9.1

Home Win Probability

Pittsburgh 76%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 10, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VirginiaVirginia
373619
PittsburghPittsburgh
1707226

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-317-317-1024-1326-1326-19
PittsburghVirginia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PITVIRPITVIRPITVIRPITVIRPITPITVIRPITVIRPITVIRVIRPITVIRPITVIRPITVIRPITVIRPITTD575ydFG666ydPUNT527ydPUNT33ydTD359ydPUNT38ydFG756ydPUNT538ydTD5-2ydPUNT620ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT39ydPUNT613ydPUNT38ydEND1-2ydTO747ydTD220ydFG1566ydTO1074ydSAF3-1ydPUNT7-10ydTD666ydPUNT38ydDOWNS930ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Virginia and Pittsburgh
StatisticVirginiaPittsburgh
Passing17-3417-24
Pass Yards209222
Rush Yards139141
Total Yards348363
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-156-13
Penalties4-225-40
Possession29:3930:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Virginia
passing
Matt Johns
17/33, 209 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Albert Reid
4 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
T.J. Thorpe
5 REC, 70 YDS
Pittsburgh
passing
Nathan Peterman
17/24, 222 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Chris James
11 CAR, 94 YDS
receiving
Dontez Ford
3 REC, 63 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Qadree Ollison run for 11 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Qadree Ollison

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Chad Voytik run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 35

3rd & 11Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.86

Nathan Peterman pass complete to J.P. Holtz for 28 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 37 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Taquan Mizzell run for 1 yd to the Virg 19

2nd & 9Rush+71 ydsPPA +4.40

Albert Reid run for 71 yds to the Pitt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Daniel Hamm run for 4 yds to the Pitt 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Albert Reid

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 11

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 16

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Matt Johns pass incomplete

4th & 0Field Goal Good+33 yds

Ian Frye 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Scott Orndoff

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.69

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 22 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 48

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Virg 48

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Tyler Boyd

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Winslow punt for 44 yds, downed at the Virg 4

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.36

Taquan Mizzell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 1

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Matt Johns run for 2 yds to the Virg 3

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Matt Johns pass complete to Connor Wingo-Reeves for 4 yds to the Virg 7

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 52 yds , Tyler Boyd returns for no gain to the Pitt 41

1st & 10Rush+48 ydsPPA +2.14

Chris James run for 48 yds to the Virg 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Tyler Boyd run for 7 yds to the Virg 4

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.22

Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Daniel Hamm run for 1 yd to the Virg 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Matt Johns pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 7 yds to the Virg 24

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. Thorpe

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 47 yds, downed at the Pitt 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Chris James run for 6 yds to the Pitt 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.80

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 18 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.98

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Scott Orndoff for 26 yds to the Virg 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Nathan Peterman run for 2 yds to the Virg 19

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Chris James for 4 yds to the Virg 15

4th & 4Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.65

Chris Blewitt 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Albert Reid run for 2 yds to the Virg 9

2nd & 8Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.61

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 34 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. Thorpe

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Matt Johns pass complete to Albert Reid for 2 yds to the Virg 45

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. Thorpe

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 17 , Tyler Boyd returns for 7 yds to the Pitt 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Jaymar Parrish for 3 yds to the Pitt 20

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Chad Voytik run for 3 yds to the Pitt 23

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 6 yds to the Pitt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 27

2nd & 12Sack+15 ydsPPA +2.27

Nathan Peterman sacked by Mike Moore for a loss of 10 yards Nathan Peterman fumbled, recovered by Virg Kwontie Moore , return for 0 yards , return for 15 yds, (Ian Frye KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the Pitt 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Nathan Peterman pass complete to George Aston for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 26

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.75

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 9 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 36

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 31

2nd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.23

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 12 yds to the Pitt 43

3rd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.91

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for no gain to the Pitt 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Winslow punt for 33 yds, downed at the Virg 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Albert Reid run for 1 yd to the Virg 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Matt Johns pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.25

Matt Johns sacked by Matt Galambos for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 21

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 52 yds, downed at the Pitt 27

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Chris James run for 7 yds to the Pitt 34

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Chris James run for 2 yds to the Pitt 36

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.76

Nathan Peterman run for no gain to the Pitt 36 Nathan Peterman fumbled, recovered by Pitt Nathan Peterman , return for no gain to the Pitt 36

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Winslow punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Maurice Canady at the Virg 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 6 yds to the Virg 18

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Matt Johns pass complete to T.J. Thorpe for 2 yds to the Virg 20

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.33

Matt Johns run for no gain to the Virg 23 Matt Johns fumbled, forced by Rori Blair, recovered by Virg Matt Johns for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.06

Matt Johns sacked by Ejuan Price and Avonte Maddox for a loss of 8 yards to the Virg 15

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Taquan Mizzell run for 5 yds to the Virg 20

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Taquan Mizzell run for 5 yds to the Virg 25

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nicholas Conte punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyler Boyd at the Pitt 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Dontez Ford

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Nathan Peterman pass complete to J.P. Holtz for 8 yds to the Pitt 44

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete, broken up by Quin Blanding PITTSBURGH Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declined

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Winslow punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Maurice Canady at the Virg 13

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 11

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Daniel Hamm run for 11 yds to the Virg 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Taquan Mizzell run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Matt Johns run for 5 yds to the Pitt 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Charlie Hopkins

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.94

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 11 yds to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. Thorpe

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-51 ydsPPA -3.40

Matt Johns pass intercepted Matt Galambos return for 51 yds to the Virg 20

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Nathan Peterman run for 12 yds to the Virg 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 8 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Daniel Hamm run for 6 yds to the Virg 31

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Daniel Hamm run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 7 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Daniel Hamm run for 9 yds to the Virg 45

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Daniel Hamm run for 1 yd to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Daniel Hamm run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.15

Matt Johns pass complete to T.J. Thorpe for 10 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Albert Reid run for no gain to the Pitt 40

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Matt Johns pass incomplete, PENALTY UP offside defense (Tyrique Jarrett) 5 yards to the UP35, NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Daniel Hamm run for 1 yd to the Pitt 34

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.00

Matt Johns run for 6 yds to the Pitt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.25

Matt Johns pass complete to Connor Wingo-Reeves for 18 yds to the Pitt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Taquan Mizzell pass incomplete to Evan Butts, broken up by Pat Amara Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Daniel Hamm run for 1 yd to the Pitt 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Canaan Severin

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.60

Ian Frye 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Qadree Ollison run for 7 yds to the Pitt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 5 yds to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Chris James run for 11 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Qadree Ollison run for 7 yds to the Virg 45

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Virg 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.81

Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Nathan Peterman pass incomplete to Tyler Boyd

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Chris James run for 2 yds to the Virg 39

3rd & 8Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.66

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Dontez Ford for 33 yds to the Virg 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -4.95

Qadree Ollison run for 5 yds to the Virg 1 Qadree Ollison fumbled, forced by Micah Kiser, recovered by Virg Quin Blanding

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Matt Johns run for 1 yd to the Virg 2

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. Thorpe, broken up by Lafayette Pitts

3rd & 9Safety-2 ydsPPA -1.68

Matt Johns sacked by Mike Caprara for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 80Penalty+15 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, sideline interference (15 Yards) to the Virg 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Chris James run for 6 yds to the Pitt 33

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Chris James run for 3 yds to the Pitt 36

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.21

Chris James run for 4 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Chris James run for 7 yds to the Pitt 47

2nd & 3Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.70

Nathan Peterman run for 2 yds to the Pitt 49 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive holding (Adam Bisnowaty) to the Pitt 39

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)-15 ydsPPA -1.28

TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the Pitt 24 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Pitt Nathan Peterman

3rd & 26Penalty-5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 19

3rd & 31Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.01

Chris James run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 17

4th & 33Punt0 yds

Ryan Winslow punt for 49 yds, downed at the Virg 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Taquan Mizzell run for 6 yds to the Virg 40

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. Thorpe

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.81

Taquan Mizzell run for 5 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.43

Matt Johns pass complete to T.J. Thorpe for 24 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Matt Johns pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 32

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.57

Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 32 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Pitt 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Nathan Peterman pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 4 yds to the Pitt 24

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Nathan Peterman run for 1 yd to the Pitt 25

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Winslow punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Maurice Canady at the Virg 28

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.44

Matt Johns sacked by Matt Galambos for a loss of 11 yards to the Virg 17 VIRGINIA Penalty, intentional grounding (Matt Johns) to the Virg 17

2nd & 21Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 8 yds to the Virg 25

3rd & 13Penalty-12 yds

Matt Johns pass complete to T.J. Thorpe for loss of 12 yards to the VA13 (Lafayette Pitts), PENALTY VA illegal block (Jackson Matteo) 12 yards to the VA13, NO PLAY.

3rd & 25Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.01

Matt Johns pass complete to T.J. Thorpe for 2 yds to the Virg 15

4th & 23Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.30

Matt Johns pass complete to T.J. Thorpe for 32 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Matt Johns pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 11 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. Thorpe

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. Thorpe

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Matt Johns pass incomplete to Keeon Johnson

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Matt Johns pass incomplete to T.J. Thorpe

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 41

Situational Analysis

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
27 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
14%
7 plays
33%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
26 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play