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← Back to GamesSep 27, 2015Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 4.1

Home Win Probability

South Alabama 37%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 27, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NC StateNC State
281471463
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
733013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-77-1410-2810-3510-4210-4913-5613-63
South AlabamaNC State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SANSSANSSANSSANSSANSSANSSANSNSSANSSANSNSSANSSANSSANSSATD675ydTD386ydPUNT412ydTD670ydTO443ydTD377ydTO34ydTD18ydFG1059ydTD450ydPUNT30ydPUNT41ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT514ydTD425ydPUNT723ydPUNT38ydPUNT35ydMISS29ydPUNT619ydPUNT49ydTD778ydFG833ydTD770ydPUNT52ydTD1461ydEND32yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing NC State and South Alabama
StatisticNC StateSouth Alabama
Passing21-2716-35
Pass Yards256213
Rush Yards33045
Total Yards586258
Turnovers03
3rd Down7-113-15
Penalties4-442-25
Possession35:1224:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

NC State
passing
Jacoby Brissett
18/23, 218 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Shadrach Thornton
12 CAR, 111 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jaylen Samuels
5 REC, 84 YDS, 2 TD
South Alabama
passing
Cody Clements
14/33, 201 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Tyreis Thomas
5 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
D.J. Vinson
3 REC, 57 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.31

Cody Clements pass complete to Chris Lewis for 47 yds to the NCSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the NCSt 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 7 yds to the NCSt 19

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.18

Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the NCSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the NCSt 11

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.65

Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 11 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matthew Dayes for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 10

2nd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 13 yds to the NCSt 23

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +6.65

Matthew Dayes run for 77 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Cody Clements pass complete to Tyreis Thomas for 10 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the SAlab 37

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tyreis Thomas run for no gain to the SAlab 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cody Clements pass incomplete to Gerald Everett

4th & 8Punt+4 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 37 yds , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for 4 yds to the NCSt 30

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Shadrach Thornton run for 8 yds to the NCSt 38

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Shadrach Thornton run for 8 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Nyheim Hines

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.15

Jaylen Samuels run for 14 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 1 yd to the SAlab 39

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.84

Shadrach Thornton run for 39 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.26

Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 45 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the NCSt 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.16

Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 32 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -2.47

Cody Clements pass intercepted Germaine Pratt return for 4 yds to the NCSt 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.24

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 42 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.76

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Bra'Lon Cherry for 33 yds to the SAlab 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cody Clements run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Cody Clements pass complete to Terrance Timmons for 3 yds to the SAlab 29

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return-27 ydsPPA -0.16

Cody Clements pass intercepted Jerod Fernandez return for 27 yds to the SAlab 8

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Matthew Dayes run for 8 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Cody Clements pass complete to Chris Lewis for 8 yds to the SAlab 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.33

Cody Clements pass complete to Marvin Shinn for 36 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the NCSt 23

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.28

Cody Clements pass complete to Braedon Bowman for 4 yds to the NCSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Cody Clements pass incomplete to Tyreis Thomas

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Cody Clements run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 21

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

Cody Clements pass incomplete to Danny Woodson (Burris, J.), PENALTY ST pass interference (Burris, J.) 15 yards to the ST6, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the NCSt 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 2

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -1.09

Cody Clements run for a loss of 9 yards to the NCSt 16 Cody Clements fumbled,

4th & 0Field Goal Good+33 yds

Aleem Sunanon 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Shadrach Thornton run for 8 yds to the SAlab 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.19

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Cole Cook for 12 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.01

Shadrach Thornton run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 33

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.83

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 33 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Cody Clements pass incomplete to Chris Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Cody Clements pass incomplete to D.J. Vinson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cody Clements pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 26

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.26

Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the NCSt 27 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NCSt 17

1st & 19Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Johnathan Alston for 4 yds to the NCSt 21

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 6 yds to the NCSt 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jalen Thompson at the SAlab 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Cody Clements pass incomplete to D.J. Vinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Cody Clements pass incomplete to Gerald Everett

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Cody Clements pass incomplete to Marvin Shinn

4th & 10Penalty-10 yds

Brandon McKee punt 43 yards to the ST26, fair catch by Cherry, B., PENALTY USA illegal formation 10 yards to the USA21, NO PLAY.

4th & 20Punt+12 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 54 yds , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for 12 yds to the NCSt 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 9 yds to the NCSt 46

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Jacoby Brissett run for 7 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Shadrach Thornton run for 4 yds to the SAlab 43

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -2.18

Jacoby Brissett sacked by Tre Alford for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 48 Jacoby Brissett fumbled, recovered by NCSt Jacoby Brissett , return for 0 yards

3rd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jacoby Brissett run for 3 yds to the SAlab 49

4th & 12Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 35 yds , Jalen Thompson returns for no gain to the SAlab 25 Jalen Thompson fumbled, recovered by NCSt Josh Jones

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Johnathan Alston

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Shadrach Thornton run for 9 yds to the SAlab 16

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.45

Jaylen Samuels run for 14 yds to the SAlab 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 2 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 8 yds to the SAlab 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Cody Clements pass complete to Marvin Shinn for 8 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Xavier Johnson run for 10 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh Magee

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Cody Clements pass incomplete to D.J. Vinson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Cody Clements pass incomplete to Marvin Shinn

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Maurice Trowell for 1 yd to the NCSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Maurice Trowell for 7 yds to the NCSt 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Jaylen Samuels

4th & 2Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 46 yds , Josh Magee returns for no gain to the SAlab 25 Josh Magee fumbled, recovered by SAlab Josh Magee

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dami Ayoola run for 5 yds to the SAlab 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Cody Clements pass incomplete to Marvin Shinn

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Dami Ayoola run for no gain to the SAlab 30

4th & 5Punt+51 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 54 yds , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for 51 yds to the SAlab 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 9 yds to the SAlab 24

2nd & 1Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Kyle Bambard 41 yd FG MISSED

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

4th & 5Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Nyheim Hines run for 6 yds to the NCSt 36

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Matthew Dayes run for 1 yd to the NCSt 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.80

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 7 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Shadrach Thornton run for 3 yds to the NCSt 47

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Matthew Dayes run for 2 yds to the NCSt 49

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jacoby Brissett pass incomplete to Matthew Dayes

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 20

2nd & 10Penalty+9 yds

Cody Clements pass incomplete to Xavier Johnson, PENALTY ST pass interference (Chubb, B.) 9 yards to the USA29, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 29

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Cody Clements pass incomplete to Marvin Shinn, broken up by Mike Stevens

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Cody Clements pass incomplete to Marvin Shinn

4th & 10Punt+1 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 50 yds , Bra'Lon Cherry returns for 1 yd to the NCSt 22

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.52

Shadrach Thornton run for 18 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.57

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to David J. Grinnage for 20 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Matthew Dayes for 12 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.18

Shadrach Thornton run for 11 yds to the SAlab 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Shadrach Thornton run for 2 yds to the SAlab 15

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Jacoby Brissett pass complete to Cole Cook for 11 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Shadrach Thornton run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.34

Tyreis Thomas run for 32 yds to the NCSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyreis Thomas run for no gain to the NCSt 33

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Cody Clements pass incomplete to Chris Lewis

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.76

Cody Clements pass complete to Nathan Sassaman for 12 yds to the NCSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Dami Ayoola rush for no gain to the ST21 (Boone, S.), PENALTY USA face mask (Dami Ayoola) 15 yards to the ST36, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Cody Clements pass incomplete to Kevin Kutchera

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Cody Clements pass incomplete to Xavier Johnson

3rd & 25Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 4 yds to the NCSt 32

4th & 21Field Goal Good+49 ydsPPA +2.40

Aleem Sunanon 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Matthew Dayes run for 9 yds to the NCSt 39

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Matthew Dayes run for 4 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Cole Cook for 11 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the SAlab 45

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.43

Johnathan Alston run for 12 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.37

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Reggie Gallaspy II for 21 yds to the SAlab 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 12 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyreis Thomas run for 4 yds to the SAlab 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 9 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.91

Dallas Davis sacked by Darian Roseboro for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 32

2nd & 16Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Dallas Davis pass complete to Danny Woodson for 3 yds to the SAlab 35

3rd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.37

Dallas Davis sacked by Darian Roseboro for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 27

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 39

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Nyheim Hines run for 8 yds to the NCSt 47

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Jalan McClendon pass incomplete to Nyheim Hines

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.42

Dakwa Nichols run for 4 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dakwa Nichols run for 4 yds to the SAlab 45

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Dakwa Nichols run for 3 yds to the SAlab 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.28

Jalan McClendon pass complete to Maurice Morgan for 6 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Bra'Lon Cherry run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 37

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Dakwa Nichols run for 8 yds to the SAlab 29

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Dakwa Nichols run for no gain to the SAlab 24

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the SAlab 21

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Jalan McClendon run for 7 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 4 yds to the SAlab 10

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.57

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 10 yds for a TD, (Kyle Bambard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Dami Ayoola run for 1 yd to the SAlab 20

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Dami Ayoola run for 2 yds to the SAlab 22

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.21

Dami Ayoola run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 21

Situational Analysis

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
53%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
75%
8 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
17%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play