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← Back to GamesSep 26, 2015Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina by 8.6

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 75%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 26, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
DelawareDelaware
707014
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
76141441

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-710-713-720-1434-1441-14
North CarolinaDelaware

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DELNCDELNCDELNCDELNCDELNCDELNCDELNCDELNCDELNCDELNCTD276ydTD565ydTO1254ydMISS1263ydPUNT828ydFG1255ydDOWNS40ydFG854ydEND525ydTO414ydPUNT34ydTD790ydTD1380ydTD475ydPUNT34ydTD757ydPUNT516ydTD484ydPUNT416ydEND856yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Delaware and North Carolina
StatisticDelawareNorth Carolina
Passing4-1023-33
Pass Yards24377
Rush Yards279191
Total Yards303568
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-1110-13
Penalties5-602-20
Possession34:1825:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Delaware
passing
Joe Walker
4/10, 24 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Thomas Jefferson
22 CAR, 163 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tre Brown
1 REC, 9 YDS
North Carolina
passing
Mitch Trubisky
17/20, 312 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Elijah Hood
14 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Mack Hollins
3 REC, 100 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Thomas Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Delaw 28

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +6.25

Thomas Jefferson run for 72 yds for a TD, (Frank Raggo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Marquise Williams pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 9 yds to the NCaro 44

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

Marquise Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.68

Elijah Hood run for 9 yds to the Delaw 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.02

Marquise Williams pass complete to Bug Howard for 29 yds to the Delaw 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Marquise Williams run for 18 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Kareem Williams run for 8 yds to the Delaw 21

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Kareem Williams run for 10 yds to the Delaw 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Joe Walker run for 5 yds to the Delaw 36

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kareem Williams run for 2 yds to the Delaw 38

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.73

Kareem Williams run for 6 yds to the Delaw 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Kareem Williams run for 7 yds to the NCaro 49

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.29

Joe Walker run for 5 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kareem Williams run for 4 yds to the NCaro 40

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Jamie Jarmon run for 2 yds to the NCaro 38

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Kareem Williams run for 2 yds to the NCaro 36

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.80

Kareem Williams run for 3 yds to the NCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -4.10

Joe Walker pass intercepted Jeff Schoettmer return for 3 yds to the NCaro 20

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.34

Elijah Hood run for 17 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Marquise Williams pass incomplete, broken up by Nasir Adderley

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Marquise Williams run for 6 yds to the NCaro 43

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

DELAWARE Penalty, (5 Yards) to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Damien Washington for 9 yds to the Delaw 43

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the Delaw 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the Delaw 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Marquise Williams pass complete to Mack Hollins for 3 yds to the Delaw 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.35

Marquise Williams pass complete to Brandon Fritts for 11 yds to the Delaw 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Damien Washington

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

T.J. Logan run for 3 yds to the Delaw 22

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Elijah Hood run for 5 yds to the Delaw 17

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Nick Weiler 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Thomas Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Delaw 22

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Thomas Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Delaw 27

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Jamie Jarmon run for 7 yds to the Delaw 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Thomas Jefferson run for 9 yds to the Delaw 43

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Joe Walker run for 4 yds to the Delaw 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Joe Walker run for no gain to the Delaw 47

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Thomas Jefferson run for 1 yd to the Delaw 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Joe Walker pass incomplete to Trejon Dinkins

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Eric Enderson punt for 38 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for 2 yds to the NCaro 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Marquise Williams run for 2 yds to the NCaro 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Ryan Switzer

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Marquise Williams sideline pass incomplete to Bug Howard (Nasir Adderley), PENALTY DELAWARE face mask (David Tinsley) 15 yards to the NC33, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Elijah Hood run for 4 yds to the NCaro 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.74

Marquise Williams pass complete to Bug Howard for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

T.J. Logan run for 1 yd to the Delaw 49

2nd & 9Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.97

Marquise Williams run for 22 yds to the Delaw 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.49

Marquise Williams run for a loss of 6 yards to the Delaw 33 Marquise Williams fumbled, recovered by NCaro Marquise Williams , return for no gain to the Delaw 33

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Elijah Hood, broken up by John Nassib

3rd & 16Penalty+15 yds

DELAWARE Penalty, personal foul (John Nassib) to the Delaw 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Marquise Williams pass complete to Romar Morris for no gain to the Delaw 18

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Bug Howard

3rd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.82

Marquise Williams sacked by Larry Spears for a loss of 11 yards to the Delaw 29

4th & 21Field Goal Good+46 ydsPPA +2.19

Nick Weiler 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kareem Williams run for 5 yds to the NCaro 32

2nd & 5Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.46

Kareem Williams run for a loss of 8 yards to the NCaro 40

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Joe Walker run for 3 yds to the NCaro 37

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Joe Walker pass incomplete, broken up by Nazair Jones

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 14 yds to the Delaw 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.10

Mitch Trubisky run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 46 Mitch Trubisky fumbled, recovered by NCaro Mitch Trubisky , return for no gain to the NCaro 46

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 7 yds to the Delaw 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.95

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 35 yds to the Delaw 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 3 yds to the Delaw 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Ryan Switzer, broken up by Justin Watson

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Ryan Switzer, broken up by Justin Watson

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.72

Nick Weiler 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Thomas Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Delaw 26

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Thomas Jefferson run for 13 yds to the Delaw 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Thomas Jefferson run for 7 yds to the Delaw 46

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Thomas Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Delaw 48

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Thomas Jefferson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Delaw 47

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Elijah Hood run for 3 yds to the NCaro 38

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Elijah Hood run for 4 yds to the NCaro 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Kendrick Singleton for 4 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -2.82

Mitch Trubisky run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 49 Mitch Trubisky fumbled, recovered by Delaw Jalen Kindle

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.10

Joe Walker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Delaw 47 Joe Walker fumbled, recovered by Delaw Joe Walker , return for no gain to the Delaw 47

2nd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Kareem Williams run for 8 yds to the NCaro 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Joe Walker pass incomplete to Brandon Whaley, broken up by Dajaun Drennon

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Eric Enderson punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.58

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 13 yds to the NCaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 6 yds to the NCaro 29

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Mitch Trubisky pass incomplete to Bug Howard

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.23

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Elijah Hood for 14 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.45

Elijah Hood run for 6 yds to the Delaw 49 for a 1ST down DELAWARE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (John Nassib) to the Delaw 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 8 yds to the Delaw 28

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Ryan Switzer) to the Delaw 33

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.24

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Mack Hollins for 33 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Joe Walker pass complete to Jamie Jarmon for 6 yds to the Delaw 26

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Thomas Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Delaw 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Joe Walker pass complete to Brandon Whaley for 7 yds to the Delaw 37

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Thomas Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Delaw 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Joe Walker pass complete to Tre Brown for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.14

Thomas Jefferson run for 5 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Thomas Jefferson run for 10 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Thomas Jefferson run for 4 yds to the NCaro 31

2nd & 6Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.72

Kareem Williams run for 23 yds to the NCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Kareem Williams run for 7 yds to the NCaro 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Thomas Jefferson run for no gain to the NCaro 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Joe Walker pass incomplete to Tre Brown, broken up by Mike Hughes

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Thomas Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Frank Raggo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Romar Morris for 5 yds to the NCaro 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the NCaro 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Mitch Trubisky run for 4 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +5.15

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Mack Hollins for 64 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kareem Williams run for 2 yds to the Delaw 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Joe Walker pass incomplete to Brandon Whaley

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Joe Walker pass complete to Trejon Dinkins for 2 yds to the Delaw 13

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Eric Enderson punt for 47 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for 3 yds to the NCaro 43

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Elijah Hood run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Elijah Hood run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.87

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Kendrick Singleton for 10 yds to the Delaw 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Mitch Trubisky run for 11 yds to the Delaw 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.26

Mitch Trubisky run for 17 yds to the Delaw 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the Delaw 10

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.70

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Bug Howard for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Thomas Jefferson run for 9 yds to the Delaw 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Thomas Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Delaw 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Thomas Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Delaw 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Thomas Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Delaw 42

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Joe Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Delaw 41 DELAWARE Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declined

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Eric Enderson punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 14 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Elijah Hood run for 3 yds to the NCaro 28 Elijah Hood fumbled, forced by Charles Bell,

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Mitch Trubisky run for 9 yds to the NCaro 37

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +6.17

Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 63 yds for a TD, (Nick Weiler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Kareem Williams run for 15 yds to the Delaw 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kareem Williams run for no gain to the Delaw 40

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Kareem Williams run for 2 yds to the Delaw 42

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Kareem Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Delaw 41

4th & 9Punt+12 yds

Eric Enderson punt for 51 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for 12 yds to the NCaro 20

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.63

T.J. Logan run for 20 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

T.J. Logan run for 1 yd to the NCaro 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Caleb Henderson pass incomplete, broken up by Jalen Kindle

3rd & 9Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.42

Caleb Henderson run for 21 yds to the Delaw 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.60

T.J. Logan run for 1 yd to the Delaw 36 T.J. Logan fumbled, forced by Anthony Jackson,

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

N/A run for 3 yds to the Delaw 33

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.05

Caleb Henderson run for 5 yds to the Delaw 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the Delaw 24

Situational Analysis

Delaware

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
54%
24 plays
2nd
38%
8 plays
57%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
34 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play