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← Back to GamesSep 5, 2015Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 18.2

Home Win Probability

Florida 91%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 5, 2015

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
0130013
FloridaFlorida
727131461

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-014-021-021-728-1337-1344-1347-1354-1361-13
FloridaNew Mexico State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FLONMSFLONMSFLONMSFLONMSFLONMSFLONMSFLONMSNMSFLONMSFLONMSFLONMSFLONMSFLONMSFLOPUNT511ydPUNT33ydTD463ydPUNT1042ydTD889ydPUNT33ydTD550ydDOWNS756ydTO1-1ydTD618ydTD674ydTD575ydTD775ydEND14ydPUNT3-17ydFG726ydTO10ydTD531ydPUNT3-3ydFG933ydPUNT39ydTD1165ydPUNT3-3ydTD756ydPUNT34ydEND634yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico State and Florida
StatisticNew Mexico StateFlorida
Passing15-2931-38
Pass Yards136384
Rush Yards64222
Total Yards200606
Turnovers11
3rd Down1-1210-15
Penalties1-91-10
Possession22:0437:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico State
passing
Tyler Rogers
15/28, 136 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Larry Rose III
12 CAR, 64 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Teldrick Morgan
4 REC, 46 YDS, 1 TD
Florida
passing
Treon Harris
14/19, 215 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kelvin Taylor
8 CAR, 54 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brandon Powell
2 REC, 50 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Kelvin Taylor run for 6 yds to the Fla 29

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.65

Treon Harris run for 6 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -2.03

Team run for a loss of 13 yards to the Fla 22 Team fumbled, recovered by Fla Treon Harris

2nd & 23Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Treon Harris pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 3 yds to the Fla 25

3rd & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.11

Treon Harris run for 9 yds to the Fla 34

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Johnny Townsend punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Teldrick Morgan at the NMxSt 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Tyrain Taylor, broken up by Jalen Tabor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 3 yds to the NMxSt 29

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Larry Rose III run for no gain to the NMxSt 29

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Anthony Torres punt for 34 yds , Alvin Bailey returns for no gain to the Fla 37

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Antonio Callaway run for 8 yds to the Fla 45

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.36

Kelvin Taylor run for no gain to the Fla 45

3rd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.32

Kelvin Taylor run for 18 yds to the NMxSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Treon Harris pass complete to Brandon Powell for 37 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Teldrick Morgan run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Gregory Hogan for 8 yds to the NMxSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Larry Rose III run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 48

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.35

Larry Rose III run for 5 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Tyrain Taylor for 8 yds to the Fla 39

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Xavier Hall run for no gain to the Fla 39

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Larry Rose III run for 3 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Larry Rose III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Xavier Hall for 3 yds to the Fla 33

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Gregory Hogan, broken up by Jalen Tabor

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler Rogers punt for 22 yds, downed at the Fla 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Fla 14

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Treon Harris pass complete to Valdez Showers for 11 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Treon Harris pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 13 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Jordan Cronkrite run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Treon Harris pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 5 yds to the Fla 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.77

Treon Harris pass complete to Kelvin Taylor for 43 yds to the NMxSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Treon Harris pass complete to Jake McGee for 7 yds to the NMxSt 9

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.26

Kelvin Taylor run for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Teldrick Morgan

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Larry Rose III run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 26

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Rogers run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Anthony Torres punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Will Grier pass incomplete to Valdez Showers

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Jordan Cronkrite run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 41

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.91

Jordan Cronkrite run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.44

Will Grier pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 23 yds to the NMxSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Will Grier pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 12 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Tyrain Taylor for 11 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Larry Rose III run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 42

2nd & 4Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.98

Larry Rose III run for 30 yds to the Fla 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Orryn Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Teldrick Morgan, broken up by Brian Poole

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Tyler Rogers run for 8 yds to the Fla 21

4th & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -3.40

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Larry Rose III for 2 yds to the Fla 19

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Will Grier sacked by Terrill Hanks for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 18 Will Grier fumbled, recovered by NMxSt Jacob Banegas , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 4 yds to the Fla 14

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Joshua Bowen for 5 yds to the Fla 9

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.62

Larry Rose III run for 1 yd to the Fla 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Tyrain Taylor

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Larry Rose III run for 8 yds for a TD, (Parker Davidson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kelvin Taylor run for 3 yds to the Fla 29

2nd & 7Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.41

Will Grier run for 38 yds to the NMxSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Will Grier pass complete to Vernon Hargreaves III for 6 yds to the NMxSt 27

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Kelvin Taylor run for no gain to the NMxSt 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.64

Will Grier pass complete to Antonio Callaway for 23 yds to the NMxSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Will Grier run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.11

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Larry Rose III for 40 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Jordan Bergstrom

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Gregory Hogan for 4 yds to the Fla 31

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Tyrain Taylor NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined

4th & 6Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.74

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 31 yds for a TD, (Parker Davidson PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Kelvin Taylor run for 14 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Will Grier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.92

Will Grier pass complete to Kelvin Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 37

3rd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.04

Will Grier pass complete to Brandon Powell for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Will Grier pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 9 yds to the NMxSt 41

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.12

Will Grier pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 9 yds to the NMxSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Will Grier pass complete to C'yontai Lewis for 32 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Larry Rose III run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 29

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Tyler Rogers sacked by Jonathan Bullard for a loss of 6 yards to the NMxSt 19

2nd & 16Penalty-9 yds

Morgan, T rush over left end for 1 yard to the NMSU20, out-of-bounds (Wilson,Q.), PENALTY NMSU CIT (Atencio, Ty) 9 yards to the NMSU10, NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.03

Larry Rose III run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 8

3rd & 27Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.01

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Jordan Bergstrom

4th & 27Punt+11 yds

Anthony Torres punt for 45 yds , Vernon Hargreaves III returns for 11 yds to the NMxSt 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Will Grier pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 5 yds to the NMxSt 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Will Grier pass complete to DeAndre Goolsby for 2 yds to the NMxSt 35

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Will Grier pass complete to Jake McGee for 11 yds to the NMxSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Demarcus Robinson run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Will Grier pass complete to Demarcus Robinson for 4 yds to the NMxSt 18

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Will Grier run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 16

4th & 2Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA -0.75

Austin Hardin 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-43 ydsPPA -0.92

Teldrick Morgan pass intercepted Vernon Hargreaves III return for 43 yds to the NMxSt 31

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.58

Will Grier pass complete to Antonio Callaway for no gain to the NMxSt 31

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.16

Will Grier pass complete to Alvin Bailey for 17 yds to the NMxSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jordan Cronkrite run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 3

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.08

Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Gregory Hogan for 5 yds to the NMxSt 29

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Larry Rose III, broken up by Cece Jefferson

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.57

Tyler Rogers sacked by Justus Reed for a loss of 8 yards to the NMxSt 21

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Anthony Torres punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Vernon Hargreaves III at the Fla 48

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Scarlett run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Treon Harris pass complete to C.J. Worton for 11 yds to the NMxSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Treon Harris pass incomplete to Valdez Showers

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jordan Scarlett run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 36

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.76

Treon Harris pass complete to Valdez Showers for 13 yds to the NMxSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kelvin Taylor run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 19

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Treon Harris pass incomplete to Jake McGee

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Treon Harris pass incomplete to Jake McGee, broken up by Dalton Herrington

4th & 6Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -0.26

Austin Hardin 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Joshua Bowen for 1 yd to the NMxSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Larry Rose III run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 27

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyler Rogers run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Greg Hutchins punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Vernon Hargreaves III at the Fla 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Treon Harris run for 4 yds to the Fla 39

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Jordan Scarlett run for 9 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Treon Harris pass incomplete to C'yontai Lewis

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jordan Scarlett run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.64

Treon Harris pass complete to C.J. Worton for 6 yds to the NMxSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Treon Harris pass incomplete to DeAndre Goolsby

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Case Harrison run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 33

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Case Harrison run for no gain to the NMxSt 33

4th & 3Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.23

Treon Harris pass complete to Josh Grady for 25 yds to the NMxSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Jordan Scarlett run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Tyler Rogers run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMxSt 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Xavier Hall

3rd & 13Sack0 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyler Rogers sacked by Justus Reed for 0 yards to the NMxSt 22

4th & 13Punt+34 yds

Greg Hutchins punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FLORIDA 44 NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Fla 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Treon Harris pass complete to Mark Herndon for 9 yds to the NMxSt 47

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.14

Mark Herndon run for 12 yds to the NMxSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.55

Treon Harris pass complete to Alvin Bailey for 26 yds to the NMxSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Mark Herndon run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 10

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Treon Harris run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 7

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Treon Harris run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 6

4th & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +3.13

Treon Harris pass complete to C.J. Worton for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Hardin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Xavier Hall run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Xavier Hall for 3 yds to the NMxSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Orryn Clark

4th & 6Punt+19 yds

Greg Hutchins punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 38 , Antonio Callaway returns for 19 yds to the Fla 48 FLORIDA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Fla 38

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Josh Grady run for 7 yds to the Fla 45

2nd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Josh Grady run for 14 yds to the NMxSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Case Harrison run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Case Harrison run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 32

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.46

Josh Grady pass complete to Roger Dixon for 3 yds to the NMxSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Case Harrison run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 28

Situational Analysis

New Mexico State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
20 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
13%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
49%
35 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
55%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays